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MONDAY PREMIUM SERVICE PLAYS
Re: MONDAY PREMIUM SERVICE PLAYS
Michigan State at North Carolina
Prediction: North Carolina
Ai Simulator 15* graded play on North Carolina as they face Michigan State in the NCAA Championship game. AiS shows an 86% probability that UNC will win this game by 9 or more points. AiS also shows a 92% probability that UNC will attempt between 19 and 24 free throws. Note that UNC is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) when they attempt 19 to 24 free throws in a game over the last 2 seasons. UNC is also in a series of strong roles noting they are 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in road games versus good shooting teams making >=45% of their shots after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons; 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in road games versus good shooting teams making >=45% of their shots this season; 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road games versus good rebounding teams outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game this season; 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road games versus very good teams outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons; 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in road games after 3 consecutive non-conference games over the last 2 seasons; 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road games in non-conference games this season; 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite over the last 2 seasons; 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in road games after leading their last 3 games by 5+ points at the half this season; 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) when seeded 4 or higher in the NCAA tournament over the last 2 seasons. UNC’s defense is often overlooked, but it was quite evident in their last game against Villanova. Note that HC Williams is a strong 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) after game where they allowed a shooting percentage of 33% or less; 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) after 5 straight games committing 14 or less turnovers. Take UNC.
Re: MONDAY PREMIUM SERVICE PLAYS
KNOCKOUT PUNCH OF THE DAY - MSU/UNC OVER 153
(MLB) 8:05PM EST
(CBB) 9:15PM EST
MICHIGAN STATE +8
MICHIGAN STATE ML +315
MICHIGAN STATE OVER 153
***KNOCKOUT PUNCH OF THE DAY***
MSU has played the roll of a dog very well all season going 5-1 ATS as a dog of 9.5 points or less. Meanwhile, UNC is a pathetic 1-4 ATS as a 7.5-9.5 point fave this year. I love catching MSU in a revenge spot too as they are looking to avenge December's 35 point pounding. Forget about the scoreboard in that meeting because the one thing that stands out is the fact that MSU battled UNC well on the boards. However, it was their worst shooting performance of the season that translated to blowout loss on the scoreboard. I also believe the team who is more battle tested is the team best prepared to handle the heat on the big stage - that team is MSU!! UNC has cruised through this tourney but they didn't play the toughest competition. Meanwhile, MSU played one of the toughest roads to get here - when you beat a hot USC team, a very good Kansas team and B2B Big East teams to get here then you deserve the National Title. Add on the unusual situation involving home court advantage and you have the making of an upset!! I love Michigan State tonight!! Now, with that being said I am taking the OVER AS MY KNOCKOUT PUNCH OF THE DAY!! Why you might ask? Simple!! Every scenario I run including lop-sided wins, close games, and even OT games - it all points to the OVER!! I HAVE THIS NUMBER COMING IN AT 164-167 SO I CAN'T IGNORE THE VALUE!!
MY PREDICTION: MICHIGAN STATE 86 NORTH CAROLINA 81