Friday Service Plays

Friday Service Plays

Robert Ferringo

Take Cornell (+13) over Missouri

It’s hard to believe it, but Cornell actually has more NCAA Tournament experience than the mighty Tigers. I feel like Missouri may have peaked last weekend while winning the Big 12 conference tournament and I think it might be hard for them to replicate that effort this week against the Ivy League reps. Missouri plays a pressing, up-tempo style and after three games in three nights they might not have their “best stuff” in this opener against a significantly weaker opponent. Further, No. 3 seeds off back-to-back wins are just 5-14 ATS in the opening round and favorites between -11 and -14 have covered just about 38 percent time over the last 11 years. I like Cornell to hang around in a lower scoring affair here.

Blade
useravatar
Offline
207942 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Friday Service Plays

LT Profits

Dayton +8.5

The West Virginia Mountaineers may come out of the powerful Big East, but they cannot sleep on this very good Dayton Flyers team here that is very capable of an upset.

Dayton is a very good 26-7 straight up this season, and while they went undefeated at home, they still have a winning 8-7 record on the road and at neutral sites. Their defense makes them a dangerous out in this tournament, as the Flyers are limiting their opponents to just 39.7 percent shooting from the field this season, and they are in the top 50 in the entire country in both defensive two-point percentage (44.5) and in defensive three-point percentage (31.7).

That may be the key to this contest,, as West Virginia has had some offensive lapses this season, which is the main reason for their mediocre 23-11 record. Sure, they played a brutal Big East schedule, but they also lost to such non-NCAA Tournament teams as Cincinnati, Davidson and Kentucky, and this Dayton defense they are facing here is actually statistically better then those clubs.

West Virginia has relied on great three-point shooting in recent years, but they rank just 211 in the country from beyond the arc this season at 33.1 percent, so we do not see them pulling away from the pesky Flyers here. Take these big points on a potential upset.

Pick: Dayton +8.5

Blade
useravatar
Offline
207942 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Friday Service Plays

Matt Fargo

Temple vs. Arizona State
Play: Arizona State -5.5
       
It has been six years since Arizona St. last made a trip to the NCAA tournament and it is not going to go out early as this team has the makeup of making a big run. It is obviously one game at a time but the Sun Devils got a very good draw in the South Region. A win here likely sets up a game against Syracuse and it is anyone’s guess how the Orange are going to react after their marathon trip to through the Big East Tournament. A possible showdown with Oklahoma looms in the Sweet 16 but first things first and that is taking out a Temple team what won the Atlantic Ten Tournament and likely would not be here if not for that. Arizona St. players obviously have no experience on this stage but that should not be a detriment. The Sun Devils head coach Herb Sendek has plenty of experience from his days at NC State and Miami Ohio where he guided the Wolfpack and RedHawks to six tournament appearances, going 6-6 and most importantly, 5-1 in first round games. The Sun Devils went 9-5 against this year's NCAA field and Sendek said he thinks that's enough to overcome their lack of postseason experience. Arizona St. has a very important asset to be successful in the tournament and that is strengths both inside and outside. It has the very versatile James Harden, who will make many first-team All-America lists, as well as the nation's most accurate shooter in Jeff Pendergraph. Both teams put up solid numbers in their conference runs and Temple is no doubt a very hot team right now. However, comparing the Atlantic Ten to the Pac Ten is like comparing a Jeep to a Hummer. It is nice and efficient but not nearly as strong. The Pac Ten is ranked in the top three conferences while the Atlantic Ten is well below that, coming in anywhere between 8th and 10th, in the same line as the MVC and C-USA who each got just one team into the tournament. The Sun Devils have advantages in two key areas and those are free throw shooting and assist/turnover ratio. Those margins are even bigger when looking at the last five games of each team and that is with Temple winning all five of those. The Owls win over Xavier was a solid win but you have to go all the way back to December to see their last quality win and hat was a victory over Tennessee, arguably one of the bigger disappointments in the country this season. Those were the only two wins over tournament teams as they went 0-4 in the other games against other teams in the field. For the season, Arizona St. went 10-6 against the nation’s top 50 including 4-2 against the top 25 while Temple went just 2-4 against the top 50 and 1-4 against the top 25. Arizona St. is 8-2 ATS this season when coming off a non-cover and it falls into a solid situation. Play on teams from the six major conferences when playing against a team not from those six conferences when favored between 3.5 and 9.5 points and coming off a conference loss. These play-on teams are 45-17 ATS over the last 12 years including a 17-5 ATS mark over the last five years. The Sun Devils will prove to be too much for the Owls on Friday. 3* Arizona St. Sun Devils

Blade
useravatar
Offline
207942 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Friday Service Plays

John Ryan

Temple vs. Arizona State
Play: Under 124

Ai Simulator 3* graded play Under Temple/Arizona State slated to start at 2:45 EST. AiS shows a 76% probability that 120 or fewer points will be scored in this game. Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone 32-14 UNDER for 69% winners since 1997. Play under with all teams where the total is between 120 and 129.5 points after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last ten games and with the game taking place on Friday nights. Friday is an important night of the week as many times only the NEC and IVY League teams are competing, so it becomes rare, even in Tournament season that a Friday condition would apply to a system. Regardless of the Conference, these teams qualify for this system and under scores the grading from the AiS. Both teams can run offense out of transition, but both teams will defend their defensive glass well. This minimizes second chance opportunities for each team. AiS shows a 76% probability that Temple will shoot between 40 and 46%. Note that ASU is 12-1 UNDER (+10.9 Units) in road games when their opponents make 40% to 46% of their shots in a game over the last 3 seasons. Temple is a solid 15-4 UNDER (+10.6 Units) when playing against a good team sporting a win percentage of 60% to 80% over the last 2 seasons; 6-0 UNDER (+6.0 Units) in road games versus teams who average 33 or less rebounds/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. ASU is also in a powerful series of UNDER roles noting they are 11-2 UNDER (+8.8 Units) in road games versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons. Take the UNDER.

Blade
useravatar
Offline
207942 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Friday Service Plays

Cajun Sports

Cornell vs. Missouri     
Play: Missouri -12.5

Cornell’s opening round draw is not a good one when it comes to style of play and the ability to enforce your will onto that opponent. Cornell did a good job against Ivy League competition with their half-court sets and draining three-pointers but Missouri plays a very intense defensive scheme that will not allow the Big Red to get those uncontested treys. The key in this contest is not only the high pressure style of the Tigers it’s also the fact they have the athletes to make them work. Cornell may have the ability to make it close early on but Missouri’s intensity and deep bench will eventually wear down and overwhelm the Big Red in today’s game. Cornell is in a negative situation which is not good news for their backers as they are 0-6 ATS after allowing 60 points or less in 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons. Missouri on the other hand has found success against teams that do not turn the ball over, going 11-1 ATS versus teams committing <=14 turnovers per game after 15+ games this season. They are also a perfect 6-0 ATS after 5 straight games committing 14 or less turnovers the last 2 seasons. A solid defensive team that doesn’t turn the ball over and can score sounds like the perfect combination for an easy win and cover for the Tigers on Friday. A check of the database has uncovered a CBB system that tells us to Play ON CBB Neutral court teams as a favorite or pick after 2 straight games committing 11 or less turnovers against an opponent after a game committing 8 or less turnovers, 29-9 ATS the last five seasons. It may be double-digits but that will not matter in the end as Missouri rolls past the Cornell Big Red and advances to the next round of the tournament.

Graded Selection: 2* Missouri Tigers 78 Cornel Big Red 56

Blade
useravatar
Offline
207942 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Friday Service Plays

Craig Trapp

Wisconsin vs. Florida State   
Play: Florida State -2.5

Craig has this ACC and Big Ten Clash as a key game of the first round of the NCAA Tournament. Not necessarily because one of these teams can win it all but more to see how the two conferences do against each other. Take a look at records and trends below!

Team records:

Wisconsin: 19-12 SU, 12-16-1 ATS

Florida State: 25-9 SU, 18-9-1 ATS

Wisconsin most recently:

When playing on Friday are 9-1

Wisconsin is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games

After a loss are 5-5

Florida State most recently:

When playing on Friday are 6-4

Florida State is 11-5 ATS in its last 16 games

After a loss are 9-1

Sitting your conference power rankings before the NCAA Tournament can be a key indicator for the both bracket winners and ATS winners. Craig had the ACC ranked #2 and the Big Ten as #4. How do we use this to help pick winners. Easy in this match up Craig had the game as -6 FSU and even at that number still liked FSU. Pretty simple in this game Tony Douglas is the best scoring guard in the tournament and Wisconsin has not faced anybody nearly as good as him all year. Last loss to Ohio State the badgers struggled to stop Turner which is not as good as Douglas. This game might get out of hand early and with the style of Wisconsin might be trouble for them coming back. This spread is a gift and love it. SCORE FSU 72 - WISC 63

Blade
useravatar
Offline
207942 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Friday Service Plays

Nelly

North Dakota State + over Kansas

Kansas has lost two of the last three games, both to mediocre teams and the Jayhawks may be one of the more overrated #3 seeds in recent years. Kansas had a great tournament run last year to take the championship but this is a completely different team. The Jayhawks benefited from a weak conference schedule and got its biggest win with Blake Griffin out of the lineup. In non-conference play Kansas was very ordinary and the overall strength of the Big 12 appeared down this year. Kansas was a strong ATS team this season but that will translate into an inflated line in this opening match-up. It might be tough for Kansas to get a high level of energy for this early game and the Metrodome will be filled with North Dakota State fans as the Bison make their first NCAA tournament appearance. North Dakota State plays very tough defense and can be a great scoring team with a veteran lineup that is battle tested. North Dakota State lost by just four at USC and played close at Minnesota this season and in the last two years owns wins over Marquette and Wisconsin so this is a team that can compete with the big boys. The favorable location should help energize a crowd that will pull for the underdog. Prior to last year's great run the Jayhawks have had several early exits from the NCAA tournament and this could be a tough game for Kansas.

Blade
useravatar
Offline
207942 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Friday Service Plays

Marc Lawrence

Play On: Toronto

Note: When the Raptors play host to the Bobcats north of the border tonight they will do so knowing they are 5-0 SU and ATS in their franchise history in this series when Charlotte takes the court off back-to-back wins. With the Bobbies off 16 and 26-point wins, the latter at Charlotte against Toronto this past Monday, look for Toronto to get their revenge here tonight.

Blade
useravatar
Offline
207942 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Friday Service Plays

Jimmy The Moose

Utah Jazz at Oklahoma City Thunder
Prediction: Oklahoma City Thunder

Utah comes into this one 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games. The Jazz are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a road favorite between 5.0-10.5 points. In their last 7 vs. a Northwest opponent they are 2-5 ATS. The Thunder are 17-4 ATS in their last 21 games as a home dog. In their last 16 games following an ATS loss they are 14-2 at the window. Oklahoma City is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 vs. a Western Conference opponent. In their last 54 games overall they are 36-17-1 ATS. Utah is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 trips to Oklahoma. The Thunder are 10-4 ATS in the last 14 meetings. Play on the Oklahoma City Thunder +.

Blade
useravatar
Offline
207942 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Friday Service Plays

Larry Ness

Cornell at Missouri
Prediction: Missouri

It was a MAJOR story in the Ivy League when Cornell ended 20 years of domination by Penn and Princeton (one or the other had represented the Ivy League in every NCAA tourney from 1989 through 2007) by taking last year's Ivy League title with a 14-0 record. The Big Red are back again this year, making them the loop's first repeat winner (other than Penn or Princeton) since Dartmouth turned the trick in 1958 and '59. Cornell went in 11-3 the Ivy League this year (21-9 overall), despite the fact that Adam Gore (10.2 PPG / 41.5 percent on threes) missed the entire season and his backcourt partner Louis Dale didn't get into the lineup until Dec 6. Dale averaged 13.5 PPG and 4.3 RPG, almost matching his numbers of the previous two seasons (13.3-4.5 and 13.7-4.4) The 6-6 Wittman (18.5-3.6-2.7) was the team's best player this season, joined in the frontcourt by the 7-0 Foote (11.8-7.1) and the 6-7 Tyler (6.7-4.6). Freshman guard Wroblewski (6.7-2.3) has been starting alongside of Dale and junior guard Reeves (9.1) has been the first player off the bench. This team can score, averaging 74.1 PPG and shoots 47.8 percent from the floor (41.5 on threes, which ranks third in the nation). Do the Big Red have a chance against Missouri? Possibly, as the Tigers must be "full of themselves" after capturing the school's first Big 12 tourney title but the danger for Cornell backers is that Missouri only knows how to play one way. Mike Anderson claimed he had the talent and depth this year to fully implement his mentor's (Nolan Richardson) "40 Minutes of Hell" and he wa right. The Tigers went unbeaten in Columbia (owned the nation's largest margin of victory in home games) and as just mentioned, won the Big 12 tourney title (3-0 ATS) with wins over Texas Tech by 21, Oklahoma St by eight (off its upset of Oklahoma) and Baylor by 13 (after the Bears had beaten BOTH Kansas and Texas). The 6-8 Carroll (16.8-7.3) and the 6-9 Lyons (14.2-6.0) have both been terrific, while the 6-7 Lawrence (9.0) leads a group of seven other players all getting 12 minutes or more of playing time (two other players just dropped under 10 MPG of action, late in the season). Tiller (7.9-3.3-3.6) and Taylor (6.5-3.1-3.5) have shared the PG duties and the Tigers average 81.1 PPG on 47.2 percent shooting. Mike Anderson's up-tempo and high-pressure style (fueled by a terrific group of athletes) will likely limit Cornell's ability to run its half-court offense and to get those "open looks" its three-point shooters need. It's not a FLUKE that Ivy League reps have failed to 'cover' in NINE of their last 10 first round games. Lay it with the Tigers.

Blade
useravatar
Offline
207942 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Friday Service Plays

Lee Kostroski

Cleveland State @ Wake Forest
PICK: Cleveland State

Many of the so called “upsets” in the NCAA tournament are mainly because of match ups. The little guy, so to speak, matches up nicely vs. their opponent from a major conference. That is the case here. In fact, CSU is a bad match up for a young Wake team.

First of all, Wake is still a young team with a number of freshman and sophomores playing key roles. In fact, the Demon Deacon squad does not have a senior that averages more than 11 minutes per game. Because of that, this team has been inconsistent all year long. They look like world beaters one game and then slip up against a sub par opponent the next. We like fading those teams at this time of year especially when laying significant points against a solid opponent.

Cleveland State is a senior laden team with a very good back court. The Vikings have five seniors that average more than 20 minutes per game. Senior guards Cedric Jackson & DAundray Brown are experienced players who can create on offense and wreak havoc on defense. That’s not a good mix for Wake. Why? Because this young Demon Deacon team is really poor at protecting the ball. They average almost 16 turnovers per game (297th nationally) with a turnover rate of 20.3% which ranks them near the bottom of Division 1A. Because of that, Wake’s assist to turnover ratio is a bad 0.844. That plays right into CSU’s hands as their pressure defense is among the best nationally. The cause opponents to turn the ball over a whopping 24% of the time which is 11th in the country. The Vikings, and their senior guards, are very good at protecting the ball and limiting turnovers. Those two things combined, tell us CSU will get more possessions than Wake here making it tough for the Deacs to cover this number.

Cleveland State played a tough non-conference schedule which proved they can play with the big boys. The played @ West Virginia, @ Kansas State and @ Washington and played each fairly tight. This team won @ Syracuse and played Butler to the wire three times winning one and losing the other two by 2 points each. Wake, on the other hand, struggled their final six games playing close with a number of teams they should have handled easily. It culminated in a 9-point loss to Maryland in the ACC tournament. We have no doubt that CSU keeps this one close and we have an 8-point cushion in our favor. Take the points here.

Blade
useravatar
Offline
207942 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Friday Service Plays

Teddy Covers

North Dakota State @ Kansas
PICK: Kansas

Kansas hasn’t gotten a lick of respect from the betting markets all year. In game after game the wiseguys played against the Jayhawks; in game after game the wiseguys lost money. That’s how the Jayhawks – the team that won the national title last year; the team that won the Big 12 this year; a public team if there ever was one – finished as the second best major conference pointspread team in the country, a near impossible task.

Well, the wiseguys are doing it again, and this time, they have the TV talking heads agreeing with them. All the pundits are claiming that North Dakota State is going to give Kansas a tough game. We saw the Bison play Minnesota earlier this year and the crowd was half North Dakota State supporters. And there’s no question that North Dakota State will have plenty of fans making the relatively short trip to Minneapolis for this one. But let’s not forget how well Kansas travels either. The Jayhawks played in Vegas last year and it was a virtual home game for them. The trip from Lawrence to Minneapolis isn’t that much further than the trip for North Dakota State supporters. Kansas is going to enjoy a raucous crowd of their own, every bit as vocal as the Bisons supporters.

North Dakota State played one game against an NCAA tournament team this year – at Minnesota. They lost that game by 14. In their previous lined game, last year at Cal, they also lost by 14 against a .500 Cal squad. The Summit League was one of the weakest conferences in all of college basketball this year. Yes, the Bison have a starting five of seniors, but remember, these guys have never played in a game of this magnitude in their lives. They are not Kansas in terms of size, speed , poise or experience.


Sherron Collins in the backcourt and Cole Aldrich in the frontcourt have the potential to be impact players at the next level, far superior than anybody North Dakota State has faced this year. The only under-rated, undervalued team on this floor is the cheaply priced favorite. Take Kansas.

Blade
useravatar
Offline
207942 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Friday Service Plays

Karl Garrett

Morehead State vs. LOUISVILLE -21 - at Dayton, OH 

After watching both number one seeds destroy the competition yesterday, I have a feeling Louisville will follow suit tonight with a destruction of Morehead State.

The Eagles won the play-in game on Tuesday, but only netted 58-points in doing so. In fact, Morehead has been in the 60's or less in 3 in a row, and 5 of their last 6.

I have a feeling State is going to have a very hard time keeping pace with this Louisville team.

Don't be surprised if Louisville ends this game in triple-digits the way # 1's Connecticut, and North Carolina did yesterday.

The Redbirds have won 10 straight, and they have covered their last 4, and 8 of their last 10.

Pitino's team is playing with an energy level that will see them in Detroit before long.

Go right ahead and lay this big number, as the 'Ville makes their statement on Friday night.

4&#9830; LOUISVILLE

Blade
useravatar
Offline
207942 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Friday Service Plays

Michael Cannon

USC -2' vs. Boston College, at Minneapolis, MN 

I started off March Mayhem with the 4-0 sweep yesterday for my paying clients, and also delivered the 2-0 sweep with my free plays including an outright winner on Western Kentucky!  I'm now on a 9-2 run with my last 11 overall free plays.

Take Usc as the small chalk over Boston College in the Midwest Regional.

The Trojans come into this game riding a five-game SUATS winning streak and captured the Pac-10 crown by knocking off Arizona State on Saturday.

I like the job coach Tim Floyd has done with this group, and he should be able to get some mismatches with 6-6 power forward Demar DeRozan, who averaged 21 ppg in the conference tournament.

Boston College is just 4-5 SUATS in its last nine overall and I don’t see them getting things done over the red-hot Trojans.

Usc is on ATS streaks of 5-0 overall, 5-0 on Fridays, 4-1 in neutral-site games and 5-1 as a favorite.

Take Usc minus the small number as they grab the win and cover over Boston College.

3&#9830; USC


Dayton vs. West Virginia -9, at Minneapolis, MN

I started off March Mayhem with the 4-0 sweep yesterday for my paying clients, and also delivered the 2-0 sweep with my free plays including an outright winner on Western Kentucky!  I'm now on a 9-2 run with my last 11 overall free plays.

Take West Virginia minus the points over Dayton in the Midwest Regional.

Tough matchup for Dayton, who has only two players averaging double-digits in scoring.  The Flyers play good defense, but West Virginia plays it even better, surrendering only 41.9 percent shooting from the field playing in the rugged Big East conference.

The Mountaineers are a well-balanced offensive team that gets good production from Devin Ebanks and Darryl Bryant.  Da’Sean Butler and Alex Ruoff are the scoring leaders and it’s going to be tough for Dayton to hold West Virginia in check.

Dayton went just 2-3 SU in its final five games and 4-4 ATS in its last eight overall.

West Virginia is on ATS runs of 8-1-1 in The Big Dance, 6-1 after a non-cover, 5-2 on Fridays and 4-0 after a SU loss.

Take West Virginia minus the points as they grab the win and cover.

4&#9830; WEST VIRGINIA

Blade
useravatar
Offline
207942 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Friday Service Plays

Sports Gambling Hotline

Portland State +10' vs. XAVIER - at Boise, ID 

Take the points tonight in Boise, as Portland State should get a little boost from the "home" crowd in their game versus Xavier.

The Vikings have won their last 6, and 8 of their last 10 games, and do catch the "X"-Men in a bit of a road funk.

Including the Atlantic 10 tournament, Xavier went just 2-5 straight up their last 7 away from the friendly Cintas Center. Over their last last dozen games, the Musketeers went just 4-6-2 against the spread, so you can see why we are reluctant to lay the double-digits with Xavier in this spot.

Xavier is an eastern time zone school playing far, far, away from their home, and the Vikings figure to have a few fans in the seats in this game.

The longer Portland State can hang around the tougher it is going to be for Xavier to get on top, and stay on top of this number.

Play on Portland State do stay inside of this roomy impost.

3&#9830; PORTLAND STATE

Blade
useravatar
Offline
207942 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Friday Service Plays

Matt Rivers

For Friday take the points with Stephen F. Austin

Syracuse is a very dangerous team as they have guys in Andy Rautins and Eric Devendorf who are certainly not afraid to bomb away from three and a point guard in Jonny Flynn who just proved his worth in that unreal Big East Tournament run.

But with the above said Jim Boeheim's club struggled too much this season for me to fully believe they have all of a sudden found themselves and some magic like the team with Gerry McNamara and Carmelo Anthony. This Syracuse team may also be a three seed in the tournament but they are not close to what that National Championship team had and I really wouldn't be all that surprised if the Orange crapped on themselves here after playing so much as the underdog in the Garden last week.

'Cuse was playing on adrenaline last week after that six overtime win against UCONN and rose to the occasion in the upset victory against West Virginia and the first half against Louisville. But they did collapse a bit in the second half against the Cardinals and now will not be feeling as free and comfortable as they are no longer playing with house money. In fact today's game represents the exact opposite approach as the Orange are now the hunted and not the hunter which will supply a nice amount of extra pressure.

The Lumberjacks are clearly not the best team on the floor today and should lose but to get about a dozen points here down in Miami is enough for me. Stephen F. Austin has won eight in a row, beat Drake earlier in the season and destroyed an ok Austin Peay team, 93-54. Danny Kaspar's group also dominated the Southland Conference at 13-3 and got lucky playing a team that is truly not a three seed. In fact the Orange really weren't too far off of that bubble before the postseason began.

I like Boeheim's crew when getting numbers because they do have some bite but in this spot I just do not see them cashing the ticket as they have too many negative's in their corner for them to cover this hefty price.

Blade
useravatar
Offline
207942 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Friday Service Plays

Jake Timlin

Possible upset win for the Owls here I look for Temple plus the points to earn the cash today.  I mean given that I just can’t trust Arizona State who is traveling across the country and doing so just days removed from playing in the PAC 10 title games I say go with Temple.  A Temple team that is red hot having won last 5 games and 10 of their last 12 games.  Meanwhile, for the Owls they won’t have the best player on the floor they will enjoy a more balanced team then the Sun Devils as Christmas now has a supporting case around him this season.  Plus, given the slow tempo that both team will enjoy playing getting any sort of points becomes valuable.  So in game that will be close throughout I say take the Owls plus the points as they stay inside the number.

PICK: Temple Owls

Blade
useravatar
Offline
207942 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Friday Service Plays

Craig Davis

Here we go again on the free play run. With two easy winners on the Citadel and Western Kentucky, that makes five straight plays without a loss and we’ll give you TWO MORE solid free play winners, just to show you what I’m capable of.

North Dakota State might not seem like a sexy pick, but I DO know how much talent they have and they’re capable of playing with any of the mid-majors that come their way, as evidenced by a nice nine-point win over Wisconsin Milwaukee earlier in the year. The good news for the Bison is the fact this game is being played in Minneapolis… a closer journey for Bison fans than it is for Jayhawks fans. And although NDSU isn’t as battle-tested as Kansas, they did their fair share of post-season posturing, coming back from nine down to beat Oral Roberts in the conference tourney… a team that had won four straight regular season conference titles. The Bison ended the season ranked in the top 25 nationally in 3-point percentage (second), field goal percentage (fifth), scoring offense (eighth), scoring margin (11th), fewest turnovers per game (11th) and assist-to-turnover ratio (13th). Impressive, even for a small school. Kansas wins, but the Bison keep it close.

As for Tennessee, I think this might be the most exciting game of the second day to watch because there will be athletes galore all over the floor for both teams. Tennessee will be making its fourth straight appearance in the NCAA Tournament, all under coach Bruce Pearl, but this will be their lowest seed of all the appearances. That, in itself, will motivate the talented Vols to make a statement in round one. Taking nothing away from Oklahoma State, because they had a tremendous second half of the season, but I just don’t believe they have the shooters to stay with Tennessee with a full 40 minutes. The difference in this game could be the step-back ability of 6-9 forward Wayne Chism. A forward by nature, he has all of a sudden developed a three-point game and that could cause trouble inside if OSU is forced to come out and guard him. Vols win and cover this afternoon to make it two more free play winners.

4&#9830; NORTH DAKOTA STATE

2&#9830; TENNESSEE

Blade
useravatar
Offline
207942 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Friday Service Plays

SPORTS ADVISORS

MIDWEST REGION
(at Minneapolis)

(14) North Dakota St. (26-6, 1-1 ATS) vs. (3) Kansas (25-7, 18-7-1 ATS)

Kansas fell to Baylor on March 12 in the Big 12 quarterfinals, losing 71-64 as eight-point favorites. Prior to that setback, the Jayhawks won six of their last seven regular-season contests (5-1-1 ATS), with their only blemish being a shocking 84-65 road loss at Texas Tech as 10-point favorites.

The Bison are the first-ever team from North Dakota to reach the NCAA Tournament, and for their effort they get the defending national champions. North Dakota State won its final seven games (1-1 ATS in lined action), including a 66-64 victory over Oakland in the Summit League championship game on March 10. The Bison played two NCAA-tourney teams this season, losing at Minnesota in November 90-76 and falling at Southern Cal 61-57 on Dec. 20.

While this is the first Tournament appearance for the Bison, Kansas is in the Big Dance for the 20th consecutive season, the second-longest ongoing streak behind Arizona.

The Bison are 6-2 ATS in their last eight lined games and 6-1 ATS in their last seven non-conference lined contests. Kansas is on ATS streaks of 22-8-1 overall, 13-6 in non-conference action, 36-15-1 against teams with winning records and 4-0 after a straight-up loss, and the Jayhawks went 5-1 ATS en route to winning the national title last season.

Favorites went 12-4 SU but 7-9 ATS in Thursday’s opening-round NCAA Tournament action. Additionally, double-digit favorites were 7-0 SU, but only 3-4 ATS.

For NDSU, the under is on runs of 5-1-1 overall, 4-0 in neutral-site games and 4-1-1 in non-conference action. Kansas is on “under” streaks of 8-0 in NCAA Tournament action, 7-1 in neutral-site games, 9-4 overall and 7-3 with them as a favorite.

Lastly, the over went 10-6 in Thursday’s first-round tourney action.

ATS ADVANTAGE: UNDER


(11) Dayton (26-7, 13-15 ATS) vs. (6) West Virginia (23-11, 15-16 ATS)

Dayton grabbed one of the coveted at-large bids into the NCAA Tournament despite losing to Duquesne 77-66 a week ago in the Atlantic 10 conference semifinals as 2½-point favorites. The Flyers struggled late in the season, going just 2-3 (3-2 ATS) in their final five games and went 4-4 ATS in their last eight overall.

West Virginia lost in overtime to Syracuse in the Big East semifinals, falling 74-69 as a 6½-point chalk. The Mountaineers went 7-3 (6-4 ATS) in their final 10 games, including a 74-60 win over Pitt as a 4½-point underdog in the conference tournament quarterfinals.

The Mountaineers reached the Sweet 16 in last season’s Tournament, falling in overtime to Xavier 79-75 as 1½-point favorites. West Virginia has advanced past the opening weekend in each of its last three Tournament appearances since 2005, going 7-3 SU and 8-1-1 ATS. Dayton’s last NCAA Tournament appearance was in 2004, when it lost to DePaul in the first round. The Flyers won two NIT games last season before falling to eventual NIT champion Ohio State, 74-63 as a 7½-point road pup.

Dayton is on ATS runs of 7-3 against teams with winning records, 4-1 against Big East teams, 4-1 as a ‘dog and 4-0 after a straight-up loss. West Virginia is on positive ATS streaks of 8-1-1 in NCAA Tournament games, 6-1 after a non-cover, 5-2 on Fridays and 4-0 after a straight-up loss, but the Mountaineers are also on ATS slides of 5-11 against Atlantic 10 teams and 2-6 in non-conference games.

The Flyers are on “over” streaks of 5-1 overall, 5-1 at neutral venues, 5-2 as neutral-site ‘dogs and 4-0 when playing Big East teams. For the Mountaineers, the under is on runs of 7-2 overall, 9-3 as a favorite, 4-1 in neutral-site games and 5-1 after a non-cover.

ATS ADVANTAGE: WEST VIRGINIA


(10) USC (21-12, 17-14 ATS) vs. (7) Boston College (22-11, 15-13 ATS)

Boston College lost a heartbreaker in the ACC quarterfinals Friday, falling 66-65 to Duke but easily cashing as a 10-point underdog. The Eagles have followed up a five-game winning streak (4-1 ATS) by going just 4-5 SU and ATS in their last nine overall and alternated wins and losses in their final six regular-season games.

The Trojans punched their own ticket to the Big Dance with a 66-63 upset win over Arizona State in the Pac-10 championship game Saturday, cashing as two-point ‘dogs. Southern Cal has won five in a row (SU and ATS) and mounted a furious rally in the second half Saturday after trailing Arizona State by 15 at halftime.

The last time the Eagles were in the Tournament was 2007 when they lost to Georgetown 62-55 as 7½-point ‘dogs in the second round. USC advanced to the Sweet 16 of the Big Dance in 2007, but was knocked out in the opening round a year ago, falling 80-67 to Kansas State as three-point favorites.

USC is on ATS streaks of 5-0 overall, 5-0 on Fridays, 4-1 in neutral-site games and 5-1 as a favorite. Boston College is 22-8 ATS in its last 30 neutral-site contests, 5-0 ATS in its last five NCAA Tournament games and 8-2 ATS in its last 10 as a neutral-site pup.

The Trojans are riding “over” trends of 5-2 overall, 4-1 in the Tournament and 4-1 in non-conference action, but the under has been the play in 10 of USC’s last 14 neutral-site games and five straight against ACC squads. The Eagles have topped the total in 35 of 51 non-conference contests, but otherwise they are on “under” streaks of 6-0 overall, 12-2 as a neutral-site ‘dog and 4-0 in Tournament action as a ‘dog.

ATS ADVANTAGE: BOSTON COLLEGE


(15) Robert Morris (24-10, 0-1 ATS) vs. (2) Michigan St. (26-6, 16-12-1 ATS)

Michigan State had a six-game winning streak snapped by Ohio State in the Big Ten tournament semifinals Saturday, losing 82-70 as an eight-point chalk. The Spartans went 13-3 SU (9-5-1 ATS) in road and neutral-site games this season, and prior to the loss to the Buckeyes, they had allowed an average of 56 points during their six-game streak.

Robert Morris reached their first NCAA Tournament in 17 years when they won the Northeast Conference title game, edging Mount St. Mary’s 48-46 on March 11 but coming up short as four-point favorites in its only lined game of the season. The Colonials enter this contest with a five-game winning streak, and they’ve held the opposition to 64 points or fewer in each of their last eight contests.

While this is Robert Morris’ first time in the Tournament since losing to UCLA in the first round in 1992, Michigan State is making its 12th consecutive Big Dance appearance, the fourth-longest active streak. Last year, the Spartans went 2-0 SU and ATS in wins over Temple and Pitt to get to the Sweet 16, where they got steamrolled by Memphis 92-74 as 5½-point ‘dogs. Under coach Tom Izzo, Michigan State is 26-10 SU in the Tournament, reaching four Final Fours, seven Sweet 16s and one national championship (2000).

Izzo’s Spartans are on ATS runs of 17-8-1 in NCAA Tournament games, 13-3-1 as a favorite in the Big Dance, 11-5 on Fridays, 9-0 after a straight-up loss and 5-0 after a non-cover.

The Colonials, who played only one lined game this season, has stayed under the total in four of their last five games on the board. Michigan State is on “under” streaks of 9-2 overall, 8-1 as a favorite, 15-7 after a straight-up loss and 7-3 after a non-cover.

ATS ADVANTAGE: MICHIGAN STATE and UNDER


MIDWEST REGION
(at Miami, Fla.)

(12) Arizona (19-13, 18-13 ATS) vs. (5) Utah (24-9, 19-13 ATS)

Utah won the Mountain West tournament title Saturday with a 52-50 victory over San Diego State, cashing as a one-point favorite. The Utes have cranked up the defense lately, not allowing an opponent more than 58 points in their last four contests, all victories (3-1 ATS). Utah is on an 18-4 SU roll.

Arizona received the final at-large bid to the Tournament despite going just 1-5 SU (3-3 ATS) down the stretch. The Wildcats are coming off a 68-56 loss to rival Arizona State in the quarterfinals of the Pac-10 tournament March 12, failing to cover as 4½-point ‘dogs.

This is the Utes’ first trip back to the Big Dance since 2005, when they lost to Kentucky in the Sweet 16, 62-52 as 4½-point underdogs. Meanwhile, Arizona is playing in the NCAA Tournament for the 25th consecutive season, the longest such streak in the nation. However, the Wildcats didn’t get out of the opening round the last two years, losing 75-65 to West Virginia as two-point pups last year and falling 72-63 to Purdue as a three-point favorite in 2007.

These teams had a home-and-home series in 2004 and 2005 with the Wildcats taking both games, winning 67-62 but failing as a 14-point home chalk in 2004, then destroying the Utes 73-43 in Salt Lake City as a five-point favorite in 2005.

Arizona is riding several positive ATS trends, including 9-4 overall, 12-5 after a straight-up loss, 6-2 in non-conference games, 6-2 in NCAA Tournament games and 6-0 after a non-cover. Utah is on ATS runs of 5-1 in neutral-site contests and 7-3 following a straight-up win.

The ‘Cats have topped the total in seven of nine overall, five of six Tournament games, four straight non-conference contests and five straight after a non-cover. On the flip side, the Utes are on “under” streaks of 4-0 overall, 4-0 in neutral-site games, 9-3 on Fridays and 5-0 after a straight-up win.

ATS ADVANTAGE: ARIZONA


(13) Cleveland St. (25-10, 18-12 ATS) vs. (4) Wake Forest (24-6, 15-11 ATS)

Cleveland State pulled off the Horizon League tournament shocker on March 10, upsetting regular-season champ Butler 57-54 as 6½-point underdogs to get the automatic ticket to the Big Dance. The Vikings have won four straight (2-2 ATS) and 12 of their last 14.

Wake Forest was bounced in the quarterfinals of the ACC tournament on Friday, losing 75-64 to Maryland as a six-point favorite, snapping a four-game winning streak (3-1 ATS). The Demon Deacons started the season 16-0 and were the last Division I team to taste defeat.

The Demon Deacons are back in the NCAA Tournament for the first time since 2005 when they lost to West Virginia in the second round. This is Cleveland State’s first Big Dance appearance since its Cinderella run in 1986 when it lost to David Robinson and Navy in the Sweet 16.

The Vikings are on positive ATS runs of 20-7 after an ATS win, 24-10 after a straight-up win, 5-1 in non-conference action and 4-0 as an underdog. Wake Forest is 5-2 ATS in its last seven as a favorite, but the Deacons have failed to cover in eight straight NCAA Tournament games and they’re 6-22 ATS in their last 28 on a neutral court and 5-16 ATS in their last 21 as a neutral-site favorite.

Cleveland State has stayed under the total in five of its last six as a ‘dog and seven of 10 non-conference games, but the Vikings have gone over the total in six of eight neutral-site contests. Wake Forest has stayed under the total in four of five neutral-site games, but otherwise is on “over” runs of 7-3 overall, 9-4 after a non-cover and 4-1 in the Big Dance.

ATS ADVANTAGE: CLEVELAND STATE


MIDWEST REGION
(at Dayton, Ohio)

(16) Morehead State (20-15, 19-12 ATS) vs. (1) Louisville (28-5, 21-12 ATS)

Louisville comes in as the Tournament’s top overall seed after winning 10 straight (8-2 ATS) to close the season, including three impressive victories to claim the Big East Conference tournament last weekend in Madison Square Garden. The Cardinals, who also won the Big East regular-season title, beat Syracuse in Saturday’s tourney finale, winning 76-66 as 7½-point favorites.

Morehead State won the play-in game Tuesday, beating Alabama State 58-43 as a 2½-point favorite, the Eagles’ fourth consecutive SU and ATS victory. Morehead State earned the Ohio Valley Conference’s automatic bid by beating Austin Peay 67-65 in overtime back on March 7 as a one-point underdog.

Louisville reached the regional final last season, falling to North Carolina in its bid for the Final Four. The Cardinals are 57-36 in 34 Tournament outings, qualifying for this even each of the last three years, and coach Rick Pitino owns a 35-12 SU Tournament record while coaching Providence, Kentucky and Louisville. Morehead State’s last Big Dance showing came in 1984, when it ironically lost to Louisville in the first round.

These teams opened the season against each other on Nov. 22, with Louisville rolling to a 79-41 victory as a 29½-point favorite. The Cardinals have won all three head-to-head showdowns this decade (2-1 ATS), all in Kentucky, with margins of victory of 38, 24 and 64 points dating back to 2004.

Morehead State is just 6-25-4 ATS in its last 35 non-conference games and 3-9-1 ATS in its last 13 as an underdog of 13 points or more, but the Eagles are on ATS runs of 6-1 as a ‘dog, 4-0 in neutral-site games and 17-5 against teams with a winning record.

The Cardinals are on positive ATS streaks of 38-17-1 overall, 7-2 as a chalk, 6-0-1 as a NCAA Tournament favorite and 23-9 after a spread-cover. Also, including Thursday’s action, No. 1 seed are 5-1 ATS in first-round action since the start of last year’s Big Dance.

For the Eagles, the under is on runs of 4-1 overall, 7-3 as a ‘dog and 4-0 after a spread-cover. Louisville is riding “under” streaks of 12-5-1 in non-conference action, 4-1 on neutral courts and 6-1-1 as a neutral-site favorite.

ATS ADVANTAGE: LOUISVILLE and UNDER


(9) Siena (26-7, 14-15-1 ATS) vs. (8) Ohio State (22-10, 17-11 ATS)

Ohio State got an at-large invite to the Big Dance thanks to a late-season surge that saw the Buckeyes win four of their final five games SU and ATS. The lone setback came in Sunday’s Big Ten tournament championship game, as Ohio State fell to Purdue 65-61 but cashed as a 5½-point underdog. The Buckeyes won the NIT postseason tournament a season ago after reaching the 2007 NCAA title game, losing to Florida.

Siena lost just once in its last nine games (5-4 ATS) en route to the Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference tournament title and the league’s automatic bid into the Big Dance. The Saints rallied past Niagara 77-70 in the conference title game, cashing as 3 ½-point favorites on their home court.

Ohio State is 37-19 SU in 20 all-time trips to the Big Dance. Siena is making its fifth appearance in the NCAA Tournament. Last year, the Saints upset Vanderbilt 83-62 as a 6½-point underdog in the opening round before falling to Villanova 84-72 as a 5½-point pup.

Siena is just 6-13 ATS in its last 19 neutral-site games, but it is 4-1 in its last five non-conference games and 16-7 in its last 23 as a pup. Ohio State is on ATS slides of 3-9 in the NCAA Tournament overall and 2-8 as a Tournament favorite, but the Buckeyes enjoy positive pointspread runs of 12-3 in non-conference games, 6-2 as a favorite and 6-0 in neutral-site contests.

For the Saints, the over is on runs of 9-4 overall, 4-0 as a ‘dog, 4-1 in non-conference games and 8-3 after a straight-up win. Ohio State has gone over the total in four straight Touranment games as a favorite and five of six NCAA games overall, but the under has been the play in five of the Buckeyes’ last six overall and 11 of their last 15 Friday outings.

ATS ADVANTAGE: NONE


SOUTH REGION
(at Miami, Fla.)

(14) Stephen F. Austin (23-7, 1-0 ATS) vs. (3) Syracuse (26-9, 17-14 ATS)

Syracuse seven-game SU and ATS winning streak came to an end in Saturday’s Big East tournament finals as it got lost 76-66 to Louisville as a 7 ½-point underdog. The Orange got to the championship game thanks to a dramatic six-overtime, 127-117 win over UConn in the Big East quarterfinals as a 5½-point underdog, followed by another overtime win, this one a 74-69 upset of West Virginia as a 6 ½-point pup.

Syracuse is back in the Big Dance for the first time since 2006, when it followed up a run to the Big East tournament title by getting bounced in the first round by Texas A&M. The Orange are 40-24 in 25 Tournament appearances under coach Jim Boeheim.

Winners of eight in a row (1-0 ATS), Stephen F. Austin earned its first NCAA Tournament berth by winning the Southland Conference’s postseason tournament with a 68-57 win over Texas-San Antonio on Sunday, cashing as eight-point favorites in its only lined game this year. The Lumberjacks are known for their defense, having held 18 consecutive opponents to 67 points or fewer, including giving up 60 or less 12 times during this stretch.

Stephen F. Austin faced just three marquee squads this year – Texas A&M, Arkansas and Texas Tech, losing those three contests by respective margins of seven, 16 and 14 points.

The Orangemen are on ATS runs of 5-2 in neutral-site games, 4-0 as a favorite and 5-1 against teams with winning records. Syracuse is also riding “over” streaks of 5-0 overall, 7-2 as a favorite, 7-0 in neutral-site contests and 5-2 as a neutral-site favorite.

ATS ADVANTAGE: SYRACUSE


(11) Temple (22-11, 18-11-1 ATS) vs. (6) Arizona State (24-9, 18-11 ATS)

Arizona State dropped three of four (2-2 ATS) to close the regular season, but reached the finals of the Pac-10 tournament Saturday before losing to USC 66-63 as a two-point underdog. The Sun Devils, who blew a 15-point halftime lead to USC, haven’t been to the Big Dance since 2003 when they lost to Kansas in the second round.

Temple has rattled off five consecutive SU and ATS wins and last weekend completed a three-game sweep to win the Atlantic 10 Conference tournament for the second straight year. In Saturday’s championship game, the Owls held off Duquesne 69-64, cashing in as a 4½-point favorite.

Last year, Temple was ousted in the first round of the Tournament by Michigan State, losing 72-61 and coming up short as 6 ½-point pups.

These teams met in both 2003 and 2004 with Arizona State prevailing both times by narrow margins. The Sun Devils scored a 70-66 home victory in 2003, coming up short as an eight-point favorite, and then got a 65-62 win at Temple in 2004, cashing as a four-point underdog.

Temple is just 1-4-1 ATS in its last six games as a ‘dog, but the Owls are on ATS runs of 35-16-1 overall, 16-5 after a spread-cover and 5-0 in neutral-site contests. Arizona State is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 neutral-site outings and 11-2 ATS in its last 13 after a non-cover.

For Temple, the under is on streaks of 9-2 overall, 7-1 after a spread-cover, 6-2 in neutral-site games, 14-5 as a ‘dog, and 6-2 as a neutral-site pup. Meanwhile, the Sun Devils are riding “over” streaks of 4-1 overall, 5-1 in non-league contests, 16-5 in neutral-site games and 7-1 as a neutral-site favorite. 

ATS ADVANTAGE: NONE

Blade
useravatar
Offline
207942 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Friday Service Plays

EAST REGION
(at Dayton, Ohio)

(9) Tennessee (21-12, 14-16-1 ATS) vs. (8) Oklahoma St. (22-11, 14-12-1 ATS)

Oklahoma State was red-hot down the stretch, winning six of seven (7-0 ATS) to close the regular season and then reached the semifinals of the Big 12 tournament before losing to Missouri 67-59 as a 4½-point pup in the semifinals.

Tennessee was able to win five of its last seven games (4-3 ATS) and earn an at-large bid into the field of 65. The Vols reached the finals of the SEC tournament but fell 64-61 to Mississippi State on Sunday despite being a 5½-point favorite.

Tennessee reached the Sweet 16 last season before getting blown out by Louisville 79-60 as two-point underdogs. The Cowboys haven’t been “dancing” since 2005 when they lost to Arizona in a Sweet 16 contest.

These teams met in 2005 with Oklahoma State scoring an 89-73 home win as three-point favorites, but the Vols returned the favor in 2006, winning 79-77 but coming up short as four-point favorites.

Tennessee is just 1-4 ATS in its last five against Big 12 foes, 2-6-1 ATS in its last nine as an NCAA Tournament favorite and 2-5 ATS in its last seven non-conference games. The Cowboys are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 overall and 16-7-2 in their last 25 neutral-site contests, but they are on pointspread slides of 3-10 as a ‘dog, 1-5-1 as a neutral-site ‘dog, 1-4 after a non-cover and 5-12-1 on Fridays.

For the Vols, the under is 8-3 in their last 11 overall, but the over is 8-3 in their last 11 neutral-site games as a favorite and 6-0 in their last six against Big 12 competition. Oklahoma State is on “under” runs of 6-2 overall, 4-1 in non-conference games, 5-1 in neutral-site games as a ‘dog and 4-0 in NCAA Tournament games as a pup.   

ATS ADVANTAGE: UNDER


(16) E. Tennessee St. (22-11, 2-1 ATS) vs. (1) Pittsburgh (28-4, 16-9-1 ATS)

Pitt went one-and-done in the Big East conference tournament, losing to West Virginia 74-60 in the quarterfinals as a 4 ½-point chalk. The Panthers had won 10 of 11 (8-2 ATS) to close out the regular season, including an impressive 70-60 home win over UConn in the regular-season finale as 4½-point favorites.

The Panthers won the Big East tournament championship last season, but then fell in the second round of the NCAA Tournament, losing 65-54 to Michigan State as 2½-point favorites. Pitt has made six consecutive trips to the Big Dance under sixth-year coach Jaime Dixon, but has yet to make it past the Sweet 16.

East Tennessee State is on a five-game winning streak and got the Atlantic Sun conference tournament title with an 85-68 blowout victory over Jackson State on March 7, cashing as one-point underdogs in its only lined game of the season. The last time the Buccaneers were in the Big Dance was 2004 when they were knocked out by Cincinnati in the opening round.

The Buccaneers are on several positive ATS trends, including 11-5 overall, 10-4 in non-conference action, 14-5-1 in neutral-site games and 7-2 as underdogs. Pitt also is riding several ATS streaks, including 8-3 overall, 5-2-1 in neutral-site games, 7-3 as a favorite, 4-0 after a straight-up loss and 14-4-2 on Fridays.

For East Tennessee State, the over is on runs of 5-1 overall, 8-2 in neutral-site contests, 4-1 in non-conference action, 11-3 after a straight-up win and 5-2 as a neutral-site pup. Pittsburgh is on “under” runs of 4-0 in neutral-site games, 4-1 in non-conference action and 5-2 after an ATS setback, but the Panthers have soared over the title in six of eight NCAA Tournament games and six of seven after a straight-up loss.

ATS ADVANTAGE: PITTSBURGH


EAST REGION
(at Boise, Idaho)

(13) Portland State (23-9, 12-15-1 ATS) vs. (4) Xavier (25-7, 16-12-2 ATS)

After winning 20 of their first 22 games to start the season, Xavier split its last 10 contests – all in the Atlantic 10 Conference – including a 55-53 loss to Temple in the A-10 tournament semifinals, failing as a four-point favorite.  The Musketeers went just 4-6-2 ATS down the stretch, all as a favorite, but they’ve held five of their last six opponents under 60 points.

Portland State enters the NCAA Tournament with a six-game winning streak (3-3 ATS). The Vikings earned the Big Sky Conference’s automatic bid by edging Montana State 79-77 in the league tournament final on March 11, failing to cover as a 7½-point favorite. Only one of Portland State’s six wins during its streak came by more than eight points.

Xavier knocked off Georgia, Purdue and West Virginia (3-0 ATS) to advance to the regional final in last year’s Big Dance, but its Final Four dreams ended in a 76-57 loss to UCLA as a six-point underdog. The Musketeers are in the Tournament for the fourth straight time, going 2-1 (1-2 ATS) in first-round games the last three years. Meanwhile, Portland State fell to Kansas 85-61 as a 21-point underdog in the first round last year, the school’s first-ever NCAA Tournament appearance.

The Vikings are 4-1-1 ATS in their last six games when catching points at neutral sites, but they’re on ATS slides of 1-6 when an underdog of 7 to 12½ points, 2-5 on Friday and 1-4 versus teams with a winning record. Xavier is on positive pointspread runs of 9-2 in the Tournament, 35-17-1 at neutral venues, 17-7 as a favorite at neutral sites and 9-4-1 against squads with a winning record.

For Portland State, the over is on stretches of 13-5 overall, 5-1 on Friday and 5-2 as an underdog, while Xavier has topped the total in 10 of its last 11 NCAA Tournament contests and six straight non-conference games. Conversely, the under is on runs of 7-2-1 for the Musketeers overall (all as a favorite), 5-0 for the Musketeers at neutral sites and 4-1 for Portland State at neutral sites.

ATS ADVANTAGE: XAVIER


(10) Wisconsin (19-12, 12-16-1 ATS) vs. (7) Florida State (25-9, 18-9-1 ATS)

Florida State stunned top-seeded and No. 1-ranked North Carolina 73-70 to advance to the ACC tournament championship game for the first time in school history, but it was no match for Duke in Sunday’s final, falling 79-69 as a 6½-point underdog to end a three-game winning streak. Despite failing to cash against the Blue Devils, the Seminoles had one of the best pointspread records in the nation and are still on a 13-6-1 ATS run.

Wisconsin ended the regular season on a 7-2 roll (5-4 ATS), but went one-and-done in the Big Ten tournament, losing 61-57 to Ohio State as a three-point favorite a week ago today. After allowing 68.3 ppg during a midseason 0-6 slide, the Badgers have tightened things up on the defensive end, holding 10 consecutive opponents to 61 points or fewer and surrendering only 53.6 ppg during this stretch.

These teams met in an ACC/Big Ten Challenge back in 2006, with the Badgers cruising to an 81-66 victory as a 10½-point home favorite.

Florida State is back in the Tournament for the first time since 1998, when it lost to Valparaiso in the second round, and the Seminoles are 12-10 all-time in this event. This is Wisconsin’s 14th appearance in the Big Dance, and the seventh under coach Bo Ryan. Last year, the Badgers opened up with double-digit blowout wins over Cal-State Fullerton and Kansas State (2-0 ATS), but fell in the Sweet 16 to Davidson 73-56 as a five-point favorite.

The Seminoles’ slew of ATS hot streaks include 22-10-2 overall, 6-2 against the Big Ten, 6-2 at neutral sites, 7-2 as a favorite of less than seven points, 4-1 on Friday and 8-0-1 after a non-cover. Wisconsin has cashed in six of its last seven against teams from the ACC and it is 4-1 ATS as an underdog of less than seven points in the Tournament. However, otherwise, the Badgers are in pointspread funks of 1-4 overall, 0-5 against winning teams, 1-4 at neutral sties, 1-4-1 as an underdog and 2-6-1 on Friday.

The under is on runs of 6-1 for the Badgers overall, 5-1 when the Badgers are an underdog, 5-2-1 for the Badgers at neutral sites, 6-2 for Florida State overall, 15-5-2 for Florida State at neutral venues, 5-1 when Florida State is favored and 5-1-1 for Florida State on Friday. Conversely, the over is 5-0 in Wisconsin’s last five against the ACC and 5-1 in the ‘Noles’ last six versus the Big Ten.

ATS ADVANTAGE: FLORIDA STATE and UNDER


WEST REGION
(at Boise, Idaho)

(11) Utah State (30-4, 14-12-1 ATS) vs. (6) Marquette (24-9, 14-13-1 ATS)

Marquette resided in the Top 25 virtually the entire season, but struggled mightily down the stretch, losing five of its final six games, all in the Big East. The lone victory came in the opening round of the conference tournament (a 74-45 rout of St. John’s), but the Eagles were eliminated the next day in a buzzer-beating 76-75 loss to Villanova, covering as a 2½-point underdog. Marquette cashed in both Big East tournament contests after ending the regular season in a 2-7 ATS rut.

Utah State earned the Western Athletic Conference’s automatic bid by knocking off host Nevada 72-62 as a 1½-point road underdog in the league tournament final. The Aggies, who started the season 24-1 and briefly crept into the Top 25, enter this game on a 4-0 run (2-2 ATS), and five of their last six victories were double-digit routs in WAC play. They’ve scored more than 70 points in six consecutive outings.

Marquette is making its 26th Tournament appearance and its fourth in a row. Last year, the Eagles knocked out Kentucky 74-66 as a six-point favorite in the first round before losing to Stanford 82-81 in overtime as a 2½-point underdog. The Aggies’ last trip to the Big Dance came in 2006, when they lost to Washington in the first round. They’re 6-19 SU in 17 all-time Tournament appearances.

Despite its ATS slumps of 4-7 overall, 1-4 as a favorite and 1-4-1 in non-conference games, the Golden Eagles are 5-1 ATS in their last six neutral-site contests, 8-2 ATS in their last 10 as a favorite at neutral venues and 16-5 ATS as a chalk of less than seven points. Utah State sports positive pointspread streaks of 10-4 in non-conference play, 9-3 at neutral venues, 6-1 as an underdog and 6-1 as a neutral-site pup.

For the Aggies, the over is on runs of 6-1 overall, 19-8 as an underdog and 5-2 at neutral sites, while Marquette is on “over” tears of 5-2 overall, 24-11 at neutral sites, 9-1 in the Big Dance and 5-0 when favored in the Tournament.

ATS ADVANTAGE: OVER


(14) Cornell (21-9, 13-10 ATS) vs. (3) Missouri (28-6, 17-10 ATS)

Missouri capped a surprising season by rolling to its first Big 12 tournament championship with Sunday’s 73-60 rout of Baylor as a 6½-point favorite. The Tigers went 3-0 SU and ATS in the conference tourney, winning by margins of 21, 8 and 13 points, and they’ve had four separate winning streaks of four games or more this year.

Cornell qualified for the Tournament for the second straight season by virtue of capturing the Ivy League championship. The Big Red have been idle since beating Penn (83-59) and Princeton (60-51) on consecutive nights on March 6 and 7. They’re 16-3 SU in their last 19 games, but only 8-6 ATS in lined games, all against Ivy League foes and all as a favorite.

The Tigers’ last Tournament appearance came in 2003, when they lost a second-round game to Marquette in overtime. Meanwhile, Cornell has never won a Tournament game in three previous appearances, getting crushed 77-53 in a first-round loss to Stanford last year, never threatening to cover as a 16-point underdog.

Missouri carries a bunch of positive ATS streaks into this game, including 4-1 overall, 5-1 at neutral sites, 7-1 as a chalk, 5-0 when laying between 7 and 12 ½ points, 6-2 in the Tournament, 8-3 versus winning teams and 4-0 on Friday. Cornell is 18-8 ATS in its last 26 non-conference contests, 19-7-1 ATS in its past 27 as a ‘dog and 35-16 ATS in its last 51 after a non-cover, but the Big Red are 1-4 ATS in their last five against winning teams and 1-5-1 ATS in their last seven when catching between 7 and 12½ points.

The under is on runs of 5-0 for Cornell overall, 8-3-2 when Cornell is an underdog, 4-1 for Missouri overall (all as a favorite) and 4-0 for Missouri at neutral sites. However, the over is 13-6 in the Tigers’ last 19 non-conference games and 7-0 in their last seven Tournament contests.

ATS ADVANTAGE: MISSOURI


NBA

Boston (51-18, 34-35 ATS) at San Antonio (45-22, 34-31-2 ATS)

The Spurs will attempt to sweep the season series from the defending champs when they host the Celtics at the AT&T Center in a clash of two of the top five teams in the NBA.

San Antonio is coming off Tuesday’s 93-86 win over the Timberwolves, but it came up short as a nine-point favorite as All-Star center Tim Duncan sat out the contest to rest. The Spurs have alternated SU wins and losses in their last five games and have followed up a 3-0 ATS run by going 1-3 ATS in their last four. The Spurs are still 10-5 in their last 15 games (9-6 ATS), and prior to Tuesday, the SU winner had cashed in 18 consecutive San Antonio contests.

Boston snapped a two-game slide with Wednesday’s 112-108 overtime win over the Heat, winning without the services of Kevin Garnett, Ray Allen and Leon Powe. However, the Celtics failed to cover as a seven-point favorite against Miami, their sixth consecutive ATS setback. Doc Rivers’ team has cashed just once in its last 11 games, going 0-5 ATS (1-4 SU) on the road during this stretch.

The Spurs went to Boston on Feb. 8 and upset the Celtics 105-99 as a 6½-point underdog, ending a three-game SU and four-game ATS slide in this rivalry. The Celtics have prevailed in their last two visits to the AT&T Center, both times as an underdog. In fact, the pup has cashed in five straight meetings, with four consecutive outright upsets.

In addition to ATS slumps of 1-10 overall and 0-5 on the road, the Celtics have failed to cash in 11 of their last 12 games played on one day of rest, but they’re 9-4 ATS in their last 13 on Friday and 12-4 ATS in their last 16 against the Southwest Division. The Spurs have covered in 10 of their last 14 against winning teams and four of their last five versus the Eastern Conference, but they’re 5-13-2 ATS in their last 20 against Atlantic Division foes.

The over is on streaks of 4-1 for Boston overall and 6-2 for the Spurs against the Atlantic Division, but the under is on stretches of 18-7 for the Celtics on the road, 5-2 for the Celtics against the Western Conference and 5-2 for San Antonio overall. Finally, the last three series meetings have gone over the total after the previous three had stayed low.

ATS ADVANTAGE: NONE

Blade
useravatar
Offline
207942 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Board Info

Board Stats:
 
Total Topics:
44321
Total Polls:
2
Total Posts:
275347
Average Posts Per Hour:
3.7
User Info:
 
Total Users:
3458
Newest User:
Johnny Galloway
Members Online:
0
Guests Online:
1700

Online: 
There are no members online

Forum Legend:

 Topic
 New
 Locked
 Sticky
 Active
 New/Locked
 Sticky/Locked

Privacy Policy | Terms of Service | Contact Us | Advertising | 888-99-SPREAD

THIS IS NOT A GAMBLING SITE – If you think you have a gambling problem click here.

Disclaimer: This site is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Individual users are responsible for the laws regarding accessing gambling information from their jurisdictions. Many countries around the world prohibit gambling, please check the laws in your location. Any use of this information that may violate any federal, state, local or international law is strictly prohibited.

Copyright: The information contained on TheSpread.com website is protected by international copyright and may not be reproduced, or redistributed in any way without expressed written consent.

About: TheSpread.com is the largest sports betting news site in the United States. We provide point spread news, odds, statistics and information to over 199 countries around the world each year. Our coverage includes all North American College and Professional Sports as well as entertainment, political and proposition wagering news.

©1999-2013 TheSpread.com