MONDAY PREMIUM SERVICE PLAYS

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HOWIE FEINER

Non Conference Game of the Week

L.A. Clippers (200) at Boston Celtics (-15')

This is a huge number as L.A. will easily stay inside this bloated number tonight. Kevin Garnett is back, but nowhere near 100 percent and Paul Pierce (5-of-22 shooting the last two games) is struggling. The Celtics have covered just three of their last 13 including an outright loss at the Clippers on Feb. 25. L.A. was horrible Sunday afternoon at Toronto, so this is a classic bounce back spot for the Clips as Zach Randolph, Baron Davis and L.A. keep this one competitive and close.

L.A. Clippers (+15') 100 Dimes


Atlantic Conference Game of the Week

Orlando Magic (217) at New York Knicks (+6)

Orlando turned back visiting New York Saturday night by a 110-103 count, and look for the Knicks to again cover in keeping this one close tonight. Center David Lee, he of 54 double-doubles this year, missed Saturday's game with a sore knee, but he's expected to be back tonight. New York is on ATS runs of 10-3 versus teams with winning records and 28-18 when avenging a road loss. Big effort tonight from Nate Robinson, Quentin Richardson and the Knicks as they stay inside this number.

New York Knicks (+6) 100 Dimes

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Wayne Root

Chairman- Vermont
Millionaire- Wichita State
Moneymaker- St Marys

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INDIAN COWBOY

5 Unit Play (CBI Goy). Take Over 143.5 between Charleston vs. Richmond

We started off the week strong in college hoops last week and then tailed a bit. No worries as I'm confident our research will yield a strong March to close and then we will continue to roll as the NBA takes us into summer. We had a winning January and February in college hoops and I'm confident we will return to that consistency we are used to. If you are looking for other selections today check out the site each day and read the research as every cbb and nba game is researched and published except for the ones that I have a play in. As per this play, Charleston is a team that can light it up. Frankly, it should have been this team that should have been playing in the NCAA Tourney but one of the worst officiated games ever went down in the books in Chattanooga as the home crowd helped propel Chattanooga to a birth to the Tourney. I'm glad the Southern Conference strategy of playing conference games blew up in their face as Chatt got blown out by 50+ to Uconn. If that was Charleston, I can promise you it would have been far more competitive. Rather than taking Charleston to win this game, let's take the over as I expect them to be a solid dog today. Remember, Charleston put up 93 points on Troy on the road and 77 points on Davidson on the road. For this game to go ovr, we need to expect each team to knock up roughly 72 points which I expec tot happen. Just as much as Charleston relies on the outside shot and loves to run, Richmond likes to do the same. The Spiders are the same team that put up 80 points on Xavier at home and 78 against Rhode Island. Heck, Richmond even put up 75 points against a defensive St. John's team and that game totaled 144. So, why can't this game total of 144? The over is 4-0 in the last 4 non-conference games and the over is 5-1 for the Spiders in the last 6 home games when they face a team with a winning % greater than 60% - meaning that if when they face competitive teams, both teams push the total over.


4 Unit Play. Take Belmont +6 over ODU

This is just way too tempting not to take Belmont here for several reasons. For starers, the public to a tune of 70% loves ODU here. But, it is Belmont that is a rock solid taem who shoots nearly 70% free throws, who lost to Tennessee on the road by a bucket and who comes off beating Evansville by 16 on the road. Belmont is out of the A-sun and I have personally seen this team place several times this year. This team lost to the eventual A-Sun champ in East-Tennessee State. This is not to take anything away from ODU but if you noticed they only beat Citadel by 8 points at home who is a top 200 team. Belmont is a top 125 team. ODU only beat the likes of William and Mary and Richmond by 1 point and 3 points. Belmont is an extremely well coached team, that shoots quailty free throws and runs a nice pro-set offense and defense. I can see Belmont hanging tough here and have an outside shot at a win. I'll take the 6 points here as the ODU Monarchs are 1-7 ATS as a small favorite of 0 to 6.5 points at home and 2-9 ATS as a favorite of this margin as they typically do not play well as small home favorites as they typically win these games but not by a wide margin.


4 Unit Play. Take the Boston Celtics -15.5 over the L.A. Clippers

It's not often that I take such a heavy favorite, but I like the Celtics here as they return home from their road trip. The C's are back in form after crushing the Grizzlies on the road and Garnett played for over 15 minutes in that contest as he gets a feel for the action again. The C's have won their last 3 including over Miami at home, defeating San Antonio on the road with Garnett back and defeating Memphis on the road by 18. The C's lost to the Clippers on the road by a bucket last time around and without a doubt, Pierce, Allen and company remember that loss. This team remembers their losses such as the one to SA only to go on the road to defeat them. I look for the C's to step up big here and win in a defensive manner holding the Clippers to probably less than 90 points while the Celtics top 110 at home with that revenge. There might be a backdoor cover here, but if the C's can win by 18 on the road at Memphis, why can't they win by 16 or more at hoem against a team who they have revenge with as they return home from back to back road games. The Clippers are 0-4 ATS when facing a team with a winning record on the road, they are 1-4 ATS as 11 point dogs or greater while the C's are 15-5 as a favorite of 11 points or greater at home.

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Steam On-Line Guaranteed Selections

CBI TOURNAMENT TOTALS PLAY OF THE YEAR

College of Charleston and Richmond OVER 143.5

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Wizard of Odds Guaranteed Selections

COLLEGE INSIDER TOURNAMENT PLAY OF THE YEAR

Bradley -3

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DR BOB

Monday College Opinions

BRADLEY (-3) over Oakland

Bradley has been much better at home under coach Jim Les (59-35-4 ATS) than they have been on the road (43-49 ATS) and the Braves apply to a decent 43-18 ATS post-season situation. My ratings favor the Braves by 3 ½ points over Oakland and I’ll lean with Bradley at -3 or less.


Stanford (+1) over WICHITA STATE

The Pac-10 isn’t getting a lot of respect from the oddsmakers and the public, but the Pac-10 has actually been an underrated conference this season. Pac 10 teams are 55% ATS in non-conference games this season and that number goes to 57% if you take out the Oregon schools (the two worst teams in the league). Stanford is 7-2 ATS in non-conference games this season and my ratings favor the Cardinal by 3 points in this game. Stanford struggled on the road, but I still get the Cardinal by 1 point using their road games against Wichita’s home games. I’ll lean with Stanford at -1 or better based on the line value.

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Helmut

Davidson / Saint Marys-CA Over 143

Tonight’s game should be played at a up-tempo pace as both teams like to push at times. Both of these teams are also excellent on the offensive end with the Gael’s ranking #34 in the league in offensive efficiency and the Wildcat’s ranking #37. I believe this game will exceed 140 total possessions and when that number of possessions has been exceeded the Gael’s have played exceeded 70 points in 8/9 games and the Wildcat’s have exceeded 70 points in 18/20 games. The Wildcat’s have shot the ball very well from the field down the stretch with the last 4/5 games shooting >47% from the field. They did not protect the ball very well when facing South Carolina last game which kept the scoring down for them despite shooting very well. The Gaels have their superstar Mills back and look like a much better offensive team in the last two games putting up 85 points on Eastern Washington and 68 points on a tough Washington State team.

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JB Sports

3* Bulls
2* Blazers
2* Suns

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Mike Lineback

Washington Wizards

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Opposite Action Plays

Creighton

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KBHoops

NBA
5* Minnesota/Atlanta UNDER 195 **POD**
4* Orlando -6
3* Memphis +9.5
2* Bulls/Wizards UNDER 210

CBB
3* Vermont +1
2* Coll Of Charleston +4.5

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BeatYourBookie

100* Play Vermont (+1.5) over Oregon State (NCAA)

Oregon State is 1-10 ATS when playing in the month of March
Oregon State is 0-3 ATS when playing as a favorite this season
Oregon State is 4-14 ATS coming off a game as a home underdog
Oregon State is 9-19 ATS in all home games the last 2 seasons


100* Play Belmont (+6) over Old Dominion (NCAA)

Old Dominion is 1-9 ATS when playing in the month of March
Old Dominion is 2-12 ATS in all tournament games the last 3 seasons
Old Dominion is 1-4 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less
Old Dominion is 5-12 ATS coming off a win this season


100* Play Northeastern (+8) over UTEP (NCAA)

Northeastern is 3-0 ATS when the total posted is between 130 and 139.5
Northeastern is 6-1 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 2 of the last 3 games
Northeastern is 5-1 ATS coming off an upset win as a road underdog


Other Hoops & Hockey Plays

50* Play Kentucky (+1.5) over Creighton (NCAA)

30* Play NY Knicks (+5.5) over Orlando (NBA)

30* Play Calgary (-105) over Detroit (NHL)

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CALIFORNIA SPORTS

4* STANFORD
4* ST MARYS
3* Bradley

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ATS LOCK CLUB

4 Units UTEP -7
3 Units Oregon St -1

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Best Sports Picks

Stanford +1
Bradley -3

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SMTM Sports Picks

2* Liberty -3
2* Red Wings -125
2* Under College of Charleston/Richmond 143
1* Vermont +1
1* St. Marys/Davidson Under 143 1/2

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Seabass

50 Red Wings Under

50 LA Clippers
50 Heat

30 Richmond
30 UTEP
30 Davidson
30 VT

100 Stanford (Vegas Steam)

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BIG AL

At 7 pm, our College Insider Tournament Game of the Year is on the Old Dominion Monarchs minus the points over Belmont, as ODU falls into a super 96-50 ATS system of mine. One of the things I like to do in the post-season is fade teams off upset wins, and another thing I like to do is play on teams off three or more pointspread losses. And when I can get a post-season matchup between a team off 3 ATS losses and a team off an upset win, then that's a 64% play (since 1991) to take the team off 3 ATS losses. And that's our situation tonight. Belmont checks in off a big upset win at Evansville (92-76), while Old Dominion has won 2 of 3, but failed to cover the spread in each of those games. In its first game of this tournament, played at home vs. The Citadel, ODU won 67-59 as a 10-point favorite. It now gets a second consecutive game at home, while Belmont must play a 2nd straight game on the road. That situation has historically favored the home team (29-20 ATS its last 49). Finally, its win at Evansville notwithstanding, Belmont has struggled when it "steps up in class" and plays a team from a major or mid-major conference as it has covered just 31% of the time dating back to 1990. College Insider Tourney Game of the Year on Old Dominion.

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Blade,
I'm lookiing for Stew's NIT GOY??? Have you or anyone seen it??? He's a "capper" on pregame>  big_smile

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