WEDNESDAY PREMIUM SERVICE PLAYS

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COLE LANDON

EAST CAROLINA -2
GEORGE WASHINGTON -1
GEORGE MASON UNDER 142
UMASS UNDER 156
DAVIDSON UNDER 142

YESTERDAY
4-1
+3 UNITS

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INDIANCOWBOY

4 Unit Play.Take the James Madison Dukes +3.5 over over VCU

Glad we were able to cash with Iowa State yesterday. In hindsight, I probably should have stepped out in that play, but it's all good as at some point I will step out this week on the college card. There is no need to press the issue here as we will wait for the right spot. As per this game, I like James Madison here for the potential outright here in the Colonial. For starters, I like the fac that JMU is a great free throw shooting team at 75.7% and I believe this will be important with the home crowd behind this team. The average attendance for JMU's contest has been around 3,500 for big conference games, which might not seem like a lot but given the limited seating of JMU, the stadium will be packed. Make no mistake about it that VCU is a good team. They lead the conference currently at 12-4 while JMU is 9-7 in conferece play. But, this is the same VCU team that lost to conference dud and dead last NC-Wilmington on the road by 9. This is the same VCU team that lost to Old Dominion on the road by 4 and the same VCU team that lost to Deleware on the highway as well James Madison already faced this team once this year and they took VCU to the wire in overtime at VCU. James Madison has really turned it up a notch at home. Remember, they defeated George Mason earlier this year at home who is second in the conference by a score of 68-66. This team beat ODU on the road as well in the beginning of the year by 8. When these two teams hooked up last time around JMU lost 71-76 in OT on the road. Note, they out rebounded VCU in that game 36-31. VCU also got to the line in that game 25 times and shot 14/25 from the free throw line - just 56%. JMU got to the line 17 times and shot 14 for 17 or 82.4%. That striking difference in free throw shooting and some home cooking calls will certainly help this time around for JMU. I also like how Wells, Thornton, Louis and Moore all were in double figures in that contest as well for the Dukes. I know we are not always on the "sexy" and "popular" plays but I like the Dukes here as it has everything we look for. About 2/3rds of the public is riding the road chalk VCU, I like the home dog here in JMU in fading the public, as our team has revenge, is a much better shooting free throw team will be key as it was last game when our team lost in OT as well as in this game with the home crowd, a team that be competitive on the boards and who already beat other top teams in the conference and can certainly get it done here at home. Granted, VCU does come off a tough 1 point loss to Nevada which worries me a bit as they look to bounce-back, but I will take my chances here with JMU for the reasons stated above. The VCU Rams are 0-5 ATS when facing a team with a winning record of 60% or more, VCU is 1-7 ATS in conference play their last 8 contests and the Dukes are 6-0 ATS as home underdogs of 0-6.5 points.


4 Unit Play.Take Denver Nuggets -8 over Atlanta Hawks

This seems like a sound spot to take the Nuggets here and we will roll with them. As bettors, we want as many factors to work in our favor as possible when making POD selections. For starters, Denver has revenge over the Hawks from a double-digit loss earlier this year when Denver went into Atlanta and lost 91-109 and Atlanta easily covered as 5 point chalk. What's wild about that game was Denver was down by just 1 point going into the half and then wheels came off as Atlanta behind teh Hotlanta crowd surged ahead. Well, things are a bit different today. For starters, Denver comes off one of the most embarassing losses of this year at home to the Celtics. Of course, the Celtics had revenge and hammered this team as Denver had beaten them Outright as big dogs coming into that game in Boston. Losing 76-114 is usually a nice swift kick in the behind for any team and George Karl I'm sure reamed his players after that terrible performance. Heck, J.R. Smith was the leading scorer in that game with 19 points as Denver shot a pitiful 3 for 21 from 3 point land in that contest (14%). Billups had just 3 points in that game. I'm sure Karl mentioned to Billups that he has to be more agressive in looking for his shot and taking his shot when he finds it come this game. In short, we have a Denver team that comes off losing by nearly 40 to the defending NBA Champs. Denver is at home facing a Hawks team that has revenge and a Hawks team that might not have the services of Bibby and Smith tonight as they are both questionable. My Hawks have lost by double-digits to the Lakers, Jazz and Blazers on this road trip and Denver is certainly capable of stepping up and winning big here at home given the revenge, the home crowd and coming off such an ugly loss. Denver is the same team that beat Utah at home by 20, Indiana by 20 and Miami by 11. The Hawks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games and the favorite in this contest is 4-0 the last 4 times they have met.

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BobbyClarkeSports

Marquette -1 Wager 770 to win 700
Ball State -3 Wager 770 to win 700

Flyers Wager 1800 to win 1000

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ATS Lock Club
6 units Utah (NCAA) -4.5
6 units Okla ST. -5.5
4 units Duke -5.5
4 units Marquette -1


ATS Financial Package
4 units R.I. -5.5
4 units Tulsa -3.5
3 units VCU -2.5

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Wizard of Odds Guaranteed Selections

COLLEGE HOOPS DOMINATOR PLAY OF THE MONTH

Seton Hall -7


Winners Inc. Guaranteed Selections

QUADRUPLE DIME BREAK THE BANK SHOT WINNER

Tennessee -9

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RAS

VCU under 140.5

Fordham under 133

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Overthespread

Connecticut vs. Marquette
Pick: MARQUETTE (-1)
Wager: 60 Dimes

Philadelphia vs. Washington
Pick: PHILADELPHIA (-4)
Wager: 50 Dimes

VCU vs. James Madison
Pick: JAMES MADISON (+3.5)
Wager: 40 Dimes

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Billy Coleman

4* KENTUCKY

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BIG AL

3* Towson
1* Dallas
1* Evansville
1* Auburn
1* Rutgers
1 * Utah Utes

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Karl Garrett

40 DIMER - VIRGINIA TECH

20 DIMER - KENTUCKY

10 DIMER - VANDERBILT

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RAS

VCU under 140.5

Fordham under 133

Drexel under 118.5

Wilmington over 142

UCSB under 138.5


Sides

East Carolina
Virginia Commonwealth
U Mass
Cal-Davis

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Game Time Sports Advisors

5* Nuggets
5* Northeastern
4* UC Davis

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Trace Adams

1500* - Auburn Tigers

500* - Delaware Blue Hens

500* - Orlando Magic

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Stan Lisowski

5* Hornets


Great Lake Sports

5* Nets

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Charlies Sports

500* Texas Tech/Texas Over 149
30* Central Florida -12
20* UConn +1
20* Indiana +4
10* Dallas -7
Orlando -2 free play

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DR BOB

Opinions


Wednesday NBA Opinion
Orlando (-3) over NEW YORK

Orlando clearly hasn’t been as good in 14 games this season without All-Star point guard Jameer Nelson, but the Magic continue to play well after a loss. Orlando is 35-13 ATS after a loss in two seasons under coach Stan Van Gundy, including 4-1 ATS this season without Nelson in the lineup. Orlando also applies to a general 70-25-1 ATS road favorite bounce-back situation. Unfortunately, my ratings only favor the Magic by 1 ½ points with Nelson out, so I’ll just lean with Orlando in this game. I’d take Orlando in a 2-Star Best Bet at -2 points or less.

Wednesday College Opinions/Possible Best Bet
William & Mary (+12) over OLD DOMINION

William & Mary is just 2-8 ATS as a road underdog this season, but Old Dominion is only 7-22-1 ATS as a conference home favorite following a game in which they won and covered, including 0-7 ATS the last 2 seasons. ODU also applies to a very negative 7-54-3 ATS last home game situation. My ratings favor Old Dominion by 12 ½ points and I was hoping to get 13 points here. I’ll lean with the Tribe at +12 or +12 ½ points and I’ll take William & Mary in a 2-Star Best Bet at +13 points or more.

MARQUETTE (-1 ½) over Connecticut

Marquette is 16-0 straight up at home, including impressive wins over Villanova and West Virginia, and the Eagles apply to a solid 168-86-9 ATS late season home team situation against a U Conn squad that is 0-3 ATS without the services of guard Jerome Dyson (13.2 ppg, 3.2 apg, and 1.8 steals). My ratings make this game a pick without adjusting for Dyson being out and Marquette by 1 or 1 ½ points is a fair line. I also think U Conn’s ability to block shots (7.6 per game) won’t have as much effect on a Marquette team that doesn’t depend on scoring in the paint. I’ll lean with the Eagles at -1 ½ or -2 points and I’d take Marquette in a 2-Star Best Bet at -1 or better.

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PointspreadPros

Boston -8 over LA CLIPPERS (2 Units)

SACRAMENTO +3 over Charlotte (1 Unit)

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EXECUTIVE

300% UConn +2

300% UNLV +5'

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Dr Bob

3 Star Selection
***Charlotte (-3) over SACRAMENTO

The Bobcats are an average team with Raja Bell and leading scorer Gerald Wallace both in the lineup (10-11 straight up in 21 games and 0.5 points worse than an average team in my ratings) and an average team shouldn’t have any problem taking out their frustrations against the lowly Kings. Charlotte is coming off 3 consecutive losses as underdogs to Orlando, at Houston and at Phoenix last night, but the Bobcats apply to a very strong 72-18-1 ATS road bounce-back situation tonight and they are 6-2 ATS this season the night after a loss. Sacramento, meanwhile, is just 2-18 straight up this season at home against a team with a win percentage of greater than .333 and they are 2-11-1 ATS in those games when not getting at least 7 points. My ratings favor Charlotte by 4 ½ points after adjusting for their lack of rest and I’ll take Charlotte in a 3-Star Best Bet at -4 or less and for 2-Stars at -4 ½ points.


2 Star Selection
**JAMES MADISON (+3) over Virginia Commonwealth

James Madison has been an underrated team most of the season, as the Dukes are 15-4-1 ATS since stud F Juwann James returned from injury in mid-December and they even covered a few games when he was out of the lineup for 4 ½ more games recently. JMU is still being priced based on all their games this season, not just the games in which James has played, as my ratings using all games for both teams would favor VCU by 2 ½ points. However, using only the games with James playing would yield a fair line of JMU by ½ a point. The Dukes will be without starting point guard Devon Moore for a second straight game and his offense will be missed (50% FG), but Moore is not worth more than a point or 1 ½ points and I’d favor VCU by just 1 point. James Madison applies to a solid 59-28-2 ATS last home game situation and I’ll take James Madison in a 2-Star Best Bet at +3 points or more.


3 Star Selection
***St. Louis (pick) over ST. BONAVENUTRE

St. Louis has covered the spread in 8 consecutive games and I see that streak continuing tonight, as the Billikens apply to a 41-6-2 ATS subset of a 112-51-3 ATS road momentum situation. St. Bonaventure has never been very good at home (24-54-2 ATS in their last 80 lined home games) and the Bonnies are just 7-12 ATS at home under coach Mark Schmidt. My ratings favor St. Louis by 2 points and I’ll take St. Louis in a 3-Star Best Bet at -1 or better and for 2-Stars at -1 ½ or -2 points.


3 Star Selection
***Villanova (-13) over DePAUL

DePaul has lost their last 7 games by 15 points or more and the Blue Demons are a horrendous 3-18 ATS at home the last two seasons, including 12 consecutive spread losses. DePaul’s most recent 4 home games were losses by margins of 23 points to Seton Hall, 23 points to Pitt, 15 points to Marquette, and 22 points to U Conn. Villanova is 4-1 ATS as a road favorite this season and my ratings favor the Wildcats by 14 ½ points in this game and by 19 points if I used conference games only. DePaul doesn’t match-up well with Villanova either, as the Wildcats’ defense forces teams to shoot 3-pointers (23 per game) while shutting down the interior. DePaul is a horrible shooting team that has made just 28% of their 3-pointers so the Blue Demons are not going to be able to take advantage of the only open shots that they’re get from Villanova. DePaul also applies to a negative 58-118-3 ATS situation that plays against bad teams at home. I’ll take Villanova in a 3-Star Best Bet at -13 or less and for 2-Stars at -13 ½ or -14.


2 Star Selection
**Texas Tech (+14 ½) over TEXAS

Texas Tech is 0-4 straight up and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games and there head coach Pat Knight has been suspended for this game. That could be good news, as I don’t think Knight is a very good coach, and the Red Raiders apply to a 23-2-1 ATS subset of a 50-15-1 ATS big road underdog situation that plays on teams on a straight up and spread losing streak. Texas, meanwhile, applies to a very negative 0-24-3 ATS subset of a 42-103-3 ATS big favorite letdown situation that in part deals with the fact that the Longhorns already beat Texas Tech earlier in the season. I can certainly envision a letdown by the Horns here after just beating #2 Oklahoma and having already beaten Tech by 22 points on the road. Texas hasn’t been very good as a big favorite under coach Barnes (25-31-2 ATS as favorite of more than 13 points) considering how good Barnes’ teams have been when not favored by more than 13 points (143-113-6 ATS). Texas is just 3-18 ATS as a favorite of more than 13 points against a team with a win percentage of greater than .333 that is coming off a loss, so the Red Raiders’ losing streak will make it tough for Barnes to get his team fired up for this rematch. Texas Tech, meanwhile, while just 6-14 ATS overall this season, is 3-1 ATS as a road dog of 12 points or more. My ratings favor Texas by 14 ½ points and I’ll take Texas Tech in a 2-Star Best Bet at +14 points or more and for 3-Stars at +15 or more.


Wednesday NBA Opinion
Orlando (-3) over NEW YORK

Orlando clearly hasn’t been as good in 14 games this season without All-Star point guard Jameer Nelson, but the Magic continue to play well after a loss. Orlando is 35-13 ATS after a loss in two seasons under coach Stan Van Gundy, including 4-1 ATS this season without Nelson in the lineup. Orlando also applies to a general 70-25-1 ATS road favorite bounce-back situation. Unfortunately, my ratings only favor the Magic by 1 ½ points with Nelson out, so I’ll just lean with Orlando in this game. I’d take Orlando in a 2-Star Best Bet at -2 points or less.


Wednesday College Opinions/Possible Best Bet
William & Mary (+12) over OLD DOMINION

William & Mary is just 2-8 ATS as a road underdog this season, but Old Dominion is only 7-22-1 ATS as a conference home favorite following a game in which they won and covered, including 0-7 ATS the last 2 seasons. ODU also applies to a very negative 7-54-3 ATS last home game situation. My ratings favor Old Dominion by 12 ½ points and I was hoping to get 13 points here. I’ll lean with the Tribe at +12 or +12 ½ points and I’ll take William & Mary in a 2-Star Best Bet at +13 points or more.


MARQUETTE (-1 ½) over Connecticut

Marquette is 16-0 straight up at home, including impressive wins over Villanova and West Virginia, and the Eagles apply to a solid 168-86-9 ATS late season home team situation against a U Conn squad that is 0-3 ATS without the services of guard Jerome Dyson (13.2 ppg, 3.2 apg, and 1.8 steals). My ratings make this game a pick without adjusting for Dyson being out and Marquette by 1 or 1 ½ points is a fair line. I also think U Conn’s ability to block shots (7.6 per game) won’t have as much effect on a Marquette team that doesn’t depend on scoring in the paint. I’ll lean with the Eagles at -1 ½ or -2 points and I’d take Marquette in a 2-Star Best Bet at -1 or better.

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