Wednesday Service Plays

Re: Wednesday Service Plays

Karl Garrett

Minnesota +10 at PHILADELPHIA 

Tonight the G-Man takes the points with the Timberwolves, as Minnesota may be riding a 5-game losing streak, but they are hitting the Sixers at the right time.

Philly is fresh back from a 5-game west coast road swing that saw them go to overtime on Monday in their outright win at Portland.

This is just too many points for Phiadelphia to be laying, as the 76ers are only 15-17-2 against the spread at home this year, while the T-Wolves come into this one on a 15-6-1 road spread run their last 22 games.

Minnesota has also won the last pair of series meetings, and 4 of the last 5 outright.

The road team in the series is also on a 6-2-1 spread run the last 9 showdows, making the points the play.

Take Minnesota here.

4♦ MINNESOTA

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Re: Wednesday Service Plays

Drew Gordon

Boston +3' at ORLANDO

The last time these two teams played, I gave you the Magic as my 100K paid play winner March 8th. In that contest, I argued that the Magic were not only healthier, but looking to make a statement against the defending champs, who had beaten twice earlier on this season. HOWEVER, things are a lot different this time around, and here's why:

First and foremost, the Celtics proved that when they have Kevin Garnett in the lineup, they match up particularly well with Orlando, as evidenced by their first two meetings this season - winning by a combined 29 points in those 2 match ups. We saw in their March 8th meeting what happens without the Big Ticket, namely, Orlando's frontline dominated Boston's... But you can rest-assured that will not be the case tonight with KG back in the lineup.

Second, now the motivation is flipped, in that, the Magic may have been the more motivated team the last time they met, but NOT this time. Celtics have an axe to grind after losing to the Magic 86-79 at home in their last one, and I fully expect they'll exact their revenge tonight. Note the underdog in this series is a solid 6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings!

Bottom line, check the local Boston papers and you'll read just how important Pierce and company are taking this game. They believe their home loss in March was an embarassment, and will be looking to return the favor in kind tonight. In the end, we've seen how these teams match up when they're both healthy (as is the case tonight), and I just don't see any reason to believe the Celtics don't grab the cash in this one (with the outright win a very distinct possibility).

Take Boston plus the points over Orlando in this NBA match up.

2♦ BOSTON

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Re: Wednesday Service Plays

Sports Gambling Hotline

Stanford -3 at OREGON STATE 

No strangers here, as Stanford and Oregon State are conference rivals that have already met three times this season, twice during the regluar season, and once in Los Angeles at the Pac 10 tounrament.

Thus far, the Beavers are 2-1 both straight up, and against the spread, but the Cardinal did win the most recent showdown in the conference tournament, going on a late game run that saw them cover the 7-point impost is a 62-54 win and cover.

We like the Tall Tree again tonight, as Johnny Dawkins' tounrnament experience sitting next to Coach K. all of those years is surely paying dividends right now, as Stanford has laid waste to both Boise State, and Wichita State to get to tonight's semifinal showdown.

The fact remains Oregon State is still 15-17 straight up this year, and they are just 5-13 against the spread the last 18 series meetings with Stanford.

We will lay the small road wood, and back Stanford to make it to Monday's final.

Play on the Cardinal.

5♦ STANFORD

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Re: Wednesday Service Plays

Michael Cannon

Stanford -3 at OREGON STATE 

Take Stanford tonight as the road chalk over Oregon State.

Stanford has cruised into the semifinals of this tournament with blowout wins over Boise State at home and Wichita State on the road.  The Cardinal shouldn’t have any problem continuing that trend tonight against an Oregon State team that struggled in conference play all season long.

There is also revenge motive here for Stanford as they lost a pair of regular-season games to the Beavers.  They gained a measure of revenge with a win in the Pac-10 tournament, but this would be even sweeter for the Cardinal.

Oregon State is on ATS slides of 7-20-1 at home, 0-4 in conference play, 2-12 on Wednesday and 4-11-1 after a spread-cover.

Stanford is on ATS runs of 5-2 overall, 4-1 on Wednesday and 16-7-1 versus teams with a losing record.

Take Stanford minus the points as they grab the road win and cover.

2♦ STANFORD

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Re: Wednesday Service Plays

Frank Jordan

Golden State Warriors vs. Dallas Mavericks
Play: Dallas Mavericks -9.5

Golden State had a shot to beat the Spurs last night, but San Antonio was just too good at home winning 107-106. Now the Warriors take on another Texas team in Dallas as they look to halt the mini two game slide. Dallas is currently in the 8th spot in the West and have won 6 of their last 10 games. In their previous two games against one another Dallas won at home by 24 and Golden State won at home by 9 in this one look for the home court to once again come up big as Dallas wins by at leas a dozen. Play Dallas

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Re: Wednesday Service Plays

ALEX SMART

Minnesota Wild @ New York Islanders
PICK: New York Islanders

Jacques Lemaire and the Wild lost to the Rangers at Madison Square Garden last night, which extended a current run of road futility to 5 straight efforts. Minny now on tired legs go across town to play a very talented and suddenly cohesive Scott Gordon coached Islanders team. The Isles are 9-2-2 in their L/13 at home almost exclusively in the underdog role, and are 5-1-1 in their most recent battles on Long Island. Needless to say, a win for a Wild team that has scored an average of just 2 GPG, in their last 11 away tilts , looks very uncertain. With said, I'm betting for rising young star Kyle Okposo to be the catalyst behind the value lined home dog ticket getting cashed by NY Islander betting backers......Play on NYI

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Re: Wednesday Service Plays

LARRY NESS

Denver Nuggets @ New Orleans Hornets
PICK: New Orleans Hornets

The Nuggets enter this game 45-26 and a half-game ahead of the Jazz in the Northwest Division (the Blazers are 1 1/2 games back). The Hornets are 44-25, one game back of the Spurs and 1 1/2 games back of the first-place Rockets in the Southwest. The No. 2 through No. 7 seeds in the West, are separated by a mere 2 1/2 games. Needless to say, this game is important. New Orleans is currently in a 21-game stretch in which only six opponents have winning records. The Hornets have won 12 of 15 so far and while the Nuggets are 45-26, they have struggled mightily on the road since the All Star break. Denver returned from the break by winning at Philly but since that victory, has gone just 1-7 SU, with that lone win coming at 17-53 Memphis. Denver could be without center Nene (14.6-7.8) for this game, as Monday night in Phoenix, the undersized center (who has been excellent, by the way) was given a flagrant foul 2 and ejected with 7:25 remaining in the game for grabbing Suns center Louis Amundson and throwing him to the floor. The Hornets will again be without Peja (13.8-4.4) and Chandler (8.8-8.9) but they've gone 10-3 in the last 13 games with Peja and after going 9-3 in the 12 games in which Chandler returned after his trade to OKC fell through, the Hornets are 3-0 without Chandler these last three games. I'll take Paul (22.2-5.4-10.9) and West (20.0-8.3) over Anthony (22.2-6.9) and Billups (18.3-6.3 APG). Lay it with the Hornets.

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Re: Wednesday Service Plays

Jeff Alexander

1 Unit on Cleveland Cavs -12

The Cavs just won at New Jersey by 8 in their last game and they will be good enough to cover this number at home tonight. Don't expect to see the Cavs taken any nights off as they are in a battle with the Lakers for home court supremacy in the playoffs. The big key here is that Devin Harris is expected to miss for the Nets and they don't stand a chance in hell without him. New Jersey is 2-14 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons, losing by an average score of 88.8 to 103.8 in these games. The Nets are also just 1-9 ATS in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons, losing by an average score of 88.4 to 102.3 in these spots. Lay the points.

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Re: Wednesday Service Plays

Rob Homyak

NotreDame -2.5 vs Kentucky

Jodie Meeks scored 16 points to lift Kentucky past Creighton 65-63 in the second round of the NIT on Monday night.Kentucky cashed as 2-point road underdogs as the teams played under the 139-point total listed by oddsmakers.Notre Dame nearly blew a 10 point lead, but managed to pull out a 70-68 win over New Mexico in the second round of the NIT on Thursday. Notre Dame failed to cover the 5.5-point spread, while the combined score fell UNDER the game's posted total of 147.Luke Harangody dropped a game-high 26 points to lead the charge.Kentucky Wildcats are 5-10 ATS overall, 1-4 ATS on the road, 5-9 ATS against teams with a winning record, 1-5 TS following a spread-cover and 1-4 on Wednesday.Notre Dame has won eight of its last 12, including four of the last five and 4-0 ATS in its last four after a non-cover

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Re: Wednesday Service Plays

Wunderdog

Boston at Orlando
Pick: Orlando -3.5

The odds-maker is saying outside the home-court advantage this game is even. That might be true of a healthy Boston team, but not this one. KG is just getting back into the swing after a knee injury kept him on the sidelines, Leon Powe is out, as well as Tony Allen and Brian Scalabrine and a few others are playing hobbled. The Magic have won five straight at home and look at this as more important than Boston. They both have 18 losses and a Magic win gives them a leg up for home-court if they should meet in the playoffs. The Celtics are more interested in getting healthy and feel they can win on the road, I will go with Orlando here that views the stakes higher and are healthier.

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Re: Wednesday Service Plays

Jack Jones

Charlotte Bobcats -6.5 over Washington Wizards

The list of Wizards injuries are starting to pile up as they are starting to look more like an NFL team than an NBA one with all of their stars sidelined. Caron Butler's hamstring, Juan Dixon's ankle, Gilbert Arena's knee, Etan Thomas's knee, and Brendan Haywood's wrist all have them questionable at best for tonight's game. That is a heavy burden fro Antawn Jamison to carry by himself and while he's doing a pretty good job he can't do it all on his own. Washington has lost five straight games and seven of eight. Charlotte lost pretty bad at home to Indiana the other night, but had rattled off three straight wins before that. The Wizards have packed it in so lay the points with the Bobcats tonight.

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Re: Wednesday Service Plays

Black Widow

1* on Washington Wizards +6.5

The Wizards are showing too great of value to pass up Wednesday when hosting the Charlotte Bobcats. Yes, Charlotte is still in the playoff race but they have no business being this heavily favored on the road. After all, the Bobcats are a mere 11-22 on the road this year, winning only 33% of their games. These teams have already played 3 times this season, with Charlotte winning all 3 meetings. But the Bobcats won by only 3 at Washington last time, and it is very tough to beat the same team 4 times in one year. That’s the task Charlotte faces tonight and they won’t be able to pull it off. The Wizards will use this as a motivational factor which is crucial because it is hard for this team to be motivated right now. Washington is 49-21 ATS (+25.9 Units) after 5 or more consecutive losses since 1996. The Wizards are 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) after a close loss by 3 points or less over the last 3 seasons. This line has clearly been inflated tonight. Take the Wizards and the points.

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Re: Wednesday Service Plays

Dave Price

1 Unit on Indiana Pacers -1

Indiana decisive win at Charlotte last game sets up a nice system we will play on tonight. Indiana is a perfect 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) off a double digit win as a road underdog of 6 more since 1996, winning in these spots by an average score of 99.7 to 91.4. Also, look for fatigue to catch up with Miami tonight as the Heat are only 4-12 ATS when playing their 3rd game in 4 days this season. Pound the Pacers.

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Re: Wednesday Service Plays

Frank Jordan

Golden State Warriors vs. Dallas Mavericks    
Play: Dallas Mavericks -9.5
       
Golden State had a shot to beat the Spurs last night, but San Antonio was just too good at home winning 107-106. Now the Warriors take on another Texas team in Dallas as they look to halt the mini two game slide. Dallas is currently in the 8th spot in the West and have won 6 of their last 10 games. In their previous two games against one another Dallas won at home by 24 and Golden State won at home by 9 in this one look for the home court to once again come up big as Dallas wins by at leas a dozen. Play Dallas

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Re: Wednesday Service Plays

Tony Karpinski

Kentucky vs. Notre Dame
Play: Notre Dame -3     

People tend to forget this Notre Dame squad was playing some pretty good basketball coming down the stretch in the always tough Big East conference and this line is a little short in our estimation, especially with the Irish getting Kentucky in South Bend, where they shoot the ball extremely well.

Notre Dame edged New Mexico 70-68 on Thursday, but failed to cover as a five-point favorite. The Irish have won eight of their last 12 games and four of their last five. Remember this team went to UConn and played the Huskies right down to the wire fbefore losing in the final minute. Look for the Irish to control the pace and dominate this one with their good 3-pt shooting at home.

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Re: Wednesday Service Plays

Dwayne Bryant

MIN +10 vs PHI

The Sixers are obviously the better team in this matchup, but the better team doesn't always win. And even when they do win, they don't always cover the spread.This is a tough spot for Philly. The Sixers are coming off an upset road win in OT at Portland on Monday night. That win capped a successful 3-2 West Coast road trip that also included a win over the Lakers. This is the 76ers' first home game in over a week, which is a tough spot for these NBA teams, especially off an upset road win.Minnesota is on a 5-game skid, but if you look past their most recent loss at Atlanta, the T'wolves played some pretty solid road games this month. Minny lost by just 2 at Portland (one of the best home teams in the NBA), by just 7 at San Antonio (one of the top teams in the NBA), and by just 1 at New Orleans (another tough Western Conference playoff team). From a series perspective, Minnesota is 4-1 SU and ATS in the last 5 meetings. The Timberwolves are also 19-7-1 ATS in their last 27 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.The 76ers are just 4-9 ATS in their last 13 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game, and 4-9-2 ATS in their last 15 games vs. a team with a losing SU record. The 76ers are also just 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games, and 3-8 ATS in their last 11 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.Too many points for Philly to be laying in this spot. I'll grab the points with Minnesota tonight.

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Re: Wednesday Service Plays

King Creole

MIN +10 vs PHI

Want a DOG-oriented series? You got it! The UNDERDOG in the Minnesota-Philadelphia series is 7-0-1 ATS in the last 4 seasons. As bad as thing have been for the T'Wolves lately, they do play their BEST when they are getting sizable points, like tonight. Minnesota is 10-2-1 ATS since January 1st when installed as an underdog of 8 or more points. And in the 2008/09 season, when they are taking this many points on the ROAD, they have gone a VERY profitable 15-3-1 ATS. Meanwhile, when the Sixers are 'chopping BIG wood' (laying a lot of points), they have not done very well. How does 0-5 ATS since December sound as a favorite of -8 > points?

Tonight's game has a very RARE 'pointspread reversal' going for the host Sixers. They were a +8 underdog on the road vs Portland on Monday night. Now, after traveling across the country, they are laying -9.5 points at home. That's a pointspread reversal of a whopping 17.5 points (from a dog of +8 to a fav of -9.5).

0-3 ATS this season: NBA favorites of 7 > points off a SU win as an UNDERDOG of + 7 > points (Sixers).

You do NOT want to be betting on a NBA team playing at HOME off a long road trip (like the Sixers). That first game back has these teams feeling cloudy and confused.

0-5 ATS last 2 months: All NBA home favs of > 5 points playing off 5 or more rOAD games in a row (Sixers).

With a current 5-game losing streak, it's time to load up on the T'WOLVES.... according to the NBA database.

7-0 ATS last 2 months: All NBA non-conference road teams who have lost 5 or more games in a row (T'WOLVES).

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Re: Wednesday Service Plays

Jrtips

LA CLIPPERS vs. NY KNICKS

The New York Knicks will try to avoid a sixth straight loss to the Los Angeles Clippers who they lost to last month. New York (28-42) is in danger of matching a season high for consecutive losses, and ending its chance to make the postseason.The Knicks lost against the Clippers who are (17-54), 128-124 in overtime on Feb. 11th. Los Angeles has won three straight and seven of eight against New York and the Clippers will try to make it five straight home losses for the knicks after losing 106-102 to Orlando on Monday night. The Knicks are playing hard and forward David Lee returned Monday Night, and had 14 points and 13 rebounds after missing a loss at Orlando on Saturday night due to tendinitis in his right knee. Lee is tied with Magic star Dwight Howard for the league lead with 55 double-doubles. New York is without Larry Hughes who was averaging 13.5 points in 15 games since being acquired in a trade with Chicago. Hughes is questionable tonight, but the Knicks shouldn't have much trouble scoring against the Clippers. New York averages 105.5 points per game and Los Angeles allows 103.7. The Clippers played well on defense in a 90-77 loss to Boston on Monday night, but that was the first time in seven games the Clippers gave up fewer than 100 points. Los Angeles lost for the 11th time in its last 13 contests being outscored by an average of 19.7 points during a nine-game road losing streak. Second-year Clipper forward Al Thornton returned to the lineup Monday after missing a game due to a sore right shoulder as he had 20 points and eight rebounds in this season's first matchup with New York. Even though these two teams put up a lot of points in their game last month that went to overtime, the NY Knicks have gone under the total in six straight games while the Clippers have only averaged 80 points a game in their last three outings. Asking these two struggling teams to score 108 points a piece is way to much.TAKE UNDER 216

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Re: Wednesday Service Plays

EZWINNERS'S FREE SELECTION

Game: Los Angeles Clippers @ New York Knicks


(673) Los Angeles Clippers (+7)


Both of these teams are struggling as the Clippers are only 1-4
in their last five games and the Knicks are on a five game losing
steak. But I'll back the Clippers here getting a generous amount
of points. The Knicks are only 4-12 against the spread in their
last sixteen games as a favorite of more than five points. I expect
Zach Randolph to have a big game against his former team and
keep this one within the Vegas number. Take the points.



2009 Free Selections Record  44-39  (53.0%)

=======================================================

Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports
231 - 155 run  60 %

WED   NJ Nets

=========================================================

Free Selection from Totals4U
Wednesday's free selection: New Jersey Nets + 12 1/2

=========================================================

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Re: Wednesday Service Plays

Rocketman

St. Mary's @ San Diego State 
Play: St. Mary's +3.5

St. Mary's barely missed the Big Dance.  Many times those teams then go into the NIT and have a huge let down just like South Carolina this year.  Other teams, like St. Mary's, go into the NIT wanting to prove themselves to the world and to the committee that a possible mistake was made and that they did deserve a spot in the Big Dance.  Also, this team represents a smaller conference and wants to do well for future consideration.  St. Mary's is 28-6 this year while San Diego State comes in at 25-9 on the season.  St. Mary's is 8-2 ATS this year when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games.  St. Mary's is 17-1 SU in non-conference games this year.  St. Mary's is 4-1 SU and ATS overall vs San Diego State since 1997.  We'll recommend a small play on St. Mary's tonight! 

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