Friday Service Plays

Re: Friday Service Plays

Bobby Maxwell

Gonzaga +8' vs. N. Carolina, at Memphis, TN 

Your winner tonight comes from Memphis as we grab the points and play Gonzaga to cover the number against North Carolina.

This is just too many points to pass up. We've got to give Gonzaga a shot in this one as they ae playing well as anybody right now.

The Bulldogs have won 11 straight and beat Western Kentucky 83-81 in the second round but didn't come close to covering as an 11-point favorite. These guys showed their balance by having all five starters reach double-digits. The Zags improved to 8-1 SU in neutral-site games and 20-1 SU in their last 21 overall.

One big factor for Gonzaga tonight is they won't come in with an ounce of fear or hesitation and they've had a week to gameplan for the Tar Heels and Tyler Hansbrough and PG Ty Lawson. How effective will Lawson be tonight on that injured big toe? And he's already got trouble having to go up against the Zags' Jeremy Pargo and Matt Bouldin.

Another matchup I like in this one is the Bulldogs' Josh Heytvelt going up against Hansbrough. Heytvelt faced these Tar Heels a couple seasons ago and put up 19 points and grabbed eight rebounds. Hansbrough scored just nine points in 32 minutes in the matchup as Gonzaga won 82-74 in a November preseason tourney contest.

The Heels are on ATS slides of 1-8 after a spread-cover, 9-17 overall and 5-17 after a straight-up win. This is just too many points to pass up. Play Gonzaga.

4♦ GONZAGA

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Re: Friday Service Plays

Nick Parsons

Vancouver Canucks @ Colorado Avalanche 
Play: Colorado +140

Vancouver is coming off a disheartening loss to the Blues last night, and with the recent "scuttlebut" of star Goaltender Roberto Luongo telling local media that he wants to "go to a contendor" when his contract runs out, I look for the Canucks to let another one slip by this evening as the Avalanche offer us great value this evening. The Av's are coming off a beatdown loss at home to the Ducks, and I expect them to play with more intensity this evening; Colorado is 13-11 (+9.2 units) when playing against a team with a winning record. I recommend a great value play on the AVALANCHE!

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Re: Friday Service Plays

Tom Freese

Memphis at Sacramento

Sacramento is 10-2 OVER their last 12 games off a double digit home loss and they are 4-1 OVER their last 5 home games. The Kings are 10-4 OVER on Friday and they are 5-1 OVER their last 6 home games vs. the Grizzlies. Memphis is 8-0 OVER their last 8 games as road dogs of 4.5 or less points and they are 6-1 OVER vs. a team with a win percentage of under 40%. The Grizzlies are 4-1 OVER when playing with three or more days of rest and they are 4-1 OVER their last 5 games vs. losing teams. PLAY ON 'OVER'

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Re: Friday Service Plays

Jimmy Boyd

1 Unit on Charlotte Bobcats +5.5

Charlotte is working hard to try to play its way into the postseason. After back-to-back losses, which includes a bad one to Washington in its last game in which it blew a big lead, I expect a very motivated effort from the Bobcats tonight. Charlotte played Philly to a 6-point on the road earlier this season facing this same number and the Bobcats are a better team than they were then and they will be playing with a larger sense of urgency. Charlotte has been a money underdog this season at 28-19 ATS in the role. The Bobcats are also 20-11 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season. With Philly, fatigue will be a concern tonight and the 76ers are just is 4-13 ATS in home games when playing 8 or more games in 14 days over the last 2 seasons. Take the points.

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Re: Friday Service Plays

LARRY NESS

New Orleans Hornets @ New York Knicks
PICK: New Orleans Hornets

The Knicks were in the thick of things back in mid-March, with a realistic shot of making the East Conference playoffs (trailed Chicago and Milwaukee by just a half-game for that final spot). However, that was then and this is now. The Knicks will take a six-game losing streak into their Friday night home game with the Hornets and currently reside a full SIX games out of the final playoff spot, with four teams in between. New York's trouble all season has been its defense (allow 108.6 PPG to rank 29th) and over the last five games of the team's six-game slide, the Kicks have allowed 118.4 PPG. Al Harrington (20.8 PPG in his 57 games with the Knicks), Nate Robinson (18.3-4.1-4.1) and David Lee (16.1-11.9) have been the team's best players but right now, the Knicks sure look 'lost!' The Hornets could really use a win tonight, as they are 5th overall in the Western Conference playoff picture but just THIRD in their own division (trail the Spurs by 2 1/2 games and the Rockets by 1 1/2). EIGHT of New Orleans' final 12 games are on the road and the team closes with SEVEN consecutive games vs opponents with better than .500 records. Paul (22.2-5.4-10.9) and West (20.0-88.3) lead the way but the Hornets need to get Peja (13.8-4.4) and center Chandler (8.8-8.9) back in the lineup. Peja has missed 11 straight games but could return soon, while Chandler has missed the last four with no real info on when he could be back in the lineup. The Hornets are coming off an embarrassing 101-88 home loss to the Nuggets on Wednesday and as stated earlier, could really use a win in this one. The Knicks are in a terrible rut right now and the Hornets, who rank fourth in PPG allowed (93.4), should be able come away with a win here. They should well-remember the Knicks' 101-95 Jan 12 win in New Orleans, which ended a seven-game winning streak over the New Yorkers. The Hornets have won their last four visits rto MSG and I say they make it five straight tonight, "with room to spare!"

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Re: Friday Service Plays

Dennis Macklin

Edmonton Oilers at Anaheim Ducks
Prediction: Anaheim Ducks

This week may have been the defining week in the Oiler season as Edmonton plays themselves out of the playoff. Just one-point out of the Eastern Conference eight hole, the Oilers have lost three straight being outscored by 9-4 aggregate. Ducks have won five straight outscoring opponents 22-10 and catch leg weary Oilers playing third game in four nights. Play Anaheim.

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Re: Friday Service Plays

DAVE MALINSKY

Milwaukee Bucks @ Orlando Magic
PICK: Under

In getting that clutch win over Boston on this court Wednesday night, a victory that has the Magic a step closer to the #2 spot in the Eastern Conference playoffs, they continue to show that they have the talent and maturity to be real factors in the post-season. And in another way, to use one of the emerging phrases of this millennium, they “Get It”.

By that later phrase we mean that Stan Van Gundy and his team are developing an understanding for what it is going to take to keep playing into June. It means grinding out wins right now by not extending the pace more than is necessary, and also about getting seriously down and dirty on defense. They are focusing on the latter so well that they are now #2 in the NBA on our best set of defensive ratings, and finishing at #1 in that category is within their grasp. So where do we best put this into play? By looking for Under opportunities in games in which they can control; in other words, when favored at home. And they are gearing it up just the right way – in six such March settings they are 5-1 to the Under, with those games finishing a collective 71.5 points below the projections, or nearly 12 full points per game. And for the full season they are 5-2 to the Under when favored in double figures, the only games going Over in that span being unavoidable routs of the Kings back in the third game of the season when pace management was not an issue at all, and a shredding of the injury-riddled Clippers in early February. Now they get a chance to face an opponent that they are capable of locking down, having just done that on the road last week, and having had Thursday to prepare, and with nothing on deck until Monday, we can count on them to do just that.

It was a 106-80 Orlando rout in Milwaukee back on March 18th, when the Bucks only scored more than 20 points in a quarter one time. There is little reason to expect that to change here. Mired in a 2-8 slide they are showing the kind of offensive breakdowns that can happen when role players and rookies are in prime roles – Richard Jefferson is the only current starter that has been an NBA full-timer before, and while his legs are still there, the others are misfiring badly. They have played five games in March against teams that currently sport winning records and averaged an anemic 81.8 per outing, and tired only gets more tired at this time of the season for this class of roster.

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Re: Friday Service Plays

Scott Rickenbach

Edmonton Oilers @ Anaheim Mighty Ducks
PICK: Anaheim Mighty Ducks

The Ducks are in a price range that is a little higher than I like to venture into for a star rated/guaranteed pick. However, the reason you're reading about Anaheim here is that I do see value with them here, even in this price range! The Ducks are heating up again at just the right time! As for the Oilers, they failed miserably at Phoenix last night and their late season collapse continues. Not only is this a back to back spot for Edmonton but their confidence has been shaken. It won't get any better for the Oilers tonight as they are in a tough scheduling spot and facing a surging Ducks team. Consider a small play on Anaheim on the money line on Friday night.

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Re: Friday Service Plays

FairWay Jay

Memphis Grizzlies +3

Thanks to those that bet and supported our GOY winner on the Chicago Bulls last night, and lets fire away with an ugly ‘Dog Friday. We took a shot with Memphis on Monday night and the young Grizzlies are showing improvement despite a lack of wins and ability to finish games. Memphis has lost eight of their last nine games entering the week, but are 5-4 ATS. They were beaten soundly by Miami Monday, and Memphis is tied for the leagues fewest road wins. The Grizzlies figure to bring a solid and motivated effort Friday as they play with four days rest and redemption for a home loss to Sacramento five weeks ago. That embarrassing home loss to shorthanded Sacramento was also the most points that Memphis has allowed in their last 15 games. Sacramento is struggling and the Kings are the leagues worst defensive team. Newly acquired forward Andres Nocioni has missed three straight games entering the week (knee), and while the Kings also are rested, I believe the Grizzlies are capable of a rare road win. Take the 3 points with the young and improving Grizzlies.

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Re: Friday Service Plays

Vernon Croy

Oklahoma City vs. Toronto    
Play: Oklahoma City +5½

We are getting solid line value here with the Thunder who are 15-3 ATS in their last 18 games after failing to cover the spread in their previous game. The Thunder are 13-3-1 ATS in their last 17 games against an Eastern Conference opponent and they are also 4-0 ATS in their last 4 trips to Toronto. Toronto is just 2-7 SU in their last 9 games against a Northwest division opponent and they are just 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games as a favorite of -5.0 to -10.5 points. The Raptors shot just 36.4% in their only game against the Thunder this season and Thunder Star Kevin Durant is listed as probable for this game so I look for him to have a huge night against a Raptors team that has struggled defensively this year.

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Re: Friday Service Plays

Greg Shaker

Syracuse Orangemen at Oklahoma Sooners
Play: Syracuse +1 -110

The most interesting thing about this play is that the Sooners have the advantage in every statistical department. Stats don't win games though and should only be used as a tool to look further into what is actually going on. If it were that easy, we would all be living in Large Houses, on Huge Estates, eating Bon Bons, and have a Pool Girl. Please note that the The Wife would not like The Pool Girl, but she perhaps would get over it. So what is going on? The Orangemen are playing the best basketball of the year and they are playing as well as anyone in this land of ours. The advantage they do have tonight is better bench strength and that is a large key tonight. What is going to happen when these two teams take the court tonight is obvious. We are going to see some BIG ACTION. We are going to see fast paced, crazy action. Both teams like to push the ball, both teams play aggressive defense. In fact, these squads represent the #7 and #8 D efficiency squads in the NCAA and weary legs are going to be a factor in the second half. In addition, Syracuse has simply beaten better teams more often. Memphis, UConn, Marquette, Kansas and West Virginia to name just a few and certainly every Big East Contest has been a challenge this year. Are they "More Tested?" Yep. Are they focused? Yep. Have they been doing more things right over their last 10 played? Yep. Do they have the psychological edge tonight? Yep. This team has covered their last 9 of 10 with only a close cover loss to Louisville while OK has lost to the better squads they have played during the same stretch, Mizzu, Texas, Kansas, and OK State. They have done that in a lessor conference. No Rocket Science Stuff needed here. I will save that for another play. Let's not even talk about the coaching advantage and experience factor for this one. That is a No-Brainer. In all of Oklahoma's losses this year, they had serious Turnover Problems. That is not what you want or need in a game like we have tonight. I think that is what we will see tonight though as these Orange Guys are going to put pressure on the ball.

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Re: Friday Service Plays

Yankee Capper

NHL
New Jersey/Chicago Over 5.5
Vancouver/Colorado Under 5.5

NBA
LA Clippers/San Antonio Over 191
LA Lakers -7

NCAA HOOPS
Gonzaga/UNC Over 162.5
Oklahoma -1

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Re: Friday Service Plays

SportsKingz

ARIZONA / LOUISVILLE OV 139.5

MICHIGAN ST. -1.5

OKLAHOMA -1

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Re: Friday Service Plays

DUNKEL

Oklahoma City at Toronto   
The Thunder are 13-3-1 ATS in their last 17 against the Eastern Conference, while the Raptors are just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 against the West.  Oklahoma City is the underdog pick (+6) according to Dunkel, which has Toronto favored by only 4.  Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma City (+6).   

Game 851-852: Oklahoma City at Toronto
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma City 114.111; Toronto 117.888
Dunkel Line & Total: Toronto by 4; 199
Vegas Line & Total: Toronto by 6; 202
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma City (+6); Under

Game 853-854: Milwaukee at Orlando
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee 115.027; Orlando 126.259
Dunkel Line & Total: Orlando by 11; 194
Vegas Line & Total: Orlando by 12; 198
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (+12); Under

Game 855-856: Charlotte at Philadelphia
Dunkel Ratings: Charlotte 117.514; Philadelphia 121.446
Dunkel Line & Total: Philadelphia by 4; 193
Vegas Line & Total: Philadelphia by 6; 189
Dunkel Pick: Charlotte (+6); Over

Game 857-858: New Orleans at New York
Dunkel Ratings: New Orleans 117.507; New York 111.883
Dunkel Line & Total: New Orleans by 5 1/2; 210
Vegas Line & Total: New Orleans by 4; 207
Dunkel Pick: New Orleans (-4); Over

Game 859-860: Boston at Atlanta
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 120.292; Atlanta 125.333
Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 5; 190 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 861-862: Minnesota at Cleveland
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 112.092; Cleveland 125.624
Dunkel Line & Total: Cleveland by 13 1/2; 186
Vegas Line & Total: Cleveland by 14 1/2; 190
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+14 1/2); Under

Game 863-864: LA Lakers at New Jersey
Dunkel Ratings: LA Lakers 124.665; New Jersey 119.803
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Lakers by 5; 200 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 865-866: Denver at Dallas
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 120.679; Dallas 122.097
Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 1 1/2; 234
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 867-868: LA Clippers at San Antonio
Dunkel Ratings: LA Clippers 109.554; San Antonio 123.427
Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 14; 186
Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 11 1/2; 191
Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (-11 1/2); Under

Game 869-870: Memphis at Sacramento
Dunkel Ratings: Memphis 111.135; Sacramento 114.997
Dunkel Line & Total: Sacramento by 4; 211
Vegas Line & Total: Sacramento by 2; 206
Dunkel Pick: Sacramento (-2); Over


NCAAB

Syracuse vs. Oklahoma
The Orange come in 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games overall and face an Oklahoma team that is just 1-4 ATS in its last 5 against the Big East.  Syracuse is the pick (Pick) according to Dunkel, which has the Orange favored by 2 1/2.  Dunkel Pick: Syracuse.   

Game 871-872: Arizona vs. Louisville
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona 70.021; Louisville 76.199
Dunkel Line: Louisville by 6
Vegas Line: Louisville by 9
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+9)

Game 873-874: Kansas vs. Michigan State
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas 69.819; Michigan State 72.475
Dunkel Line: Michigan State by 2 1/2
Vegas Line: Pick
Dunkel Pick: Michigan State

Game 875-876: Gonzaga vs. North Carolina
Dunkel Ratings: Gonzaga 70.019; North Carolina 79.193
Dunkel Line: North Carolina by 9
Vegas Line: North Carolina by 7
Dunkel Pick: North Carolina (-7)

Game 877-878: Syracuse vs. Oklahoma
Dunkel Ratings: Syracuse 74.460; Oklahoma 72.005
Dunkel Line: Syracuse by 2 1/2
Vegas Line: Pick
Dunkel Pick: Syracuse


NHL

Toronto at Buffalo
The Maple Leafs are 6-2 in their last 8 road games and face a Buffalo team that is just 1-4 in its last 5 overall.  Toronto is the underdog pick (+190) according to Dunkel, which has the Leafs favored by 1/2 a goal.  Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+190). 

Game 1-2: Tampa Bay at Washington
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay 10.825; Washington 11.907
Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 1; 7
Vegas Line & Total: Washington (-370); 6
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-370); Over

Game 3-4: NY Islanders at Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: NY Islanders 10.465; Detroit 12.521
Dunkel Line & Total: Detroit by 2; 7
Vegas Line & Total: Detroit (-400); 6
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-400); Over

Game 5-6: Toronto at Buffalo
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 11.541; Buffalo 11.715
Dunkel Line & Total: Toronto by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line & Total: Buffalo (-230); 6
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+190); Over

Game 7-8: New Jersey at Chicago
Dunkel Ratings: New Jersey 11.279; Chicago 11.435
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago (-130); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-130); Under

Game 9-10: Vancouver at Colorado
Dunkel Ratings: Vancouver 11.190; Colorado 10.233
Dunkel Line & Total: Vancouver by 1; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Vancouver (-200); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Vancouver (-200); Under

Game 11-12: Edmonton at Anaheim
Dunkel Ratings: Edmonton 10.933; Anaheim 12.292
Dunkel Line & Total: Anaheim by 1 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Anaheim (-165); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Anaheim (-165); Under

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Re: Friday Service Plays

Jeff Alexander

1 Unit on Oklahoma City +6.5

Toronto doesn't deserve to be laying this many points to anyone right now. The Raptors have won back-to-back games SU and ATS and that sets them up for disaster tonight as they are 0-8 ATS after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games this season, losing by an average score of 94.6 to 105.0. Toronto is also 1-10 ATS after 2 or more consecutive wins this season, losing in these spots by an average score of 93.5 to 102.6. We'll grab the points here.

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Re: Friday Service Plays

Rocketman

Arizona vs Louisville
Play:Louisville -9

Arizona has surprised many making it this far in the tournament as many experts, including myself, didn't think they should have even been in the tournament in the first place. It all comes to an end tonight. The 12th seeded Wildcats will meet Top seeded Louisville Cardinals in the Sweet 16. Arizona is 21-13 this year while Louisville is 30-5 on the season. Let's take a look at the all important road records of these two teams. Arizona is only 7-10 SU on the road this year while Louisville is 14-3 SU on the road this season. That is a very important stat in handicapping a neutral court game is how well they play away from home. Louisville defense has been good as they have only allowed 61.7 points per game overall this year and 62.2 points per game on the road this season. Pitino's club should blow this team away tonight. We'll recommend a small play on Louisville tonight!

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Re: Friday Service Plays

Wunderdog

Los Angeles Clippers at San Antonio
Pick: San Antonio -11

The LA Clippers have been dreadful on the road. They aren't just losing games, they are getting manhandled. Their last 19 road games have seen them lose by 12 or more in 15 of the 19, or 79% of the time! The Spurs own 14 double-digit home wins of their own, and after a win, the Clippers are 17-35 ATS and just 1-6 ATS as a dog of 11 points or more in their last seven. San Antonio wins and covers here.

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Re: Friday Service Plays

EZWINNERS'S FREE SELECTION


Date: Friday, March 27, 2009

Game: Kansas Jayhawks vs. Michigan State Spartans

Sport: NCAA Basketball

Time: 8:35PM CST


(874) Michigan State Spartans (-1.5)


Kansas has been a two man show with Sherron Collins and Cole Aldrich so far in the tournament. The rest of the Jayhawks team has been very inconsistent and nobody other than Collins and Aldrich have reached double figures in their first two tournament wins. MSU will provide a much tougher test than North Dakota State or Dayton. The Spartans have the players win the rebounding battle and to get Aldrich into foul trouble. The Spartans also have the defenders, led by Big Ten defensive player of the year Travis Walton, to force Collins into taking bad shots that he is prone to do. Michigan State defeated Kansas earlier in the year and I expect them to do so again. Lay the points.



2009 Free Selections Record  46-39  (54.1%)

====================================================

Free Selection from Totals4U
Friday's free selection: Syracuse/Oklahoma over 152

====================================================

Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports
233 - 155 run  60 %

FRIDAY  Michigan State     Thur  Xavier TY

WED NJ Nets 12 1/2 ty Tues Penn St + 11  TY

Mon  Atl Hawks ty Sun  Michigan St.  TY

=========================================

Undefeated's system tools pick of the day:

Minnesota/Cleveland  UNDER 190

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