SATURDAY PREMIUM SERVICE PLAYS

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Tim Trushel

All 10*

Featured Play: Orlando -6.5

Featured Play: San Diego Over 6.5

Washington +150

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Donnie Black

Black Magic: Baltimore Over 9.5

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RON RAYMOND

5* Canadiens -105

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Great Lakes Sports

4* TB Rays

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Scott Rickenbach

1* (regular play) OVER the total in Colorado vs Philadelphia

De La Rosa vs Myers – We have to move quickly here with this analysis as this total is already on it’s way from a 10 to a 10.5 in most books. We cashed in with this total yesterday as the Rockies hammered the Phillies. Tonight, we look for the Phillies to bounce back from that defeat and get some offense going but they’re still going to have trouble slowing down the Rockies red-hot offense. Colorado has already scored 30 runs in their first 4 games. Even though Brett Myers of the Phillies has great career numbers against the Rockies, he has given up six homers in his five career starts against them. The wind is expected to be blowing out briskly to right field for this game. This means that left-handed power hitters can take Myers deep just like the Braves big sticks did when they hit three homers against him on Sunday night in the season opener. Myers will struggle once again and the Rockies bats will continue crushing the ball. The Phillies bullpen also struggled some in yesterday’s game and hitter-friendly Coors Field showed why it can be so tough on pitchers. There could be some showers today in Denver but they are expected to be light and shouldn’t cause a great deal of trouble. What will cause trouble (at least for the pitchers) is the brisk winds out of the south and southeast! Jorge De La Rosa of the Rockies comes into the season with big expectations because he had a strong second half in the 2008 season. However, we can quickly temper that enthusiasm with some important notes about his second half. If you go back and look, De La Rosa benefited greatly from scheduling in amassing that solid second half last season. He pitched very well against a number of weak teams. However, when he faced tougher lineups, he struggled in a number of those starts. Today, he’s certainly facing a tougher lineup. The Phillies were hurt yesterday by Ryan Howard grounding into three double plays as they certainly were not without their chances in yesterday’s game. Their offense has gotten off to a rather quiet start this season but they’ve also faced some tough hurlers. They hammered De La Rosa when they saw him last season and they can do the same here. Play OVER the total in Colorado as a regular selection.


1* (regular play) Carolina Hurricanes Money Line (+) @ New Jersey

We have to move quickly here with this analysis as this game goes very early on Saturday. The Hurricanes still have something to play for here whereas the Devils really don’t. However, the motivational edges to the Hurricanes actually go even deeper than that. First things first, this is the last game of the season for Carolina and they are still battling for playoff position so they are certain to bring a strong effort to the ice tonight. Strengthening that fact here is that the Canes don’t want to go into the playoffs “on the wrong foot” either! The Hurricanes had won nine straight games overall and twelve straight games at home heading into Thursday’s game hosting Buffalo. The Canes ended up getting drilled 5 to 1 in that game and that means it’s bounce back time here. With the Devils locked into their playoff seeding position, the Canes are in the right place at the right time to finish the season on a positive note. The Devils are coming off of a 3 to 2 win at Ottawa Thursday. However, it came in the shootout and New Jersey was guilty of trying to nurse a 2-1 lead for a long-time instead of going in for the kill. The Hurricanes know all about going in for the kill. Carolina’s nine game winning streak showed how well the Canes were playing on both ends of the ice as they had offensive explosions of four goals or more in six of their last ten games. Also, defense and goaltending took center stage with the Hurricanes allowing two goals or less in eight of their last nine games. Now, after the embarrassment of Thursday’s ugly 5 to 1 home loss to the Sabres, the Canes take to the road and get a big win over a team they’ve dominated this season. There are definitely match-up edges for the Hurricanes here and that has helped lead the way to their 3-0 mark against New Jersey this season. Also, even though the Devils have won three of their last four, they had previously lost six straight games! Play Carolina on the money line as a regular selection.

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Smooth44

NBA Game Of The Week - Minny Over 223

Cleveland +115

Washington +150

Oklahoma City +7

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Jefferson-Sports

Toronto -125

Suns Under 224

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Jason Sharp

Philadelphia at Colorado
Pick: Philadelphia -105

Someone might want to wake up the world champion Philadelphia Phillies and tell them the 2009 MLB season has begun. The Phillies have looked awful so far in their first 4 games of the season, being outscored by a 29-16 margin along the way.

The good news for the Phillies is they go into this matchup with front end of the rotation, opening day starter Brett Myers on the hill. Myers pitched decent in the opener despite the 3 longballs he allowed, striking out 6 and only giving up 1 walk in the game. This was the first multi-HR game allowed by Myers in his past 16 starts. He was one of the big 2nd half of the season surprises in baseball last season and you would think the carry over from last years big leap in production should continue for the hard throwing righty.

Myers goes up against Rockies back end of the rotation starter Jorge De La Rosa who sports a 5.55 career ERA and last year only made it into the 7th inning in 4 of his 23 starts for the season. The Phillies roughed him up pretty good in their only meeting against the lefty touching him for 6 ER and 7 hits and walks combined. Jorge was unable to get out of the 4th inning in the 20-5 loss the Rockies suffered to the Phillies that day.

The Phillies dominated the Rockies last season winning all 5 contests played between the two sqauds by an average of 6 runs per game. The Phillies offense averaged 10 runs per game in the 5 wins.

The Phillies know it's time to put the party hats down and get back to work and should be able to do that starting today in Colorado.

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Underground Sports Connection

Early Card

500* Cleveland Indians +117
200* Chicago Wsox +110

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Erin Rynning

Nationals/Braves Over

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Ben Burns

Detroit Tigers -157 / 4 units

Toronto Blue Jays / Cleveland Indians Under 8 / 5 units

Carolina Hurricanes / New Jersey Devils Under 5.5 / 4 units

Phoenix Suns / Minnesota Timberwolves Over 223.5 / 4 units

Minnesota Timberwolves +2.5 / 8 units

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DOC

4 Unit Play.Take Phoenix -120 over Anaheim

The ducks come into Phoenix after clinching their playoff spot and while this game could mean something to them on who they would play I don't think it will matter. They face a young Coyotes team who will close out the year and I expect them to give a good effort here.

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Larry Ness

Club-80 Play-MLB (28-6 or 82.4%)-Day

My 20* Clu-80 Play is on the StL Cards at 4:10 ET. No one will argue against the fact that Oswalt has been among MLB's finest pitchers since going 14-3 (2.73 ERA) in his first year with the team (2001). Oswalt was an Opening Day loser to Carlos Zambrano and the Cubs 4-2, going seven innings, allowing seven hits and three ERs. He'll take a career 129-65 (3.13) mark into this game, a winning percentage of .665. It should also be noted that the Atros are an impressive 157-56 in all his starts (.654), although the breakdown is much more favorable at home (87-37 or .702) than it is on the road (70-56 or .556). Oswalt is 9-5 with a 2.86 ERA in 24 career starts vs St Louis and 1-1 with a 1.83 ERA in five starts in the most recent edition of Busch Stadium, which is his lowest ERA at any ballpark where he has made at least five starts. However, he hasn't received much support in those contests, with the Astros scoring a total of only 14 runs in losing FOUR of his five starts. Therein lies the rub. The Astros scored just three runs in a 5-3 loss last night at St Louis, falling to 1-3 on the year. Houston has now scored more than three runs just ONCE in their first four games of 2009. That doesn't figure to improve here vs Adam Wainwright. Wainwright made 61 appearances (all out of the bullpen) in 2006, when the Cards won the World Series, posting a 3.12 ERA. However, like a number of the St Louis pitchers, he was converted to a starter in 2007, going 14-12 with a 3.70 ERA in 2008 over 32 starts (team was 19-13). Injuries limited him to 20 starts last year but he was a splendid 11-3 with a 3.20 ERA, as the Cards went 15-5. He finished plus-$910 vs the moneyline, ranking 17th among all MLB starters. While Oswalt is a formidable mound opponent, the advantages of taking the Cards are compelling. Look at these numbers. The Cards were 10-1 (2.63) ERA in Wainwright's 11 home starts last year, although they did drop their season opener to the Pirates this year (with Wainwright on the mound), when Pittsburgh rallied for a four-run ninth in a 6-4 win. Still that's 10-2 at home in Wainwright's starts since the beginning of 2008. Add in that the Cards went 11-4 (plus-$625) in home day games last year vs righties and are 1-0 already this year in that situation (won 2-1 on Thursday afternoon) and you get to 12-4. Now note that Wainwright is 5-0 with a 2.32 ERA vs the Astros in his career over six starts (team is 6-0) and the numbers really start to build. That's 10-2 + 12-4 + 6-0 for 28-6 or 82.4 percent. That's good enough for me. Club-80 Play 20* StL Cards.

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ASA

ASA GAME OF THE YEAR 6* Boston Bruins Money Line (-110) @ Buffalo

Two teams heading in different directions here late in the season and that makes this a very tough spot for Sabres and a very strong spot for the Bruins. Buffalo actually has been playing solid hockey and is coming off a 5 to1 win at Carolina on Thursday. However, it was that same night that the Sabres saw their playoff hopes vanish as they needed some “help” to get into the playoffs and they simply didn’t get it. That leaves them in a very tough spot here as it’s hard to get back up, after the great run they had, and still bring a strong effort to the ice when, mentally, you’re spent and your season is over. As for Boston, there will certainly be no problem getting motivated here. The Bruins have won seven of their last eight games and they still have a shot at The President’s Trophy. That would give Boston home ice throughout the playoffs. The Bruins are battling with San Jose for the best record in the NHL and if the Sharks lose today and Boston defeats Buffalo, the Bruins would then just need to defeat the Islanders tomorrow and the President’s Trophy is theirs. The Bruins hung on to beat Montreal on Thursday and their penalty kill had trouble in the second period of that game. However, the B’s seemed to have a let-up in intensity and they paid for it. Prior to the game against the Canadiens, the Bruins had killed 21 of the last 22 power plays they had faced. You can bet they are working to resume that penalty kill dominance effective immediately. The Bruins are 17-4-2 in games against divisional opponents this season but they’ve only beaten the Sabres twice in five games. You know what that means here! Extra focus and intensity from the Bruins and the Sabres simply will not be able to match that! This is especially true because Buffalo just got bounced from the playoff picture. Big edges for the Bruins here and they get revenge for a 4 to 2 home loss suffered against the Sabres the last time they met.

BONUS SELECTION 4* on the Ottawa Senators on the Money Line for Saturday Night!

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Big Daddy

10* Detroit Pistons

Houston Astros

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Statman

Milwaukee Brewers

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N.Y. SPORTS INVESTORS

PHILLIES -110

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Bob Akmens

Los Angeles Angels -125 / 5 units

Florida Marlins -135 / 5 units

Phoenix Suns / Minnesota Timberwolves Over 224 / 5 units

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The Prez

Texas Rangers / Detroit Tigers Over 10 (-115) / 3 units

Pittsburgh Pirates / Cincinnati Reds Under 9 (-110) / 4 units

Florida Marlins -130 / 5 units

Tampa Bay Rays / Baltimore Orioles Under 9.5 (-110) / 4 units

Orlando Magic / New Jersey Nets Under 194.5 / 4 units

Phoenix Suns -2 / 4 units

Phoenix Coyotes -110 / 5 units

Philadelphia Phillies / Colorado Rockies Over 10.0 (-110) / 4 units

Oklahoma City Thunder / Milwaukee Bucks Under 206 / 5 units

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Mike Rose

Texas Rangers +145 / 2 units

Toronto Blue Jays / Cleveland Indians Under 8 / 2 units

Chicago Cubs -1.5 +120 / 2 units

Washington Nationals +159 / 3 units

Philadelphia Phillies / Colorado Rockies Over 10 / 3 units

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