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Saturday Service Plays

Saturday Service Plays

Vernon Croy

UCLA vs. Villanova     
Play: Villanova  -1.5 
Take Villanova ATS, Villanova is the better overall team on the court here Saturday and the Bruins are just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games against a team with a winning record over .600. Villanova is 13-1 SU in their last 14 non-conference games. UCLA depends on their 3 point shot but Villanova's perimeter defense has been solid this season while UCLA's perimeter defense has been anything but solid with opponents shooting 40.1% against them from beyond the arc. I have Villanova winning this game by 6-8 points Saturday so take them as your NCAA Free Play and make sure you get on my NCAA Hardcore Hoops Smash that cashes hands down Saturday afternoon.

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Craig Trapp

Maryland vs. Memphis U    
Play: Maryland +9       
Maryland is one of those teams that can not only cover ATS but also upset Memphis and become a great Cinderella story. Lets look at trends and records for these two teams!

Team records:

Maryland: 21-13 SU, 16-10-2 ATS

Memphis: 32-3 SU, 20-12-2 ATS


Terrapins are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games.

Terrapins are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.

Terrapins are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog.

Tigers are 14-5 ATS in their last 19 games overall.

Tigers are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games as a favorite.

Maryland has went from a bubble team to a possible Sweet 16 Cinderella team. This will be a classic defense vs offense match up. Memphis has the best man to man defense in the country while Maryland is a very good offensive team. Greivis Vasquez picked up 27 points on Thursday afternoon as No. 10 Maryland rolled to an 84-71 win over No. 7 California in the first round of the NCAA Tournament. Vasquez has been almost unstoppable in the last 5 games and Memphis even though very solid on defense will still struggle to stop him. Don't buy into the hype of Memphis they have not beat anybody for the last two months playing in a very weak Conference USA. Memphis was upset about a #2 seed but after this loss on Saturday will have nothing to cry about. Enjoy the big upset here. SCORE MARY 70 - MEM 68

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Reason: Cleveland has only one loss at home all season, and they almost got another the last game, as the talented Blazers took them to overtime. The Cavs escaped with the 97-92 win. "Our guys stepped up. Fought hard. In a nasty game," said Roy, who nearly matched James' triple double with 24 points, seven rebounds and seven assists. Now they face a far easier opponent, the banged up Bucks. Portland is healthier with Greg Oden back, and in a tight playoff race for seeding. Milwaukee has lost 3 of 4 games. with the defensive getting smoked by the Magic, Hornets and Knicks. Play the Blazers.

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Marc Lawrence

Play On: Washington Wizards

The Wizards take on the Suns in Phoenix tonight off last night's loss at Denver with revenge on their minds. Washington checks in of last night's loss with revenge while the Suns enter off a double-digit revenge win with a revenger up next against Denver. With phoenix just 1-7 ATS in this series when the Wizards are unrested, we'll grab the bundle of points against the disinterested Suns tonight.

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Dave Cokin

Purdue vs. Washington
Play: Washington -1

Purdue looked okay in their opening round win over Northern Iowa, but Washington was better as they dispatched Mississippi State. The performance thus far of the Big 10 in comparison to the PAC 10 can certainly be factored into this game, and the site clearly favors the left coast squad as well. This should be one of the best second round games as Purdue is a very capable entry and the Huskies are a solid team. It's too close on paper for me to take a strong stand, but I'll lean to Washington to move on to the Sweet 16.

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Jimmy The Moose

Toronto Maple Leafs at Montreal Canadiens
Prediction: over

Toronto has played the over in 2 of their last 3 games. The over is a profitable 23-11 in their last 34 road games. The Maple Leafs have been a very good team this season playing on Saturday night's. The over is 5-2 in their last 7 saturday games. The over is 11-3-4 in Montreal's last 18 games vs. a team with a losing record. The over is 15-6-3 in their last 24 games vs. an Eastern Conference opponent. The over is 4-1-1 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. The over is a money making 21-7-4 in the last 32 meetings between the clubs. Play the over.

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(at Greensboro, N.C.)

(7) Texas (23-11, 12-18-1 ATS) vs. (2) Duke (29-6, 17-16-1 ATS)

Duke drubbed 15th-seeded Binghamton 86-62 to open the tournament Thursday, narrowly covering as a heavy 23½-point chalk. The Blue Devils had six players reach double-figure scoring, paced by Jon Scheyer’s 15 points, and they were particularly effective from 3-point range, going 9-for-20 (45 percent). Duke also nearly doubled up Binghamton on the glass, with a 35-18 rebounding edge, improving to 9-1 SU (6-4 ATS) in its last 10 starts.

Texas topped Minnesota 76-62 laying 4½ points Thursday, covering for the first time in its last five games (1-3-1 ATS). The Longhorns were even more effective than Duke with the long ball, racking up 33 points on 11-for-20 shooting (55 percent), with A.J. Abrams connecting on eight 3-pointers en route to 26 points. Despite the win and cover, though, Texas is still just 6-14-1 ATS in its last 21 games.

Duke is 3-0 SU and ATS in three meetings this decade with Texas, winning all three by at least 26 points, including a 97-66 pounding as a 2½-point home chalk in December 2005.

Duke, in its 33rd NCAA Tournament, bowed out in the second round last year with a 73-67 loss to West Virginia as a four-point favorite – a year after getting shocked in the first round by Virginia Commonwealth – so the Blue Devils are looking to get a second NCAA win for the first time since 2006. Texas, on its 26th NCAA trip, is now 4-1 SU (3-2 ATS) in its last five tourney starts, having reached the Elite Eight last year.

Despite Thursday’s effort, the Blue Devils are still on ATS slides of 2-8 in the NCAAs and 2-9 as a chalk in the Big Dance, but they sport positive pointspread streaks of 6-2 after a SU win and 5-2 at neutral sites. The Longhorns remain in ATS ruts of 4-10-1 overall, 2-12 after a spread-cover, 1-5 getting points and 7-19-2 after a SU win.

Favorites went 10-6 SU but just 5-10-1 ATS on Friday, giving the chalks a 22-10 SU mark for the first round, but the underdogs went 19-12-1 ATS.

The under for Duke is on tears of 10-3 at neutral sites, 9-3 with the Blue Devils a Tournament favorite and 13-6 after a SU win. On the flip side, the over for Texas is on runs of 4-0 in the Tournament, 8-0-1 with the ‘Horns a neutral-site pup, 5-1 against the ACC and 7-2 following a SU win.

The under was 10-5-1 in Friday’s games and is 16-15-1 through the first round.


(at Philadelphia)

(6) UCLA (26-8, 16-16-1 ATS) vs. (3) Villanova (27-7, 16-14 ATS)

Villanova, playing ostensibly home games this weekend at the Wachovia Center, got all it could handle from 14th-seeded American in the opening round Thursday. The Wildcats fell behind by 14 points before rallying in the second half for an 80-67 victory, falling just short as a 15-point chalk. Dante Cunningham and Dwayne Anderson each scored 25, but Villanova failed to cover for the third straight game and is just 3-7 ATS in its last 10 starts (7-3 SU).

UCLA was on the brink of speedy elimination until Virginia Commonwealth’s Eric Maynor came up short on a last-second jumper, giving the Bruins a 65-64 win laying 8½-points. Josh Shipp (16 points) led five players in double figures for UCLA, which hit 17 of 19 free throws (89.5 percent) to improve to 6-1 SU and 5-1-1 ATS in its last seven games.

These two programs played a home-and-home in 2001 and 2002, with the home team winning each time and UCLA going 1-0-1 ATS.

Villanova, in its 29th NCAA tourney, will look to reach the third round for the second straight year today, having beaten Siena 84-72 as a 5½-point favorite in the second round last year. UCLA, on its 43rd NCAA trip, is seeking its fourth consecutive trip to the Final Four. Last year, the Bruins escaped the second round with a 51-49 win over Texas A&M as a 9½-point chalk.

The Wildcats are still 10-5 ATS in their last 15 starts against winning teams, but they are on ATS dips of 2-6 at neutral sites (0-4 this year), 1-6 as a Tournament chalk and 2-7 overall in the Tournament. The Bruins are on a 23-9-1 run in their last 32 starts from the underdog role, but they are on pointspread purges of 0-4-1 after a non-cover, 1-4 in the Tournament and 2-5-1 against winning teams.

The over for Villanova is on rolls of 9-4 overall, 8-1 against teams with a win percentage above .600 and 7-2 as a neutral-site chalk, and the over for UCLA is on runs of 13-4 overall, 5-0 with the Bruins a ‘dog and 8-3 after a SU win. However, the under is 8-1 in the Wildcats’ last nine non-conference outings, 4-1 in the Bruins’ last five on neutral floors and 9-3 in UCLA’s last 12 games against Big East foes.


(at Greensboro, N.C.)

(8) LSU (27-7, 14-12-1 ATS) vs. (1) North Carolina (29-4, 12-19-0 ATS)

North Carolina was without star guard Ty Lawson (toe) for its NCAA opener, but still rumbled to a 101-58 win over Radcliffe laying 25 points, snapping a four-game ATS slide. Wayne Ellington and Tyler Hansbrough had 25 and 22 points, respectively, and Danny Green doubled up with 15 points and 10 rebounds for the Tar Heels, who covered for just the second time in their last nine starts – all from the favorite’s role.

LSU held off No. 9 seed Butler 75-71 to cover as a 1½-point favorite, halting a 1-3 SU and ATS skid in the process. Marcus Thornton went off for 30 points on 10-for-15 shooting (3-for-4 from 3-point range) and added six rebounds, four assists and four steals for the Tigers, who shot nearly seven percent better than the Bulldogs (49.1 percent-42.3 percent).

North Carolina, playing in the Big Dance for the 41st time, is pursuing its second straight Final Four berth. Last year, the Heels won their first four NCAA starts SU and ATS, including a 108-77 second-round blitzing of Arkansas as a 9½-point favorite. LSU, which missed the Tournament the past two years, is looking to reach the second week after getting to the Final Four in 2006.

The Tar Heels remain on ATS dives of 1-10 after a spread-cover, 1-7 against winning teams and 4-17 following a SU win, but they carry positive ATS streaks of 8-0 against the SEC, 5-1 in the NCAAs, 7-3 at neutral sites and 41-18 outside the ACC. The Tigers, meanwhile, are on pointspread skids of 2-7 on neutral courts, 11-30-1 on Saturday, 2-5 after a SU win and 4-9 in non-conference action.

The over for Carolina is on streaks of 9-4 after a SU win, 12-5-1 after a spread-cover and 6-2 against the SEC, and the over for LSU is on rolls of 4-0 outside the SEC, 4-1 after a SU win, 12-4 after a spread-cover and 8-3 on neutral floors.


(at Kansas City, Mo.)

(10) Michigan (21-13, 16-11 ATS) vs. (2) Oklahoma (28-5, 14-13-1 ATS)

Oklahoma shook off a 2-4 SU and 1-5 ATS skid to rip Morgan State 82-54 Thursday in the first round, easily covering as a 15-point favorite to halt a three-game pointspread dip. Double-double stud Blake Griffin had 28 points and 13 rebounds on 11-for-12 shooting as the Sooners hit a scorching 60.4 percent from the floor (29 of 48), while holding the Bears to a dismal 28.6 percent (22-for-77).

Michigan got the mini-upset over seventh-seeded Clemson with a 62-59 victory as a 4½-point underdog, giving the Wolverines a 5-1 ATS mark (4-2 SU) in their last six games. Michigan got whipped on the boards (40-28), giving up 20 offensive rebounds, but the Wolverines hit 10 of their 26 3-pointers and held the Tigers to just 32.3 percent shooting, including 5 of 22 from long distance (22.7 percent).

These two teams last met in the second round of the 2004 NIT, with Michigan winning 63-52 as a 3½-point home favorite.

Oklahoma is in its 26th NCAA Tournament and looking to reach the Sweet 16 after getting drubbed in the second round last year, losing to Louisville 78-48 catching seven points. Michigan is just hoping to extend its first NCAA appearance since 1998, when the Wolverines bowed out in the second round.

Despite the Sooners’ effort Thursday, they are still mired in ATS funks of 2-5 overall, 1-5 against winning teams, 8-19 on neutral courts and 6-13 as a neutral-site chalk. The Wolverines have gone 3-7 ATS in their last 10 starts as a neutral-court pup, but along with their current 5-1 ATS run, they are on pointspread upswings of 4-0 outside the Big Ten, 5-1 against winning teams and 4-1 getting points.

The under has hit in Michigan’s last three starts and is on further rolls of 12-5-1 overall, 7-0 on neutral floors, 7-2 after a SU win, 16-5-1 with the Wolverines a ‘dog and 6-0 with the Wolverines a neutral-site pup.

Likewise, the under for Oklahoma is on stretches of 4-1 overall, 8-3-1 at neutral sites and 5-1 with the Sooners a neutral-floor chalk, but the over is on runs of 11-5-1 in Oklahoma’s last 17 non-conference starts and 9-4 with the Sooners favored.


(at Portland, Ore.)

(12) W. Kentucky (25-8, 17-12-1 ATS) vs.  (4) Gonzaga (27-5, 15-14 ATS)

Western Kentucky sprung the seemingly annual 12-5 upset, holding off Illinois 76-72 Thursday as a 5½-point ‘dog to move to 8-0 SU and 7-1 ATS in its last eight games. The Hilltoppers hit 9 of 19 3-pointers (47.4 percent), compared with 5 of 18 for Illinois (27.8 percent), and had five players in double-figure scoring, led by Steffphon Pettigrew’s 17 points. Western Kentucky also beat the Illini on the boards 35-28, including 9-4 on the offensive end.

Gonzaga got pushed around into the second half against Akron before finally taking control with a 24-4 run en route to a 77-64 victory, narrowly failing to cover as a 13½-point chalk but improving to 7-1 SU (5-3 ATS) at neutral sites this season. Forward Josh Heytvelt finished with 22 points and eight rebounds, and the Bulldogs shot 52.3 percent for the game while holding the Zips to just 36.8 percent.

These two teams got together early last season, with Gonzaga eking out a 74-71 home win but Western Kentucky getting the cash as a six-point pup.

The Zags are in their 12th Tournament, shaking off one-and-done performances in each of their past two NCAA appearances to reach the second round for the first time since 2006, when they picked up two wins to earn a Sweet 16 berth. Western Kentucky, in its 21st Tournament, is looking to reach the third round for the second straight year, as it won a pair of games in 2008 before falling to UCLA in the round of 16.

The Hilltoppers are on several ATS hot streaks, including 6-0 overall, 5-0 in the Tournament, 17-5 on neutral courts, 6-1 as a neutral-site ‘dog, 20-7-1 against winning teams and 41-17-1 outside the Sun Belt Conference. On the flip side, the Bulldogs are on pointspread purges of 2-7 in the NCAAs, 1-5 as a Tournament favorite, 1-6 in non-conference action and 4-10 against winning teams.

The under for Western Kentucky is on a 4-1 run, but the over is on rolls of 5-1 with the Hilltoppers a neutral-site pup and 4-1 with the ‘Toppers a Tournament ‘dog. In addition, the over for Gonzaga is on streaks of 7-2 overall, 5-1 in the Tournament and 6-2 after a SU win. Plus, both these team’s first-round games cleared the posted price.


(at Kansas City, Mo.)

(10) Maryland (21-13, 16-10-2 ATS) vs. (2) Memphis (32-3, 22-12 ATS)

Memphis stretched the nation’s longest active winning streak to 26 games, but with much more of a fight than it expected in an 81-70 victory over Cal State-Northridge as a 20-point chalk. The Tigers led by just three at the half and needed a monster game from reserve guard Roburt Sallie, who had averaged just 4.5 ppg, but hit 10 of 15 3-pointers on his way to a 35-point effort against the Matadors. Memphis had held four straight opponents under 50 points prior to Thursday, and it was the first time in nearly a month that the Tigers gave up more than 60 points.

Maryland dropped seventh-seeded California 84-71 Thursday as a 1½-point pup, notching its fourth straight spread-cover (3-1 ATS) after a 2-4 SU and ATS skid. Greivis Vasquez led the way with 27 points as four Terrapins scored in double figures, and Maryland outshot the Golden Bears by nearly seven percent, going 31 of 63 from the floor (49.2 percent), while holding Cal to 25 of 59 from the field (42.4 percent).

These two squads haven’t squared off since November 2004, when Maryland earned an 84-61 rout as a 3½-point home favorite.

Memphis, which brought the nation’s fourth-ranked defense to its 22nd NCAA Tournament, reached the national championship game last year before falling short to Kansas in overtime. The Tigers have made it to at least the Elite Eight each of the last three years. Maryland, in its 23rd Tournament after missing out last year, looks to get past the second round, where it lost to Butler in 2007.

Despite failing to cash Thursday, the Tigers remain on a plethora of positive pointspread streaks, including 14-5 overall, 5-1 in non-conference play, 11-3 against winning teams, 14-5 after a SU win and 5-0 after a non-cover. Likewise, the Terrapins are on pointspread rolls of 4-0 overall, 5-0 on neutral floors, 4-1 catching points and 8-3-2 in non-conference action.

The over is on a 7-1 tear for Memphis in NCAA Tournament play, and the over was the play in the first-round game for both these teams. But the under for the Tigers is on streaks of 19-7 overall, 8-1 after a SU win, 4-1 on neutral courts and 5-2 outside Conference USA, and the under for the Terps is on pushes of 6-2 overall, 4-0 after a SU win, 5-1 with Maryland a ‘dog and 7-2 at neutral sites.


(at Philadelphia)

(9) Texas A&M (24-9, 16-9 ATS) vs. (1) Connecticut (28-4, 13-15 ATS)

UConn, playing its first game since suffering a heartbreaking six-overtime loss to Syracuse in the quarterfinals of the Big East tournament on March 12, completely annihilated Chattanooga 103-47 as a 20½-point favorite for its first postseason win in three years. With coach Jim Calhoun watching from a hospital bed because of an illness, the Huskies outshot the Mocs 52.1 percent to 25.8 percent in posting the third-largest margin of victory in Tournament history.

Texas A&M jumped out to a 26-8 lead against eighth-seeded BYU in Thursday’s first-round contest at the Rose Garden and was never really threatened en route to a 79-66 upset win as a three-point underdog. It marked the second straight year that the Aggies eliminated BYU in a first-round Tournament matchup. Going back to the regular season, A&M has now won seven of its last eight games and is also riding an 11-3 ATS hot streak.

UConn, which is in the Tournament for the 29th time in school history, had lost two straight NCAA Tournament and three consecutive Big East tournament games before Thursday’s blowout win. The Huskies last advanced past the first round of the Big Dance in 2006, when they lost 86-84 to Cinderella story George Mason as an eight-point favorite in the Elite Eight.

Texas A&M, which is in the Tournament for the fourth consecutive year, gave top-seeded UCLA all it could handle in the second round last year but came up short 51-49, cashing as a 9½-point underdog.

UConn had failed to cover in 13 consecutive postseason games before easily getting the cash against Chattanooga, including going 0-7 ATS in the Big Dance (all as a favorite). Still, the Huskies remain on ATS droughts of 3-7 overall, 7-15 in non-conference play, 7-19 at neutral sites, 2-5 as a favorite, 1-4 when laying 7 to 12½ points, 5-16 when favored at neutral venues and 0-5 on Saturday.

In addition to their 11-3 ATS streak overall, the Aggies are on a plethora of positive pointspread runs, including 18-5 at neutral sites, 9-3 in non-conference play, 7-0 as an underdog, 7-1 in the NCAA Tournament, 11-1 as a neutral-site ‘dog, 54-26 against teams with a winning record and 4-0 on Saturday.

Both teams topped the total in their first-round games. Also, the Aggies are now on a 5-0 “over” streak overall, and UConn is on “over” stretches of 20-7 at neutral sites and 5-0 in the NCAA Tournament. However, the under is still 14-7 in the Huskies’ last 21 overall.


(at Portland, Ore.)

(5) Purdue (26-9, 14-17 ATS) vs. (4) Washington (26-8, 18-11-2 ATS)

Washington dominated 13th-seeded Mississippi State in Thursday’s opening round, rolling 71-58 as a six-point favorite at the Rose Garden. Quincy Pondexter had a game-high 23 points and seven rebounds, and the Huskies held the Bulldogs to just 34.5 percent shooting. They’re now on a 10-2 SU run, going 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11.

Purdue won its 11th consecutive first-round NCAA Tournament game Thursday, holding off frisky Northern Iowa 61-56, but it came up short as an 8½-point favorite. The Boilermakers, who nearly blew a 12-point halftime lead and led by just two points with 17 seconds left, shot only 41.2 percent from the field (3-for-15 from 3-point range), yet still won their fourth in a row. However, Purdue is now just 5-9 ATS in its last 14 outings.

Washington is in its 14th NCAA Tournament but its first since 2006, when it won its first two games before falling to UConn in the Sweet 16. Purdue, whose 11 consecutive first-round tourney wins date back to 1993, have bowed out of the Big Dance in the second round each of the last two years, including last year’s 85-78 loss to Xavier as a 2½-point underdog.

Purdue is in ATS ruts of 2-6 in non-conference play, 1-5 after a SU victory and 1-4 against teams from the Pac-10, but the Boilermakers have cashed in 11 of their last 15 on Saturday and they’re 4-1 ATS in the Tournament as an underdog of less than six points.

Washington is on pointspread runs of 7-3-1 overall, 4-0 in the Tournament, 6-1 in non-conference play, 5-1-1 on Saturday and 4-0 as a favorite at neutral sites.

Despite staying way under the total in Thursday’s win over Mississippi State, the Huskies are still on strong “over” runs of 17-6 overall, 5-1 at neutral sites, 5-3 in the Tournament, 14-3 as a favorite, 9-1 when laying less than seven points, 10-1 after a spread-cover and 14-4 on Saturday.

Purdue’s first-round game also stayed low, making the under 5-1 in its last six non-conference games, but otherwise the Boilermakers are still on “over” streaks of 7-3 at neutral sites, 6-2-1 in the Tournament and 7-2 as an underdog.


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Jimmy Boyd

New York Knicks vs. Orlando Magic
Play: Orlando Magic -12

With Boston's injury problems and recent struggles, the Celtics are leaving the door open for the Magic to gain home court advantage over them in the playoffs. The Magic know how crucial that would be and are going to go after it hard down the home stretch. NY has been blown out each of its last 2 games and the third installment of this horror flick goes tonight. Orlando is 8-1 ATS versus terrible defensive teams - allowing 103+ points/game this season, winning by an average score of 114.9 to 98.1 in these games. Orlando is also 21-5 ATS versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season. We'll lay the points with the Magic.

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Dennis Hill

LSU vs. North Carolina     
Play: Under 157.5

Look for both team to turn up the defense in this match-up. North Carolina will try to up tempo this game, while LSU will look to slow it down to a crawl stay in this game. That means a total that will fall around 148. My advice play the UNDER 157.5 which is slightly inflated.

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Great Lakes Sports

Maryland vs Memphis
Play: Memphis Tigers

The Memphis Tigers are on a roll going 13-5 ATS in their last eighteen games, and the Tigers are a very solid 21-12 ATS overall this year. The Memphis Tigers is also a very solid 10-5 ATS vs non-conference opponents, and they are a respectable 4-2 ATS when playing in the month of March this year. We look for the Memphis Tigers to put the hammer down, and roll over the Maryland Terrapins for the NCAA Tournament Win & Cover today.

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Jeff Benton

For Saturday’s freebie in the Big Dance, we’ll take Maryland plus the points against Memphis.

I couldn’t have been less impressed with the second-seeded Tigers in the opening round when they struggled all day against No. 15 seed Cal-State Northridge. At the same time, I couldn’t have been more impressed with Maryland’s 84-71 trouncing of California. Granted, the Golden Bears out of the Pac-10 definitely struggled over the final month of the season. However, Cal has a lot of talent and it had the added bonus of playing close to home in its own time zone, while Maryland had to travel west.

Yet the Terps were absolutely the fresher team in the second half, as they broke open a three-point game by outscoring Cal 50-40 over the final 20 minutes, and Gary Williams’ team got it done on both ends of the floor. With that victory, Maryland has now won three of four, going 4-0 ATS, with the only loss being a six-point setback to Duke in the ACC tournament semifinals.

Speaking of the ACC, there’s no denying the fact that the Terps are much more battle-tested than Memphis. Maryland played in one of the two best leagues in the nation, while the Tigers once again, cruised through weak Conference USA. In fact, while Maryland has faced the likes of Duke (three times), North Carolina (twice) and Wake Forest (twice) over the last 2½ months, Memphis hasn’t faced a team from a power conference since barely beating Tennessee 54-52 back on Jan. 24 (and Tennessee went one-and-done in the Big Dance). What’s more, Memphis’ three losses this year came against Syracuse (Big East), Georgetown (Big East) and Xavier (a top-25 team all year from the Atlantic 10).

You throw in the fact that Memphis reverted to its god-awful foul-shooting ways against Northridge on Thursday – the Tigers went 12-for-21 from the charity stripe – and I can’t pass up taking this many points with a quality ACC team and a rock-solid coach who owns a national championship ring.


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Matt Rivers

For Saturday take Purdue at this near-pick.

There are certainly some positives here in this one for the Washington Huskies but I just believe that Matt Painter's Boilermakers are too solid overall to fail in this spot.

Lorenzo Romar's Huskies are very good and winning the regular season Pac 10 title proves just that. Jon Brockman and the fellas are also playing almost at home here as they are all the way out west at the Rose Garden in Portland. No doubt that is a big factor but the Huskies still do not play the defense that the Boilers do and in the end that will be their downfall.

The second half was not exactly a clinic on Thursday for Purdue as they won but did not cover against Northern Iowa after building the big early lead. To be honest that does not scare me all that much as the boys from West Lafayette jumped out early and won in the end which good teams seem to do.

With a healthy Robbie Hummel helping out very quality players in JaJuan Johnson, E'Twaun Grant and Keaton Grant I do not see Painter's crew coming up short. Sure they are up against a powerful offense that can score in bunches but today is going to be about defense and it's going to be the Boilers who survive and advance!

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Tony Weston

Today's Selection:

Missouri takes care of business and comes through easily for us as we nail yet another Comp Play winner. That puts us at 7-2 our last 9 Comp Plays, including 4 straight winners in this spot.

We’re nailing another today as we’re taking Memphis over Maryland in this second round matchup in The Tournament.

Memphis comes into this game installed as about a 9-point favorite and the Tigers will blow right past that against the Terrapins.

You might be scared off by that performance by Memphis in The Tournament’s opening round against Cal State Northridge, where the Tigers were installed as a 20-point favorite, but only won 81-70 and had to play catchup after falling into a 62-56 hole.

However, consider that down the stretch Memphis outscored the Matadors 25-8 to run away with the game.

Still, even with that non-cover, the Tigers are 4-2 ATS their last six games and have won 26 consecutive games SU.

Consider, also, Memphis has covered in 14 of their last 19 games and is 12-5 ATS its last 17 games when installed as a favorite. The Tigers have also covered in 4 of their last 5 games when installed as a favorite of between 7 and 12 1/2 points.

Keep in mind, too, that for the season Memphis has outscored its opponents, on average, 74.3-57.3 overall and 70.7-57.6 at neutral sites.

The Tigers will destroy Maryland and cruise to an easy victory in this one. Take Memphis easily in this one.


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Bobby Maxwell

L.A. Lakers -4 at CHICAGO 

We've got a winner for you today on the pro hardwood as we play the Lakers in Chicago to take on the Bulls.

I know the Lakers haven't been much at the betting window lately, but they love these scenarios when they go into an opponents house and can end a streak. They went to Boston and got a win this season, went to Cleveland and ended their home streak and they'll end Chicago's little streak today.

The Bulls have won seven straight at home (SU and ATS) and against some of the tougher competition in the NBA, including Boston, New Orleans, Houston and Orlando. So the Lakers know they'll have another streak-breaking win on their resume with a victory tonight.

Chicago has covered seven of their last eight games while the Lakers are just 3-7 ATS in their last 10. But the problem comes in that the Bulls haven't been able to contain the Lakers in their last three meetings. Los Angeles has won three straight and five of the last six in this series (5-1 ATS). The Lakers got a 116-109 home win back in November but came up short as a 13-point favorite. Prior to that they had covered in five straight.

Kobe and the Lakers come out focused in this one as they begin a seven-game road trip against Eastern Conference teams. It isn't the greuling Eastern swing through Orlando, Boston and Cleveland, but this one will tell us a lot about the Lakers. Honestly, the Lakers focus better on the road and they'll come out and get this one by 8 tonight.


Michigan vs. Oklahoma -6', at Kansas City, Mo. 

Today we've got you another one as we go with Oklahoma to get the win and cover against Michigan.

The Sooners are one of the top 5 teams in the country and Blake Griffin is by far the most talented player in college basketball. Today, they'll get the job done against Michigan and advance to the Sweet 16.

Oklahoma scored an 82-54 win over Morgan State on Thursday and covered as a 15-point favorite, ending their three-game ATS rut. Griffin had 28 points and 13 rebounds and led the Sooners to 60.4 percent shooting and they held the Bears to 28.6 percent from the floor.

Michigan upset Clemson in the opener 62-59 as a 4 1/2-point underdog. The Wolverines got outrebounded by 12 and allowed 20 offensive rebounds. If they do the same tonight, Oklahoma is going to end up blowoing out the Wolverines.

Neither of these teams has been much ATS but what you've got to look at is the competition level and we like what the Sooners did in the Big 12.

Oklahoma has the best player in the country and he'll will them to this win and cover. Play the Sooners.


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Sports Gambling Hotline

UCLA vs. VILLANOVA -2 - at Philadelphia, PA 

For Saturday in the college ranks, we will back Villanova as the small favorite over UCLA.

Both teams survived Thursday night scares, as 'Nova trailed by as many as 14 against American before rallying, and nearly covering their 15-point impost. Meanwhile, UCLA allowed VCU to come from 12 down to nearly nip them outright at the buzzer.

Our feeling is Villanova has received its wake up call, and will come out strong in this one. The fact the Wildcats play a handful of their regular season home games on this court also should help matters at this near pick price.

It looks to us like the linesmakers have pegged the price on this game about right, but we feel the "home court" advantage Villanova enjoys will be enough to send them on to the Sweet 16.

Play on the 'Cats minus the small impost.


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Karl Garrett

Western Kentucky vs. GONZAGA -10'

Well, the G-Man gave you Gonzaga as a free play loser on Thursday, but I will come right back with them tonight, as the Bulldogs did enjoy a 19-point lead on Akron around the 2-minute mark on Thursday, only to leave the back-door open for the Zips.

That won't be the case tonight, as I expect Mark Few's team to be focused from the get-go in this one, and I expect the 'Zags to make this one look easy.

Western Kentucky's near collapse against Illinois tells me all I need to know about this game, as the Hilltoppers had more late game turnovers than the Pillsbury Doughboy, and I suspect if Goinzaga applies a little early defensive pressure, this is the 'Zags game to lose.

Of course playing in Portland also helps matters for the Bulldogs who have now won 10 straight, and 19 of their last 20 overall.

The Bulldogs are also on a 5-2 spread run their last 7 lined games.

Going to play Gonzaga to once again put up a double-digit win, only this time they get the cover!


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Jeff Alexander

1 Unit on Texas +7.5

I like the Horns to give Duke a run for its money tonight. Texas has underachieved this season and now it's time to make up for it. The Horns have great balance and have a huge advantage on the interior over a perimeter oriented Duke team. The Blue Devils are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 NCAA Tournament games as a favorite and just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 7.0-12.5. The Longhorns are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog of 7.0-12.5. I'm taking the points as this one goes right down to the wire.

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Re: Saturday Service Plays

Jeff Scott Sports 


Oklahoma -6.5 over Michigan

The Wolverines are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 neutral site games as an underdog, while the Sooners are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite of 0.5-6.5. Michigan has had a nice year, going  21-13 overall, but struggling whenthey take to the road as they are just 7-10. Michigan has played well defensively this year as they have allowed just 63.2 ppg overall and 57.6 ppg in their last 5 games, but if this team hopes to compete in this one they will have to do a better job offensively. Michigan comes in averaging66.7 ppg overall, but just 60.6 ppg away from home and 61.8 ppg in their last 5 games. Today they wil be facing a Sooner squad that does allow 67.4 ppg overall, but they are 20th in the nation in defensive FG% as they have allowed teams to shoot for just 39.4%. The Sooners offense is where the biggest edge in this game goes to. Oklahoma has averaged a healthy79.3 ppg overall (11th) and they are 3rd in FG% (49.1%), plus they have averaged 75.2 ppg on 49.6% shooting in ther neutral site games and 75.4 ppg on 50.6 ppg in their last 5 games. No way Michigan can match the Sooners point for point in this one and just lie the UConn game the Wolverines will run out of gas down the stretch, as Oklahoma pulls away for a solid double digit win.


Maryland/ Memphis Over 132

The Over is 4-0 in Terrapins last 4 NCAA Tournament games as an underdog and 22-8 in their last 30 Saturday games, while the Over is 7-1 in Tigers last 8 NCAA Tournament games. Ok we all know about how strong the Memphs defense has been down the stretch, but they did just allow CS Northridge to get 70 points in their first round game. Memphis has allowed just 57.6 ppg in their neutral site games this year, but that number jumps to 68.5 ppg when they face a non- Conference USA opponent. THeir 4 neutral site games vs non-conf opponents have averaged 145 ppg. Memphis has allowed just 57.3 ppg overall, but 61.3 ppg vs non-conf opponents. Maryland has put up 71.8 ppg overall, 69.6 ppg in their neutral site games and 73.5 ppg in their last 4 games. I feel that Maryland has an excellent shot at hitting 62+ points in this one. That's good news as the Memphis Tigers should be good for at least 70+. Memphis has averaged 74.3 ppg overall and 70.7 ppg in their neutral site games, plus they have averaged 76.7 ppg vs non-conf opponents this year. The will be facing a maryland team that has struggled on defense when not playimg on their home floor as they have allowed 71.9 ppg when traveling this year. Memphis' non conf games have averaged 138 ppg, while Maryland's games have averaged 140.3 ppg overall. I see this one in the 140's as well.


UConn/ Texas A$M over 139

The Over is 5-0 in Aggies last 5 overall, while the Over is 10-2-1 in Huskies last 13 games following a SU win of more than 20 points and 13-3 in their last 16 neutral site games as a favorite. A&M's neutral sirte games have averaged 144 ppg, while UConn's neutral games have averaged 167.8 ppg. UConn has averaged 78.1 ppg on the year, including 89 ppg in their last 5 games and 91.5 ppg on a neutral floor. The Aggies have averaged 83.4 ppg in their last 5 games 71.8 ppg overall and 73.4 ppg on a neutral floor. Both teams can push the ball and I see this one in the 150's.


UCLA/ Villanova Under 145

The Under is 4-1 in Bruins last 5 neutral site games and 9-3 in their last 12 vs. Big East, while the Under is 8-1 in Wildcats last 9 non-conference games. The Bruins had been involved in higher scoring than tey were accustomed to during the middle part of the year, but things have reverted back to normal down the stretch as their last 6 games have averaged just 133.5 ppg. The Bruin defense is starting to assert itself once again as they have allowed just 60.8 ppg on just 40% shooting in their last 5 games, while they have allowed just 59.4 ppg on 41.7 shooting in their neutral site games. Villanova has allowed just 67 ppg on the year, including just 67.8 pg in their last 6 games. I just see too much defense in this one to think the teams can top 145 points.

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LA Lakers at Chicago   
The high-scoring Lakers (108.1 ppg) face a Chicago team that is 9-2 ATS against good offensive teams (99+ ppg) in the second half of the season.  The Bulls are the underdog pick (+4 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has Los Angeles favored by only 2 1/2.  Dunkel Pick: Chicago (+4 1/2). 

Game 501-502: Atlanta at Cleveland
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 121.127; Cleveland 126.624
Dunkel Line & Total: Cleveland by 5 1/2; 188
Vegas Line & Total: Cleveland by 8 1/2; 185
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+8 1/2); Over

Game 503-504: Indiana at Charlotte
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 113.359; Charlotte 122.521
Dunkel Line & Total: Charlotte by 9; 189
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 505-506: New York at Orlando
Dunkel Ratings: New York 117.488; Orlando 126.816
Dunkel Line & Total: Orlando by 9 1/2; 206
Vegas Line & Total: Orlando by 12; 214 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New York (+12); Under

Game 507-508: Boston at Memphis
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 119.008; Memphis 114.210
Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 5; 193 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 509-510: LA Lakers at Chicago
Dunkel Ratings: LA Lakers 123.138; Chicago 120.503
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Lakers by 2 1/2; 217
Vegas Line & Total: LA Lakers by 4 1/2; 211 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (+4 1/2); Over

Game 511-512: Portland at Milwaukee
Dunkel Ratings: Portland 119.606; Milwaukee 116.900
Dunkel Line & Total: Portland by 2 1/2; 185 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 513-514: Washington at Phoenix
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 109.327; Phoenix 122.901
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 13 1/2; 231
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A


Texas vs. Duke
The Blue Devils are coming off an 86-62 win over Binghamton and look to build on their 9-3 ATS record after scoring 80 point or more in their previous game.  Duke is the pick (-6 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Blue Devils favored by 8 1/2.  Dunkel Pick: Duke (-6 1/2).   

Game 515-516: LSU vs. North Carolina
Dunkel Ratings: LSU 64.690; North Carolina 77.502
Dunkel Line: North Carolina by 13
Vegas Line: North Carolina by 11
Dunkel Pick: North Carolina (-11)

Game 517-518: Texas vs. Duke
Dunkel Ratings: Texas 65.160; Duke 73.855
Dunkel Line: Duke by 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Duke by 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Duke (-6 1/2)

Game 519-520: Texas A&M vs. Connecticut
Dunkel Ratings: Texas A&M 66.587; Connecticut 76.078
Dunkel Line: Connecticut by 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Connecticut by 10
Dunkel Pick: Texas A&M (+10)

Game 521-522: UCLA vs. Villanova
Dunkel Ratings: UCLA 71.127; Villanova 71.566
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: Villanova by 2
Dunkel Pick: UCLA (+2)

Game 523-524: Maryland vs. Memphis
Dunkel Ratings: Maryland 65.640; Memphis 75.730
Dunkel Line: Memphis by 10
Vegas Line: Memphis by 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Memphis (-8 1/2)

Game 525-526: Michigan vs. Oklahoma
Dunkel Ratings: Michigan 66.717; Oklahoma 71.384
Dunkel Line: Oklahoma by 4 1/2
Vegas Line: Oklahoma by 7
Dunkel Pick: Michigan (+7)

Game 527-528: Purdue vs. Washington
Dunkel Ratings: Purdue 68.654; Washington 73.058
Dunkel Line: Washington by 4 1/2
Vegas Line: Washington by 1
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-1)

Game 529-530: Western Kentucky vs. Gonzaga
Dunkel Ratings: Western Kentucky 61.984; Gonzaga 71.097
Dunkel Line: Gonzaga by 9
Vegas Line: Gonzaga by 11
Dunkel Pick: Western Kentucky (+11)

Game 531-532: Baylor vs. Virginia Tech
Dunkel Ratings: Baylor 65.408; Virginia Tech 72.403
Dunkel Line: Virginia Tech by 7
Vegas Line: Virginia Tech by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Virginia Tech (-3 1/2)


Buffalo at NY Rangers
The Sabres dropped their third straight last night against Philadelphia and run into a New York team that is 5-2 in March.  The Rangers are the pick (-175) according to Dunkel, which has New York favored by 2.   Dunkel Pick: NY Rangers (-175). 

Game 1-2: Dallas at San Jose
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 10.796; San Jose 11.168
Dunkel Line & Total: San Jose by 1/2; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: San Jose (-250); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Jose (-250); Under

Game 3-4: Toronto at Montreal
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 10.621; Montreal 11.113
Dunkel Line & Total: Montreal by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line & Total: Montreal (-230); 6
Dunkel Pick: Montreal (-230); Over

Game 5-6: NY Islanders at Ottawa
Dunkel Ratings: NY Islanders 11.592; Ottawa 11.463
Dunkel Line & Total: NY Islanders by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Ottawa (-240); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Islanders (+200); Over

Game 7-8: Columbus at Florida
Dunkel Ratings: Columbus 12.007; Florida 10.969
Dunkel Line & Total: Columbus by 1; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Florida (-130); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Columbus (+110); Under

Game 9-10: Buffalo at NY Rangers
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 11.080; NY Rangers 13.070
Dunkel Line & Total: NY Rangers by 2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: NY Rangers (-175); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Rangers (-175); Under

Game 11-12: Washington at Carolina
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 12.260; Carolina 12.057
Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line & Total: Washington (-120); 6
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-120); Over

Game 13-14: Atlanta at Tampa Bay
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 11.489; Tampa Bay 10.730
Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 1; 7
Vegas Line & Total: Tampa Bay (-115); 6
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-105); Over

Game 15-16: Vancouver at Phoenix
Dunkel Ratings: Vancouver 12.128; Phoenix 10.615
Dunkel Line & Total: Vancouver by 1 1/2; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Vancouver (-170); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Vancouver (-170); Under

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Re: Saturday Service Plays

Jack Jones

Texas A&M +10.5 over UConn

Thanks to the Huskies dominating win over an under-talented Chattanooga game this spread got stretched a little bit and shows a little value by taking the Aggies. I've been impressed with how A&M has been playing. They easily took care of BYU in the first round which was a surprise after losing to Texas Tech in the Big 12 tournament, but prior to that had won six straight including wins over Missouri and Texas. The Aggies do a decent job of shooting the three, and the Huskies perimeter defense hasn't been the same since the loss of Dyson. Take the points.

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