Saturday Service Plays

Re: Saturday Service Plays

Steve Merril

Kansas City Royals vs. Texas Rangers    
Play: Kansas City Royals

We’re getting a great price on the Royals as they remain an underrated team, especially with a pitcher in Zach Greinke on the mound who has yet to give up an earned run this season. Greinke’s lone flaw is that he’s only pitched 11 innings combined in his two starts this season. Greinke’s last three outings against Texas have been 2-1 losses and an 8-1 victory meaning he’s been able to keep this offense down before. Texas manages a measly .212 against the righthander, including 0 for 6 for Josh Hamilton with 3 K's and Marlon Byrd's 1-9 with 5 K's.

The hot Royal offense gets a crack at Kevin Millwood who is having a stellar season himself. Millwood is 1-0 with a 0.64 ERA having beaten the Indians and getting a no-decision against the Tigers. Millwood is 6-3 against KC with a mediocre 4.66 ERA. Last year he won a pitcher’s duel with Greinke 2-1. The Royals lineup is hitting .313 against him with Jose Guillen (.438), John Buck (.467), Billy Butler (.333), and Miguel Olivo (.429) leading the way.

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Re: Saturday Service Plays

Dwayne Bryant

FLA (-160) vs WAS

Have to ride the hot team with the hot pitcher against the cold team with the cold pitcher. Florida is 9-1 on the season and Josh Johnson is 2-0 with a 0.57 ERA and 0.83 WHIP. Johnson has an amazing 15/1 K/BB ratio, which shows just how "in the zone" he is right now. Johnson is also 4-0 in five career starts vs. Washington with a 2.64 ERA and 1.08 WHIP.Washington is 1-8 and Scott Olsen has been rocked for 13 earned runs on 14 hits and 6 walks in just 8 innings of work. In his lone start against Florida on 4/7, Olsen got pounded for 8 earned runs and 8 hits (2 homers) and 3 walks in just 3 innings. The Nationals bullpen (5.35 ERA, 1.54 WHIP) hasn't helped their cause.With Friday's victory, the Marlins improved to 20-3 in their last 23 games with the Nationals and 8-1 in their last nine in Washington. I see no reason why Florida won't win again today.

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Re: Saturday Service Plays

King Creole

DETROIT PISTONS @ CLEVELAND CAVALIERS
Play on: OVER THE TOTAL

This play almost made it to KING CREOLE's Saturday GAMEDAY service based on some tremendous OU Systems in the first game of the NBA Playoffs. But with an extremely LOW series history in terms of total points, we'll pass on the Late-Phone service... and just leave it up as a slight OPINION Play. The first game of the first round is abbreviated as the "1/1" game.9-2 O/U since 2003: All 1/1 games in which the #1 SEED is favored by 12 < points (CAVS).... and 7-1 O/U when the OU Line is 190 < points.

Speaking of OU line, today's game between these Central Division rivals is extremely low at only 175 points. What are the previous tendencies with an OU line in the 170's?

13-5 O/U since 1990: All 1/1 game with an OU line of 178 or less points.... 9-3 O/U since 1999.. and a PERFECT 3-0 O/U vs teams from the SAME division.

NBA teams who went into their last game of the regular season on a ROLL.... and LOST that last game have shown high-scoring tendencies in their first Playoff game. That's the case for the Cavaliers, who lost at home to Philly 111-110 in their last game.6-1 O/U last 5 years: All 1/1 tems playing off a SU loss... and 3 or more SU wins before that (CAVS).

That SU loss (BUT and ATS win) also puts Cleveland in high-scoring company.5-0 O/U since 1996: All 1/1 teams playing off a SU loss BUT an ATS win (CAVS)... when the OU line is 194 < points.

Thanks to all sharps who ROCKED with the KING on Wednesday night in Pro Basketball. Our 3*** NBA GAME OF THE YEAR was on the PORTLAND TRAILBLAZERS... who beat up on Denver by 28 frickin points!

In last season's NBA PLAYOFFS, the handicapping team at KING CREOLE SPORTS finished a very PROFITABLE 32-19 ATS (63%). That includes 21-11 ATS in OVER / UNDER Plays... and 3-1 ATS in 5* BEST BETS. Those numbers can be verified at www.thesportsmonitor.com. And those numbers were the MOST profitable of any handicapper on this website!

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Re: Saturday Service Plays

The Real Animal

2* Portland -4.5

Portland really peaking having won six straight to end the season with five straight covers. The defense yielded 82.4 points a game in their last five. Blazers on fire at home finishing 34-7. Houston a game under .500 on the road and struggled versus the elite on foreign hardwoods down the stretch losing games at Dallas, Phoenix, Utah, and the Lakers by an average of just under 10 points per game. Portland, making their first playoff appearance in seven years, will be ecstatic for this one. The Blazers are 12-1 ATS at home the past two years following three consecutive wins and outscoring opponents by 14 per game in those 13 contests. Plus it’s difficult to go against this one: Portland 8-0 ATS this year after a home blowout by 20 points or more and outscoring those foes 107-89. Throw in 9-0 ATS the last two years at home after yielding 80 or less last time out. That 104-76 lopsided win over Denver at home on Wednesday puts Portland in this perfect spread scenario Saturday night. Brandon Roy has been unstoppable all year and his offensive mentality will really test Ron Artest. Rockets just rely way too much on Yao Ming and I suspect Przybilla and Aldridge can get Ming in foul trouble. Surprisingly this series has produced four consecutive ‘OVERS’ and Portland is 8-1 ‘OVER’ at home this year as a six-point favorite or less. I’m not sold on Battier or Brooks on the road to assist Yao enough. Take Portland minus the small number.

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Re: Saturday Service Plays

Mr. A

Boston Celtics -8½
Detroit Pistons +12
San Antonio Spurs -4
Houston Rockets +5

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Re: Saturday Service Plays

Gina

Dallas Mavericks at San Antonio Spurs

The Spurs will have a tougher task without the aid of shooting guard Manu Ginobili. The Mavericks have covered the spread in nine of its last 11 games against the Spurs at AT&T Center.

Dallas Mavericks +4

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