Tuesday Service Plays

Re: Tuesday Service Plays

Free Selection from Razor Sharp
FREE PICK FOR TUESDAY:
Take BOSTON (Masterson) +120 over LA Angels    :-X

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Free Selection from Totals4U
Tuesday's free selection: Houston/Colorado over 10   :-X

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Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports    :-X
260 - 170 run  60 %  TUES  Tampa Bay rays

MON  TY^Over INDIANS  TY Sun:  Arizona 
TY Sat   DODGERS  TY   Fri Red Sox  Ty

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EZWINNERS'S FREE SELECTION     :-X

(735) Houston Rockets +12

This Lakers were embarrassed by Houston in game
four as the Rockets gave all they had in the win minus
their All Star center Yao Ming. Everyone expects the
Lakers to come back with a win tonight, including myself,
but this is too many point to lay. The Rockets create
problems for the Lakers with their small lineup and they
will hang around in this game. Take the points.

2009 Free Selections Record  70-58  (54.3%)



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Re: Tuesday Service Plays

Michael Alexander

San Diego Padres vs. Chicago Cubs    
Play: San Diego Padres

Jake Peavy has been red hot in his last two starts posing a 1.20 ERA. The Cubs have struggeled against righthanders this season scoring only 4 runs per game. Rich Harden has been a bit of a dissapointment posting a 4.83 ERA in his six starts.

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Tom Freese

Washington Nationals at San Francisco Giants
Prediction: San Francisco Giants

San Francisco is 7-3 in the last 10 home starts made by Matt Cain and they are 7-0 after allowing 5 or more runs in their last game. Cain has allowed 2 or less runs in five of his six starts this year. The Giants are 19-7 their last 26 home games vs. righty starters. Washington is 16-35 their last 51 games as underdogs and they are 13-40 vs. winning teams. The Nationals are 15-48 their last 63 games as road underdogs and they are 16-35 on Tuesday. PLAY ON SAN FRANCISCO w/Cain

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Re: Tuesday Service Plays

LT Profits

Cincinnati Reds +180

Now Dan Haren of the Arizona Diamondbacks may be one of the best pitchers in the National League, but his team is playing so bad right now that we feel compelled to grab this fat price with the Cincinnati Reds.

The Diamondbacks are just 2-7 in their last nine games overall, and the fact that Haren is just 3-3 despite owning a 1.84 ERA and a fantastic 0.86 WHIP should give you an idea of how bad the Arizona offense has been for the most part. The Snakes have a woeful team batting average of .234 while averaging an anorexic 3.79 runs per game. Yes, they have looked a bit better the last two games, but we do not trust them to keep that going vs. Reds starter Micah Owings tonight.

This is not because Owings is a stud, because he is not, but it is because he came up through the Arizona organization and this is the first year he has pitched for another franchise. Owings did have some good moments while with the Snakes, and he has the advantage of knowing the strengths and weaknesses of the Arizona batters first hand, giving him a huge advantage in his first start vs. his former teammates from last year.

Besides, as great as Haren is, he has allowed at least three runs in all three of his career starts vs. Cincinnati, and when you combine the Diamondbacks offensive struggles with the knowledge Owings has of that lineup, Haren would have to be better than that to cash this big chalk ticket.

Pick: Reds +180

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Dennis Macklin

New York Yankees at Toronto Blue Jays
Prediction: Toronto Blue Jays

Tonight's Free Play is on Roy Halladay and the Toronto Blue Jays. The Jays are off to a white-hot MLB co-best 22 wins and a lot of that success has come behind the arm of ace Roy Halladay. "Doc" is 6-1 already with a 3.29 ERA and has owned the Bronx Bombers in the past going 15-5 and 2.83 in 30 LT starts. AJ Burnett faces ex-mates for the first time after taking the loot and has been 2-0 5.26 including a 7.50 badge in last three. Jays give Burnett a rude welcome home. Take Toronto.

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Jeff Alexander

1 Unit on Toronto Blue Jays -134

I'll back the Yankee killer, Roy Halladay, in this one as he is 15-5 when starting against the NY Yanks with an ERA of 2.83 and a WHIP of 1.119 in his career. In fact, the Blue Jays are 10-1 in Halladay's last 11 home starts vs. the Yankees and 20-7 in Halladay's last 27 starts vs. the Yankees period. I also expect the Jays to crush former teammate A.J. Burnett, who has struggled with a 7.50 ERA over his last 3 starts. The Blue Jays are a ridiculous 50-15 in Halladay's last 65 home starts. Bet the Jays tonight.

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Wunderdog

Tampa Bay at Baltimore
Pick: Baltimore +120

Andy Sonnanstine has not given the Rays the type of start they had hoped for and in general, the Rays are having a hard time duplicating what they did a year ago. Sonnanstine has never had a whole lot of success on the road where the Rays are just 10-10 since the beginning of their surge a year ago. Compare that to their 12-6 mark in his home starts. The Orioles have already notched a win against him this season, and Mark Hendrickson will get the ball for the Orioles. Hendrickson is more of an innings eater, but in actuality he has out-pitched Sonnanstine on the young season, so getting the Birds in plus money at home has redeemable value, so I'll back them here.

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Rocketman

St Louis Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates     
Play: St Louis Cardinals     

St Louis comes in with a nice 20-12 record on the season while Pittsburgh is only 12-19 this year. St Louis is 11-3 this year when playing against a team with a losing record. Pittsburgh is 1-6 this year after 3 or more consecutive losses. Pittsburgh is 1-9 in May games this year and have lost 8 in a row. St Louis is scoring 5.4 runs per game overall this year. Wellmeyer is 2-0 with a 1.93 ERA on the road this year. Wellmeyer is 4-1 overall vs Pittsburgh since 1997. We'll recommend a small play on St Louis tonight!

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Jorge Gonzalez

Houston Rockets vs. Los Angeles Lakers    
Play: Over 198

The Rockets will be going to a smaller line up with You Ming on the bench and the Lakers offense has bounced back in the playoffs with a vengeance when they are held to a 100 points or less. In their 88-68 lose to Utah, the Lakers scored 108 points and in game two of this series they scored 11 points after losing game 100-92. Aaron Brooks has proven to be a problem for the Laker's guards and should be able to push the ball up the court, especially against Derek Fisher. Take this game to go over the posted total. Jorge has released his Odds makers Mistake of the Year in the NBA in tonight's action!

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Jimmy Boyd

1 Unit on Florida Marlins +145

The fish are showing excellent value tonight when you consider how they have feasted on left handed starting pitching. They will gladly welcome the 1-4 Manny Parra to the hill as they are 8-3 against southpaw starters this season and 12-4 in their last 16 road games vs. a left-handed starter. Have to like Florida's chances following an off-day as well as it is 7-1 in its last 8 games following an off day. The Brewers are now just 3-13 in Parra's last 16 starts so I'll back the Fish on the road tonight.

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Jeff Benton

Came up just short with Monday’s free play on the Cavaliers, who won by 10 but were laying 10½. Still, I’m on freebie runs of 27-17, 18-11 and 6-3. For Tuesday, we’ll stay in the NBA playoffs and back the Magic plus the points at Boston.

There’s something very fishy about this pointspread. The last time these teams squared off in Boston, the Celtics hammered the Magic 112-94 as a four-point favorite in Game 2. Then on Sunday, Boston evened the series again, this time with a 95-94 buzzer-beating victory in Orlando. So why are the Celtics, back at home, such a short favorite tonight – especially when considering they’ve covered 13 of the last 17 against the Magic in Boston?

I’ve got a couple of theories that make sense. First of all, Boston has won consecutive games just once in these playoffs (Games 2 and 3 against Chicago) and it has covered the spread in consecutive games just once (Games 6 and 7 against Chicago). Also, of the Celtics’ 11 playoff games to date, a whopping seven have been decided by five points or less, including six by three points or fewer.

Meanwhile, since opening the playoffs with four straight non-covers (all as a favorite) against Philadelphia, the Magic have gotten the money in four of their last six contests. Orlando also continues to sport tremendous underdog numbers (36-16-3 last 55 as a pup, 14-5 last 19 as a road underdog and 44-18-1 last 63 when catching less than five points). On the other hand, the Celtics have failed to cover in seven of their last 22 at home (all laying points) and 11 of their last 14 Eastern Conference semifinal playoff games.

Throw in the fact that the underdog and road team are both 5-2 ATS in the last seven meetings between these squads, and I’ll take my chances with the Magic, who if not for Big Baby Davis’s last-second heroics in Game 4 in Orlando would have a commanding 3-1 lead in this series. Take the points.

4♦ ORLANDO MAGIC

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Re: Tuesday Service Plays

Tony Weston

Today's Selection:

We come through last night as the Nuggets and Mavericks hit well Over the Total. We’re making it two in a row tonight as we’re taking the Under in the Rockets-Lakers matchup in Los Angeles.

The number for tonight is set at 198 points and just like in Game 4 the Under will come in.

Consider that in their last six meetings overall - all since March 11 - the Under is on a 4-2 run and has come in 2 of the last 3 games in Los Angeles. In that 6-game stretch these two have totaled, on average, 193.5 points per. In their last 3 games in L.A. the teams have totaled, on average, 191.6 points per game.

Keep in mind also that the Under is on a 6-2 run for the Rockets and it has come in 5 of the Lakers last 7 games overall.

Tonight, the defense will dictate the game as these two play Under the total. Take the Under in this one tonight.

3♦ ROCKETS-LAKERS UNDER

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Chris Jordan

New York at TORONTO -140

He's a Yankee killer, and we'll side with him at home tonight. Roy Halladay has been lights out for much of the season, and comes into this one after dominating his last start.

He absolutely shut down the Angels last Wednesday, when he tossed eight strong innings for the road victory in Anaheim. The former Cy Young winner blanked the Halos for seven frames before allowing one run, but was impressive in scattering six hits and recording six strikeouts, while inducing 13 groundouts.

Why is that significant? Well, that's 19 outs that never left the infield ... or, in regards to innings, you're looking at 6-1/3 frames worth of outs that were either on strikes or smothered by infielders.

Halladay's six wins in seven starts marks the fastest he's reached that many victories in a season in his career. Now he gets AL East-rival New York in the Rogers Center, and I'm confident in laying this price tonight. Over 32 career games against New York, the right-hander is 15-5 with a 2.86 ERA.

In 2008 he went 5-1 with a 2.40 ERA against the Bombers.

Easy winner here for you.

1♦ BLUE JAYS

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Drew Gordon

Boston at LA ANGELS -125 

Both teams are playing well, but you've got to like the Angels behind the red-hot Jered Weaver in this one. He's 2-0 with a lockdown 2.05 ERA over his L3 starts, incl. his first career complete game when he  dominated the Blue Jays Thursday, allowing 1 run on 3 hits, while striking out 8! Although his career numbers against Boston aren't great (2-2, 4.46 ERA in 7 starts), Weaver has been a beast at Angel Stadium this season, going 3-0 with a miniscule 1.21 ERA!

Opposing Weaver is the Red Sox Justin Masterson, who's underachieved in trying to fill Dice-K's shoes, going 2-2 with a 5.48 ERA in 4 starts this season. He's been especially bad over his last 2 starts, allowing 12 runs in 12 1/3 innings, getting knocked around by the Rays and Indians in back-to-back efforts. Also, although he hasn't started against the Halos this year, he does have one ugly relief effort against them, back on April 10th he allowed 3 runs on 4 hits over 1 inning!

Finally, a couple things to consider, including the fact the Red Sox are just 4-11 in their last 15 meetings with the Angels. While the Sox are an excellent 13-4 at Fenway, their 7-8 road record is hardly impressive. Also, the Halos have been damn good at home with Weaver on the hill, going 19-7 in his L26 home starts! As a final note, Boston's offense takes a noticeable dip on the road, batting .244 against righties, and with neither Youkilis (questionable) or Pedroia (doubtful) likely to play, things do not bode well for the Red Sox in this one. In the end, look for Weaver to thoroughly outpitch Masterson, as the Angels win their 5th straight Tuesday night!

Take the LA Angels behind Weaver over Boston and Masterson in this MLB match up.

3♦ LA ANGELS

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Gina

Orlando Magic at Boston Celtics

Go with Boston on their home court to grab another close victory against Orlando. They have split the last six games, but the Magic are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games and 4-13 ATS in the last 17 games against the Celtics in Beantown.

Boston Celtics -2


New York Yankees at Toronto Blue Jays

Go with the Blue Jays with their ace Roy Halladay on hill. The right-hander is 3-0 with a 2.74 ERA in his last three starts and went 5-1 with a 2.40 ERA against the Yankees last season, 15-5 with a 2.86 ERA in 32 career games against New York. Toronto is 10-1 in Halladay’s last 11 starts against the Yankees at home. Meanwhile, Yankees' right-hander A.J. Burnett is 0-3 with a 7.50 ERA in his last three starts.

Toronto Blue Jays -140

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Re: Tuesday Service Plays

Johnny Guild

Houston Rockets at Los Angeles Lakers

Houston Rockets were forceful in game 4, while the L.A. Lakers were spiritless. Houston beat Los Angeles 99-87 to tie their best-of-seven series 2-2 in Houston. Look for the Lakers tonight at home to be more aggressive, but the Rockets will be hungry. I believe the Lakers won’ take the Rockets lightly again and will seize a victory in Game 5 at the Staples Center, but no blowout in this clash. Take the points! The Lakers could be without Lamar Odom.

Houston Rockets +12

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Mr. A

Boston Celtics -2
Los Angeles Lakers -12


Toronto Blue Jays -140
Minnesota Twins -120


MLB Computer Picks

New York Mets -125
Texas Rangers -150
Chicago Cubs -160

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Ben Burns

Detroit Red Wings @ Anaheim Mighty Ducks
PICK: Detroit Red Wings

While the Ducks are only a win away from forcing Game 7, the Wings have dominated this series. Let's take a look at the shots on goal.

In the first game, the Wings held a "modest" 37-24 edge in total shots. In the second game, they Wings took a whopping 62 shots. Anaheim had 47. Game 3 saw the Wings enjoy a 2-1 edge in shots, as they fired 46 to Anaheim's 23. Game 4 was slightly closer. The Wings "only" outshot the Ducks by a dozen, 40-28. The most recent game saw the Wings with a commanding 38-17 edge. Add it all up and Detroit owns a significant 223-139 edge in that department. It's true that the shots on goal stat can sometimes be misleading. However, when the advantage is this lopsided, I believe it's worth paying attention to.

While the Ducks got great goaltending to begin the playoffs, all those shots on goal have finally started to take a toll - they've given up 10 goals in the last two games. Note that the Wings are now a profitable 34-13 (+12.6) when coming off a game in which they scored four or more goals.

Knowing Chicago is now already waiting for them, the Wings don't want to play a Game 7. It likely won't be as "easy" as the last two game, but they should find a way to close things out tonight. Consider Detroit

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Re: Tuesday Service Plays

Mike Rose

Boston Celtics -2

The Magic should have considered themselves lucky to have held a late game lead in Game 4 in the first place. They shot miserably from the field (40% on 34-of-85 shooting), and shot an even more horrific 18.5% from beyond the arc. This coming after they seemingly couldn't miss in Game 3 (almost 60% from the field & 50% from 3-point land). Now they have to go back to Boston where they've managed just two SU wins in their L/5 trips. On top of that, they're a pathetic 4-13 ATS for NBA bettors the L/17 times they bumped uglies with the Celtics in Beantown. Game 4's heartbreaking defeat has to have this club out of sorts. It's hard to bounce back from gut wrenching defeats like that in the regular season let alone in the playoffs.

Boston has to be feeling good about themselves right now. They stole a game in Chicago in Round 1, and did the same on Sunday night. Big Baby's shot will be talked about forever by Celtics fanatics, but more importantly, it might have been the shot that propels this club back to the Eastern Conference finals for the second year in a row. Now having all the series momentum, the Celtics get to play another contest in front of their home fans. They've had one heck of an exciting run thus far, and it doesn't look to be over anytime soon.

Boston returned home for Game 5 in its last series against the Chicago Bulls and gutted out a 106-104 overtime victory. Though they failed to win for its betting backers, they still got the job done. The defending champs have played in a number of closely contested battles throughout the post-season, and tonight's match-up looks to be no different. That being said, they're only being asked to cover a bucket in this spot opposed to the 7.5-point spread they were tagged with in Game 5 against the Bulls. If Orlando does indeed go into the Garden and win this game, my hat goes off to them. I just don't see it happening though. I'm expecting a huge game from Ray Allen tonight after he's been held in check throughout the first four games. This will probably be a back and forth affair throughout the first three quarters, but home court advantage will rear its ugly head for Orlando supporters in the 4th and the Celtics will eek out the home win and cover to take a 3-2 series lead.

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Re: Tuesday Service Plays

MTI Sports

New York Yankees at Toronto Blue Jays
Prediction: Toronto Blue Jays

The Blue Jays are 18-1 when Roy Halladay starts at home in the first game of a series and 15-2 as a home favorite after a win in which their opponent left fewer than 10 men on base. Consider Toronto.

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