Thursday Service Plays

Re: Thursday Service Plays

Jrtips

LAKERS vs. PISTONS

Armed with a big lead early in their last game, the Los Angeles Lakers emptied their bench and put their depth on display.The injury-depleted Detroit Pistons haven't had many chances to do that lately.The Lakers look to take advantage of the Pistons' ongoing injury woes and win at The Palace for the first time in more than seven years Thursday night. The Los Angeles (56-14) have the best record in the Western Conference, and had a big lead early in their last game, emptying their bench and putting their depth on display. The Lakers won 107-89 at Oklahoma City, their sixth in seven games as Bryant and Gasol helped build a 17-point lead after one quarter and six Lakers scored in double figures. Every game is important for the Lakers who face the struggling Pistons (34-36), who have lost five of six dealing with injuries to three of their starters. Allen Iverson is sidelined indefinitely with a sore back, Richard Hamilton has a nagging groin injury that's forced him out of the last five and Rasheed Wallace has sat out eight in a row with a strained left calf. Iverson isn't expected back soon, and the statuses of Hamilton and Wallace for tonight's game is questionable. Tayshaun Prince and Will Bynum scored 20 points apiece, but Detroit couldn't keep up with Chicago in the second half of a 99-91 road loss. Prince is averaging 18.7 points but shooting 43.1 percent over his last nine games. The Pistons have won nine straight meetings at The Palace against the Lakers but with this depleted lineup due to injuries, there is no way the Pistons can score enough points to keep up wit the Lakers. Even if Hammilton and Wallace maracously come back tonight somehow, they won't be 100 percent healthy and their timing and stamina will be off. Lakers will take care of this one early again.TAKE LAKERS-7 1/2

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Re: Thursday Service Plays

Jeff Scott Sports 

4 UNIT PLAY (NCAA Tourney Total Of The Year)

Missouri/ Memphis Over 141.5

The Over is 8-1 in Missouri's last 9 NCAA Tournament games and 24-8-1 in their last 33 games as an underdog, while the Over is 7-1 in Memphis' last 8 NCAA Tournament games as a favorite. Missouri is a team that like s to push the ball as they come in averaging 81.5 ppg (5th in Nation) on 47.3% shooting (33rd). Missouris has also averaged 75.8 ppg in their neutral site games and 78 ppg in their last 6 overall. Memphis is also a solid scoring team, as they average 74.7 ppg (60th), including averaging 73.8 in their neutral site games and 71.8 ppg in their last 5 overall. Missouri allows 66.9 ppg on the year, but they did allow Marquette 79 points in their last game and they have allowed 8 of their last 18 opponents to hit 72+ points. Memphis has one of the best defenses in the nation as they allow just 57.6 ppg overall and just 53.8 ppg in their last 5 games, but they have allowed 70 points in each of their 1st 2 tourney games and neither of those teams possessed the offense that Missouri has. Both teams are more than capable of hitting 70 in this one, and that will make it an easy over here. Easily in the 150's.


3 UNIT PLAYS

UConn -6.5 over Purdue

The Boilermakers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS win, while the Huskies are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU win of more than 20 points. Purdue has been on a nice run as they are coming off a Big 10 tourney title and then 2 wins in the first 2 rounds. The Purdue offense has has not been great this year as they have averaged just 69.3 ppg overall and just 65 ppg when they play away from home this year. During thei rcurrent 5 game win streak they have scored 69.4 ppg, but on just 41.2% shooting. They will need better shootimg vs this UConn team if they hope to keep it close, but it won't be easy. The Huskies are one of the better defensive squads in the nation, as they allow just 63.5 ppg (71st) on just 37.4% shooting (3rd). The Huskies are also one of the better scoring teams in the nation as they have averaged 78.5 ppg (16th) on 47.5% shooting (26th). The Huskies habe also scored 91.6 ppg on 48.7% shooting in their neutral games this year. UConn is also 1st in the nation in rebounding at 40.5 rpg and they have outrebounded their opponents ny 11 rpg (also 1st in nation). Despite the good defense the Boilers play, they will not be able to slow down this high powered UConn attack. At the other end of the floor Purdue just doesn't score enough to be able to keep this close, especially vs a very good UConn defense. UConn won their 1st 2 games by a combined 84 points, while Purdue took their 1st 2 by just 7 total points. UConn should have another easy time of it here as they win this one by double digits.   


(Power Angle Play)

UConn/ Purdue Over 134

The Over is 5-1-1 in Boilermakers last 7 NCAA Tournament games as an underdog, while the Over is 11-2-1 in Huskies last 14 games following a SU win of more than 20 points. Uconn has played 7 neutral site games this year and those games have averaged 166.5 ppg. Now i know that one of those games was a 6 OT game and put up 244 points, but if you take that game out then their neutral site games have still averaged 153.5 ppg. Purdue has played in 7 neutral site games also and those games have averaged 137.5 ppg. Purdue hasn't been involved in many high scoring games this year, but when playing some teams (recently) that like to push it, like Washington (150) & Indiana (148), they have been high scoring. As you can see from some of the numbers in the above writeup, the Huskies are a team that likes to push it. I can easily see them hitting 75+ in this one while the Boilers should hit 60+ on their own. Don't be surprised if this one is in the 150's.

POWER ANGLE For This Play--- The Huskies are 14-3 in Huskies last 17 neutral site games as a favorite.


2 UNIT PLAYS

Villanova +2 over Duke

The Wildcats are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600, while the Blue Devils are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 NCAA Tournament games as a favorite and 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 vs. Big East. Villanova is playing with a huge amount of confidence right now as a they have crushed teams like, Notre Dame, Providence, American and UCLLA in their last 6 games. The Cats have averaged 77 ppg overal, including 81.6 ppg in their last 14 games and 84.5 ppg in the 1st 2 games of the tourney. Duke is playing good ball right now, but they have been inconsistent this year and I feel that Cats will take advantage of that and move on to the Elite Eight.


Pittsburgh/ Xavier Under 138.5

The Under is 7-0 in Musketeers last 7 neutral site games, while the Under is 5-1 in Panthers last 6 neutral site games. Xavier's neutral site games have averaged just 125.4 ppg on the year, including just 116.5 ppg in their last 4 on a neutral floor. Pitt's neutral games have avaerged 135 ppg. Xavier has allowed just 61.9 ppg on the year, including just 52 ppg in their last 4 game. Pitt comes in allowing just 64.5 ppg overall on just 41.1% shooting. Neither team like to push the ball and with 2 good defenses on the floor I don't see how this one hits 139 points. I say it's in the high 120's. 


1 UNIT PLAY

Memphis -4.5 over Missouri 

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Re: Thursday Service Plays

SportsKingz

U CONN -6.5

XAVIER / PITT UNDER 138.5

MEMPHIS -4.5

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Re: Thursday Service Plays

Nick Parsons

Edmonton Oilers @ Phoenix Coyotes

We're getting good value on the home team here; Phoenix may be coming off a 6-2 road loss in Anaheim, but it is in fact a fantastic 5-1 (+6.1 units) its last 6 games when playing with 3 or more days of rest! The Oilers scored first and controlled the first period, then tried to sit on the precarious lead for 40 minutes. Big mistake. Outshot 31-8 in the second period and the first 10 minutes of the third, they finally caved in, allowing three Wings goals in the third to lose their last time out. Edmonton is a poor 18-19 in the second half of the season. Play on PHOENIX!

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Re: Thursday Service Plays

Jimmy Boyd

1 Unit on LA Lakers -7.5

Both Rasheed Wallace and Rip Hamilton have both been downgraded to doubtful tonight and with the Lakers competing hard with Cleveland for the best record in basketball to lock up home court throughout the playoffs, I don't expect them to take any nights off. Right away, I like the over/under range the odds makers have set as the Lakers are 7-0 ATS in a road game where the total is between 190 and 199.5 points this season, winning in these spots by 10.4 points this season. The Pistons are 11-25 ATS in home games this season and just 4-12 ATS in home games after 1 or more consecutive losses this season. Detroit struggled with a healthy roster this season and is really struggling without one. We'll lay the number.

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Re: Thursday Service Plays

Tom Freese

Missouri vs. Memphis    
Play: Over 141

Memphis is in a 137-95 OVER System that says to Play OVER on all teams when the Total is between 140 and 149.5 after covering 3 of their last 4 games ATS vs. an opponent who covered 5 or 6 of their last 7 games ATS. Memphis is 8-1 OVER their last 9 Big Dance games. Missouri is 24-8-1 OVER their last 33 games as an underdog and they are 6-0 OVER their last 6 games as Big Dance underdogs. Missouri is 7-2 OVER their last 9 neutral site games. PLAY ON 'OVER'

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Re: Thursday Service Plays

Big Al Mcmordie

Phoenix Suns at Portland Trail Blazers
Prediction: Portland Trail Blazers

At 10:35 pm, our member selection is on the Portland Trail Blazers minus the points over Phoenix. Last night, the Suns won their fifth straight game -- by four points at home over Utah. However, that game set up well for the Suns, since the Jazz came in off a home win over Houston the night before. But now, that same "win-and-travel" situation confronts Phoenix, with this road game at Portland after a home win the previous night. The Suns have been dreadful this year as an underdog (6-14 ATS) and even worse on the road after scoring 100 points in four straight games (1-8 ATS). Take the Trail Blazers.

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Re: Thursday Service Plays

LT Profits

Los Angeles Lakers @ Detroit Pistons Under 193.5

The Los Angeles Lakers and the Detroit Pistons have gone Under in four of their five meetings the last three years, and we look for these clubs to continue this pattern tonight.

Sure, the Lakers have topped the 100-point mark in six of their last seven games, but it is no coincidence that the lone Under came vs. an Eastern Conference team (Philadelphia) and that five of the six Overs came vs. Western teams that play the same run-and-gun as the Lakers. The Pistons have always done a good job of slowing the pace vs. LA, and we expect this game to be played at their pace at home.

Now the Pistons are actually playing to more Overs than usual this season, but the Under is still 36-32-2 in all of their games and their home games are averaging a combined 189.1 points, which is safely below this posted total. Given that they do not want to try and run with the Lakers, look for Detroit to employ the same strategy they have employed in their recent meetings.

In fact, the Lakers have managed just 89 and 78 points respectively in their last two trips to Motown, and while they should pass those numbers here, we still look for a safe Under.

Pick: Lakers, Pistons Under 193.5

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Re: Thursday Service Plays

Yankee Capper

NHL
Columbus Blue Jackets -130

NBA
Chicago Bulls -5.5

NCAA HOOPS
Old Dominion -6.5
Memphis -4.5

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Re: Thursday Service Plays

Rocketman

Purdue vs. Connecticut    
Play: Purdue +6.5
     
Purdue comes in with a 27-9 record this year while Connecticut is 29-4 on the season. Purdue is 28-14 ATS last 3 years when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games. Purdue is 7-1 SU this year in all neutral court games. Purdue is 8-1 SU in all tournament games this year. Purdue has a very good defense allowing only 59.4 points per game overall this year. We all know defense wins ball games. Purdue is 5-0 their last 5 games while Connecticut is only 3-2 SU their last 5 games. A lot of points not to pass up in this game. We'll recommend a small play on Purdue tonight!

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Re: Thursday Service Plays

Ben Burns

Calgary Flames @ Columbus Blue Jackets
PICK: Columbus Blue Jackets

The Flames earned a big win over the Red Wings a few nights ago, the second time that they'd beaten Detroit recently. Those "Detroit results" notwithstanding, they haven't been playing particularly well of late. In fact, they're just 3-6 their last nine games, going 1-6 against "other" opponents, besides the Wings. That includes a 2-0 loss at Pittsburgh, last night.

Note that the Flames are a money-burning 2-8 (-5.9) when playing the second of back to back games this season. The last time (at Carolina on 3/6) that they played the second of back to back games, they lost by a score of 6-1.

The Blue Jackets last played on Tuesday, losing at Tampa Bay. They've still won six of their last eight games though and they've been tough at home all year, going 23-11-2. They lost both games at Calgary but they beat the Flames (3-1) when the teams faced each other here at Columbus. Including that result, the Jackets are 5-1 the last six times that they hosted the Flames and 11-4 in 15 all-time meetings here. Consider Columbus

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Re: Thursday Service Plays

Larry Ness

Villanova @ Duke
PICK: Over

I remember watching 'Nova score 94 at Providence and then hit 102 in back-to-back home games with Syracuse (against Boeheim's famous 2-3 zone) and Marquette in early February. The Wildcats have scored 80 and 89 points in winning their first two NCAA games and now take on Duke. The 6-8 Cunningham (16.3-7.7) will "get his" inside, while 'Nova's perimeter game is quite formidable. Reynolds (15.1) is the ringleader, joined by swingman Anderson (8.8-6.0) and PG Redding (6.9-4.8-3.1). Then of course, there is the team's dynamic duo off the bench, Fisher (10.9) and Stokes (9.7). As for the Blue Devils, they've averaged 80 PPG in their two tourney wins. Swingman Henderson (16.8-4.8) and the 6-8 Singler (16.5-7.5) are both capable of having huge games. These are two highly efficient offense teams, with 'Nova shooting 36.5 percent on threes and 74.6 percent from the line, with Duke shooting 35.5 percent and 72.8 percent in the same two categories. I expect both teams to reach the 80s in this one. Take Villanova/Duke OVER.

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Re: Thursday Service Plays

Jeff Alexander

1 Unit on Lakers/Pistons UNDER 193.5

The public is all over the over here, but with Iverson out and both Wallace and Hamilton doubtful, I don't see where Detroit's offense will come from. This is just the 3rd game of a 7-game road trip so I don't expect the Lakers to try to lay down the hammer. It is important this time of year to keep Kobe and the starters fresh so I expect LA's second unit to play plenty in this one. We have seen 4 of the last 5 in this matchup go under and while Detroit has struggled this season, it is still solid defensively. The Under is 43-14-1 in Pistons last 58 Thursday games and 10-1 in Pistons last 11 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600. Bet the Under.

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Re: Thursday Service Plays

Dave Price

1 Unit on Lakers/Pistons UNDER 194

This one has under written all over it as 4 of the last 5 matchups between these teams have played to the under. In addition, the Under is 4-1 in Lakers last 5 overall, 8-2 in Lakers last 10 games as a favorite, and 4-0 in Lakers last 4 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5. The Under is a ridiculous 43-14-1 in Pistons last 58 Thursday games, 8-3-1 in Pistons last 12 games as an underdog of 5.0-10.5, and 10-1 in Pistons last 11 home games vs. a team with a road winning percentage of greater than .600. Bet the Under.

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Re: Thursday Service Plays

Greg Shaker

Los Angeles Lakers at Detroit Pistons
Play: Over 193.5

I don't have to tell you how important Rasheed Wallace is to this Pistons Team. Without him they do not play nearly as good of D and that is a very good reason why they are 6-1-1 OVER the last 8 contests. LA has been tagged a very large favorite for this game and with good reason. They should be able to own the inside play tonight and that is what has been the case for Pistons contests recently. We know what the Lakers can do when they have the advantage and they certainly do tonight. Eight of their last 9 times on the court have produced a number greater than what is posted for this one, and even though this is a high number for any Home Pistons affair, it is well worth a strong look. We simply cannot look at past play between these two here at the Palace because dynamics have changed quite a bit. Many will point to the fact that Iverson and Hamilton are also ailing and that without them, Detroit will not be able to muster enough offense to give us what we want. But Detroit is 3-0-1 OVER without Richard and 9-4-1 OVER without Allan. The Laker Scoring Train is here in town and they smell a Piston Collapse. They will take advantage of that situation. This line opened at 194 and perhaps it will fall further. I will get it now. PLAY OVER.

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Re: Thursday Service Plays

Free Selection from Totals4U
Thursday's free selection: Missouri/Memphis under 141

============================================

Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports
232 - 155 run  60 %

Thursday  Xavier

WED NJ Nets 12 1/2 ty Tues Penn St + 11  TY

Mon  Atl Hawks ty Sun  Michigan St.  TY

=============================================

EZWINNER'S FREE SELECTION


Date: Thursday, March 26, 2009

Game: Xavier Musketeers vs. Pittsburgh Panthers

Sport: NCAA Basketball

Time: 6:25PM CST



(809) Xavier Musketeers (+7)


Pittsburgh has been shaky to say the least so far in the tournament and they are facing an Xavier team the is used to getting to the Sweet Sixteen. The Panthers defense has not been up to par and Xavier has an experienced team with a lot of depth. The X men should be able to handle the Pittsburgh defense and limit the number of times they turn the ball over and keep this one close all the way. Take the points.


2009 Free Selections Record  45-39  (53.6%)

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