Friday Service Plays

Re: Friday Service Plays

Tom Freese

Dallas at Houston

Dallas is 6-2 ATS vs. a team that scored 100 or more points in their last game and they are 10-4 ATS vs. a team that has a home winning percentage of over 60%. The Mavericks are 10-4 ATS their last 14 games as road dogs and they are 7-2 ATS their last 9 meetings with the Rockets. Houston is 7-20-1 ATS off an ATS win and they are 1-4-1 ATS off a straight up win. The Rockets are 2-7 ATS off a double digit win and they are 0-5 ATS on Friday. PLAY ON DALLAS +

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Re: Friday Service Plays

Dave Price

1 Unit on Atlanta Hawks +5

The Hawks are catching too many tonight. The Blazers are just 3-3 in their last 6 games and just 1-5 ATS. The Blazers won by just 4 points as an 11.5-point favorite against a lowly Memphis team last time out and it will struggle to win this game against a very athletic Hawks team. Right off the bat, one has to like the points here since Portland is just 3-14 ATS as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points over the last 3 seasons and 10-24 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less over the last 3 seasons period. The Hawks have been strong in the underdog role at 16-7 ATS as an underdog this season. Each of the last 3 meetings have been decided by 2 points or less and I'm expecting another close one here so I'll gladly take the points.

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Re: Friday Service Plays

Craig Trapp

Dallas Mavericks vs. Houston Rockets    
Play: Dallas Mavericks +3½

Very big 4 star free play for Craig today. Rough loss on free play yesterday with Garnett going down for the Celtics. Still the Celts only lost by 5 and were in it to the very end.

Today we are taking Dallas over Houston. Now that McGrady is out and Houston has traded there other penetrator Alston we hate Houston. These two teams have split this year in there previous two match ups with both road teams winning by 10 points.

Dallas will pull away late in this one as they are just more talented with Dirk, Kidd and compnay. Dallas is much better on the road and they are still trying to get into the playoffs whereas Houston has given up on this season with the trade and injuries.

Score Dallas 98 - Houson 93

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Re: Friday Service Plays

Jrtips

NEW ORLEANS vs. LA LAKERS

The New Orleans Hornets were among the teams that agreed to a big trade, but it didn't go through in which they will be better off but Tyson Chandler won't be in the lineup tonight. Tonight, the Hornets try to become the first opponent to beat the NBA-leading Lakers twice at Staples Center this season. For the Lakers (44-10) who are on top of the standings, Paul Gasol is having a great season averaging 18.3 points and 9.5 rebounds per game to complement Kobe Bryant. The Lakers have won nine of their last 10 opening the second half with victories on back-to-back nights over Atlanta and Golden State beating the Warriors on their home court 129-121 on Wednesday. The Hornets had dropped six of eight going into last weekend's All-Star break with Chris Paul out but they won back-to-back games over Oklahoma City and Orlando this week, getting 36 points and 10 assists from Paul in Wednesday night's 117-85 win over the Magic. After losing twice at home to the Lakers earlier this season, the Hornets beat them 116-105 on Jan. 6 at Staples Center when West tied a career-high with 40 points and pulled down 11 rebounds while Paul had 32 points and 15 assists. The Lakers' 25-4 home record is the best in the West. Lamar Odom has been the difference for the Lakers since Bynums injury as he is playing the best basketball of his career. He will neutralize David West tonight and the lakers will be on Top of their game playing on national TV tonight at home. Just like the Hornets got revenge over the Magic Wed night, the Lakers will do the same against the Hornets TAKE LAKERS-9

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Re: Friday Service Plays

ezwinners.com - FREE SELECTION


Date: Friday, February 20, 2009
Game: Illinois State Redbirds @ Niagara Purple Eagles
Sport: NCAA Basketball
Time: 6:00PM CST

(881) Illinois State Redbirds +3

The Redbirds have been surging and find themselves just one game
out of the Missouri Valley Conference lead. Illinois State has got some
nice production from some seldom used players recently that has really
provided them with some quality depth. Niagara has a good team and
they are tough at home. They play a similar style of game as Illinois State,
but the Redbirds are the better team in my opinion. ISU has been strong
on the road as the Redbirds are 10-4 against the spread in their last
fourteen games as a road underdog. Take the points.


2009 Free Selections Record  27-23

========================================================
OVER - Total Play of the Day - pregame.com


Hornets: New Orleans may have received a blessing in disguise when
attempting to trade Tyson Chandler to Oklahoma City earlier this week.
Chandler failed his physical due to a toe injury and ended up back with
the Hornets, who could definitely benefit from a healthy Chandler down
the stretch. “I’m excited to have T.C. back,” New Orleans point guard
Chris Paul said. “I think it will give us a huge lift. Hopefully it will bring us
closer together. You know, T.C. is family to us, so there won’t be any
animosity when he comes in here and he understands what’s been the
goal all along.”

PROJECTED SCORE: 102 
Underdog is 10-1 ATS in the last 11 meetings.

The OVER is 7-2-1 in New Orleans' last 10 road games.


Lakers (-9, O/U 207): LA has won nine of its last 10 games, improving
to 2-0 both SU & ATS since the All-Star break with a 129-121 win at
Golden State on Wednesday. The Lakers have been especially unselfish
lately, totaling 33 assists against the Warriors, which was just two off
their season high. “We just shared the ball, and every time you play that
way, it’s rewarding,” said Lakers center Josh Powell. The road team has
won the last three meetings along with six of the last eight.

PROJECTED SCORE: 109 Lakers are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games overall.

The OVER is 6-2 in LA's last 8 games as a favorite.

=======================================================

Free Selection from Totals4U
Friday's free selection: Oklahoma City/Phoenix over 233

======================================================


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Re: Friday Service Plays

Tony George

Orlando Magic vs. Charlotte Bobcats    
Play: Orlando -2.5

I like the Magic on the road here as they are MONEY for their backers going 13-5 ATS their last 18 road games. Orlando struggled with Charlotte earlier this week in a 5 point Overtime win. The Bobcats shot 47% from the free throw line in that game, which killed them, but these 2 teams should not be on the same page to be honest. I like taking good teams off bad losses and the Magic are off a very bad performance against the Hornets in a blowout and embarrassing loss. Charlotte is tough at home but once again, a good team off a bad loss, knowing Charlotte is the real deal at home, will have them focused. Orlando scores 10 ppg more on the road this season than Charlotte has at home, and I expect a higher scoring game, and the frontcourt of the Magic to win it tonight in a tight one.

Play: Orlando

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Re: Friday Service Plays

Tom Stryker

Orlando Magic vs. Charlotte Bobcats
Play: Orlando Magic -2.5

Orlando enters this contest at Charlotte off its worst beating of the season. The Magic got pounded by the Hornets on Wednesday night 117-85. Even though Superman and Company are still adjusting to life in the NBA without point guard Jameer Nelson, Orlando will find a way to slip past this scrappy Charlotte team.

Since January 15th, 2008, the Magic have been in a groove posting a solid 73-33 SU and 64-39-3 ATS record in their last 106 games. In this role coming off a straight up loss, Orlando has responded quite well posting a tremendous 24-8 ATS record in its next battle. Equally impressive, in their last 46 games with rest and matched up against a sub .500 opponent, the Magic have cruised to a solid 31-15-1 ATS mark.

On Tuesday night, Orlando needed overtime to slip past Charlotte 107-102. Off their crushing loss to the Hornets, the Magic will come completely focused on the task at hand. Take Orlando.

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Re: Friday Service Plays

Scott Rickenbach

Colorado Avalanche @ Washington Capitals
PICK: Under

The Avalanche are coming off of a 3-2 win in overtime versus Ottawa on Tuesday. This was the second straight game the Avs won after regulation – they won at Detroit in the shootout on Sunday – and it’s done wonders for their confidence heading into a six game road trip that starts tonight. The Avalanche have not been scoring all that well. This is why their last seven games have only featured one “crazy” one – that was the 6 to 5 win over the Red Wings in the shootout. Other than that, the last six Avalanche games have all finished with total goals scored of six or less. Five of those six games did tally five or less goals. It’s plain to see why there is some value here with this total posted at a full six goals. Of course we understand how this total was set because the Capitals are known for high-scoring games. However, Washington’s games have only exceeded six goals twice in their last five games.

Before their 4-3 shootout win over Montreal Wednesday, the Caps had held three of their last four opponents to two goals or less. With Washington still trying to catch Boston for the top seed in the Eastern Conference playoffs and the Avalanche still trying to stay alive in a jam-packed Western Conference playoff race, there will no shortage of defensive intensity tonight. Also, Colorado’s power play as well as their overall scoring, ranks among the worst clubs in the league when on the road. Look for those troubles to continue for the Avalanche here and, with both clubs well-rested, there will be fresh defensemen and fresh goal-tenders doing their part to keep this one a tight game all the way. There are some situational issues here (like the rest factor) for both teams and that, along with the defensive intensity these teams are likely to play with tonight, as noted in the information above, means one should consider a small play on UNDER 6 goals in Washington Friday night.

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Re: Friday Service Plays

Big Al Mcmordie

Oklahoma City Thunder at Phoenix Suns
Prediction: Oklahoma City Thunder

At 9:05 pm, our complimentary selection is on the Oklahoma City Thunder plus the points over Phoenix, as the Thunder are 31-15 ATS its last 46 on the road off three losses, when playing with rest. And Phoenix is a dismal 20-42 ATS off back-to-back ATS wins, if it also won its last game by double digits. With Phoenix in off 140-100 and 142-119 wins over the Clippers, we'll fade Alvin Gentry's men tonight at home vs. Oklahoma City. Take the points.

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Re: Friday Service Plays

Jimmy Boyd

1 Unit on Cavs/Bucks UNDER 196.5

This one stays under because of how strong defensively the Cavs have been on the road. Cleveland is holding its opponents to just 91.9 ppg on the road this season. A short-handed Bucks team will struggled to score against a very good Cavs defense tonight. In fact, Cleveland held Milwaukee to just 85 points here in November when the Bucks had their roster in tact. Totals in the 190's have been an automatic unders call when the Cavs are on the road this season and they are 9-1 UNDER in road games where the total is between 190 and 199.5 points this season. The Under is 14-3 in Cavaliers last 17 games playing on 1 days rest, 7-1 in Cavaliers last 8 vs. Eastern Conference, and 5-1 in Cavaliers last 6 games as a road favorite. The Under is also 7-3 in the last 10 meetings in Milwaukee. Bet the UNDER!

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Re: Friday Service Plays

Wunderdog

Dallas at Houston
Pick: Houston -3

The Houston Rockets have a score to settle with the Dallas Mavericks. The Mavs handed the Rockets a 10-point loss earlier in the season in Houston. The loss was the largest of the season the Rockets have suffered at home. Their other five losses total just 14 points, so it shows you just how good they have been at home. The Mavs have lost some games by huge amounts on the road against good teams. They lost by 28 each to Utah, and Phoenix, and 24 to Boston, so they certainly show the ability to be part of a blowout against a motivated team, which the Rockets will be tonight. Houston gets the call here.

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Re: Friday Service Plays

Dave Price

1 Unit on Atlanta Hawks +5

The Hawks are catching too many tonight. The Blazers are just 3-3 in their last 6 games and just 1-5 ATS. The Blazers won by just 4 points as an 11.5-point favorite against a lowly Memphis team last time out and it will struggle to win this game against a very athletic Hawks team. Right off the bat, one has to like the points here since Portland is just 3-14 ATS as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points over the last 3 seasons and 10-24 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less over the last 3 seasons period. The Hawks have been strong in the underdog role at 16-7 ATS as an underdog this season. Each of the last 3 meetings have been decided by 2 points or less and I'm expecting another close one here so I'll gladly take the points.

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Re: Friday Service Plays

Vegas Experts

Orlando Magic at Charlotte Bobcats

We aren't going to fall for this trap. It might be a short number for the division leading road favorite, but the Bobcats are on a major roll right now having covered five straight. That includes an ATS win in an OT SU loss to Orlando Tuesday night. That cover extended Charlotte's ATS record within division play to 10-1 this season. The Magic are off a terrible loss to New Orleans and we find them at 2-12 ATS since 1996 off a loss by 30 or more. Take the points.

Play on: Charlotte

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Re: Friday Service Plays

Dwayne Bryant

Yale +5.5 vs Cornell

Big revenge game for Yale after getting blown out 64-36 at Cornell three weeks ago. That loss to Cornell started a pattern of alternating wins and losses by Yale. Coming off a tough home loss to Penn, I expect the Bulldogs to bounce back tonight.If we just look at both teams' season results, Cornell is clearly the better team. I prefer to look at each team's performances on the road and at home. When we look at Cornell's road outings and Yale's home games, it paints a different picture.Cornell is just 3-6 SU on the road, while Yale is 5-2 SU at home. Yale actually holds edges in points scored, points allowed, FG %, and FG% allowed.They also hold the edge in one critical area -- rebound margin. On the road this season, Cornell owns a rebound margin of -2.1 rebounds per game. At home this season, Yale owns a tremendous rebound margin of +8.9 rebounds per game.Cornell is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. On the flip side, Yale is a PERFECT 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games as a home underdog AND 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU loss.From a series perspective, the home team is 8-1 ATS in the last 9 meetings and Cornell is 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings at Yale.

Add it all up and I'll take the points with what I feel is a live home dog tonight. Take Yale +5.5.

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Re: Friday Service Plays

MTI Sports

Denver Nuggets at Chicago Bulls
Prediction: Chicago Bulls

The Nuggets are 0-10 ATS (-10.2 ppg) since November 21, 2007 with at most one day of rest when they have won and covered their last three games.Consider the Bulls.

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Re: Friday Service Plays

Jeff Alexander

1 Unit on Oklahoma City +9

The Suns have crushed the Clippers each of the past two games as they turn back to their run and gun style, but that was the Clippers. The Thunder have clearly turned a corner behind the confident Kevin Durant and are no longer a pushover. Just within the last couple weeks, the Thunder have played the Nuggets to a 1-point game, beaten the Blazers, played the Lakers to a 7-point game, and the Hornets to a 2-point game. All of those teams have better records than Phoenix so we won't take the bait here. The Underdog is an unbeaten 5-0-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings and the Thunder are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 games as an underdog. We'll take the points tonight.

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Re: Friday Service Plays

Michael Cannon

Orlando at CHARLOTTE +2 

The UCLA Bruins just squeeze by the number and we take home another free winner last night!

Take the Bobcats plus the small number tonight over the Magic.

I know the public is probably going to be all over Orlando tonight after the monster game Dwight Howard had his last time out against the Bobcats.

But I don’t see that happening again simply because Charlotte’s Emeka Okafor will have better success against Howard tonight.

Okafor was in foul trouble in the last meeting, but I like him to learn from that and stay in the game tonight.

Larry Brown is also going to have a better gameplan tonight, so I’m not real worried about this small number.

The Bobcats continue to learn under Brown and it’s these types of lines that you have to be careful of.  At first glance you would think this is a gift for Orlando, but the Magic are coming off a blowout loss at New Orleans and you have to wonder about their consistency right now.

Take the Bobcats as the small home dog as they get it done over the Magic.

2♦ CHARLOTTE

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Re: Friday Service Plays

Drew Gordon

Denver -2' at CHICAGO 

Interesting spot here for the Nuggets, who have not only been playing well, but also get to visit a much different looking Bulls team tonight. Chicago was a big player before the deadline, and while their moves are a positive step forward, these first couple games will be marred by plenty of confusion. Its going to take time for Brad Miller and company to get accustomed to the new system and their new teammates. Note, according to local reports, IF any of the new Bulls play tonight, it'll only be Miller and Salmons, so the Bulls will be short-handed.

Speaking of the Nuggets recent play, they've won 10 of their last 12 games SU, going 8-4 ATS over that span! More important to this particular match up, they've won 5 of their L6 road games (4-2 ATS), and are playing much better basketball on the road now that Billups has been fully integrated into their system. Sorry Bulls-backers, but new looking roster and the confusion that will ensue only makes it that much easier for the surging Nuggets tonight. Also of note, the Nuggets are an impressive 9-2 ATS in their last 11 meetings with the Bulls!

Critics of this play will argue that Chicago has been a cash-cow for their backers of late, going 8-1-1 ATS. However, 8 of those 10 games were on the road, going 1-1 SUATS at home over that span, including a SU loss to a very average Heat team, and a win over a struggling Pistons squad. I'm not exactly convinced by the Bulls recent play, which is a BIG reason they made so many moves before the trade deadline.

Bottom line, expect some disarray on the Bulls tonight, as they brought in a lot of new faces, and it going to take some time before they get competitive again. Nuggets on the other hand, are rolling and should continue to roll in this match up, as Billups and company shred a very beatable and short-handed Bulls defense tonight.

Take Denver over Chicago in this NBA match up.

3♦ DENVER

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Re: Friday Service Plays

Matt Rivers

For Friday take the points with the Hornets.

Going against the Lakers lately has been equal to Suicide as Kobe and the fellas have been phenomenal and very well may be the best team in the NBA right now. But with that said who is going to guard Chris Paul tonight?

I just like this matchup with the visiting Hornets, whether Tyson Chandler is back or not. Sure Kobe, Gasol and the home squad are awesome and have the upside to pound anybody anywhere right now but to get an absolute superstar and a total mismatch with Paul against slower guys like Derek Fisher and others is a huge advantage for us and one that cannot be passed up.

The Hornets have been sketchy at times this season but they just whacked around Dwight Howard and the Magic and are a team that has had a ton of success out West and even with what has appeared to be underachieving at times New Orleans is still a very very good 32-30 on the season. Plus they have been decimated by injuries this season to David West, Chandler and Paul and still are 12 games above. 500.

At some point Phil Jackson's team has to slow down a bit without Andrew Bynum plugging up the middle and to get a price back like this with Paul is worth a small play for sure.

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Re: Friday Service Plays

Jake Timlin

So far so good for the Suns under new their new head coach as Phoenix is back to their old ways thanks with Coach Gentry calling the shots. Well given that Phoenix is at home and going up against yet another weak team I look for the Suns to roll to yet another blowout thanks to their explosive offense.  After all even though the Thunder have fared well in this series over the years due to the Suns ability to score just like they did against the Clippers by posting 140 points in two games I just don’t see Oklahoma City matching points tonight.  Not when the Thunder allowing 106 ppg on the road as they have been outscored by an average of 9 ppg in their road games.  Flat out, while the Thunder will get their points it won’t be enough to stay within 10 points of the Suns who must might go for 150 tonight.  So with that lay the points in the desert as Phoenix rolls to a blowout win. 

PICK: Phoenix Suns

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