MONDAY PREMIUM SERVICE PLAYS

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BookieBasherSports

Notre Dame -150

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Brian King

20 Dime Big East TV Game of the Week

Villanova at Notre Dame
Play: Villanova +3

Like taking candy from a baby tonight. Villanova has not lost two in a row all season and yes, I know all about Notre Dame's home run but that was long ago and this is now. The Irish have a tall order trying to stop Scottie Reynolds who has averaged 19.7 ppg in three shots at the Irish. It's must win for 'Nova and they are 9-0 when Reynolds scores 18 or more and 10-1 when he shoots over 40%. He'll do both tonight as the wrong team is favored in this one. This game is a trend buster as the Irish are 1-5-1 ATS against Villanova the last 7 however the underdog is 5-2-1 the last 7 ATS. Tonight the Irish catch an angry 'Nova team coming off a tough loss at home to G'Town. The Irish 7-15 ATS lose outright tonight on their home floor to the better team.

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Teddy Covers

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Notre Dame -2.5

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Smooth 44

KNOCKOUT PUNCH OF THE DAY - VILLANOVA +3


GEO SOUTHERN +6

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INDIANCOWBOY

4 Unit Play. Take Elon +14 over Davidson

Elon University is just as good as any dog out there today for us as we kick off our goal to win 7 of 9 weeks in college ball after a winning week in cbb last week going 4-3. Elon has its Senior Night tonight against Davidson and its by no accident that they have scheduled Davidson on senior night. Emotions will be high and Elon will look to step up here as they played fairly well against Davidson on the road earlier this year losing 68-83 easily covering the 22 points they were getting. Stephon Curry had a monster 39 points in that game at home. Well, if Elon can lose by 15 points on the road and actually outscored Davidson 44-37 in the second half on the road, I feel like they can start off this game well, be less intimidated, have the crowd behind them and hang in the 14 point spread here. You would be surprised at the bite Elon has at home as they have defeated the likes of Southern by 14 points, Western Carolina by 6, Furman by 8 and did beat Southern on the road by 3 and Charleston by 6. Elon does have some scoring potential with the likes of Chris Long, Devan Carter, Josh Bonney and Seniors Ola Attoyebi and Brett James who play their last home game today. I like the fact that the total is 138 here and the fact we are catching 14 of those points. Let's roll with Elon today as the public favors Davidson to a tune of 65% to 35% and let's take the points as Elon comes off a big loss as they return home and Davidson comes off a huge win over Georgia Southern. Davidson is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall and Elon is 5-0 ATS when facing a team with a straight up winning record. Elon has covered the last 4 times these two teams have met and this will be a tough spread for Davidson to cover on the highway here. I haev Elon likely losing by 8 to 10 points here.


4 Unit Play.Take Under 201 between the Dallas Mavericks vs. Oklahoma City Thunder

The Pacers pull through outright last night against Denver at home. Let's keep it going with our 3rd straight NBA Winner with the Under today in OKC. The last time these two teams met was an exciting game which went into overtime with Dallas winning 110-108. The game in regulation scored at 190. However, it seems the public assumes that this game is going to be high scoring as the last game was (some not realizing it went to OT) and many are still forgetting that there will be no Durant for this contest. Durant was instrumental in OKC being competitive in the game at Dallas. I actually think that OKC will be very competitive in this game which is why 70% might get buried backing the Mavs on the road. On that same token, I do believe that 201 points is a bit high considering there will be no Durant and Dallas is not a road team with a lot of prowess for offense on the highway. Let's not forget this Dallas team scored 76 at San Antonio, 86 at Houston and 87 Utah. In short, on the highway, this team lacks offense. OKC did defeat Memphis on the road successfully without Durant as Westbrook and Green took the load scoring over 50 points combined of OKC's 99 points in that game. That game totaled at 191 and went under the total of 198. Bear in mind both of these teams have no depth because of injuries and of course, there is no Jason Terry in this contest. Look for both teams to score in the mid to high 80's today as the Under is 9-0 for the Mavs when they are road favorites of 5 to 10 points and the under is 7-3 for the Thunder when they are home dogs by this margin as well.

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The Soccer Expert

Monday NCCAB
Furman at Wofford over 133
Citadel at Georgia Southern under 141
Citadel -5.5

NBA
Oklahoma under 96.5

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Donnie Black

New Orleans/Philadelphia Under 189

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Executive

300% Notre Dame -2'

300% New Orleans +2

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Dr. Bob

College Best Bet

**Citadel (-6) over GEORGIA SOUTHERN

Georgia Southern was a bad team to begin with and the Eagles are even worse now due to an injury to their leading scorer Willie Powers (out since January 10th) and due to the suspensions of their best overall player Julian Allen and solid contributor Antoine Johnson (as well as backup F Trumaine Pearson). Allen, Johnson and Pearson have been out the last 8 games and Georgia Southern has lost by an average margin of 12 points in those games against a schedule of teams that is a combined 4 points worse than The Citadel on average. The Citadel struggled early in the season, but they improved significantly when freshman F John Brown was inserted into the rotation in January. Brown has averaged 7.9 rebounds per game while making 58% of his shots in 18 games as part of the rotation and you can see by those numbers why the Bulldogs have 14-4 in those 18 games (13-4 ATS). The Citadel is coming off a loss to Wofford on Saturday, but they should bounce back today on the road against a horrible Georgia Southern team. The Citadel is 11-0-1 ATS on the road this season and my ratings favor the Bulldogs by 10 ½ points. I’ll take The Citadel in a 2-Star Best Bet at -6 points or less.


NBA Opinion

OKLAHOMA CITY (+6) over Dallas

In Saturday’s analysis of the Thunder I mentioned that I thought that Oklahoma City would be better without leading scorer Kevin Durant because of how much better the team is defensively when he is not on the floor, which more than makes up for the lost offense when he isn’t playing. That certainly was the case on Saturday as the Thunder’s good defense lead to a 99-92 win at Memphis as a 7 ½ point dog. Oklahoma City also nearly won at Dallas, losing 108-110 as a 9 point dog, in the game in which Durant was injured and played just 8 minutes, so it’s pretty clear that my hypothesis that the Thunder are better without Durant may be true. Durant is still out and the oddsmakers continue to adjust the wrong way for his absence, but I’ll resist making Oklahoma City a Best Bet in this game since Jeff Green is also out. Green is worth a couple of points and the Thunder should play at their usual level with Green out (a negative) and Durant out (a positive), so there is still some value in siding with Oklahoma City as a big home dog against an unrested Mavericks team that beat Toronto last night night. My ratings favor the Mavs by just 2 points in this game with both Durant and Green out and Oklahoma City is 15-2 ATS in their last 17 home games. I would have played the Thunder as a Best Bet if not for a negative 41-95-3 ATS general situation going against them, but I’ll still lean with the Thunder at +6 points in this game since the line value is more significant than the general situation going against Oklahoma City.


College Opinion

Boise State (+6) over NEW MEXICO STATE

Boise State has lost their last 3 games, but the Broncos have generally performed well after a loss under coach Greg Graham (48-30-1 ATS, including 27-15-1 ATS as a dog or pick) and they are 5-2 ATS after 3 or more consecutive losses. Boise also applies to a solid 111-43-2 ATS road bounce-back situation but the fair line on this game is 6 ½ points and the line has come down from +6 ½ to +6. I’m not going to give up the line value to make the Broncos a Best Bet, but I’ll lean with them at +6 or more and I’d take Boise State in a 2-Star Best Bet at +7 points or more.

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Stu Feiner

100 Dime Southern Conference No Brainer
   
The Citadel (-6) @ Georgia Southern

The Citadel has much to play for tonight in Statesboro, Ga and the Bulldogs will cover this price over the Eagles. Georgia Southern is down to the thinnest rosters as injuries have taken their toll in 2009 for this team that is 0-9 SU and 1-8 ATS in its last nine Southern Conference games. They're coming off a 43-point loss at Davidson Saturday as coach Jeff Price's bunch is limping to the finsih. The Bulldogs need a win tonight to secure just their second 20-win season in school history. More importantly, The Citadel needs a win to gain a first-round SoCon Tournament bye. A loss and they don't, simple as that. They had won 11 straight before Saturday's home loss to season thorn Wofford. They're 11-0 ATS on the road this year and disposed of this Eagles by nine in early February when Georgia Southern was much healthier. Tonight, the disciplined Bulldogs, looking to bounce back from their first loss in a dozen games, will control this game early and cruise to an easy double digit win.

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Chris James Sports

3* New Mexico State -6

2* Villanova +2.5

1* New Mexico St/ Boise OVER 154.5

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DAVE MALINSKY

4* New Orleans +2.5

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Jefferson-Sports

Citadel -6.5

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SMTM Sports Picks

3* Notre Dame -2 1/2 buy the 1/2 to -2
2* Hawks -3 1/2
1* George Southern +7
1* Elon +15

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Cole Landon

Hornets +2
Hornets O 189.5
Wizards U 198
Cavs -3.5
Spurs O 184.5

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SPORTS UNLIMITED

5* New Orleans Hornets
3* Baylor


SPORTS BANK

300 Washington

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KBHoops

5* Washington UNDER 198.5 -105 **POD**

5* Miami Heat +3.5

(Note that this is the Cavs 4th game in 5 nights, Back to back nights on the road, and the Cavs team plane was delayed in Atlanta all night due to snow. The team didn't arrive in Miami until after 6 AM,
and didn't get to their hotels until after 8 in the morning)

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