Wednesday Service Plays

Re: Wednesday Service Plays

Drew Gordon

Duquesne +8 at VIRGINIA TECH

This dog is barking loud and clear, as the Dukes travel to Blacksburg to face off with the Hokies. Sorry Va. Tech-backers, but your team has peaked and is clearly on the way down at this point. They had a nice run in January, but its hard to ignore losing 7 of your last 9 games (4-5 ATS over that span)! Hokies have no one to blame but themselves, as their inconsistent play and shallow bench doom them once again here.

There's no arguing that Duquense plays in the weaker conference, but rest-assured, this Dukes team can and will run up and down the floor with the Hokies. Dukes average 80 ppg on 48% shooting in hostile territory this year, and made a truly impressive run in A-10 tourney, losing in the Title Game to Temple. Unlike Virginia Tech, this Dukes team has played well down the strech, which is what you want come postseason time.

From a match up standpoint, we all know about the Hokies Big 3: Vassallo, Delaney, and Allen, but its the Dukes overall balance that will help them cover in this contest. You see, Duquesne has 7 players averaging 5 points or more, including stud G Aaron Jackson (18 ppg), as compared to just 4 players on the Virginia Tech side. Depth has been an issue all season for Va. Tech, and as the season has worn on, we've seen this Hokies team tire down the stretch... Look for this to be a problem once again, as the Dukes offense won't stop coming.

Bottom line, while Virginia Tech can ride their Big 3 to the SU win, covering the number is a completely different story. Duquesne is not only playing better ball at this point, but has better depth to take advantage of a shallow Hokies bench late in this contest. In the end, the Dukes are a dangerous team with all the firepower necessary to easily keep this game within the number.

Take Duquesne plus the points over Virginia Tech in this college hoops match up.

3♦ DUQUESNE

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Re: Wednesday Service Plays

Sports Gambling Hotline

Georgetown at BAYLOR -3' 

Tonight we are going to lay the small wood with the fired up Bears of Baylor.

Baylor made an improbable run to the Big 12 title game over the weekend, and this is a team that is very happy to still be playing basketball right now, and have been rewarded with this home game.

The same cannot be said for a Georgetown team that had loftier goals when the season started. The Hoyas sputtered all season long, and do enter this game having lost 4 of 6, and 6 of their last 9 overall.

Georgetown is just 2-7-1 against the spread their last 10 on the road, and a money-burning 3-15-1 against the spread their last 19 overall.

Baylor's numbers aren't much better, but as we said at the top, the fact the Bears knocked off Nebraska, Kansas, and Texas less than a week ago is going to translate into a win, and cover tonight at home against a Georgetown team that never figured they would be playing a weeknight game at the Ferrell Center in Waco tonight.

Play on the Bears.

5♦ BAYLOR

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Re: Wednesday Service Plays

DUNKEL

Chicago at Columbus
The Blue Jackets look to bounce back from their 4-0 loss to Detroit and build on their 10-5 record after a division game.  Columbus is the pick (-130) according to Dunkel, which has the Blue Jackets favored by 1 1/2.  Dunkel Pick: Columbus (-130). 

Game 51-52: New Jersey at Carolina
Dunkel Ratings: New Jersey 11.815; Carolina 12.364
Dunkel Line & Total: Carolina by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 53-54: Chicago at Columbus
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 10.733; Columbus 12.204
Dunkel Line & Total: Columbus by 1 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Columbus (-130); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Columbus (-130); Under

Game 55-56: Dallas at Calgary
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 10.974; Calgary 10.815
Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Calgary (-190); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (+165); Over

Game 57-58: Nashville at Anaheim
Dunkel Ratings: Nashville 11.298; Anaheim 11.540
Dunkel Line & Total: Anaheim by 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Anaheim (-120); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Anaheim (-120); Under

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Re: Wednesday Service Plays

Wunderdog

Northwestern at Tulsa
Pick: Tulsa -4.5

The Golden Hurricanes play in a conference with Memphis which certainly limits their chances. What they did manage to do is close the season at 12-1 when playing anyone but Memphis. This is a team that plays sticky defense and is a very tough out on their home court. The Wildcats had a decent year in the Big Ten, but not good enough, and they lacked consistency through the season. They had a couple big wins on the road, but for the most part couldn't get it done finishing 3-9 on the road in their last 12. Wildcats also sport a 1-6 ATS mark as a road dog of up to 5.5 in their last seven, while the Golden Hurricanes are 20-7 ATS in their last 27 as a favorite and they get the call here, Tulsa with the win and cover.

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Re: Wednesday Service Plays

John Ryan

Georgetown vs. Baylor
Play:Georgetown + 3.5

Ai Simulator 3* graded play on Georgetown as they face Baylor in the NIT slated to start at 9:00 EST. AiS shows a 72% probability that GT will lose this game by 4 or fewer points. Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone 63-28 ATS for 69% winners since 1997. Play against home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points after a loss by 10 points or more facing an opponent after 4 straight games where both teams score 70 points or less. AiS also shows an 80% probability that GT will shoot 47 to 53% and Baylor will have between 14 and 18 shots from the charity stripe. Note that Baylor is just 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) when their opponents make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game this season; 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) when they attempt 14 to 18 free throws in a game over the last 2 seasons. Baylor is also an imperfect 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) in home games versus excellent teams shooting >=45% with a defense of <=42% over the last 2 seasons; 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in home games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game over the last 2 seasons.

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