Friday Service Plays

Friday Service Plays

DUNKEL

San Antonio at Indiana   
The Spurs come in 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games as a favorite and face an Indiana team that is 10-1-1 ATS in its last 12 home games against teams with a winning road record.  The Pacers are the underdog pick (+4) according to Dunkel, which has the Spurs favored by only 1.  Dunkel Pick: Indiana (+4).   

Game 501-502: Miami at Charlotte
Dunkel Ratings: Miami 116.793; Charlotte 121.659
Dunkel Line & Total: Charlotte by 5; 188
Vegas Line & Total: Charlotte by 4; 183
Dunkel Pick: Charlotte (-4); Over

Game 503-504: San Antonio at Indiana
Dunkel Ratings: San Antonio 121.809; Indiana 121.013
Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 1; 192
Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 4; 200
Dunkel Pick: Indiana (+4); Under

Game 505-506: Atlanta at Boston
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 119.575; Boston 126.478
Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 7; 185
Vegas Line & Total: Boston by 6; 186
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-6); Under

Game 507-508: Dallas at Memphis
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 117.156; Memphis 116.784
Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 195
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 509-510: Portland at Oklahoma City
Dunkel Ratings: Portland 122.066; Oklahoma City 116.866
Dunkel Line & Total: Portland by 5; 186
Vegas Line & Total: Portland by 4 1/2; 192
Dunkel Pick: Portland (-4 1/2); Under

Game 511-512: Cleveland at Orlando
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland 123.278; Orlando 127.693
Dunkel Line & Total: Orlando by 4 1/2; 194
Vegas Line & Total: Orlando by 3 1/2; 187
Dunkel Pick: Orlando (-3 1/2); Over

Game 513-514: Minnesota at Utah
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 111.360; Utah 125.197
Dunkel Line & Total: Utah by 14; 194 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Utah by 13; 203
Dunkel Pick: Utah (-13); Under

Game 515-516: Sacramento at Phoenix
Dunkel Ratings: Sacramento 112.599; Phoenix 121.383
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 9; 245
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix by 13 1/2; 242
Dunkel Pick: Sacramento (+13 1/2); Over

Game 517-518: New Orleans at Golden State
Dunkel Ratings: New Orleans 115.646; Golden State 115.539
Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 228
Vegas Line & Total: New Orleans by 3 1/2; 217
Dunkel Pick: Golden State (+3 1/2); Over

Game 519-520: Houston at LA Lakers
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 120.014; LA Lakers 128.658
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Lakers by 8 1/2; 196
Vegas Line & Total: LA Lakers by 5 1/2; 198
Dunkel Pick: LA Lakers (-5 1/2); Under


NCAAB

Oregon State at UTEP
In the final of the CBI tourney, the Beavers come in 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games, while the Miners are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 against the Pac-10.  Oregon State is the underdog pick (+9) according to Dunkel, which has UTEP favored by just 7 1/2.   Dunkel Pick: Oregon State (+9).   

Game 521-522: Oregon State at UTEP
Dunkel Ratings: Oregon State 60.779; UTEP 68.230
Dunkel Line: UTEP by 7 1/2
Vegas Line: UTEP by 9
Dunkel Pick: Oregon State (+9)


NHL

Nashville at Chicago
The Predators are 5-1 in their last 6 against Central Division rivals, while the Blackhawks are just 1-5 in their last 6 within the division.  Nashville is the underdog pick (+180) according to Dunkel, which has the Predators favored by 1/2 a goal.  Dunkel Pick: Nashville (+180).   

Game 51-52: Toronto at Philadelphia
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 11.255; Philadelphia 11.817
Dunkel Line & Total: Philadelphia by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line & Total: Philadelphia (-300); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-300); Over

Game 53-54: Tampa Bay at New Jersey
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay 10.465; New Jersey 11.070
Dunkel Line & Total: New Jersey by 1/2; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: New Jersey (-335); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New Jersey (-335); Under

Game 55-56: Buffalo at Washington
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 11.368; Washington 11.839
Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line & Total: Washington (-180); 6
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-180); Over

Game 57-58: Atlanta at Florida
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 11.902; Florida 11.695
Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 1/2; 5 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Florida (-200); 6
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+170); Under

Game 59-60: Calgary at Minnesota
Dunkel Ratings: Calgary 10.991; Minnesota 11.786
Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 1; 4
Vegas Line & Total: Calgary (-120); 5
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+100); Under

Game 61-62: Nashville at Chicago
Dunkel Ratings: Nashville 11.436; Chicago 11.217
Dunkel Line & Total: Nashville by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago (-210); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Nashville (+180); Over

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James Patrick Sports

Mavericks vs. Grizzlies

The Dallas Mavericks hit the road to Memphis for a match-up with the Bears and the Mavs have enjoyed their past visits here with ATS wins in 9 of 11 games in Memphis and 17 of 23 overall against the Grizz. Our Friday NBA complimentary selection is Dallas Mavericks in NBA action.

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Cajun Sports

Atlanta Hawks @ Boston Celtics
Selection: 2* Atlanta Hawks +6

TD Banknorth Garden will be the site between Eastern Conference rivals the Atlanta Hawks and the host Boston Celtics. The Hawks come into this contest having just lost at Philadelphia back on March 31st 98 to 85 as a 2-point road underdog. Atlanta was riding a seven game win streak during the middle part of March with wins over Detroit, New Orleans, Utah, Portland and Dallas but has since lost four of their last six overall. Although one of their two recent wins came against the West leading LA Lakers at home. Even with their recent losing skid it appears that the Hawks will get home-court advantage during the first round of the playoffs and will likely face either Philly or Miami. Atlanta is 43-32 SU and 42-32 ATS overall this season including 14-23 SU and 19-17 ATS on the road averaging 97.0 points per game while allowing 99.7 points per game. The Hawks have done well ATS when facing teams with a winning record going 22-13 ATS this season in that situation and they are 15-6 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points during the 2008-09 campaign. The defending champs enter tonights contest off a double overtime win at home versus Charlotte on Wednesday night winning 111 to 109 as a 7.5 point home favorite. Their ATS results in that contest, failing to cover, have become commonplace of late with them posting a record of only 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games at home. The win over Charlotte on Wednesday night triggers a few technical situations that are bad news for Celtics backers in tonights contest. First we see that Boston is 17-42 ATS in home games after a game where both teams scored 105 points or more, 59-86 ATS in home games after allowing 105 points or more and 30-56 ATS after a close win by 3 points or less since 1996. These teams have met three times this season with the last two being played in Atlanta with final scores of 99 to 93 and 88 to 85 all in favor of the Celtics while splitting against the spread. The first meeting this season took place here with Boston winning 103 to 102 as an 11 point home favorite. The Hawks are 0-3 SU against the Celtics this season but 2-1 ATS and we expect another close one tonight. Our TPR (Team Performance Ratings) Index projects the Celtics with a 2.97 point advantage over the Hawks and our Math Model Ratings Index also signals a Boston win but not a cover with an edge of only 3.4 points over Atlanta. Take the points as the boys from ATL take the Celtics right down to the wire and cash the winning ticket for us on Friday night.

Graded Selection: 2* Atlanta Hawks 87 Boston Celtics 90

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Marc Lawrence

Play On: Houston Rockets

The Rockets take on the Lakers in Los Angeles with same season triple revenge on their minds at the Staples Center this evening. With Houston a stellar 21-5 SU and 17-9 ATS in games off a loss this season, including 5-0 ATS when taking 3 or more points, look for the Lakers to fall to 3-7 ATS at home on Friday nights here tonight.

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Dave Cokin

Heat @ Bobcats
Play: Bobcats -4'

The Bobcats have a really tough schedule to close the season, and that probably will keep them out of the playoffs. But they're definitely still in the hunt, and tonight's home game with Miami is absolutely crucial for Charlotte. They're in better form than the Heat right now, and with the line reasonably short, I have to lean the Bobcats way tonight.

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Tom Freese

Cleveland at Orlando

Cleveland laid an egg last night at Washington losing 109-101 to the lowly Wizards ending their 13 game winning streak. We expect a much better performance tonight at Orlando. The Magic have won 13 of their last 16 games and they are 8-1 ATS their last 9 games vs. Lebron and company. Despite the recent success the Magic have had with the Cavaliers we like Lebron and company to make a statement tonight. PLAY ON CLEVELAND +

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Big Al Mcmordie

San Antonio Spurs at Indiana Pacers
Prediction: San Antonio Spurs

At 7:05 pm, our complimentary selection is on the San Antonio Spurs minus the points over Indiana. San Antonio was rocked in its last game by the Oklahoma City Thunder, and that was the 2nd time this season OKC has upset the Spurs. That's given those in the Alamo City much cause for alarm, so the team needs to come out with a supreme effort tonight to quell such concerns. I believe it will. San Antonio comes into Friday night's game off two days' of rest, which has been a huge benefit to the Spurs over the last few years (85-52 ATS). Also, the Pacers are a poor 15-26 ATS off a home win (Indy defeated the Bulls 107-105 in its last game). Take San Antonio.

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Jimmy The Moose

Calgary Flames at Minnesota Wild
Prediction: Calgary Flames

Calgary got back on the winning side last night in Dallas and tonight they face a Wild team that they've owned. The Flames have won all 5 meetings between the clubs this season and are 22-6 in the last 28 meetings between the teams. Calgary has won 4 of their last 5 trips to Minnesota. The Wild are 6-13 in their last 19 overall. In their last 26 games vs. a team with a winning record they are 7-19. The Flames are 9-3 in their last 13 vs. a Western Conference opponent. Play on the Calgary Flames -.

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Jeff Benton

For Friday we’ll play the Kings-Suns game OVER the posted total.

We’re dealing with a massive total in this game, no doubt about it. But we’re also dealing with two teams that haven’t played defense all season long, and I can’t envision that changing tonight when neither squad has much to play for (the Kings were out of the playoff hunt, well, back in November; Phoenix’s playoff hopes are dwindling by the day).

Just take a look at the final score when these teams faced off just five days ago in Sacramento: Phoenix prevailed 126-118, and the game jumped over the 237 ½-point total even though the squads combined for a paltry 43 points in the fourth quarter (they combined for 68 in the first, 66 in the second and 67 in the third). What’s more, since that contest on Saturday, Sacramento has played two games with final scores of 111-110 (against defensive-minded New Orleans) and 143-141 in overtime (against up-tempo Golden State).

Meanwhile, Phoenix has been a freakin’ scoring machine since the All-Star break (when the team switched coaches). In fact, since that time, the Suns have scored 140 or more four times; 125 or more seven times and 114 or more 14 times – and we’re talking in a total of 24 games!

Finally, over just the last five games, look at these numbers: Sacramento is averaging 114.4 ppg on 47 percent shooting and Phoenix is averaging 111.6 ppg on 48.6 percent shooting, but defensively, the Kings are allowing 119.4 ppg on 53.6 percent shooting during this five-game stretch while the Suns are surrendering 116.4 ppg on 50 percent shooting.

This scoreboard is going light up in a big way in the desert tonight, folks. In fact, I predict that both teams (who have gone over the total in five of their last seven meetings in Phoenix!) will score in the 130s – at least! Play it OVER the total.

4♦ Kings-Suns OVER

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Matt Rivers

For Friday take the points with the Kings.

Talk about a game with no defense, wow!?!??! That certainly doesn't bode well backing a dog as a big number like this is probably easier to cover when the scoreboard is about to go through the roof but the Suns cannot be laying such a gaudy price as they really are not that good.

Sacramento is finishing up a horrific and nighmarish season but they have been a lot more competitive of late as evidenced by just beating these same Suns a few short days ago and then covering at Golden State in that overtime game on Wednesday where Kevin Martin poured in 50 points.

The Kings may have one of the worst records in the league but they are somewhat capable with Martin, Spencer Hawes, Andres Nocioni and a few others. I'm not at all implying they should once again beat Steve Nash, Shaq and the home Suns but in a pace that is faster than fast Sac-Town should feel somewhat comfortable and stay in this thing.

Phoenix definitely has no room for error and has to win every game they have remaining in order to have any chance at making the playoffs but the Suns really are not a very good team anymore and being up against an improving team that has zero to lose is not conducive, in my opinion, to coverr a dozen or so points.

Phoenix does have a measure of revenge and is obviously the superior team but the Kings know they just beat these same Suns and will be loose and ready to run.

121-115 Suns!

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Chris Jordan

Oregon State +9' at UTEP 

The Beavers will have no choice but to play a stingy defense on the road for the second straight game in this best-of-three series, if they want a shot at winning the tournament title.

Though UTEP won Game 2 by seven, I was more impressed with how the tempo was slowed in that contest, as opposed to how fast-paced these two played in the first game up in Corvallis. Tells me the team with the better defense could take control in this deciding game. And that team is Oregon State. The Miners have more offensive prowess, but that won't matter against an overachieving bunch of Beavers.

I wouldn't be surprised if this one comes down to a buzzer beater, or even goes to overtime ... one thing for sure it will be much closer than the linemakers think.

1♦ OREGON STATE

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Karl Garrett

Sacramento at PHOENIX -13 

Winner for free from the G-Man on Denver last night, now 8-2 my last 10 comp play selections.

G-Man expecting the Suns to return the favor at home tonight against the visiting Kings.

Sacto just handed Phoenix a crippling loss at the Arco Arena on Sunday, 126-118, as the Suns can ill-afford any more losses if they wish to make the playoffs this year.

Phoenix still owns a positive 7-3 spread mark their last 10 games, and they have been able to go 6-1 straight up the last 7 meetings against Sacramento, while covering in 4 of the last 6.

Sacramento is a dismal 2-9 straight up their last 11, and while they have covered their last 3 games plus the points, G-Man sees the Suns getting redemption for that Sunday clunker in onion-land with a blowout win tonight in the valley of the sun.

Lay the points.

5♦ PHOENIX

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Bobby Maxwell

Cleveland at ORLANDO -3'

Scored you a FREE winner on the NBA hardwood Thursday night with the Nuggets and we'll get you another one tonight with the Magic as they host the Cavaliers.

The Cavaliers were bound to have a letdown here late in the season as they've been going with a hard push to the playoffs to get the top seed in the Eastern Conference. So the loss in Washington on Thursday was surprising and them not being so motivated tonight isn't going to surprise us either. We'll lay the relatively small chalk with a much more focused Magic team.

Cleveland had won 13 straight before losing to the Wizards 109-101 as a 9 1/2-point favorite Thursday. The Cavs defense forgot to show up to the party and don't be surprised when it doesn't show up tonight.

Orlando had won six straight before losing 99-95 at home to the Raptors on Wednesday as a 10-point favorite. The Magic forgot to rebound against Toronto and you know coach Stan Van Gundy let them hear about on Thursday. Look for Dwight Howard to come out and grab 20 boards tonight by himself.

The Magic have owned this rivalry lately, going 9-1 ATS in the last 10 meetings, including a 99-88 home win back on Jan. 29 as a five-point chalk. They are 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings with the Cavs in Orlando and we love them in this situation tonight.

The Magic is on ATS runs of 20-8 against winning times and 7-3 on Fridays. Let's play Orlando in this one to get the win and cover.

2♦ ORLANDO

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Sports Gambling Hotline

Atlanta at BOSTON -6 

Tonight, budding rivals Atlanta and Boston have at it in Beantown tonight, and while the Hawks have been close to kocking off the defending NBA champions, they haven't quite been able to get over the hump.

After knocking off the Hawks in a thrilling 7-game playoff series last year, Boston has bested Atlanta is ALL 3 meetings this year, most recently besting the baby birds 99-93 at Atlanta on March 27th.

The home team in this series is on an 8-2 spread run - playoffs included.

Atlanta has lost their last 4 road games, and they are just 1-3 against the spread in those roadies, while Boston has won 3 in a row, and 7 of their last 8, and they have also covered in 5 of their last 7.

We are backing the C's to dispose of the Hawks.

Play on Boston.

2♦ BOSTON

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MyDreamBet

Miami Heat @ Charlotte Bobcats
Pick: Over 183

Tonight the Miami Heat visit the team of Charlotte Bobcats. In this important game for the Bobcats they are given as favorites by Spread of -4. The line of total points in the meeting is situated on 183 points.

Miami Heat was one of the best surprises this season and so his 6th place in Division is well deserved. This team has a good record of 39-36 in East conference and is just behind the Philadelphia 76ers team that have a record of 39-35 in the 5th place of the conference, so the Miami Heat should be applied so that they can conquer the 5th place in this conference and also to get close access to the playoffs as soon as possible.

The team of the Miami Heat still have D. Wade in great shape and increasingly it is stated as the player with highest average of points in the NBA, in addition the entry of Jermaine O'Neal and J. Moon were two good hires for this team. A team of Miami Heat gives an average 98.1 PPG and has an average of 98.2 which shows that over the game tonight could be easily achieved, especially if D. Wade to play their best level.

The team of Charlotte Bobcats continues to surprise the best teams in the league and its fight for playoffs is more tight than ever. At this time the Bobcats stay in the 9th position of East Conference with a record of 34-41 and saw their opponents gain a direct advantage in recent games, they are the Chicago Bulls holding the 8th position with a record of 36-40. This is a game in which the Bobcats could not facilitate because of the important meaning in their fight for a place in the playoffs, so they have been his last game seen as real and final proof was his victory against the LA Lakers and able to go to Boston to take the game longer and were defeated in final by only 2 points.

These two teams have already faced over 3 times this season and finished with the following results:

01/11/2008 – Charlotte Bobcats – 100 @ Miami Heat – 87 – 187 pontos

08/12/2008 – Miami Heat – 100 @ Charlotte Bobcats – 92 – Total – 192 pontos

08/02/2009 – Miami Heat – 96 @ Charlotte Bobcats – 92 – Total 188 pontos

A total of line points in the meeting is located on 183 points, and we can see in 3 games in this season, all passed this total.

Tonight is a game faced as a final for the Bobcats so we can expect a maximum application of this team, on the other hand we have the Miami Heat team that has been a nice surprise this season and certainly will strive for achieving 5th place in the division. Both teams have great scorers and the over will be easily beaten.

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Dwayne Bryant

HOU +5.5 vs LAL

Not an ideal situation for the Lakers. LA is coming home off a long seven-game road trip and they have the look of a tired team. They also have home court advantage wrapped up throughout the playoffs, so motivation is a huge question mark for LA.

Houston has motivation in a couple different ways. First, they're vying for home court advantage in the first round of the playoffs. Houston currently sits in fourth place in the West, which would give them home court advantage in the first round of the playoffs. But the second through seventh seeds are separated by just a few games, so Houston could quickly find themselves on the road in Round 1.

This is also a triple same-season revenge game for Houston, as LA has won and covered all three meetings. The last two were Lakers wins in Houston, which cannot sit well with the Rockets. It's been seven years since LA swept the season series from Houston. With Houston coming off a tough road loss at Phoenix on national TV, I expect the Rockets to be ready to put on a better performance on ESPN tonight.

This figures to be a close battle and the situation favors the Rockets, so I'll grab the points with Houston.

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Vernon Croy

San Antonio Spurs vs. Indiana Pacers   
Play: Under 200   

The Spurs are one of the best defensive teams in the NBA with opponents averaging just 93 ppg against them and the Spurs are only averaging 96.8 ppg overall this season. The last time these two teams met the posted total was 208.5 and the final total score was just 180 and I look for a similar result tonight. Both of these teams shot over 40% from beyond the arc in their last meeting and yet this game still went under the posted total by 28 points. The O/U is 2-8 for the Spurs in their last 10 games against a Central Division opponent and 0-4 for the Spurs in their last 4 games when favored on the road. The O/U is 1-11 for the Pacers in their last 12 home games and 1-6 in the Pacers last 7 games against a team with a winning record over .600. The O/U is 10-21 in the Spurs last 31 games as a road favorite of -0.5 to -4.5 points and the O/U is 0-7 for the Pacers in their last 7 home games as a dog. Take the Under as my Friday Night NBA Premium Free Play since this is my only play released for Friday.

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LT Profits

Portland Trail Blazers @ Oklahoma City Thunder Under 193

The Oklahoma City Thunder have been an Under machine lately, and we look for that pattern to continue at home tonight vs. a defensive oriented team in the Portland Trail Blazers.

The Under is 7-2 in the last nine Oklahoma City games overall, as well as a perfect 8-0 in the last eight Thunder home games. This is not entirely due to bad offense either, as the Thunder are coming off of one of their better defensive performances in a shocking 96-95 upset of the Spurs on the road in San Antonio.

This is not to say that the offense has not been a major contributing factor to this amazing Under run, as Oklahoma City has now gone 16 consecutive games without reaching 100 points. After playing respectable offense in the first half of the year, the offense is now sputtering to the point where the Thunder have averaged just 92.4 points on 42.5 percent shooting the last five games.

Things do not figure to improve tonight vs. a Portland defense that is allowing only 95.1 points per game for the entire season. Sure, the Blazers have allowed over 100 points in three of the last four games, but two of those came vs. fast paced teams (Suns, Jazz) and the third one was in overtime. We look for them to play closer to their normal season average here tonight.

Blazers road games are averaging a combined 191.4 points this season, and given the current struggles of the Oklahoma City offense, you could probably shave a couple of points off of that average here.

Pick: Blazers/Thunder Under 193

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John Ryan

Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Orlando Magic    
Play: Orlando Magic -3.5
         
Ai Simulator 3* graded play on Orlando as they host Cleveland slated to start at 8:00 EST. I nailed a 10* winner on Washington as they won SU against the Cavs and were 9.5 point dogs too. Cleveland looked tired and more importantly were a one dimensional team last night. Sure, they were caught looking ahead, but they are also fighting for best record too. AiS shows an 83% probability that Orlando will win this game by 4 or more points. Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone 68-37 ATS for 65% winners since 1996. Play against road teams that are hot teams having won 20 or more of their last 25 games facing an opponent that is a hot team having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games. AiS also shows a 90% probability that CLV will score between 93 and 98 points in this game. Note that Orlando is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) when they allow 93 to 98 points in a game this season. Orlando is also a stout 16-4 ATS (+11.6 Units) versus good shooting teams making >=46% of their shots this season; 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) versus good teams outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game this season. Take Orlando.

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Craig Trapp

Portland Trail Blazers vs. Oklahoma City Thunder     
Play: Portland Trail Blazers -5.5

Portland needs to finish this season strong if they are going to get a first round home court advantage. Currently they are only a 1/2 game behind for the 4th playoff spot. The Blazers have won three games in a row at home and now are starting a road trip at OKC. OKC is coming off a very good win over SA on WED!! Lets look at records and trends in this match up:

Records

Portland: 47-27 SU, 40-34 ATS

Oklahoma City: 21-53 SU, 42-31-1 ATS

Trends:

-Trail Blazers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games.

-Trail Blazers are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall.

-Thunder are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 2 days rest.

-Thunder are 17-6-1 ATS in their last 24 home games.

At this point of the season love playing teams that have motivation for the playoffs and also love playing the teams that are hot. OKC has not given up but don't think they have the motivation that PORTLAND has. Lets take Portland and Brandon Roy to extend there win streak to 4 games and win easy. SCORE POR 101 - OKC 92

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