Saturday Service Plays

Re: Saturday Service Plays

Drew Gordon

Orlando -2 at ATLANTA 

The Hawks may have a sparkling 29-9 SU & 22-15-1 ATS record in Atlanta, but those records aren't indicative of how poorly this team is playing of late. losers of 5 of their last 7 games (2-4-1 ATS over that span), the Hawks have hit a bit of a slide. Playing against one of the East's Elite won't help their cause much either tonight, as Orlando is not only a tough match up, but playing great ball of late.

How good is Orlando playing? Well, after getting embarassed by the lowly Raptors in their 99-95 home loss Wednesday, the Magic had one of those "team meetings" you always hear about, and the result was, well, magical. Orlando throttled mighty Cleveland in their last one, beating them 116-87 and sending them home with their tail tucked between their legs! Its that kind of effort I expect to see here once again tonight, and that's BAD news for the Hawks.

Hawks also have some fundamental match up problems, as there's no way Horford is going to man-up Howard. Also the absence of F Marvin Williams leaves a hole at the forward spot, leaving journeyman Maurice Evans to guard either Lewis or Turkoglu on the wings. Evans also does little on the offensive end, so his man can sag and help on defense (not the case with Williams in the lineup). In the backcourt, while I give a slight edge to Bibby, Alston has gelled nicely with his new teammates, and it'll show tonight.

Bottom line, the re-energized Magic are one of the "beasts" of the East, and are finally starting to play like it again! Atlanta is a good team, but their a rung below the Magic on the Eastern Conference ladder, and that'll be crystal clear when this one is over. In the end, too many weapons and too much firepower for the Hawks to contend with, especially the way they're playing of late.

Take Orlando over Atlanta in this NBA match up.

2♦ ORLANDO

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Re: Saturday Service Plays

Bobby Maxwell

Orlando -2 at ATLANTA

Hit our third straight FREE winner on Friday as the Magic made it look easy against the Cavaliers. So for tonight we're sticking with Orlando and playing them on the road in Atlanta.

The Magic are making a strong case in the Eastern Conference that they might be the team to survive the playoffs and represent in the NBA Finals. This team is damn good and well-coached and they put it all together on Friday night, crushing the Eastern Conference leading Cavaliers.

Orlando got a 116-87 blowout win over the Cavs on Friday, easily cashing as a 3 1/2-point home favorite. The Magic have won seven of eight overall and they haven't allowed a team to reach the 100-point mark in five straight games.

You've got to believe Friday night was a statement game as the Magic really turned it on and smoked the Cavs. Now they turn around 24 hours later and get to face a Hawks' squad that was in Boston Friday night, losing 104-92 as 4 1/2-point underdogs.

Orlando has won two of three against Atlanta this season and got a 106-102 win in Atlanta on Jan. 7 as a two-point road underdog. The Magic are on ATS streaks of 58-28-3 on the road, 21-8 against teams with winning records, 41-19-1 on Saturdays and 8-3 when playing the second night of a back-to-back.

This game has Orlando written all over it. Play the Magic.

4♦ ORLANDO

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Re: Saturday Service Plays

Karl Garrett

Toronto +2 at NEW YORK 

Friday night winner on Phoenix makes it a 9-2 comp play run my last 11 releases.

G-Man will strike early on Saturday and stay with the hot hand, and that is the Toronto Raptors.

Toronto comes to New York for the front end of this home-and-home having won and covered 5 in a row. The Raptors have also taken 3 of the last 4 series meetings, and did win and cover the most recent meeting 111-100 as the 3 1/2-point favorite back at the end of February.

New York is just 1-9 straight up their last 10 games, and the Knicks have also failed their last 3 tries when installed as the favorite.

With the Raptors playing so well as the regular season comes to an end, the G-Man will look for Toronto to run their winning streak to 6 straight wins and covers.

Toronto is the call from the Garden on Saturday.

3♦ TORONTO

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Re: Saturday Service Plays

VEGAS EXPERTS

Orlando Magic at Atlanta Hawks

All the key factors point to the Hawks here. Orlando is off a huge home win over Cleveland last night, meaning they are in letdown mode. Atlanta has revenge for a 34-point road loss in Orlando three months ago when the teams last met. They are 14-5 ATS when seeking revenge for a double-digit loss. Furthermore, Atlanta, who is 29-9 SU at home this season, is also a perfect 5 for 5 at the betting window as a home underdog.

Play on: Atlanta

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Re: Saturday Service Plays

Nelly

Atlanta + over Orlando

This is as good of a letdown spot as you could possibly find. Although Orlando's record suggests they are an elite team the media continually had been bringing up their inability to win against the other top teams in the league. Friday night's showdown with Cleveland at home was easily the biggest game of the season for the Magic and they delivered an emphatic victory, playing great ball early and cruising to an easy win. Atlanta played tough on the road in Boston last night but now catches the Magic one day later playing at home. The Hawks are 29-9 S/U at home this season and 11-2-1 ATS in the past 14 home games while delivering great ATS numbers on the season. Orlando has great overall numbers on the road but the recent results have been less encouraging and this will be a key game for a Hawks team that is better than anyone is willing to give credit. Orlando is overvalued in this situation as the Hawks were a two point favorite the last time these teams met in Atlanta just a few months ago. If Orlando wins this game they truly can be an elite force in the playoffs but this looks like a very difficult spot.

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Re: Saturday Service Plays

Jeff Alexander

1 Unit on Bucks -6.5

Off a big upset win against Dallas last night, look for the Grizzlies to endure a major letdown in Milwaukee tonight. Milwaukee will have fresh legs and plenty of confidence as they are 5-0 SU and 4-1 ATS versus the Grizzlies over the last 3 seasons. First off, you have to like the Bucks because of the total range the odds makers have set as Memphis is only 2-11 ATS in a road game where where the total is between 195 and 199.5 points over the last 2 seasons, losing by an average score of 88.5 to 102.5 in these games. The fatigue factor cannot be overlooked as the Grizzlies are only 3-12 ATS in their last 15 games when their starting 5 players combine for more than 160 minutes of the previous day. On the other side of things, the Bucks are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games playing on 1 days rest. The Grizzlies are just 8-20 ATS in their last 28 games as a road underdog of 5.0-10.5. We'll lay the number.

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Re: Saturday Service Plays

Michael Cannon

Orlando -2 at ATLANTA 

Take the Magic as the small road chalk over the Hawks.

Orlando has won three straight on the road and seven of eight overall.  They are coming off a 116-87 blowout of the Cavaliers last night, easily cashing as a 3 ½-point home chalk.

Atlanta also played last night, falling to the Celtics 104-92 as a 4 ½-point road dog.  The Hawks have lost four of five overall SUATS and two of their last three SUATS at home.

The magic haven’t allowed a team to score 100 points in five straight, while the Hawks have reached triple digits just once in their last eight and haven’t posted more than 93 in any of their last five.

Orlando is 2-1 SUATS against Atlanta this year and the Magic are 4-2 ATS in the last six series clashes.

The Magic are the hotter team and their defense is what’s going to make the difference tonight.

Take Orlando minus the small number as they grab the road win and cover.

2♦ ORLANDO

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Re: Saturday Service Plays

Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports
238 - 158 run  60 % 

Saturday  Over the total LA CLippers

Friday   Over the total  Org State TY

Thursday:  Hockey San Jose  TY


======================================================

Free Selection from Totals4U
Saturday's free selection: Miami/Washington under

======================================================

EZWINNERS'S FREE SELECTION


Date: Saturday, April 4, 2009

Game: Orlando Magic @ Atlanta Hawks

Sport: NBA

Time: 6:05PM CST
 

(807) Orlando Magic (-2)


The Magic have been road warriors all season and I look for that to continue in this match up. Orlando is coming off of a huge win last night, but they will have enough to get the job done here. Lay the small number.


2009 Free Selections Record  51-42  (54.8%)

=================================================

Undefeated's system plays now on a  7 - 1  winning run

Today's pick Toronto +4 (buy 1.5 points)  But if you do not
buy the 1.5 points you still stand a high probability of winning
since Toronto is 5-0 ATS in its last five games while the knicks
are 1-6 ATS

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Re: Saturday Service Plays


maddux sports

Today's Free Pick is Villanova +7

Their free pick is on a 60% winning run
since 2003 believe it or not

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Re: Saturday Service Plays

DUNKEL

Toronto at New York   
The Raptors are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games, while the Knicks are just 1-6 ATS in their last 7 as a favorite.  Toronto is the underdog pick (+2 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has New York favored by only 1.  Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+2 1/2).   

Game 801-802: Toronto at New York
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 114.888; New York 115.950
Dunkel Line & Total: New York by 1; 226
Vegas Line & Total: New York by 2 1/2; 219
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+2 1/2); Over

Game 803-804: New Jersey at Chicago
Dunkel Ratings: New Jersey 113.590; Chicago 124.044
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 10 1/2; 218
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 805-806: Detroit at Philadelphia
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 114.818; Philadelphia 121.989
Dunkel Line & Total: Philadelphia by 7; 186
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 807-808: Orlando at Atlanta
Dunkel Ratings: Orlando 123.580; Atlanta 124.361
Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 1; 188 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Orlando by 2; 192
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+2); Under

Game 809-810: Miami at Washington
Dunkel Ratings: Miami 115.842; Washington 116.372
Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 1; 198
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 811-812: Memphis at Milwaukee
Dunkel Ratings: Memphis 111.666; Milwaukee 118.249
Dunkel Line & Total: Milwaukee by 6 1/2; 189 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Milwaukee by 6; 196
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (-6); Under

Game 813-814: LA Clippers at Denver
Dunkel Ratings: LA Clippers 108.591; Denver 125.779
Dunkel Line & Total: Denver by 17; 218
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A


NCAAB

Villanova vs. North Carolina
The Tar Heels come in 7-0 ATS in their last 7 NCAA tournament games as a favorite between 7 and 12 1/2 points, while the Wildcats are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 games as an underdog by the same margin.  North Carolina is the pick (-7 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Tar Heels favored by 8 1/2.  Dunkel Pick: North Carolina (-7 1/2). 

Game 815-816: Michigan State vs. Connecticut
Dunkel Ratings: Michigan State 74.557; Connecticut 77.078
Dunkel Line: Connecticut by 2 1/2
Vegas Line: Connecticut by 4
Dunkel Pick: Michigan State (+4)

Game 817-818: Villanova vs. North Carolina
Dunkel Ratings: Villanova 71.273; North Carolina 79.821
Dunkel Line: North Carolina by 8 1/2
Vegas Line: North Carolina by 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: North Carolina (-7 1/2)


NHL

St. Louis at Dallas
The Blues are 6-1 in their last 7 games and face a Dallas team that is 0-4 in its last 4 home games.  St. Louis is the pick (-115) according to Dunkel, which has the Blues favored by 1 1/2.  Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-115).   

Game 1-2: NY Rangers at Boston
Dunkel Ratings: NY Rangers 11.756; Boston 12.107
Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 1/2; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Boston (-170); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-170); Under

Game 3-4: Pittsburgh at Carolina
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 12.751; Carolina 12.653
Dunkel Line & Total: Pittsburgh by 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Carolina (-140); 6
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+120); Over

Game 5-6: New Jersey at Buffalo
Dunkel Ratings: New Jersey 10.714; Buffalo 11.796
Dunkel Line & Total: Buffalo by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Buffalo (-135); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (-135); Over

Game 7-8: Tampa Bay at NY Islanders
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay 10.688; NY Islanders 10.521
Dunkel Line & Total: Tampa Bay by 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: NY Islanders (-155); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (+135); Under

Game 9-10: Montreal at Toronto
Dunkel Ratings: Montreal 11.560; Toronto 10.971
Dunkel Line & Total: Montreal by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line & Total: Montreal (-180); 6
Dunkel Pick: Montreal (-180); Over

Game 11-12: Philadelphia at Ottawa
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 11.663; Ottawa 11.985
Dunkel Line & Total: Ottawa by 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Philadelphia (-125); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Ottawa (+105); Under

Game 13-14: St. Louis at Dallas
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis 11.718; Dallas 10.043
Dunkel Line & Total: St. Louis by 1 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: St. Louis (-115); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-115); Under

Game 15-16: Columbus at Nashville
Dunkel Ratings: Columbus 11.592; Nashville 11.094
Dunkel Line & Total: Columbus by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Nashville (-110); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Columbus (-110); Over

Game 17-18: Vancouver at Edmonton
Dunkel Ratings: Vancouver 11.912; Edmonton 11.181
Dunkel Line & Total: Vancouver by 1; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Vancouver (-135); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Vancouver (-135); Under

Game 19-20: Anaheim at San Jose
Dunkel Ratings: Anaheim 12.012; San Jose 11.526
Dunkel Line & Total: Anaheim by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: San Jose (-200); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Anaheim (+170); Over

Game 21-22: Phoenix at Los Angeles
Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 11.152; Los Angeles 10.438
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Los Angeles (-145); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (+125); Over

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Re: Saturday Service Plays

Yankee Capper

NHL
Pittsburgh/Carolina o6
New Jersey/Buffalo o5.5

NBA
Toronto Raptors +3
Memphis Grizzlies +6.5

NCAA HOOPS
Villanova/UNC Under 159

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Re: Saturday Service Plays

Tony Karpinski

Memphis Grizzlies vs. Milwaukee Bucks    
Play: Milwaukee Bucks -6.5

The Memphis Grizzlies are coming off a home game vs Dallas on Thurs and have to travel to Milwaukee where the Bucks are well rested and are 20-17 at home averaging 102.5 ppg led by F's Richard Jefferson and Charlie Villanueva, while the defense allows 99.9 ppg. Memphis just 7-30 on the road scoring only 92.5 ppg and have packed it in for the year. Take the MILWAUKEE BUCKS at home to get a Double-Digit Victory!

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Re: Saturday Service Plays

Charlie Scott

Villanova vs. North Carolina    
Play: Under 159

Each time I play this game over in my head, the UNDER looks like a better play. Villanova can adapt to any pace fast or slow, but the more I think about it, Jay Wright must know that they can't run with North Carolina, and running with North Carolina plays right into the Tar Heels game plan just ask Gonzaga. However, Villanova does play good defense and if they want to win, they must slow NC down. Kenny White was just on Sports Book Radio and stated that in order to go Over 160, You have to have everything go right. Well tonight we have a big game (nerves and jitters) and we're playing the big game in a huge arena that will effect the outside shooting depth perception. PLAY UNDER !

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Re: Saturday Service Plays

FairWay Jay

Atlanta Hawks +2.0

We’ll continue to analyze some of our technical and situational proven profiles that have historically provided profits in late-season NBA action. Orlando was outstanding last night in their route of Cleveland 116-97. The Magic now travel to Atlanta in a division revenge game for the Hawks. Orlando beat Atlanta in back-to-back nights in early January. Atlanta was bounced at Boston last night 104-92 and the road struggles continue. But the Hawks are 29-9 at home and late season division teams playing with revenge off a loss is a solid base profile. If our division revenger is playing a class ‘A’ team (> .664) like Orlando, then our profitable profile hits at better than 62%. Despite Orlando’s outstanding play last night and an Eastern Conference best road record (26-11), the situation and percentage play supports Atlanta.

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Re: Saturday Service Plays

Dave Price

1 Unit on Grizzlies/Bucks UNDER 200.5

Milwaukee has gone under in 7 of its last 10 as injuries have really taken a toll on the offense. I look for Memphis' scoring production to really go down the tubes tonight playing back-to-back off a big win over Dallas and on the road. Here's the key: Plays under on all teams where the total opens between 190 and 199.5 points (MEMPHIS) off an upset win as an underdog, in April games are 50-19 over the last 5 seasons. The Public is all over the Over and that has given us additional value as the line continues to climb. Bet the Under!

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Re: Saturday Service Plays

Dwayne Bryant

MEM +7 vs MIL

By the time this game tips off, Milwaukee's playoff hopes may already be dashed. If the Bulls win at home in their afternoon matchup against the Nets, which is very likely, the Bucks will be eliminated from playoff contention. And I'm sure any motivation they may have will go down as well.Even if the Nets do beat the Bulls, Milwaukee should not be laying this many points right now. The Bucks have lost 7 of their last 8 games and 6 of their last 7 at home. The Bucks are 3-12 ATS in their last 15 games overall, and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a losing SU record.Meanwhile, the Grizzlies have decided to "let it all hang out" and they've had great success. Memphis has won three straight including a huge win over Dallas last night. The Grizzlies are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games as a road underdog, and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a losing SU record.Memphis is hot, the Bucks are not, and Milwaukee may very well have no motivation when this game tips off. I'll grab the points with Memphis.

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Re: Saturday Service Plays

Greg Shaker

Michigan State Spartans at Connecticut Huskies - Over 133.5 (Total of Year)

I have been pouring over this game all night and have come to a large decision that we are going to see a lot of points scored in this contest in Detroit this evening. I know that I am not on the popular opinion for this one, and in fact have changed mine overnight. There are two major reasons why I like the OVER and why I like it as much as I do. The first one is the fact that even though these squads both play very good defense, they also have very, very good offensive efficiency. In fact, they are the #23 and #12 best teams in the NCAA this year. In addition, we might think that Michigan State likes to walk the court, but they are within the Top 40% of all Top Tempo Squads, and they have shown me all year, that they will run the court when given the chance. While they have played 2 consecutive Unders the last 2 times on the court, they have have done so while leading throughout the contest. That means of course, that second half scoring has been less than average as the Spartans milked the clock throughout. Certainly in their last contest verses Louisville, we saw a Cardinal Squad that got and shot a lot of good looks on the court, but was unable to hit them with any accuracy. The frustration level got worse and worse for Pitino's Bunch and the Spartans coasted and walked to an easy win. Is that going to happen today? Is UConn going to have shooting concerns? Probably not. Is UConn going to be manhandled by Michigan State? Probably not. The Huskies have been lights out during this Tourney and they do have plenty of offensive talent to put some baskets in the net. They are going to work very hard to up-pace this one and as long as they are in the game, they will have some success doing so.

The second, and most important reason why I like this game to go OVER is the rebounding skills and overall style of play by each squad. These two might very well be the best of the best in grabbing balls off the rim. The Huskies have an amazing +11.3 RPG verses their opponents this year and even a more amazing +14 RPG over the last 5 played. The Spartans have an amazing +10.4 RPG Edge over their opponents as well. These stats are amazing. Have I mentioned that yet? What does that mean for us? It means that we are going to see some physical activity around the basket and it means that we are going to see many Spartans and Huskies at the Free Throw Stripe making points as the Clock sits still. Verses teams like USC and Ohio State, Michigan State contests saw 57 and 46 Shots from this line. UConn shot 32 verses Mizzu, 27 verses Texas A&M and in the crazy Syracuse Contest we saw 93 by both teams. There are plenty of other examples but hopefully you get the idea. This game is going to be about who controls the boards and who can win the physical battle in the paint. That is going to give us what we want many more times than not. I would play this one up to 139 but it is not going anywhere near that number and is currently dropping.

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Re: Saturday Service Plays

WUNDERDOG

Michigan State vs. Connecticut
Pick: Connecticut -4

The Huskies and the Spartans will open Final Four action this evening. The Huskies have two reasons why they are 31-4, and why they are in the Final Four. In their four tournament games, the Huskies are out rebounding opponents by an unimaginable 17 per game, and at the same time are getting to the line 20 times more per game. Those are going to be huge hurdles for the Spartans to get over. The Huskies also have an answer for everything. The four games have seen four different leading scorers in Price, Walker, Austrie and Robinson. Robinson has been the X-factor for the Huskies with his play over the past month, as he has become a scorer, tenacious rebounder, and shot blocker. Michigan St. just doesn't have all the answers the Huskies do and right now, UConn looks to be peaking at the right time. UConn gets the call.

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Re: Saturday Service Plays

JACK JONES

North Carolina -7 over Villanova

I don't think that Villanova has any way to matchup with Tyler Hansbrough down low and that should mean a big win for North Carolina tonight.  Ty Lawson is also incredible, but he's only slightly better than Scottie Reynolds so the key matchup here comes in the front court.  The Tar Heels have won their four tournament games by an average of 28 points and destroyed the Sooners in the Elite 8.  The Wildcats are also not going to be able to run up and down the floor with the Tar Heels and I think Carolina sets the pace here like they have done nearly all season.  I'll lay the points here as this Tar Heels team has the experience and I can't see them being denied a national title game appearance.

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