Friday Service Plays

Re: Friday Service Plays

Dennis Macklin

Calgary Flames at Minnesota Wild
Prediction: Under

Both these teams suffering from power outages with the L5 Calgary games producing just 18 totals goals and the Flames 6-1-1 under overall in L8. The Wild have scored more than two goals just twice in their L7 and the under 5-1-2 in their L8. Goals would appear to be at a premium here and making the UNDER the play.

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Re: Friday Service Plays

Jimmy Boyd

1 Unit on Thunder +5.5

Portland has been fool's gold on the road all season long and that will continue to be the case tonight. After a big win over division rival Utah and with Houston up next, expect to see the Blazers get caught looking ahead here. Portland is 5-17 ATS off a win by 20 points or more over a division rival since 1996, losing in these spots by an average score of 91.8 to 94.3. A big win over San Antonio in OKC's last game looks like it could spell letdown as well, but I don't think so as the Thunder will be out for revenge after getting kicked 92-106 the last time they faced off with the Blazers. The Thunder are 15-3 ATS in their last 18 games as a home underdog and the Trail Blazers are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Oklahoma City. Take the points.

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Re: Friday Service Plays

Black Widow

1* Hawks/Celtics Over 186

Boston has been forced to play small ball with the loss of Kevin Garnett. It hasn’t hurt their scoring, but it has really hurt their defense. The Celtics are giving up 8 more points per game when Garnett is not on the floor. The last meeting between the Hawks and Celtics played in Boston saw 205 combined points with a similar Total of 185.5. These teams just played on March 27th a week ago with 192 combined points in a 99-93 Boston win. We see no way the final score of this game stays under 190 simply because Boston has to play a different style of basketball without KG. On the season, the Celtics average 104.2 points per game at home. As a result, the Celtics are 23-14 OVER (+7.6 Units) in home games this season. The OVER is 4-1 in Hawks last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The OVER is 6-0 in Celtics last 6 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. The OVER is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings in this series. Take the OVER 186 points here.

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Re: Friday Service Plays

Greg Shaker

Dallas Mavericks at Memphis Grizzlies - Over 196

Interesting trends for this game tonight at FedEx Forum with the last 6 contests and 9 of 10 played between these NBA Teams going Under the Total. That would certainly put this play into the "What the Hell are you doing Greg" catagory. Dynamics are different for this one I think, and I am pretty close to the situation happening here in Memphis. These Grizzlies, despite having an awful year, are having fun these last few games and they are getting very sound offensive production because of it. It was the reason why Memphis was the play the other nite verses Washington and it is the reason why they 3 of their last 4 contests outright. In those winning contests they have netted 113 points per game and they are doing it with stronger pace, they are doing it with better shot selection. Their pace has picked up a bit though but not measureably so. Dallas is securely in the playoff picture with a 4 game lead over the Suns and even though they are still chasing Utah for the 7th place spot in the playoffs, that is not much motivation for this crew. That is going to to lead to less intense D for this game and that alone is probably going to give us what we want. The Heat Win a couple of days ago was absolutely huge for Dallas and a breath of relief is filtering through this team right now. They do have the Suns ontap on 4/5 and that is enough to keep the Mavs somewhat unfocused tonight. The Grizzlies have struggled a lot verses the NBA Better D Squads but Dallas is not one of those, allowing right at 100 points per contest. I do think that Dallas will show up tonight, and I do think they will continue to score points with 98 or more of them in the last 4 of 5 contests. I also think that Memphis will continue to do what they have been doing and that is playing loose D, and very loose O. The one thing that did catch my attention? Dallas is OVER at 13-5 last 18 spotted as a favorite. The Grizzlies are 5-0 OVER last 5 at this arena. I think we will see some points tonight and I would play this game up to 200.

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Re: Friday Service Plays

Nick "BookieKiller" Parsons

CAL (-110) vs MIN

With their fifth consecutive playoff berth wrapped up, the Calgary Flames will next try to win the battle for first in the Northwest Division and home ice in the postseason. Attempting to stay ahead in both races, the Flames seek their first-ever season sweep of division rival Minnesota on Friday night at the Xcel Energy Center; I expect Calgary to keep the pedal to the metal to insure the Division win! In fact it's interesting to note that Calgary is an awesome 20-12 its last 32 when playing against a team with a losing record! Look for Minnesota to fall to 4-11 its last 15 when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season; play on MINNESOTA!

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Re: Friday Service Plays

SPORTS ADVISORS

Atlanta (43-32, 41-33-1 ATS) at Boston (57-19, 39-37 ATS)

The Celtics will try to sweep the season series from the Hawks when these two meet inside TD BankNorth Garden in Boston.

Doc Rivers’ squad has beaten Atlanta all three times this season, but the Hawks have cashed in two of the three games, and the largest margin of victory for the Celtics is just six points, coming on Friday night in Atlanta, 99-93 as one-point road favorites. These two teams played a thrilling seven-game series in the playoffs a year ago with the home team winning every game. The host is 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings between these two, and the Hawks are just 1-4 ATS in their last five trips to Beantown.

Atlanta has lost four of its last six games overall (2-3-1 ATS), including Tuesday’s 98-85 loss in Philly, failing to cash as a two-point pup. The Hawks have struggled to score lately, going four straight games with 93 points or less and reaching triple digits just twice since mid-March.

Boston has won seven of its last eight (5-3 ATS) but needed double-overtime at home Wednesday to dispose of Charlotte 111-109, coming up well short as an 11-point favorite. The Celtics have been stingy on defense since March 20, holding the opposition to 93 points or less in six of seven games.

The Hawks are on ATS slides of 1-7 against Atlantic Division teams, 3-7 on the road and 2-5 as a road ‘dog, but they are on positive ATS spells of 9-3-1 overall, 10-3 against winning teams and 5-2-1 after a straight-up loss. The Celtics are 11-4 ATS on Fridays, but otherwise it’s all negative ATS trends for them, including 2-10 at home, 4-11 as chalk, 3-9 against the Eastern Conference and 1-6 against teams with losing road marks.

Atlanta is on “under” runs of 5-2-1 when getting two days off and 10-4 as a road ‘dog of between five and 10 ½ points. For Boston, the over is on streaks of 16-6 at home, 12-5 after a non-cover, 4-1 against Southeast Division foes and 12-5 after a non-cover. The over is also 6-2 the last eight times these two have met, but the under has been the play in nine of 12 clashes in Beantown.

ATS ADVANTAGE: NONE


Cleveland (61-14, 45-30 ATS) at Orlando (55-19, 46-27-1 ATS)

The Cavaliers will try to bounce back after a surprising loss Thursday night in Washington, as they travel to Amway Arena in Orlando to take on the Magic.

Cleveland had its 13-game winning streak (6-7 ATS) snapped last night by the Wizards, losing 109-101 as a 9½-point road chalk. It was the first time since March 13 that a team was able to put up more than 96 points on the Cavaliers, who had allowed just 81.4 points per game in their previous five. Also, Thursday marked the first time all season that the Cavs scored at least 100 points and failed to win.

Orlando had its six-game winning streak (3-3 ATS) halted on Wednesday, losing 99-95 at home to the Raptors as a 10-point chalk. The Magic got pounded on the boards 49-35 and shot just 31-of-76 from the field in the loss, snapping a seven-game home winning streak (4-3 ATS).

These teams have split the first two meetings this season with the host winning both contests, but the Magic covered in both games and have gotten the cash in nine of the last 10 meetings. Orlando scored a 99-88 home win back on Jan. 29 as a five-point favorite and is 4-1 ATS in the last five clashes in Florida. Additionally, the underdog is on an 8-2 ATS run in this series.

Cleveland is just 1-6 ATS in its last seven against Eastern Conference teams and 3-8 ATS in its last 11 overall, but this Cavs are only 11-3 ATS in its last 14 Friday tipoffs and a healthy 5-1 ATS in its last six when playing the second night of a back-to-back. Orlando is on a plethora of positive ATS streaks, including 20-8 against teams with a winning record, 7-3 in Friday games and 4-0 against Central Division squads.

The Cavaliers are on “over” streaks of 7-2 on the second night of a back-to-back, 5-1 on the road against teams with a winning home record, 5-1 on Fridays and 9-3 as a road ‘dog of up to 4 ½ points. For the Magic, they are on a host off “under” runs that include 19-7 as a home favorite, 7-2 overall, 5-1 at home, 5-1 after a day off and 6-2 against the Eastern Conference. In this rivalry, the under is on a 4-0 run overall and is 4-1 in the last five in Florida.

ATS ADVANTAGE: ORLANDO and UNDER


Houston (48-27, 36-38-1 ATS) at L.A. Lakers (59-16, 38-37 ATS)

The Lakers return home after a seven-game road trip and host the Rockets in this matchup between two Western Conference playoff squads.

Los Angeles is coming off a 5-2 road swing (4-3 ATS) that concluded on Wednesday in Milwaukee with a 104-98 win, though the Lakers came up just short as a seven-point chalk. The Lakers have gone six games without allowing a team to score in triple figures and have surrendered just 90 ppg in their last five.

Houston has won five of its last seven (4-3 ATS) but lost Wednesday in Phoenix 114-109 as a 1½-point pup. The Rockets have dropped two in a row on the road (SU and ATS) and are just 18-19 SU (19-18 ATS) on the highway this season.

The Lakers have taken all three head-to-head meetings this season (SU and ATS), including a 111-82 blowout win in the Staples Center back on Nov. 9 as seven-point favorites. Los Angeles is 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings overall, including 5-1 ATS in the last six, and the Lakers have cashed in four of the last five in Staples.

Houston is on ATS runs of 35-16-1 after a non-cover, 6-2 on the road and 4-1 following a straight-up loss. Meanwhile, the Lakers are on ATS slides of 1-4 at home, 2-6 against teams with a winning record and 10-23 after getting one day off.

The Rockets are on a bevy of “under” streaks, including 12-5 against the Western Conference, 10-3 after a non-cover, 7-2 on Fridays, 7-1 on the road, 5-1 as a road ‘dog and 6-2 after getting a day off. For Los Angeles, the under is on tears of 16-5-1 as a favorite, 14-3 overall, 8-2 against the Western Conference, 5-0 at home and 8-1 after getting one day off. Finally, the over is 4-1 in the last five matchups between these teams in Hollywood.

ATS ADVANTAGE: UNDER


COLLEGE BASKETBALL INVITATIONAL

Oregon State (17-18, 16-14 ATS) at UTEP (23-13, 19-13-1 ATS)

UTEP evened this best-of-3 series with Wednesday’s 70-63 victory over Oregon State, but failed to cash as a 10-point home favorite. The Miners, who lost 75-69 at Oregon State in Game 1 on Monday as a one-point road chalk, prevailed in Game 2 despite missing 12 of 14 three-point attempts and 15 of 37 free throws. However, UTEP enjoyed a 15-2 assist-to-turnover ratio, while the Beavers coughed up the ball 11 times.

Oregon State had its four-game winning streak snapped with Wednesday’s loss, but the Beavers once again got the money to improve to 5-0 ATS in the CBI after ending the regular season in an 0-4 SU and ATS drought. Oregon State’s five games in this tournament have been decided by a total of 21 points, none by more than seven points.

The Miners got a huge game Wednesday from guard Stefon Jackson (28 points, 10 rebounds), and Jackson has scored 45 points and pulled down 16 rebounds in the first two contests. Meanwhile, big man Roeland Schaftenaar has led the way for Oregon State with a combined 36 points, 11 rebounds, 10 assists and three blocks. Schaftenaar has scored in double figures in four straight games.

Including the CBI, UTEP has won four straight home games and is 7-1 SU (4-4 ATS) in its last eight in El Paso. Conversely, the Beavers have now dropped five straight road/neutral-site games (1-4 ATS).

With the Game 2 result, the SU winner is now 8-1 ATS in UTEP’s last nine games and 12-1 ATS in Oregon State’s last 13 starts.

The Miners have scored at least 69 points in nine straight games and are averaging 76.3 points per game during this stretch. Oregon State is averaging 68.5 ppg in its last four contests after being held to 54 points or fewer in its previous four.

UTEP is averaging 75.5 ppg at home, while allowing 69.1 ppg in going 13-4 SU (7-7 ATS in lined contests). Oregon State has put up just 57.9 ppg on the highway, nearly nine points fewer than its opponents (66.4 ppg), going 4-10 SU (6-7 ATS in lined games).

Along with their current 5-0 ATS run (all in non-conference play), the Beavers are on pointspread upswings of 5-1 after a spread-cover and 4-0 as an underdog, but they’re just 2-5 ATS in their last seven after a SU loss. The Miners are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 non-conference games, but 0-4 ATS in their last four against Pac-10 foes.

Game 1 in this series flew over the posted total, but Game 2 stayed low. For the Beavers, the under is on runs of 5-2 overall, 5-1 as an underdog, 4-1 after a SU loss and 14-3 as a pup of 7 to 12½ points. UTEP’s “under” runs include 6-2 at home, 5-1 as a home chalk and 6-2 after a non-cover, but the over is 36-16-1 in the Miners’ last 53 non-conference games and 6-1 in their last seven overall.

ATS ADVANTAGE:  NONE

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Re: Friday Service Plays

VEGAS EXPERTS

Cleveland Cavaliers at Orlando Magic

Speaks volumes that Cleveland is a road favorite here, but considering that they have lost back to back games just one time this season, maybe that shouldn't be such a surprise. Also, one of the most impressive trends we've seen this NBA betting season is the Cavs' 12-0 ATS record when coming off a road loss. Incredibly, they are also 13-4 ATS when playing the 2nd of back-to-back games.

Play on: Cleveland

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Re: Friday Service Plays

Carlo Campanella

Oklahoma City returns home from a 3 game road trip on Friday night to host Portland. Oklahoma City has gone "Under" in 24 of their 37 home games this season. Shockingly, Oklahoma City is 4-1 SU & ATS during their last 5 as host in this series, with those games turning into defensive battles, as they've posted a 1-4 (Over/Under) record. Playing the "Under" once again as Portland owns a 9-20 (Over/Under) record against Division opponents this year.

7* Play On UNDER

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Re: Friday Service Plays

Ted Sevransky

Miami Heat @ Charlotte Bobcats
PICK: Miami Heat

The Charlotte Bobcats have a distinct ‘flavor of the week’ appeal to them right now. Kornheiser and Wilbon were discussing their playoff chances on PTI yesterday. The New York Times just did a feature story on Larry Brown. It seems as if the entire basketball world is amazed that the Bobcats could beat the Lakers and then take Boston to double overtime in Boston on the second night of back-2-backs.

Charlotte does have a slim chance of sneaking past the Bulls or the Pistons for that final playoff spot in the East. But tonight, the Bobcats are in a very, very tough spot as they try to bounce back from that double OT defeat at the hands of the Celtics. The betting public seems enamored with Charlotte’s strong 45-30 ATS record, third best in the league, including their current 18-8 pointspread run. That run is in the rear view mirror now; Miami is likely to bring their ‘A’ game tonight; and the Bobcats are going to be in a dogfight just to win this game, let alone to win it by any sort of a margin.

Miami has lost four of five, including a particularly devastating defeat on Wednesday Night. Trailing by one point in the closing seconds at Dallas, rookie point guard Mario Chalmers was whistled for charging; Dwayne Wade never touched the basketball on that final possession. Look for an inspired effort out of Miami here against an opponent that they’ve beaten in each of the last two meetings.

Statements like this one from Gerald Wallace following the Bobcats loss in Boston on Wednesday always concern me. “We had a great opportunity to beat the defending champs in their own building. We’ve got to put this game behind us.” Even a Larry Brown coached team comes out flat every now and then. 2* Take Miami.

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Re: Friday Service Plays

  big_smile

====================================================


EZWINNER'S FREE SELECTION


Date: Friday, April 3, 2009

Game: Oregon State Beavers @ UTEP Miners

Sport: NCAA Basketball

Time: 9:00PM CST


(522) UTEP Miners (-8.5)


The Miners couldn't quite cover the number against the Beavers in game two
of this championship series but I expect them to tonight. UTEP has had a few
days at home to get their legs back and I expect them to shoot lights out tonight.
The Beavers had a great run at home and were competitive in the last game, but
I expect them to loss by double digits here. Lay the points.


2009 Free Selections Record  51-41  (55.4%)


=====================================================

Free Selection from Totals4U
Friday's free selection: New Orleans - 3 1/2

=====================================================

Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

237 - 158 run  60 % 

Friday   Over the total  Org State 133 1/2

Thursday:  Hockey San Jose  TY

=====================================================

Undefeated's system plays now 6 - 1

Today's pick Portland/Oklahoma UNDER 192

Good luck   8)

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Re: Friday Service Plays

Frank Jordan

Atlanta Hawks vs. Boston Celtics    
Play: Boston Celtics -4.5
       
These two teams squared off in the playoffs last year where the Hawks pushed the Celtics to 7 games as the home team won all 7 games. Atlanta and Boston are both in the top half of the East's playoff picture again and they could meet again down the line. This year in the first three match ups all three have gone the way of Boston by a total of 10 points. In this one look for the Celtics to continue to win as they make it 4 in a row overall and 4 straight against Atlanta this year. Play Boston

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Re: Friday Service Plays

Info Plays

3* on Golden State Warriors +4.5

Reasons why the Warriors cover the spread:

1.) New Orleans is still battling the injury bug that has plagued them all season. Peja Stojakovic, Tyson Chandler and James Posey will all be out for tonight’s road game against Golden State. These are 3 key pieces to the Hornets, and New Orleans doesn’t have a very deep bench to make up for their losses. They’ve just been fortunate to play the Kings and Clippers in their last 2 games, but Golden State will pose a much stiffer challenge tonight and the Hornets won’t be able to pull it out. Yes, the Warriors have their own injury issues, but this team has been banged up all season which has allowed Golden State to develop a solid bench.

2.) Golden State has played the Hornets tough, going 5-5 SU & 7-3 ATS in their last 10 meetings. After splitting 2 road games against the Hornets earlier this season, the Warriors now get their first shot at home tonight where they have been solid all season. Golden State is 20-17 SU & 22-14 ATS at home this year. New Orleans is just 14-21 ATS in road games this season. Golden State is 15-6 ATS in home games revenging a road loss vs. an opponent this season. The Warriors are 8-1 ATS in home games after scoring 120 points or more this season.

3.) System Play. We’ll Play Against - Favorites (NEW ORLEANS) - after a win by 6 points or less against opponent after scoring 100 points or more 4 straight games. This is a 50-19 ATS System hitting 72.5% over the last 5 seasons. The Warriors have scored 106 or more points in 12 of their last 13 games. New Orleans is getting way too much respect tonight, especially with injuries to three key players heading in. Bet Golden State at home.

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Re: Friday Service Plays

Dave Price

1 Unit on Hawks/Celtics OVER 186

Boston is not as good defensively without KG in the lineup and also tends to play a little bit more uptempo style without the big man as well so I like the Over here. Boston is 23-14 OVER as a home favorite this season. Also, plays over on all teams where the total is between 180 and 189.5 points (ATLANTA) - revenging a straight up loss vs. an opponent as a favorite, off a road loss by 10 points or more are 122-70 since 1996. Bet the Over.

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Re: Friday Service Plays

Jeff Alexander

1 Unit on Rockets/Lakers UNDER 196

System Play: Plays Under on all teams where the total is between 190 and 199.5 points (HOUSTON) - extremely well rested team - playing 3 or less games in 10 days, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 32-8 the last 5 seasons. Expect a defensive battle in Tinsel Town tonight. Bet the Under.

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