Sunday Service Plays

Re: Sunday Service Plays

Jake Timlin

Back to the NBA today and where I am 7-3-1 with playoff freebies.

Well making it 8-3-1 today I like the Hawks at home minus the game 7 points.  Yes in what has been the less entertaining series out east I look for yet another blowout win for the home team here today.  You see so far in the six games played not one game has been close as the winners in all six games has won by double digits, including the Hawks posting 15 point win in their last game in this series.  In fact in the series it is the Hawks who have won and covered 2 of the last 3 games played and thanks now to being at home for a game 7 I look for Atlanta to make it 3 of 4 as they advance in the series with yet another double digit win.  Flat out, I liked Atlanta to win this series a week ago and nothing has changed as thanks to being at home it will be Atlanta advancing to the next round.

PICK: Atlanta Hawks

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Re: Sunday Service Plays

Tony Weston

Today's Selection

The Mariners can’t take care of business and we end up taking the loss. But we’re getting back on track today and making it 3 of 4 winners as we’re taking the Under on the Dallas Mavericks-Denver Nuggets Total in Game 1 of this Western Conference second-round series.

The Total for this game is hovering around 206.5, depending on where you play this. But it won’t matter because scoring will be at a premium between these two.

While you would typically think of high-scoring affair when you think of these two teams, the Under has been the smart play when these two take the court.

Consider that the Under has come in each of the last three meetings between these two and the Under, long term, is 14-6 over the last 20 meetings between these two.

Keep in mind that over their last three meetings of the regular season these two have totaled, on average, 195.3 points per game and totaled only 196 when they last played in Denver on Jan. 13.

Scoring will be at a premium today as the Under comes through rather easily. Take the Under in this second-round matchup.

3♦ MAVERICKS-NUGGETS UNDE

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Re: Sunday Service Plays

VEGAS EXPERTS

Dallas Mavericks at Denver Nuggets

This is a classic case of sell high, buy low. The Nuggets went 5-0 ATS in the 1st Round and beat Dallas in all four regular season meetings. However, two of those games were played when the Mavs didn't have Josh Howard and there's no doubt that Dallas came into the playoffs playing their best basketball of the season. Three of Denver's wins over Dallas this year came by three points or less. Kenyon Martin will have problems containing Dirk Nowitzki

Play on: Dallas

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Re: Sunday Service Plays

LT Profits

New York Mets -105

We cashed a winning ticket on the Philadelphia Phillies vs. the New York Mets yesterday, but we now look for the Mets to take the rubber match of this series.

John Maine had been a major disappointment for the Mets, but it looks like he turned the corner in his last start and finally showed what he is capable of, when he limited the Florida Marlins to an unearned run and just one hit in six innings. More importantly, we look for him to carry over that success vs. a Phillies team that he has always pitched well against, as he has allowed three runs or less in all nine of his career starts against them, including three starts last season.

Conversely, Joe Blanton has still not quite figured things out this season. He is 0-2 with a horrendous 8.41 ERA and 1.97 WHIP in 20.1 innings, and the most alarming part is that he is not really showing signs of improvement. Blanton was lit up for six earned runs and eight hits in only 4.1 innings by the light-hitting Washington Nationals last time out, and he also failed poorly the last time he faced the Mets, surrendering five earned runs and eight hits in six frames.

Finally, the Mets bullpen currently ranks fourth in the majors with a collective 3.12 ERA, while the Phillies are struggling along with a 4.05 pen ERA, so look for the Mets to take the series.

Pick: Mets -105

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Re: Sunday Service Plays

Tom Freese

Colorado at San Francisco

San Francisco starter Barry Zito is 5-2 with a 2.57 ERA in 7 career starts vs. the Rockies. The Giants are 15-6 their 21 games vs. righty starters and they are 13-6 in Game 3 of a series. San Francisco is 7-3 with Zito vs. NL West teams. Colorado is 20-44 their last 64 games as road underdogs and they are 2-6 their last 8 road games overall. The Rockies are 2-8 after scoring 5 or more runs in their last game and they are 1-4 vs. lefty starters. PLAY ON SAN FRANCISCO - (Zito vs. Hammel)

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Re: Sunday Service Plays

Jimmy The Moose

Colorado Rockies at San Francisco Giants
Prediction: San Francisco Giants

The Rockies are 9-13 to start the season. On the road they are 5-8. The Rockies are 2-6 in their last 8 road games. In their last 6 games following a win they are 1-5. They are 1-4 in their last 5 vs. a lefty. The Giants are 6-2 in their last 8 home games. in their last 10 overall they are 7-3. Zito has pitched a lot better so far this year and the Giants have won 2 of his last 3 starts, Play on the San Francisco Giants -.

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Re: Sunday Service Plays

LEE KOSTROSKI

Baltimore Orioles @ Toronto Blue Jays
PICK: Toronto Blue Jays

After a promising first week of the season Baltimore continues to slide, having lost five straight and 13 of the last 16. The top starter for the Orioles, Jeremy Guthrie takes the ball looking to avoid the sweep but the odds are stacked against him. Guthrie has allowed three or more runs in four of his five starts this season and he has walked eleven while posting just 16 strikeouts. Guthrie’s worst effort came in his only road start and he will give way to a terrible Orioles bullpen. Baltimore lost another game in the pen last night and Orioles relievers have combined for a 6.22 ERA.

Toronto’s bullpen has been very solid even with the injury to closer B.J. Ryan. Toronto owns a 2.98 bullpen ERA and today’s starter Scott Richmond may not need a lot of help. The Canadian native has pitched brilliantly in his first full season with the big league club and although he likely would not have got this chance without injuries in the rest of the rotation he has quickly made his mark. The Blue Jays are 4-0 in his starts and he has allowed just seven earned runs in over 23 innings this season. Richmond has a 2:1 strikeout to walk ratio and he pitched six innings of shutout ball the one time he faced the Orioles in his career.

Toronto is hitting .295 on the season as the offense continues to click and those numbers are even stronger over the last ten games to suggest some staying power for the Blue Jays. Baltimore owns above average offensive numbers but it has not been enough to counteract the lousy pitching results. The Orioles have lost 13 of the last 16 meetings between these teams and because Richmond is a lesser known pitcher this is a very reasonable price on a team with one of the best records in baseball playing at home against a greatly struggling Baltimore team.

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Re: Sunday Service Plays

EZ'S FREE SELECTION

Date: Sunday, May 1, 2009  (is this today's game?)

Game: Dallas Mavericks @ Denver Nuggets

(702) Denver Nuggets -6

The Nuggets are rolling with a 5-0 record against the spread
so far in the playoffs and they have dominated the Mavericks
this season winning all four games and posting a 3-1 record
against the spread. I look for that dominance to continue to
day as the Nuggets open this series with a big win. Lay the
points with the home team.

2009 Free Selections Record  65-54  (54.6%)

===============================================

Free Selection from Totals4U
Sunday's free selection: St. Louis/Washington under 9

==============================================

Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports
255 - 166 run  60 %

Sun    KC  Royals

Sat:   Boston Red Sox w/ Wakefield   TY

==============================================



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