Friday Service Plays

Re: Friday Service Plays

Larry Ness

Illinois St. +3 vs Niagara

Tim Jankovich and his Redbirds were left out of last year's "Big Dance" despite 24 regular season wins and a RPI of 33. Illinois St can surely not count on an at-large bid this year either, as the team's RPI at the beginning of the week was 60. While Illinois St could get an at-large bid out of the MVC (nothing new with that), Niagara of the MAAC knows its only chance to 'go dancing' come mid-March is by winning its conference tourney. So how does that dynamic play here? Probably not all that much, although Illinois St must feel a loss here eliminates ANY chance of an at-large bid. The Redbirds have terrific perimeter game, as returning players Eldridge (14.0-6.1) and Holloway (10.1-4.0-2.9) have been joined by 6-5 Oregon transfer Oguchi (14.7-5.7) and JUCO point guard Phillips (11.6-2.4-3.5). Phillips has missed the last few games due to personal reasons and I'm not exactly sure what his status is but ISU is 3-0 SU and ATS in the games he's missed, as Shipley (an Austin Peay transfer) has played 29 minutes in a big road win at Drake (eight points) and 25 minutes in a home win over Wichita St (15 points), the last two. A pair of 6-8 players, Odiakosa (9.2-7.30 and Sampay (7.1-5.1), have made the loss of last year's best inside player, Anthony Slack (9.5-7.1), not hurt so bad. Niagara is 21-7 overall, including 12-4 in MAAC (tied for 2nd). The Purple Aces are 8-2 SU at home, losing to Akron back in December and in mid-January to a 12-15 Iona team. Niagara returned from a three-game road trip off a disappointing loss at Rider, in which the Broncs shot 54.8 percent, including 13-of-21 on threes. Last year's do-everything player, the 6-4 Charron Fisher (27.6 PPG and 9.5 RPG), is gone but Niagara does have the 6-10 Egemonye (12.6-7.), who may bother Odiakosa and Sampay inside. Niagara's strength though, is its perimeter people, led by returning players Lewis (16.4-4.7) and PG Nelson (7.6-4.6-5.3) plus two Big East transfers. Benn ('Nova) is averaging 13.8-8.9-3.0 and Garrison (U Conn) is averaging 10.2 PPG. However, I don't believe this group has much (if any) of an advantage over Illinois State's perimeter people. With at least a slim hope of an at-large bid still "on the table," I expect Illinois St to be very focused in this one and I want the points.

Blade
useravatar
Offline
221144 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Friday Service Plays

Andre Gomes

CHL +2.5 vs ORL

This is a big revenge game for the Bobcats and I expect them to work fine in this game. I know that Orlando is a very tough road opponent but even the tops teams have their bad moments (just look for the Celtics after the Christmas) and Orlando is struggling right now.

In the last game they were spanked by the Hornets 85-117 and they are 1-4 ATS L5 games. Actually I made a play on the Hornets by saying the following about the Magic: ?The Magic are struggling right now from the perimeter, in the last 3 games they shoot 6-20, 9-31 and 9-24 behind the arc. We are talking about 30%, 29% and 37 % from a team who need badly to make a huge number of treys to be competitive.?  Well, the Magic made 13 for 33 behind the arc in that game with Lewis shooting 1-7 and Turkoglu 2-5 so I think we can say that the slump continues.

The Bobcats didn?t take advantage from this slump because unexplainable they allowed Dwight Howard to score 45 points for a 16-23 from the field performance. What the hell Larry Brown was thinking in not double teamed Howard in that game?! Surely this won?t happen tonight and the Magic will have a lot of problems to score once again.

The Bobcats meanwhile bounced back nicely against the Pacers at home and they can beat top teams at home right now because they are full healthy. Against the Pacers 6 players scored double digits points and they have multiple offensive weapons. Rafer Alston will not play tonight and the Magic have been constantly outplayed in the backcourt lately. Chris Paul made 36 points, 10 assists and 6 rebounds vs Magic and even Felton and D.J Augustin combined 33 points, 8 assists and 10 rebounds against them. Don?t forget that the Bobcats are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a home underdog and I expect them to be ultra competitive tonight. Take the Bobcats in here.

Blade
useravatar
Offline
221144 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Friday Service Plays

just info -not recomending anything
accuscore (over 10,000 simulations) claims to be 11-2 last 13 dartmouth o/u
          dart-57.9 penn-70.6  w/penn win83% straight up
  claim 7-3 on yale o/u
           corn-69.9 yale-63  w/corn w71%su
   claim 9-3 spread winner in columbia games
           col-59.1   brown-63.5  w/br  w64%su
  claim 15-8-2 last 7 days when away team is a 4-7.5 fav.
           refer to yale o/u cornell is-4.5
    harv-56.1 prince-63.7 w/prince w74%su
ill st-71.8 niag72.1 w/ill st w50.3%su
  va comm-69.5 nev-67.8 w/vac w54.8%su they also have vac covering at 58.7%

tjboo640
useravatar
Offline
37 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Friday Service Plays

Thanks tjboo640 nothing wrong with all the info you can get on a game your gonna bet.

Lots of people call these comp plays garbage but anytime you can get info you didn't have before makes you a bit closer to picking more winners on a consistent basis I think.

Blade
useravatar
Offline
221144 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Friday Service Plays

Blade wrote:


Thanks tjboo640 nothing wrong with all the info you can get on a game your gonna bet.

Lots of people call these comp plays garbage but anytime you can get info you didn't have before makes you a bit closer to picking more winners on a consistent basis I think.

I really love the comp plays,i don't thin they are garbage..You have to follow a system to be succesfull,i am on your thinking.. 

nature_one
useravatar
Offline
107 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Friday Service Plays

accuscore (over 10,000 sims per game)-these post are average score after sims
claim 15-8 accuracy on spread winner last 23 orlando road
  orl-95.5   char-90 w/orl w64.5%su   line orl-2
claim 62-37 sread winner when total is over 210
  tor-107.2   nyk-109.2 w/nyk w60%su    o/u 214
  ind-106.7  minn-106.2 w/ind w50.6%su  o/u 213
  ok-110.5  pho-120 w/pho w76%su   o/u234
their winners edge spotlight has
    no-98.2  lal-103.8 w/lal w70%su-they have no covering 59.7%  line no+8.5
  on the college post for accuscore vac game is also winners edge spotlight
no claim
  den-104.1 chi-99.9 w/den w60%su line den-2.5

tjboo640
useravatar
Offline
37 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Friday Service Plays

accuscore sim is without amare st.

tjboo640
useravatar
Offline
37 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Friday Service Plays

Black Widow Sports

1* on Columbia +3.5

Columbia is the better team in this match-up with Brown, and with home-court not really being much of an advantage in the Ivy League we’ll side with the underdog to get the cover Friday. Columbia is 10-12 on the season and they’ve gone 8-4 ATS in all lined games. On the road they have been very solid against the spread, going 5-2 ATS in 7 lined road games. Their opponent tonight, Brown, is just 7-15 on the season and 4-10 ATS in all lined games. At home they have been even worse, going just 1-4 ATS in five lined home contests. The difference between these teams has really showed up in conference play. Columbia is 5-3 in Ivy League contests. Brown is just 1-7 in conference play. There’s no way in hell this team should be favored tonight. Columbia is 16-1 ATS (+14.9 Units) in road games after allowing 60 points or less 2 straight games since 1997. Columbia has won 5 of their last 6 games overall, holding their last two opponents to under 60 points. We’ll take this trend and ride with it as we back the much better team from the Ivy League Friday. Take Columbia and the points.

Blade
useravatar
Offline
221144 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Friday Service Plays

John Ryan

Va Commonwealth vs. Nevada
Play: Va Commonwealth 1.5

Ai Simulator 3* graded play on VA Commonwealth as they travel face Nevada slated to start at 9:00 EST. VAC is the bubble team ranking 67th in RPI and a win here would certainly help their bid for an invitation. VAC is already winning the CAA Conference and has a 1 game lead over George Mason and Northeastern. So with the Conference Championship well in hand it still would not hurt them to win out and also be eligible for an at-large berth as well. I truly do not see Nevada having any chance to get a berth despite that they are 2nd in WAC Conference play. They are so far behind the talent and execution of the conference leader Utah State that an upset is highly unlikely. They host Utah State on the 23rd, but even a win would not be enough at this point in the season. Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone 124-71 ATS for 64% since 2003. Play against a home team in non-conference games and off a win against a conference rival. Nevada is just 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons; 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in home games versus good shooting teams making >=45% of their shots over the last 2 seasons. Take VA Commonwealth.


New Orleans Hornets at Los Angeles Lakers
Prediction: Los Angeles Lakers

Ai Simulator 3* graded play on the Lakers as the host New Orleans slated to start at 10:35 EST. AiS shows a 73% probability that the Lakers will win this game by 10 or more points. Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone 44-13 ATS for 77% since 2003. Play against dogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points after 5 straight games allowing a shooting percentage of 42% or less facing an opponent after a game making 12 or more 3 point shots. Lakers have made it a solid point to play their best against the best this season. They are off a perfect 6-0 road trip and have won 9 of 10 games. Note that they are a solid 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) when playing against a good team posting a win percentage of 60% to 70% this season. The Lakers are playing incredibly solid team basketball exhibited by their high number of assists per game. Note that HC Jackson is 28-13 ATS (+13.7 Units) in home games after 2 straight games with 26 or more assists. Take the Lakers.

Blade
useravatar
Offline
221144 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Friday Service Plays

Mydreambet

Oklahoma City Thunder @ Phoenix Suns
Pick: Under 231,5

Tonight the Oklahoma City Thunder visit the Phoenix Suns at U.S. Airways Center. In this game the team the Phoenix Suns is given as favorite by Spread of -7.5, the line of total points in the meeting is situated on 231.5 points.

Looking at the lines of this game, obviously the highlight goes to the large number of points where the line total is located, this was due mainly to the last 2 games of the Phoenix Suns team which recorded a large number of points , these last 2 games were against the Los Angeles Clippers who, despite the good players that the team has, the team are probably more "ridiculous" to play in the NBA, not the least of application and requirement, the result was two games completely dominated Suns by the results of which were 140-100 and 142-119.

For tonight I believe that the scenario is quite different, and that the total number of points in the meeting does not reach such high numbers. To begin to lack the Suns team that was the best scorer of the team in recent games, that Amare Stoudamire is out for injury and probably for the rest of the season, the last game he hit 42 points and 11 bumps. I believe that with this lack of weight, the Phoenix Suns to make a game more cautious not to will be surprised by the Thunder team.

A team of Oklahoma City Thunder still doing their time in the bottom of the table in the West Division with a record of 13-41, and since then we can understand why a team with this record is not from the outset to achieve much given score on the other hand believe that this team defensively is applied 100% to not be "humiliated" the image of the Clippers last game against the Suns.

I believe this is a game completely for various reasons, and therefore the Under is the best bet for this game.

Blade
useravatar
Offline
221144 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Board Info

Board Stats:
 
Total Topics:
45517
Total Polls:
2
Total Posts:
287613
Average Posts Per Hour:
6.3
User Info:
 
Total Users:
3697
Newest User:
Brandon Blair
Members Online:
0
Guests Online:
2453

Online: 
There are no members online

Forum Legend:

 Topic
 New
 Locked
 Sticky
 Active
 New/Locked
 Sticky/Locked

Privacy Policy | Terms of Service | Contact Us | Advertising | 888-99-SPREAD

THIS IS NOT A GAMBLING SITE – If you think you have a gambling problem click here.

Disclaimer: This site is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Individual users are responsible for the laws regarding accessing gambling information from their jurisdictions. Many countries around the world prohibit gambling, please check the laws in your location. Any use of this information that may violate any federal, state, local or international law is strictly prohibited.

Copyright: The information contained on TheSpread.com website is protected by international copyright and may not be reproduced, or redistributed in any way without expressed written consent.

About: TheSpread.com is the largest sports betting news site in the United States. We provide point spread news, odds, statistics and information to over 199 countries around the world each year. Our coverage includes all North American College and Professional Sports as well as entertainment, political and proposition wagering news.

©1999-2013 TheSpread.com