TUESDAY PREMIUM SERVICE PLAYS

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Brandon Lang

10 Dime Houston Rockets

FREE - Memphis Grizzlies

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Erin Rynning

MLB Division Rival Playmaker

Chicago Cubs -115

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Coglye West

Atl/Phl Under 8.5

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BIG Al

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Portland Trail Blazers minus the points over Memphis.

At 7:05pm our High Roller selection is on the Philadelphia Phillies and Atlanta Braves 'over' the total.

At 8:10pm our selection is on the Seattle Mariners over the Minnesota Twins.

At 8:05pm our selection is on the Chicago Cubs and Houston Astros 'under' the total.

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BEN BURNS

I'm playing on Kansas City and Chicago to finish UNDER the total.

With yesterday's game postponed, Meche and Buerhle get to square off against each other for this afternoon's "opener." I expect that to result in a "pitcher's duel." Buehrle, who has been one of the most consistent starters in the league over the last decade, was 2-0 with a 1.93 ERA against the Royals at home last season. He's seen the UNDER go 7-2-1 his last 10 starts against KC. Note that the Chicago southpaw has seen the UNDER go 12-6-1 his last 19 April starts. Buehrle goes up against Royals' ace Gil Meche, who has seen the UNDER go 3-1 his last four starts against the White Sox. The Royals have seen the UNDER go 78-60-6 their last 84 games against divisional opponents, including 2-0 their last two vs. the White Sox. Meche has pitched each of KC's last two season openers. He allowed just four runs in those games, while going 13 1/3 innings. Not surprisingly, both stayed below the total. Overall, he's seen the UNDER go 11-7 his last 18 April starts. On a chilly afternoon in Chicago, look for Meche and Buehrle to "cool" off the bats once again.


I'm laying the small price with SAN DIEGO.

I lost with the Padres in yesterday's opener. Peavy pitched relatively well but the Padres didn't give any run support. What else is new? The Padres send another high-quality starter to the mound today, as Chris Young was an All-Star in 2007. This time, I expect the bats to provide him with significantly more run support. Former Padre Randy Wolf gets the call for the Dodgers. The veteran southpaw has a very poor 5.94 ERA as starter against the Padres. His last start against San Diego came when he was also a member of the Dodgers, in June of 2007. In that outing, he allowed eight hits, three walks and five runs in just five innings. While he finished last year on a high, note that Wolf has seen his various teams go just 8-12 his last 20 road starts in April, including 2-4 his last six. While Young missed a couple of months (due to getting hit in the face with a line drive) last season, he still finished with a respectable 3.96 ERA. He's even tougher than those stats reveal though. In fact, since the start of the 2006 season, opposing hitters are batting a mere .204 against him. How good is that? That's the best mark in the majors during that span, for any pitcher that has thrown a minimum of 300 innings. While the 6-foot-10 Young struggled in spring, that's not necessarily cause for concern as he's never fared well in spring training. As Young noted, "I feel good, and I get to go home..." Note that Young began last year by allowing just one run through 5 2/3 innings, en route to a 2-1 San Diego victory over Houston on 04/01. In fact, a closer look shows that he's allowed a mere five earned runs over this last five home starts in April, going 33 1/3 innings during that span. That's a 1.35 ERA! The price on this game has dropped substantially, which I feel provides us with excellent line value. I expect Young to get the better of Wolf this evening and look for the Padres to even up the series. *Personal Favorite


I'm taking the points with MEMPHIS.

With the Blazers battling for playoff seeding and the Grizzlies playing strictly for pride, this game is more important to Portland. Don't tell that to the Grizzlies though, as they're currently playing some of their best basketball of the season. In fact, they're a perfect 4-0 SU/ATS their last four games, including an upset win over the Mavericks in their last game here at Memphis. Playing with "triple revenge," they'd love to keep that winning streak in tact for another day. While the Blazers certainly want to bounce back with a victory, I feel that this will prove to be a tough spot for them. They're coming off a big game (102-88 loss) at Houston and they've got another really big one (at San Antonio) on deck tomorrow, followed by a game vs. the Lakers after that. In other words, it should be easy to overlook the lowly Grizzlies. Note that the Blazers are just 3-6 ATS the last nine times that they played the front end of back to back games. In addition to potentially looking ahead, the Blazers are still feeling very happy just to be in the playoffs. After losing at Houston, Joel Przybilla commented: "Of course, we would have rather won, but we're still in the playoffs. For guys that have been here a while ?K through a lot of the downs, it's very gratifying for us to know we're going to get in the playoffs..." Note that Portland hasn't been nearly as strong on the road. Indeed, the Blazers are 31-7 at home but just 17-21 when playing away from the Rose Garden. The Grizzlies, who are now a highly profitable 20-10 ATS their last 30 games, are 11-4 ATS the last 15 times that they were coming off a game in which they scored 105 or more points. Look for them to keep their positive momentum going for another day, improving to 8-3-1 ATS the last dozen times that they played a home game with a total in the 190 to 194.5 range. *Best Bet


I'm playing on Toronto and Atlanta to finish OVER the total.

The Hawks are off a low-scoring (88-82) home loss vs. the Magic on Sunday. Facing a defensively-challenged Toronto team which is now offiically eliminated from playoff contention, they should be able to score significantly more points this evening. Despite Sunday's loss vs. the Knicks slipping beneath the total (still had 215 points) the Raptors have seen the OVER go 3-1 their last three home games and 7-4 their last 11 games here. The Raptors have reached triple-digits in five straight home games and in 10 of their last 12 here. However, they've also allowed opposing teams to score a minimum of 99 points in nine of those 12 games. The Raptors last four games here have all produced greater than 200 combined points and they've averaged a whopping 226.8. It's true that the Hawks can be pretty tough on the defensive side of the ball. However, their defense isn't typically as strong on the road, as it is in Atlanta. Indeed, they allow an average of only 92.7 at home but they allow a much higher 99.8 points when playing away from Atlanta. A closer look shows that the Hawks have allowed a minimum of 98 points in nine of the last 10 road games. Not surprsingly, four of their last five road games have finished above the total. The Raptors, who are currently very slight underdogs, have seen the OVER go 8-2 the last 10 times that they were coming off an upset loss. They've also seen the OVER go 4-2 this season when listed as home underdogs of three points or less. Meanwhile, we find the OVER go a perfect 4-0 when the Hawks were listed as road favorites of three points or less. Looking back a little further and we find the OVER at 7-1 the last eight times that the Hawks were in that role. Additionally, it's worth noting that the Hawks have seen the OVER go 37-16-1 the last 54 times that they faced a team with a losing record, during the second half of the season. I look for tonight's game to also prove higher-scoring than most are expecting with the OVER improving to 8-2 the last 10 times that the Hawks traveled to Toronto. *Blue Chip


I'm laying the points with CHICAGO.

The Knicks managed to split their home and home series with the Raptors over the weekend. That doesn't mean that they're playing well though. Indeed, they're just 2-10 their last 12 games. Tonight, they'll face a Bulls team which is coming off a 9-point win over the Nets and which has now won four straight home games. Note that they won those games by an average of 10.5 points per game. Looking back further and we find the Bulls at an extremely impressive 11-1 their last 12 games here. The lone loss during that stretch came vs. the Lakers. Still looking to wrap up a playoff berth, I expect the Bulls recent homecourt dominance to continue this evening. These teams did split a pair of close games against each other in December and January. However, as evidenced by their recent winning streak at the United Center, the Bulls are currently playing a lot better now than they were then. While the Knicks score a ton of points, they give up even more. Heading into tonight's game, they're allowing 108.2 per game. The Bulls are 10-4 ATS their last 14 games against teams which average 99 or more points per game. Looking back further and we find them at a profitable 18-9 ATS on the season, when matched up against a team which scores 99 or more. The recent win and cover vs. the Nets brought the the Bulls to an outstanding 16-4 SU and 15-5 ATS their last home games played in the month of April. Look for them to improve on those stats here with a highly motivated effort leading to a double-digit victory. *Annihilator

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The Prez

Detroit Tigers (+110) / 3 units

Los Angeles Dodgers (+100) / 5 units

Oakland Athletics (+106) / 4 units

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Stephen Nover

Atlanta at Toronto Over 197

The Raptors haven't been interested in playing defense and they aren't going to change now that they're officially eliminated from playoff contention following a 112-103 loss to the Knicks on Sunday in which the Raptors allowed New York to make 51 percent of its shots from the floor, including 52 percent from 3-point range.The Raptors, though, can score a lot of points with offensive talents Chris Bosh, Jose Calderon and Shawn Marion. They are up-tempo and three-point oriented.Toronto is averaging 109.2 points in its last seven games. Atlanta isn't nearly as good defensively away from Philips Arena.In their last five road games, the Hawks have yielded 104 points to Boston minus Kevin Garnett, 98 to the 76ers, 102 to the Cavaliers, 98 to offensively-challenged Charlotte and 109 to the Knicks.


New Orleans at Miami Over 189

Dwayne Wade makes Miami a very potent offensive team. The Hornets have been having trouble stopping strong offensive clubs because of injuries to Tyson Chandler and James Posey, both of whom will be out again for this matchup.New Orleans has surrendered triple-digits in all but two of its last seven games. Fatigue is bothering the Hornets on the defensive end.Miami can take advantage, especially with 3-point gunners Yakhouba Diawara and James Jones now getting minutes. They combined for seven 3-pointers in a 118-104 win on Saturday against the Wizards.Out for Miami is rugged forward Udonis Haslem, which helps the over since he's a good defender and weak shooter.Chris Paul said the Hornets have to play aggressive. It's their only hope of ending their slump. I'm expecting the Hornets and Paul to attack the basket and play up-tempo.Finally back in the New Orleans lineup is long range marksman Peja Stojakovic. This is his third game back from a back injury so he shouldn't be rusty anymore.


Philadelphia +5

The 76ers are off an embarrassing 96-67 loss to lowly New Jersey on Sunday. It was their worst loss of the season. The 76ers were flat having just clinched a playoff berth.I see the 76ers rebounding here in an effort to try to catch Atlanta for the important No. 4 seed spot in the East. They trail the suddenly struggling Hawks by 2 1/2 games.The 76ers are 17-6-1 against the spread after scoring less than 75 points in their previous game. Philadelphia had won and covered in its three previous game prior to New Jersey, beating the Hawks, Bucks and Pistons.The Bobcats made a nice effort at making the playoffs for the first time. But their lack of stars, youth and long season have caught up to them. Charlotte has blown three straight fourth-quarter leads in losing three in a row.The Bobcats are three games out of the final playoff spot in the East with just five games left. They conclude with four consecutive road games. So they realize they aren't going to make the post-season this year.Raja Bell, the Bobcats' top defender, is going to miss his third straight game because of a calf injury. That's a huge loss for the Bobcats.


Atlanta -1

Toronto figures to be mentally down after having its six-game winning streak snapped on Sunday with a home loss to the Knicks. That defeat also ended any playoff hopes for Toronto.The Raptors' winning percentage is just 22 percent versus teams with a winning record. Their six-game winning streak came versus five foes that had a combined average winning percentage of less than 38 percent.The Hawks are the better defensive club and have a far greater sense of urgency. They desperately want to hold on to the important No. 4 seed in the East while avoiding a season-high four-game losing streak. They also must prove they can win on the road just from an important mental standpoint.The Hawks are the superior club and catch Toronto in a flat spot.

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BobbyClarkeSports

Royals (Meche) Wager 500 to Win 600
Rays / Red Sox Under 8.5 Wager 880 to Win 800

NCAA Womens
Louisville +17 Wager 660 to Win 600

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C-Stars Sports

5000 Units - NBA Total of the Year! Atlanta/Toronto UNDER the total
1000 Units Top Play Colorado/Arizona OVER the total
50 Units Angels over Oakland
50 Units Florida over Washington

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Beat Your Bookie

100* Play New Orleans (+4) over Miami (NBA)

Miami is 4-13 ATS coming off a win by 10 points or more the last 2
seasons
Miami is 28-48 ATS when playing in April home games since 1996
Miami is 11-22 ATS after having won two of the last three games
Miami is 0-5 ATS vs. New Orleans over the last 3 seasons


Other Hoops & Hockey Plays

30* Play Carolina (-320) over NY Islanders (NHL)

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Joe Wiz NBA premium paid play Houston

Joe Wiz NBA pay after service Portland

Joe Wiz NBA executive late phone service Atlanta

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MLBguru

Cubs/Astros under 8.5 - Risking 1.1 to win 1
Mariners/Twins under 8 - Risking 1.1 to win 1
Rays/BoSox over 8.5 - Risking 1.1 to win 1
LA Angels - 132 risking 1.32 to win 1

Parlay: Cards ML + Diamondbacks ML Risking 1 unit.

Mike Rose

all 2 units
nationals over 8.5
dodgers under 7.5
rockies under 9

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MTi SPORTS

Philadelphia at Charlotte
Play: Under 185

The 76ers are off a 96-67 loss in New Jersey in which they shot 35.1% from the field. No starter made it to double-digits. We expect the 76ers to be reluctant to fire away here. Indeed, Philadelphia is 0-9 OU with at most one day of rest after a double digit loss in which they shot at least 10 percentage points lower than their season-to-date average, staying under by an average of 16.1 ppg.The Sixers are seeking revenge here, as the Bobcats beat them 100-95 in Philadelphia on March 27th. Andre Igoudala led all scorers with 25 points in the loss. This is relevant because the 76ers are 0-11 OU when seeking revenge for a loss in which Iguodala was the Seventysixers' high scorer. Philadelphia has stayed under by a whopping 19.6 ppg in this situation and we have cashed with this one SEVEN times this season. this one can be tightens up a bit to reveal a spectacular margin. Specifically, the 76ers are 0-4 OU when seeking revenge for a HOME loss in which Andre Iguodala was the Seventysixers' high scorer, staying under by a whopping 32.8 ppg on the average.The Bobcats are 0-5 OU (-7.7 ppg) at home with at least a day of rest after a loss on the road in which Emeka Okafor had more turnovers than assists, 0-6 OU (-6.8 ppg) after a loss in which Gerald Wallace took fewer than 10 shots and 0-5 OU THIS season after a loss in which they had fewer than fifteen assists. Both teams should got well into the 24-second clock before attempting a shot here. Take the UNDER.

MTi’s FORECAST: CHARLOTTE 89 Philadelphia 83

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HalfBets

Toronto OVER 9.5  (2*)
Wash/Marlins OVER 8.5 (2*)

NBA:

OKC +6 (5*)
Charlotte -4.5 (8*)

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Anthony Redd

15 Dime Hornets

5 Dime Hawks

5 Dime 76ers

5 Dime Magic

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DAVE MALINSKY

4* 76er's
4* Dodgers
4* Pitt/St Louis Over 8.5

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ATS Lock Club

4 Units Rockets
3 Units Hornets

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ATS Financial

4 Units Hawks
3 Units Bobcats

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Kelso

10 units Lakers
5 units Bobcats
3 units Bulls

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DOC

5 Unit Play. Take Over 137 in Louisville vs. UCONN

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