Tuesday Service Plays

Re: Tuesday Service Plays

John Ryan

Florida Marlins vs. Milwaukee Brewers
Prediction: Milwaukee Brewers

Ai Simulator 3* graded play on Milwaukee as they face Florida slated to start at 8:05 EST. Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone 106-44 making 48.4 units since 1997. Play against road dogs with a money line of +100 to +150 with a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities facing an opponent with a NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.650 or worse on the season. Marlins in a tough spot here noting they are 88-126 (-44.4 Units) against the money line versus an NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.70 to 5.20 since 1997. Milwaukee is a solid 59-23 (+25.7 Units) against the money line in home games versus a NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse over the last 3 seasons; 56-26 (+22.1 Units) against the money line in home games after 1 or more consecutive unders over the last 3 seasons. Florida offense is nearly comatose batting just 239 on the season and 236 against 11 games facing a LH starter. Skipper Macha is a strong 70-25 (+34.6 Units) against the money line in home games after having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games in all games he has managed since 1997. Take Milwaukee

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Re: Tuesday Service Plays

Vegas Experts

New York Yankees at Toronto Blue Jays

Roy Halladay will get a chance to face former rotation mate AJ Burnett as the Toronto Blue Jays host the Yankees. Halladay is off to another great start this year as he has a 6-1 TSR and a 3.29 ERA. He has had his way with the Yankees as he has a 15-5 record with a 2.83 ERA. He has also been outstanding in the month of May as he has a 33-12 TSR in his career. Burnett has been roughed up in his last three starts as he has allowed 15 earned runs in 18 innings. The Blue Jays are 11-4 at home this year and are a safe bet here.

Play on: Toronto

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Re: Tuesday Service Plays

Jrtips

BOSTON RED SOX vs. LA ANGELS

The red-hot Angels look for their a fifth straight win when they face the Boston Red Sox tonight in Anaheim. Boston (20-12) will be without two of its biggest bats, Kevin Youkilis and Dustin Pedroia who are recovering from injuries. The Angels (16-14) have won seven of eight to move within one-half game of first-place in the AL allowing five total runs during their four-game winning streak. Weaver (3-1, 2.66 ERA), whose ERA and .209 opponent batting average both rank among the top five in the AL allowed one unearned run and four hits in 6 2/3 innings of a 6-3 win over Boston on April 10th. The Red Sox will start Justin Masterson (2-2, 5.28) who has given up six runs in each of his last two starts and allowed a career-worst eight hits in 6 1/3 innings of a 9-2 loss to Cleveland on Wednesday. Boston's offense ranks second in the majors with 185 runs and often has to pick up the slack for the pitchers. They've won three of four overall, scoring 29 runs but Boston went 1-8 against Los Angeles in the 2008 regular season. The Angels are hot and will get to Masterson early and often. Five runs is all the Angels will need to get the win tonight with Weaver on the Mound and two of the red sox big bats out of the lineup.

TAKE LA ANGELS-130

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Re: Tuesday Service Plays

Rob Homyak

5 Units on New York Mets

New York swept a two-game set in Atlanta from May 4-5 and won six of nine at home versus the Braves last year.

New York going with Mike Pelfrey has won three straight starts and is 4-0 in five starts this year. Pelfrey has a 5.46 ERA this year and a 4.00 ERA over his last three starts.

ATLANTA is 87-104 (-25.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.

NY METS are 22-9 (+11.9 Units) against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -125 over the last 3 seasons.

Mets are 8-0 in Pelfreys last 8 home starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5.

Braves are 3-10 in their last 13 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.


Head-to-Head Series History

NY METS is 2-1 (+0.4 Units) against ATLANTA this season

NY Mets are 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Atlanta


Umpire Trends - Andy Fletcher

Home team is 6-2 in Fletchers last 8 games behind home plate.

Mets are 7-3 in their last 10 games with Fletcher behind home plate.

Braves are 0-4 in their last 4 games with Fletcher behind home plate.

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Re: Tuesday Service Plays

Larry Ness

Washington Nationals @ San Francisco Giants
PICK: San Francisco Giants

Ryan Zimmerman of the Nationals went 4-for-5 with two HRs and a season-high four RBI last night but the Nationals lost 11-7 to the Giants. And so it goes for a team with the worst record in MLB (10-20) in 2009. Meanwhile, the Giants have won 14 of their last 20 games and at , are three games over .500 for the first time since May 7, 2007. That includes an 11-4 mark at home, where San Francisco's pitching staff (owners of MLB's 5th-best ERA at 3.97), has held opponents to just 2.87 RPG. Getting the start for Washington is rookie Jordan Zimmermann (2-1 with a 5.48 ERA). He makes his first start against the Giants and the fifth of his career. He opened with back-to-back wins (2.38 ERA) but he's allowed 14 hits and 11 ERs over his last two outings (8.49 ERA), losing once with a no decision (better than he deserved). Starting for the Giants is a pitcher who has rarely gotten "more than he's deserved" in his MLB career. Matt Cain was 13-12 (4.15 ERA) in his rookie season of 2006. He then went out in 2007 and lowered his ERA by a half-run (3.64) but went just 7-16, as the Giants finished 9-23 in his 32 starts. His moneyline mark of minus-$1,803 was the worst in all of MLB. His ERA was 3.76 last year but again he went only 8-14, with the Giants going in 14-20 his starts (minus-$386). His 2009 numbers have been terrific, as he's 3-1 with a 2.61 ERA. He's had just one poor start (in six outings), allowing five ERs in a 5-1 loss to the Rockies (in San Fran). He's posted a 1.69 ERA in his other five starts, going 3-0 but "true to form," the Giants have lost both of his no decisions, despite Cain posting a 2.08 ERA in those games. However, Cain has been outstanding vs the Nationals recently, posting a 0.42 ERA in winning all three of his starts against them since 2007. The Giants are playing with confidence and are coming off an 11-run, 14-hit game. Now if only Cain could get half of that support on a regular basis? Consider this stat. Cain is 29-6 as a starter when the Giants score at least three runs for him. Take the Giants.

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