NBA Playoff Trends Monday 5/11

NBA Playoff Trends Monday 5/11

Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Atlanta Hawks

- The fans at Philips Arena will be treated to a game between the Cleveland Cavaliers and the Atlanta Hawks when they take their seats on Monday for the fourth game of this second-round playoff series.

Oddsmakers currently have the Cavaliers listed as 10½-point favorites versus the Hawks, while the game's total has not yet been posted.

LeBron James dominated with a game-high 47 points on Saturday night, leading the Cavaliers over the Hawks 97-82 for a 3-0 lead in the Eastern Conference semifinal series.

The Cavaliers covered the 9-point spread, while the 179 points went UNDER the posted total of 181.5.

James also had 12 rebounds for a double-double, and dished out eight assists. Joe Johnson scored 21 points with five rebounds in the loss.

Team records:
Cleveland: 66-16 SU, 49-33 ATS
Atlanta: 47-35 SU, 43-37-2 ATS

Cleveland most recently:
When playing on Monday are 8-2
After playing Atlanta are 9-1
After a win are 9-1

Atlanta most recently:
When playing on Monday are 5-5
After playing Cleveland are 4-6
After a loss are 5-5

A few trends to consider:
Cleveland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Cleveland is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Cleveland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Cleveland is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games
Atlanta is 14-5 SU in its last 19 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 6 games when playing at home against Cleveland


Denver Nuggets vs. Dallas Mavericks

- The fans at American Airlines Center will be treated to a game between the Denver Nuggets and the Dallas Mavericks when they take their seats on Monday for the fourth game of this second-round playoff series.

Oddsmakers currently have the Mavericks listed as 2-point favorites versus the Nuggets, while the game's total has not yet been posted.

Carmelo Anthony hit a jumper with one second left to give the Denver Nuggets a 106-105 win over the Dallas Mavericks on Saturday to take a 3-0 lead in the Western Conference semifinal.

The Nuggets won as 3.5-point underdogs, while the final score played just OVER the day's posted total of 209.5.

Dirk Nowitzki had 33 points and 16 boards to lead the Mavs in the loss.

Team records:
Denver: 54-28 SU, 45-36-1 ATS
Dallas: 50-32 SU, 40-42 ATS

Denver most recently:
When playing on Monday are 8-2
After playing Dallas are 8-2
After a win are 7-3

Dallas most recently:
When playing on Monday are 6-4
After playing Denver are 4-6
After a loss are 6-4

A few trends to consider:
Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Denver is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Dallas
Denver is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Dallas
Dallas is 17-2 SU in its last 19 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games
Dallas is 19-5 SU in its last 24 games when playing at home against Denver
The total has gone UNDER in 18 of Dallas's last 23 games when playing at home against Denver

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Re: NBA Playoff Trends Monday 5/11

CLEVELAND vs. ATLANTA
Cleveland is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Cleveland is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Atlanta is 4-7-1 ATS in its last 12 games at home
Atlanta is 14-5 SU in its last 19 games at home

DENVER vs. DALLAS
Denver is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Dallas
Denver is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games
Dallas is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games at home

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Re: NBA Playoff Trends Monday 5/11

NBA Playoffs

Cavaliers are 7-0 in playoffs, with an 11-point win closest game they've had so far, winning first three games of this series, 99-72/105-85/97-82. Atlanta looks happy to have won one playoff series- they were -23 on boards in Game 3, an indication they may have packed it in-- this game is for pride in front of the home folks. Cavs won playoff road games this spring by 11-21-15 points.

How do Mavericks react after non-call at home cost them Game 3 and a chance to get back in series, especially when non-call came in a contest where teams combined to shoot 89 free throws? Denver is 7-1 so far in playoffs, with six wins by 12+ points. Nuggets are 7-0 vs Dallas this year, wiinning three games in this series by 14-12-1 point. Denver is a staggering 96-125 on foul line in series. Dallas is 64-83.

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CLEVELAND (73 - 16) at ATLANTA (51 - 41)
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 24-12 ATS (+10.8 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 56-33 ATS (+19.7 Units) in all games this season.
CLEVELAND is 50-27 ATS (+20.3 Units) as a favorite this season.
CLEVELAND is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in the second round of the playoffs over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 21-11 ATS (+8.9 Units) after allowing 85 points or less this season.
CLEVELAND is 31-16 ATS (+13.4 Units) after a win by 10 points or more this season.
CLEVELAND is 24-15 ATS (+7.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
CLEVELAND is 51-34 ATS (+13.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 8-6 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND is 11-3 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
8 of 14 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


DENVER (61 - 29) at DALLAS (54 - 36)
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 53-36 ATS (+13.4 Units) in all games this season.
DENVER is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) against Southwest division opponents this season.
DENVER is 29-18 ATS (+9.2 Units) after scoring 105 points or more this season.
DENVER is 28-19 ATS (+7.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
DENVER is 19-6 ATS (+12.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season.
DENVER is 28-17 ATS (+9.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
DALLAS is 14-25 ATS (-13.5 Units) against Northwest division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 11-3 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 10-4 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
8 of 14 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons 

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Re: NBA Playoff Trends Monday 5/11

Cleveland at Atlanta

Cleveland:
10-0 ATS off four straight DD wins
7-0 ATS as a # 1 seed in the playoffs

Atlanta:
20-4 Under revenging DD loss
16-29 ATS off DD loss


Denver at Dallas

Denver:

8-0 ATS in playoffs
11-3 ATS vs. Dallas

Dallas:

7-18 ATS after a loss by 6 points or less
18-8 Under playing with double revenge 

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Tips and Trends

Denver Nuggets at Dallas Mavericks


Nuggets: "We're going to be aggressive and we're going to fight extremely hard," said Chauncey Billups, the veteran point guard who is likely doing all he can to remind his younger teammates that this series isn't over. "They're facing elimination. That's always the toughest game to win, especially in a sweep situation. They're going to fight really hard and do everything they can possibly do to keep their season alive." Denver is the only team to win in Dallas since mid-February and the Nuggets have done it twice. With a win in Game 4, Denver will be headed to the conference finals for the first time since 1985.

The Nuggets are 10-1 ATS in the last 11 meetings.
The Under is 17-4 in the Nuggets' last 21 playoff games as an underdog.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: 102


Mavericks (-1.5, O/U 210): No NBA team has overcome a 3-0 deficit and Dallas is unlikely to be the first considering they're 0-7 against Denver this season. Dallas has never been swept in a four-game series. "These guys have met adversity with unity, with a collective will," coach Rick Carlisle said. "It happened in November; we got off to a 2-7 start. It happened in January; we lost four games in a row and everybody said we wouldn't be a playoff team. It happened after we lost to Oklahoma City ... and it's obviously going to happen now. But, hey, that's what this is about. When it gets tough, you've got to stick together and keep fighting."

The Mavericks are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 playoff games as a favorite of 4.5 or less.
The Under is 9-2 in the Mavericks' last 11 playoff games as a favorite of 4.5 or less.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: 103 (UNDER - Total Play of the Day)

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