Monday Service Plays

Re: Monday Service Plays

Bobby Maxwell

Cleveland -4 at MIAMI 

LeBron and the Cavs against Dwyane Wade and the Heat. The top two scorers in the NBA going at it and the Heat getting the Cavs on the second night of a back-to-back. But look at what the Cavs do on the second night of a back-to-back and you'll see why we're backing Cleveland tonight.

The Cavs are 5-1 ATS when playing the second night of a back-to-back and they just crushed the Spurs three nights ago the day after losing to the Rockets. This team has great bounce-back ability and they'll show it again tonight. They played a tough one in Atlanta on Sunday night and got an 88-87 victory but failed to cash as four-point favorites.

Cleveland is on ATS runs of 43-20 overall, 36-16 as a favorite and 20-8 on Mondays. Look at the Heat and you'll see they are just 3-7 ATS in their last 10, 2-6 on Mondays, 5-13 at home against teams with a winning road record and 1-4 as a home 'dog.

The Cavs have too much on the inside for the Heat to handle. Cleveland has the size with Anderson Varejo and Zadrunas Illgauskas and those two can make life miserable on the boards. Then add in the outside shooting of Delonte West who is coming into his own and you'll see him light it up tonight.

Cleveland has won four of five in this rivalry and they'll get the job done in South Beach tonight.

5♦ CLEVELAND

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Re: Monday Service Plays

Greg Shaker

Ga.Southn / The Citadel Over 141

This is a curious game for sure because even though I think that the Posted Number is a bit higher than it should be, and I think that perhaps it will drift downward, I like it to go OVER. By saying, the line is higher than expected, I mean that Oddsmakers may have overstepped the public sentiments and we will have to wait and see the line movement. Already it is down from an opening of 142. Whether I am wrong about what Vegas has said, I do think we have a good chance of some scoring activity on the court. The Bulldogs are not Ball Pushers, and in fact, they rank #314 out of 341 NCAA Division 1A teams in that department. Georgia Southern is on the other end of the spectrum, well within the Top 15% of all teams pacewise. What we do have is a Citidel squad than has put the ball in the nets at a much higher rate than most teams. We also have 2 Teams that have very poor D Efficiency. The Eagles are as bad as it gets, ranked #337 in the country at stopping the opposition percentage-wise per trip down the court. That is about as bad as it gets. That is getting worse as the season progresses, and they have allowed over 80 points per game the last 5 times they have stepped on the hardwood. Citidel has already scored 84 verses them this year in a 159 affair back in January. Last year's game gave us 164 points on this court. I was very happy with the last game the Bulldogs played as I had the Under in that contest verses Wofford. We saw just 93 attempts from the court in that one. We will see a lot more than that tonight, and if both D's play status quo, this one will sail OVER the mark. I would play it up to 144.

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Re: Monday Service Plays

Dwayne Bryant

The Citadel -5.5 vs 522 Ga.Southn

This is the most important regular season game in many years for The Citadel Bulldogs. They're looking to not only earn their first 20-win season since the 1978-79 team, but they need a win to lock up an all-important first-round bye in this weekend's Southern Conference Tournament. With the bye, the Bulldogs' dreams of earning the school's first bid to the NCAA Tournament become much more realistic.The Citadel had an 11-game winning streak snapped in their last game -- a 62-55 home loss to a Wofford team that swept both meetings this season. The last time the Bulldogs had lost a game prior to Saturday was a 66-63 defeat at Wofford on 1/17/09. After that, the Bulldogs responded with 11 straight wins, so coach Ed Conroy is confident his team will bounce back from this latest loss to the Terriers. "Win or lose, our approach has been the same," he said. "It didn't change during the streak, so now we don't do anything different."The Citadel's 84-75 win over Georgia Southern on 1/8/09 was the game that started a downward slide for the Eagles. Guard Willie Powers suffered a season-ending knee injury in that game and the Eagles lost four of their next five games. With three more players lost to suspensions, GSU now has dropped nine straight Southern Conference games. Their only win in February was a BracketBuster victory over Jacksonville State."It's been tough for our guys," said Eagles coach Jeff Price, whose teams have won 20 games three times in his 10 seasons. "We've never had a season like this, we've been pretty successful the last 10 years. It's been difficult for us, but we have no choice but to keep our heads up and keep fighting."In looking at each team's home/road stats, I see The Citadel with clear edges in FG%, FG% allowed, free throw %, rebound margin, points allowed, and 3-point % allowed.The Citadel is also an amazing 10-0-1 ATS away from home this season. The Bulldogs are also 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU loss and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS loss.Georgia Southern is 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog of 6.5 or less and 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning SU record. The Eagles are also 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.The Citadel will be playing with mega-motivation, while Georgia Southern has the look of a team that just wants to get the season finished. I'll lay the points with The Citadel.

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Re: Monday Service Plays

nba. Atlanta-4' @ Washington. A trip to the nation’s capital might help
the Atlanta Hawks bounce back from their latest disappointing loss
which was yesterday at home against Cleveland. Mired in a slump,
the Hawks look to sweep the season series from the lowly Washington
Wizards for the first time in 11 years tonight, hawks cover-4'.
Charlies Sports - free pick

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Maddux Sports
Today's Free Pick is Philadelphia -2.5

=======================================================

(502) Philadelphia 76ers -1.5


The Hornets are 4-1 straight up in their last five games but they are 0-5
against the spread in those games and they have not done very well in
the role of a small underdog. The Hornets are 0-6 against the spread in
their last six games as a road underdog of 4.5 points or less and they
are just 1-7 against the spread in their last eight road games overall. I
look for the Sixers to pick up the win here against the unrested Hornets
team. Philadelphia is 7-2 against the spread in their last nine games
as a favorite of 4.5 points or less. Sixers win here!

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Re: Monday Service Plays

Tony George

Dallas vs. Oklahoma City    
Play: Dallas -5

Rarely in the NBA do you see a matchup edge that in every single stat category one team has an advantage in all those areas. Dallas has an advantage in points scored, points allowed, turnovers, free throw percentage, bench depth, rebounding, and field goal percentage. Not to mention that the Thunder have allowed a deplorable 116 ppg on defense the last 5 games against a team tonight scoring over 105 ppg on offense. The frontcourt and rebounding advantage for Dallas in this game is huge, and Kevin Durant for OK City is doubtful tonight, but if he does play it is on a very sore ankle which will affect his game. Dallas just won this game in OT last week at home, but I have a feeling tonight that no matter how good the ATS record is of OK City, Dallas rolls them.

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Re: Monday Service Plays

LT Profits

Oklahoma City Thunder +5.5

Many people expected the Oklahoma City to fold up without the injured Kevin Durant, but that was not the case on Saturday and we would not be at all surprised if the Thunder shock the Dallas Mavericks outright tonight.

The Thunder rose up in their first full game without Durant and upset the Memphis Grizzlies 99-92 on the road Saturday as seven-point underdogs. They now return home where they are an incredible 14-3 against the spread in their last 17 games, with one of the ATS losses being an outright win and another coming vs. the Los Angeles Lakers, which is certainly forgivable.

Oklahoma City is already 2-0 ATS vs. Dallas this season, even though they narrowly lost both games outright, and most impressively, both of those games were at Dallas! The Thunder lost by just four points at Big D in the first meeting, and then took the Mavericks to overtime there in a 110-108 defeat on Friday.

The fact that Dallas has struggled with the Thunder is not that surprising when you consider that the inconsistent Mavericks have a nasty habit of playing down to the level of their competition. They have a losing ATS record of 28-31 overall despite being 36-23 straight up, and Dallas is actually getting outscored on the road by a small margin of -1.4 points per game.

All this makes the Mavericks shaky road favorites here, so look for Oklahoma City to at the very least take this game to the wire with a win on the court a real possibility.

Pick: Thunder +5.5

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Re: Monday Service Plays

Rocketman Sports

Villanova @ Notre Dame
Play: Villanova +3.5

Villanova comes in with a very nice 23-6 overall record while Notre Dame has struggled somewhat with a 16-12 overall record. Villanova is 8-2 ATS this year when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games. Villanova is 14-5 ATS last 3 years and 6-0 ATS this year against good offensive teams scoring 77 points per game or more after 15 or more games. Villanova is 7-1 ATS this year against good offensive teams scoring 77 points per game or more. Notre Dame is 3-12 ATS after a conference game this year. Wildcats are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning SU record. Wildcats are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Fighting Irish are 8-21 ATS in their last 29 games following a ATS win. Fighting Irish are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Fighting Irish are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games vs. a team with a winning SU record. Fighting Irish are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following a SU loss. Fighting Irish are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 vs. Big East. Fighting Irish are 3-11 ATS in their last 14 games overall. Fighting Irish are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games. Fighting Irish are 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 Monday games. Fighting Irish are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite. Fighting Irish are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a home favorite. Underdog is 5-2-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings. We'll recommend a small play on Villanova tonight!

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Re: Monday Service Plays

Dennis Macklin

Davidson at Elon
Play: Davidson

With the overall strength of the college hoop heavyweight conferences like the Big East and ACC, teams like Davidson had better not leave it to the committee for an at large bid if they were not to win their conference tourneys. The Wildcats took some BAD losses while Curry was down with an injury and then handles easy in BBuster at home by Butler with Curry. Would throw this game out immediately but ..... Davidson beat Elon by 17 the first time around and Phoenix could be without 13 ppg if PG James doesn't play. Take a flyer on Davidson.

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Re: Monday Service Plays

Matt Fargo

Dallas Mavericks at Oklahoma City
Prediction: Dallas Mavericks

Normally I am not a proponent of laying road chalk in the NBA but if there is a side in this game, this is the one. I was on Oklahoma City when these two teams met on Friday and the Thunder nearly pulled off the outright upset. It was the second time this season in as many games in Dallas that Oklahoma City nearly won, easily covering the number both times. That alone will keep the Dallas players? heads in this game as it has been a team that has lost focus against the bad teams in the league for the most part this year. The Mavericks are 14-15 on the road and has not won away from home since February 2nd. It only played four road games all of February and all four came against teams that are in the playoffs so this is its first ?winnable? road game since playing at Miami back at the end of January and that did result in a 15-point win. The big story here is that Oklahoma City will be without its best player Kevin Durant who suffered a grade II sprained ankle Friday night in an overtime loss in Dallas. It?s the same type of sprain that sidelined Utah?s Deron Williams for more than a month. He was on crutches Friday and Saturday and it?s doubtful he will play this week. The Thunder actually won on Saturday without Durant but that game was against Memphis who has dropped seven straight games and is 6-28 in its last 34 games. Oklahoma City is definitely a better team at home but there is just too much going against it here. Dallas falls into a simple yet effective power situation. Play on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points that are coming off three or more consecutive home wins in the second half of the season. This situation is 115-66 ATS (63.5 percent) since 1996 with the average point differential being +8.7 ppg. The Mavericks are 6-1 ATS in the second half of the year against poor defensive teams that are allowing opponents to shoot 46 percent or better from the floor. Dallas is 30-10 this season as a favorite and 6-12 as an underdog and it will add to the former tonight as it will not be taking Oklahoma City lightly this time around. 3* Dallas Mavericks

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Re: Monday Service Plays

MyDreamBet

Pick: Atlanta Hawks -4,5

Tonight the Atlanta Hawks visit the Washington Wizards. In this game the visiting team, the Hawks are given as favorites by the Spread of -4.5. In this game the line of total points is in 199 points.

This will be a game between two teams with completely uneven quality with clear advantage for the Hawks team, in addition to the objectives of these teams are very different, on the one hand the Hawks are a team with goals in the playoff while the Wizards are no longer fighting for nothing at this time.

The Atlanta Hawks lost the game last night against the Cleveland Cavaliers 88-87 in a game decided in the last seconds and the victory to fall to the side of the Cavaliers in a game well contested. Despite the defeat in the game yesterday, the Atlanta Hawks secure 4th place in the East Division with a good record of 33-26 but obviously the aim is join more wins to get a good spot in the playoffs.

The team of the Washington Wizards continue to show many problems. The Wizards hold the last position of the East Division with a terrible record of 14-45 which shows the poor performance of this team. Injuries and lack of motivation showed that the Wizards are a team with fragile and objectives for this season and the best that could happen was that this nightmare was over quickly. Even playing at home the Wizards have a poor record of 10-21 and already we can see that the home-factor is not important in this game.

This is a game where the Atlanta Hawks could avenge the defeat suffered in last night, and nothing better than having a weak opponent like the Washington Wizards team. This is a game that the Hawks could use to add one more victory and thus insure its increasingly 4th position in the East Division. As for the Wizards is only one game into the bad end of the season. These two teams have already faced over 3 times this season and the Atlanta Hawks managed to win in those 3 games.

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Re: Monday Service Plays

Jeff Alexander

1 Unit on Cavs/Heat UNDER 186.5

Cleveland's offense hasn't been nearly as potent as the season has gone on, especially on the road. That's why we have seen the Cavs play to the under in 4 of 5 and 9 of their last 13 games. This series has been an unders machine, especially when played at Miami, as the Under is 10-3 in the last 13 meetings in Miami and 12-5 in the last 17 meetings overall. The Under is 9-2 in the Cavaliers last 11 vs. the Eastern Conference and 17-8 in the Heat's last 25 games as a home underdog of 4.5 or less. Take the Under.

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Re: Monday Service Plays

Bryan Leonard

Villanova at Notre Dame

The Wildcats have slumped a bit as of late barely winning by a bucket at DePaul and losing at home to Georgetown. With a trip to the Big Dance secure the team hasn't played with a great deal of effort as of late. And in reality they haven't been that impressive on the road. Not only did they struggle to beat DePaul but they lost at West Virginia by 21, only beat Providence by 3 and couldn't put away South Florida winning by just 9 points. While we really think this Villanova team can go a long way come tournament time they haven't been playing up to their capabilities.

At 16-12 the Irish need every win possible at this stage of the season to secure an NCAA Tournament bid. They are off a loss at Connecticut but overall played very well in a 72-65 defeat. Notre Dame has just two home losses on the season, with Connecticut and Marquette being the culprits. With a home game against St Johns to end the regular season a victory tonight is paramount to their chances. Lay the small number as the Irish lay it all on the line.

PLAY NOTRE DAME

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Re: Monday Service Plays

Jack Jones

Atlanta Hawks -4 over Washington

I'm not afraid to lay the small number here with Atlanta on the road as the Hawks have won three straight games at the Verizon Center and five straight overall against Washington.  Atlanta is struggling with losses in four of their last five games, so they should be hoping to end that streak by buckling down tonight against the lowly Wizards.  Washington has gone just 10-21 at home this year and with Atlanta needing to get back on track I see them winning handily tonight.

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Re: Monday Service Plays

Dave Price

1 Unit on Miami Heat +4

I like the rested Heat tonight against a Cavs team that played a barnburner against the Hawks last night. Miami has won 17 of the last 22 in this series at home and Dwayne Wade loves taking on LeBron and company as the Heat are 2-0 ATS versus the Cavs this season. Cleveland lost by 9 points in Miami as a 5.5-point favorite back on December 30th and I expect a very similar outcome tonight. The Cavaliers are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 vs. NBA Southeast and 2-5 ATS in the last 7 meetings in this series. The Heat are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 vs. NBA Central and 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games playing on 1 days rest. Take the points.

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Re: Monday Service Plays

James Patrick Sports

Cavaliers vs. Heat

The Cavaliers end a short road trip with a visit to South Beach and they are just 2-5 ATS the past 7 meetings with the Heat and Miami owns a 7-1 ATS mark against the Central Division. Our Monday NBA  selection is Miami Heat.

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Re: Monday Service Plays

Rob Homyak

Villanova Wildcats at Notre Dame Fighting Irish
5 units on Notre Dame

The Irish are 5-1-1 ATS in the last seven meetings with the Wildcats and they?ve covered each of the last three played in South Bend. Villanova is 1-4 ATS all in the Big East and 5-11 ATS in its last 16 games after a straight-up loss.

Wildcats are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.

Wildcats are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. Big East.

Fighting Irish are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games as a favorite of 0.5-6.5.

Fighting Irish are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as a home favorite of 0.5-6.5.

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Re: Monday Service Plays

Andre Gomes

PHI / NOH Under 189.5

On my preview I said that the Hornets matchup pretty well against the Sixers. Philadelphia is a fast break minded team who likes to attack the post and they are on the top 3 of these categories. The problem for them is that the Hornets are also in the top 4 of allowing fast break points and points in the paint, so this team has the tools to stop defensively the Sixers. It's not a mere coincidence that they are 3-0 against the Sixers since last season winning by 15, 19 and 21 points! However this is a back to back game for the Hornets and they are an awful team playing in such scenario, as away underdogs they are 1-7 ATS with the only cover being made in the first back to back game of the season!

The coincidence between all of those wins against the Sixers is that all 3 games ended being under: 165, 171 and 187 points. I expect the same thing to happen tonight. The Hornets have now Tyson Chandler and he is their best shot blocker and against the Sixers he will be extremely useful. The Sixers are coming from a brutal home loss against Orlando. I remember that they led the game as many as 13 points late on the game, but they were outscored by 20-36 in the fourth quarter. They are a great team at bouncing back from bad defensive performances, as the Under is 5-1-1 in the Sixers last 7 games after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. The Sixers have been playing great defense as home favorites, this is easy to understand because they know that only sticking to their defense, they have chances to execute their precious fast break points. In fact, the Under is 22-8 in the Sixers last 30 games as a home favorite of 0.5-4.5 and 10-0 Under as a home favorite of 6 points or less this season. I think that this game will end in the low's 180 points and that's why I'm taking the Under in here.

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Re: Monday Service Plays

Info Plays

3* on New Orleans Hornets +2.5

Reasons why the Hornets cover the spread:

1.) Philly is back to reality, losing 5 of their last 7 games overall. The 76ers are just 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games as well. New Orleans will knock off the 76ers tonight as they are playing much better basketball now that Tyson Chandler has returned to the floor. The Hornets have won 4 straight games now, holding their last 3 opponents to 96 points or less. This team plays great defense and at full strength the Hornets are very dangerous. New Orleans will be up on this Eastern Conference opponent tonight.

2.) Last 3 meetings. The Hornets won 101-86, 95-76 and 93-72 in their last 3 meetings with the 76ers. These games haven’t even been close, and the largest margin of victory which was 21 points came on the road in Philly. New Orleans clearly has the 76ers’ number and should not be listed as the underdog tonight..

3.) System Play. We’ll Play Against - Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (PHILADELPHIA) - in a game involving two average teams (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 42 or more games, after allowing 100 points or more 2 straight games. This is a 61-28 ATS System hitting 68.5% since 1996. Philly has given up 97 or more points in 7 straight games. They just don’t get after it defensively like the Hornets do. Bet New Orleans on the road.

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Re: Monday Service Plays

John Martin

1 Unit on San Antonio Spurs -8

The Spurs are looking to make amends for one of their most embarrassing defeats of the season. San Antonio lost badly to the Blazers last night, and that was their second loss in a row. The Spurs will not be losing 3 straight games tonight. San Antonio is 9-0 SU and 5-4 ATS in their last 9 games vs. the Clippers. The Spurs have gone 4-0 SU & 3-1 ATS in their last 4 trips to L.A. as well. Tim Duncan is now back in the lineup and the Spurs are nearing full strength. The Clippers are still battling the injury bug, and G Eric Gordon is now listed as doubtful to play tonight. Gordon has clearly been the biggest surprise on this team all season, and the Clippers will miss his shooting tonight. L.A. is just 8-22 SU & 11-19 ATS at home this season. Home court hasn’t really helped this team as you can see by these putrid numbers. The Spurs have been at their best on the road, posting 19-11 SU & 17-12 ATS records in road games this year. Coming off back-to-back losses, the Spurs will be playing very motivated basketball tonight. Cash in with the Spurs as the favorite.

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Re: Monday Service Plays

Black Widow

1* on Atlanta Hawks -4

Atlanta is bitter over their loss to the Cleveland Cavaliers last night, a last-second loss in which Lebron made a free throw with just over a second remaining on a play in which it didn’t appear he was actually fouled. The Hawks are going to take out their anger on the helpless Washington Wizards tonight. Atlanta is 4-0 in their last 4 meetings with Washington, including a 21-point blowout the last time they faced one another. The Hawks are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 visits to Washington as well. The Wizards are only 10-21 SU and 12-19 ATS at home this year. Washington is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) vs. division opponents this season. This is a tired Wizards’ team and the past has shown that they have been very poor on tired legs. Washington is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) when playing their 3rd game in 4 days this season. The Hawks pick up their 5th straight win over Washington, and their 6th straight cover in their last six road meetings vs. the Wizards. Take Atlanta and lay the points.

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