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Thursday Service Plays

Re: Thursday Service Plays


UL-Lafayette at Denver
The Ragin' Cajuns run into a Denver team that is 8-2 ATS at home this season and 11-3 ATS against conference opponents. The Pioneers are the pick (-5 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has Denver favored by 11. Dunkel Pick: Denver (-5 1/2).

Game 705-706: Minnesota at Michigan
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 63.381; Michigan 69.844
Dunkel Line: Michigan by 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Michigan by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Michigan (-3 1/2)

Game 707-708: Xavier at Charlotte
Dunkel Ratings: Xavier 65.300; Charlotte 62.880
Dunkel Line: Xavier by 2 1/2
Vegas Line: Xavier by 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Charlotte (+7 1/2)

Game 709-710: Troy at Florida International
Dunkel Ratings: Troy 54.899; Florida International 50.744
Dunkel Line: Troy by 4
Vegas Line: Troy by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Troy (-2 1/2)

Game 713-714: Arkansas State at New Orleans
Dunkel Ratings: Arkansas State 49.575; New Orleans 49.160
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: Arkansas State by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New Orleans (+2 1/2)

Game 715-716: Western Kentucky at Arkansas Little Rock
Dunkel Ratings: Western Kentucky 55.291; Arkansas Little Rock 59.212
Dunkel Line: Arkansas Little Rock by 4
Vegas Line: Arkansas Little Rock by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arkansas Little Rock (-2 1/2)

Game 717-718: South Alabama at Middle Tennessee State
Dunkel Ratings: South Alabama 50.168; Middle Tennessee State 57.173
Dunkel Line: Middle Tennessee State by 7
Vegas Line: Middle Tennessee State by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Middle Tennessee State (-4 1/2)

Game 719-720: UL Monroe at North Texas
Dunkel Ratings: UL Monroe 46.262; North Texas 58.279
Dunkel Line: North Texas by 12
Vegas Line: North Texas by 11 1/2
Dunkel Pick: North Texas (-11 1/2)

Game 721-722: St. Bonaventure at George Washington
Dunkel Ratings: St. Bonaventure 50.929; George Washington 55.652
Dunkel Line: George Washington by 4 1/2
Vegas Line: George Washington by 3
Dunkel Pick: George Washington (-3)

Game 723-724: Wisconsin at Indiana
Dunkel Ratings: Wisconsin 67.531; Indiana 59.477
Dunkel Line: Wisconsin by 8
Vegas Line: Wisconsin by 10
Dunkel Pick: Indiana (+10)

Game 725-726: Rutgers at Villanova
Dunkel Ratings: Rutgers 56.494; Villanova 75.948
Dunkel Line: Villanova by 19 1/2
Vegas Line: Villanova by 18
Dunkel Pick: Villanova (-18)

Game 727-728: California at Oregon
Dunkel Ratings: California 64.274; Oregon 61.180
Dunkel Line: California by 3
Vegas Line: California by 7
Dunkel Pick: Oregon (+7)

Game 729-730: Loyola Marymount at Gonzaga
Dunkel Ratings: Loyola Marymount 39.960; Gonzaga 71.398
Dunkel Line: Gonzaga by 31 1/2
Vegas Line: Gonzaga by 34
Dunkel Pick: Loyola Marymount (+34)

Game 731-732: UL Lafayette at Denver
Dunkel Ratings: UL Lafayette 46.315; Denver 57.387
Dunkel Line: Denver by 11
Vegas Line: Denver by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Denver (-5 1/2)

Game 733-734: Pepperdine at Portland
Dunkel Ratings: Pepperdine 44.809; Portland 63.294
Dunkel Line: Portland by 18 1/2
Vegas Line: Portland by 14
Dunkel Pick: Portland (-14)

Game 735-736: Stanford at Oregon State
Dunkel Ratings: Stanford 65.965; Oregon State 64.411
Dunkel Line: Stanford by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: Stanford by 4
Dunkel Pick: Oregon State (+4)

Game 737-738: Washington State at USC
Dunkel Ratings: Washington State 64.346; USC 72.879
Dunkel Line: USC by 8 1/2
Vegas Line: USC by 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: USC (-6 1/2)

Game 739-740: Hawaii at Fresno State
Dunkel Ratings: Hawaii 47.917; Fresno State 54.931
Dunkel Line: Fresno State by 7
Vegas Line: Fresno State by 4
Dunkel Pick: Fresno State (-4)

Game 741-742: Washington at UCLA
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 70.597; UCLA 76.510
Dunkel Line: UCLA by 6
Vegas Line: UCLA by 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+8 1/2)

Game 743-744: San Diego at St. Mary's (CA)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego 48.886; St. Mary's (CA) 66.692
Dunkel Line: St. Mary's (CA) by 18
Vegas Line: St. Mary's (CA) by 13 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Mary's (CA) (-13 1/2)

Game 745-746: Appalachian State at NC Greensboro
Dunkel Ratings: Appalachian State 49.535; NC Greensboro 46.120
Dunkel Line: Appalachian State by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: Appalachian State by 4
Dunkel Pick: NC Greensboro (+4)

Game 747-748: Western Carolina at Elon
Dunkel Ratings: Western Carolina 48.063; Elon 46.557
Dunkel Line: Western Carolina by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: Western Carolina by 2
Dunkel Pick: Elon (+2)

Game 749-750: College of Charleston at Georgia Southern
Dunkel Ratings: College of Charleston 53.647; Georgia Southern 45.240
Dunkel Line: College of Charleston by 8 1/2
Vegas Line: College of Charleston by 5
Dunkel Pick: College of Charleston (-5)

Game 751-752: Idaho State at Montana State
Dunkel Ratings: Idaho State 50.531; Montana State 50.417
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: Montana State by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Idaho State (+3 1/2)

Game 753-754: Weber State at Montana
Dunkel Ratings: Weber State 56.370; Montana 57.771
Dunkel Line: Montana by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: Montana by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Weber State (+3 1/2)

Game 755-756: Tennessee State at Tennessee Tech
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee State 40.499; Tennessee Tech 50.631
Dunkel Line: Tennessee Tech by 10
Vegas Line: Tennessee Tech by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee Tech (-5 1/2)

Game 757-758: Northern Colorado at Portland State
Dunkel Ratings: Northern Colorado 48.515; Portland State 58.070
Dunkel Line: Portland State by 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Portland State by 11
Dunkel Pick: Northern Colorado (+11)

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Re: Thursday Service Plays

Jeff Scott Sports

5 UNIT PLAY (Sun Belt GOY)

DENVER -5.5 over UL Lafayette

The Ragin' Cajuns are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games following a S.U. win, while the Pioneers are 13-3-1 ATS in their last 17 games after allowing less than 50 points in their previous game and 12-3 ATS in their last 15 vs. Sun Belt. Granted Denver is just 11-14 overall and 6-8 in the Sun Belt, but they have gone 10-2 SU & 8-2 ATS at home and a solid 10-3 ATS with in the conference. The Pioneers have gone 6-1 in sun Belt home games and have outscored those opponents by 6.9 ppg. UL Lafayette has been horrible on the road this year as they are just 1-11 overall, including 1-6 away from home in the Sum Belt. The Cajuns have been outscored by 13.5 ppg on the road this year, including 7.3 ppg in their Sun Belt road games. The Cajuns average 63.8 ppg on the road , while the Pioneers average 63.6 ppg at home, so there is no clear cut advantage there. The one offensive advantage for Denver isthat they are shooting 49% from the floor at home, while the Cajuns are shooting just 38.7% on the road.  The real advantage though comes on defense, where the Pioneers have allowed a scant 54.6 ppg at home and they are 31st in scoring defense, allowing just 60.8 ppg overall. The Cajuns come in ranked 260th in points allowed (71.3 ppg) and they have allowed 77.1 ppg on the road this year. Denver is a very good team at home and they should have no problems with a Cajun's team that does not play well on the road.  Denver by double digits here.

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Re: Thursday Service Plays


Washington at UCLA

Way too many points to lay here against the first place team in Pac 10. The Bruins lost by 11 in Seattle and while that puts the revenge angle in play, it's an overlay. The Huskies have four players that average double digit scoring and have won 17 of their last 20. Granted, Westwood has been a "house of horrors" for them (lost 21 of 22), but UCLA is 0-9 ATS following back-to-back games where they attempted 12 or less free throws. Take the points.

Play on: Washington

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Re: Thursday Service Plays

LT Profits

Stanford -4

The Oregon State Beavers went into Maples Pavilion a few days after Beavers coach Craig Robinson saw his brother-in-law Barack Obama inaugurated and upset the Stanford Cardinal 77-62. It is payback time tonight in Corvallis.

The Cardinal are coming off of a seven-point loss at California, missing the cover by a half-point. However, they have still been one of the better teams in the country against the spread, going a lucrative 14-7 ATS. This includes a fine 5-3, 62.5 percent road mark.

Now Stanford may be just 4-8 straight up inside the Pac-10, but they are ranked a respectable 48 in the Pomeroy Ratings, ranking 46 in adjusted offensive efficiency and 63 in adjusted defensive efficiency. Now they will no doubt be dragged into a deliberate style of play by Oregon State here, but the Cardinal have a very good effective field goal percentage of 52.4 percent, so the fewer possessions should not hurt them much.

The Beavers are obviously improved after being one of the very worst teams in the country last year, but they still appear outclassed here. They are rated 136 overall by Pomeroy, ranking 137 in offense and 151 in defense. This just goes to show that their upset road win at Stanford was a fluke, and a more focused Cardinal should have a rather easy time tonight.

Stanford gets their revenge in a big way in this spot.

Pick: Stanford -4

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Re: Thursday Service Plays

Tom Freese

Stanford at Oergon St

Stanford is 7-1 ATS off a straight up loss and they are 5-0 ATS off an ATS loss. The Cardinal are 12-5 ATS their last 17 games as road favorites and they are 14-6 ATS their last 20 games overall. Oregon St is 7-20 ATS their last 27 home games and they are 6-15 ATS their last 21 Conference games. The Beavers are 1-6 ATS off an ATS win and they are 3-12 ATS vs. teams with a losing road record. PLAY ON STANFORD

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Re: Thursday Service Plays

Dennis Macklin

Stanford at Oregon St.
Prediction: Oregon St.

The Beavers punked Stanford in Palo Alto as a 16-point (yes) dog and gets four here from a Tree outfit that's lost five of six. Oregon State is just 2-5 at home so nothing to write home about but they've only been blow out twice and the improvement under Robinson is very real. Stanford road games generally go to the wire so if OSU can get out fast and shoot halfway decent, they have a very real chance to win. OSU 0-18 last year in conference yet has more conf wins this year than Stanford. Grab the points.

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Re: Thursday Service Plays

Charlies Sports - free pick
cbb. Minnesota @ Michigan+4 .The Minnesota Golden gophers lost a
tough one in their last game against a struggling Penn State team, the
gophers have to right the ship if they are to make a NCAA tourny run
and will get it done tonight at Michigan+4.


Maddux Sports
Today's Free Pick is Charlotte U +8


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Re: Thursday Service Plays

Jimmy Boyd

1 Unit on Duke -11.5

After back-to-back tough losses, Duke needs a win and it will not spare the Red Storm here. St. John's is awful and Duke has pounded the Red Storm by 17 and 30 points respectively this time of year each of the past 2 seasons. This pretty much says it all: St. John's is 0-6 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) this season, losing by an average score of 58.3 to 73.8. Here's another trend that cannot be ignored; the Johnnies are 0-6 ATS against ACC opponents over the last 2 seasons, losing by an average score of 57.3 to 73.2 in these games. This is the worst possible time for a far-less talented St. John's team to meet the Blue Devils as I expect Duke to take out their frustrations on this weakling just the way they did on Virginia after losing by 2 at Wake Forest. Bet Duke.

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Re: Thursday Service Plays

Jeff Alexander

1 Unit on San Diego +13

We'll play on road underdogs of 10 or more points revenging a loss vs. an opponent, off an upset loss as a road favorite. This system is 36-12 ATS since 1997. San Diego is going to get up for this game a lot more than Saint Mary's who is coming off back-to-back big games against Gonzaga and Portland. San Diego is on an 8-2 ATS run at Saint Mary's, is 8-0 ATS as an underdog of 10 or more points over the last 2 seasons, and is 6-0 ATS as a road underdog of 12.5 to 18 points over the last 3 seasons. At 25-9 ATS in road games over the last 3 seasons, San Diego is among the elite road covering teams in the country. We'll take the points tonight.

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Re: Thursday Service Plays

Craig Trapp

Boston Celtics vs. Utah Jazz    
Play: Boston Celtics -1½

Boston needs to make some statements games against the WESTERN Conf. after losing to SA and LA in the past month. The last thing they can do is lose a couple in a row and let CLE get the home court advantage in the EAST.Look for the big three to carry BOS over a UTAH team without Okur and Boozer. Williams will keep them close early but will be worn out come the 4th quarter.


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Re: Thursday Service Plays

John Ryan

Minnesota U vs. Michigan     
Play: Michigan -3.5

Ryan went 2-1 ATS w/ his first trio of 7* Titan Bubble games. Here are two more and the best news yet is you only pay when the marquee game wins ATS. Both DOGS offering an optional ML parlay. Both reinforced by Ryan’s outstanding research; 1 has angles hitting 83% for a 50-10 mark. Ai Simulator 3* graded play on Michigan as they host Minnesota slated to start at 7:00 EST. AiS shows a 70% probability that Michigan will win this game 5 or more points. Supporting this graded play is a strong system that has posted a 148-102 mark since 2003. so, if you like playing a lot of games then this system certainly is your type. Play against a dog in a game involving two average offensive teams scoring 67-74 PPG and after 15+ games, after a loss by 6 points or less. Michigan is a solid free throw shooting team, but Minnesota is just 15-30 ATS (-18.0 Units) in road games versus good free throw shooting teams making >=72% of their attempts since 1997. Minnesota also just 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) in road games after a loss by 6 points or less since 1997; 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) after scoring 30 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons. Michigan in a very favorable spot here noting they are 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) in home games after a win by 6 points or less since 1997. Take Michigan.

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Re: Thursday Service Plays

Brian Hansen

Los Angeles Kings at San Jose Sharks
Prediction: Under

San Jose won 4-2 its last time out at home vs. the Oilers, but I look for it to concentrate on the defensive end this evening. The Kings beat the Ducks 4-3 last night and I expect them to come out sluggish this evening and concentrate on the defensive end as well. The Kings have seen the total go under in the number in 11 of 14 games vs. division opponents; play on the UNDER!

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Re: Thursday Service Plays


San Antonio at Detroit 
The Spurs (35-17) look to take advantage of Detroit's 0-6 ATS record against teams with a winning record in the second half of the season.  San Antonio is the pick (-2) according to Dunkel, which has the Spurs favored by 5 1/2.  Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (-2). 

Game 701-702: San Antonio at Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: San Antonio 123.584; Detroit 118.051
Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 5 1/2; 189
Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 2; 180 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (-2); Over

Game 703-704: Boston at Utah
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 126.980; Utah 122.054
Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 5; 198
Vegas Line & Total: Boston by 1 1/2; 201
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-1 1/2); Under


Vancouver at Ottawa   
The Senators return home after taking four of five on their road trip and face a Vancouver team that is just 10-16 against teams with a losing record.  Ottawa is the underdog pick (+110) according to Dunkel, which has Ottawa favored straight up by 1.  Dunkel Pick: Ottawa (+110).   

Game 1-2: Buffalo at Philadelphia
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 11.641; Philadelphia 12.416
Dunkel Line & Total: Philadelphia by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Philadelphia (-155); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-155); Over

Game 3-4: Carolina at NY Islanders
Dunkel Ratings: Carolina 11.250; NY Islanders 11.471
Dunkel Line & Total: NY Islanders by 1/2; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Carolina (-170); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Islanders (+150); Under

Game 5-6: Montreal at Pittsburgh
Dunkel Ratings: Montreal 10.879; Pittsburgh 10.573
Dunkel Line & Total: Montreal by 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Pittsburgh (-185); 6
Dunkel Pick: Montreal (+165); Under

Game 7-8: Vancouver at Ottawa
Dunkel Ratings: Vancouver 11.978; Ottawa 13.018
Dunkel Line & Total: Ottawa by 1; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Vancouver (-130); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Ottawa (+110); Under

Game 9-10: Chicago at Florida
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 12.168; Florida 13.002
Dunkel Line & Total: Florida by 1; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago (-120); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Florida (+100); Under

Game 11-12: New Jersey at Tampa Bay
Dunkel Ratings: New Jersey 12.090; Tampa Bay 11.326
Dunkel Line & Total: New Jersey by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: New Jersey (-200); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New Jersey (-200); Over

Game 13-14: Columbus at Toronto
Dunkel Ratings: Columbus 12.077; Toronto 11.568
Dunkel Line & Total: Columbus by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line & Total: Columbus (-115); 6
Dunkel Pick: Columbus (-115); Over

Game 15-16: St. Louis at Nashville
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis 11.528; Nashville 11.895
Dunkel Line & Total: Nashville by 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Nashville (-140); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Nashville (-140); Under

Game 17-18: Calgary at Minnesota
Dunkel Ratings: Calgary 12.243; Minnesota 12.087
Dunkel Line & Total: Calgary by 1/2; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Minnesota (-120); 5
Dunkel Pick: Calgary (+100); Under

Game 19-20: Edmonton at Dallas
Dunkel Ratings: Edmonton 11.636; Dallas 12.486
Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Dallas (-160); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (-160); Over

Game 21-22: Atlanta at Phoenix
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 11.871; Phoenix 11.229
Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix (-135); 6
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+115); Over

Game 23-24: Los Angeles at San Jose
Dunkel Ratings: Los Angeles 11.787; San Jose 12.490
Dunkel Line & Total: San Jose by 1; 5
Vegas Line & Total: San Jose (-350); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Jose (-350); Under

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Re: Thursday Service Plays

Scott Rickenbach

Calgary Flames at Minnesota Wild
Prediction: Over

Both of these teams are coming off of losses and that means both clubs will bring a little extra effort to this game. This is especially true because the Wild relaxed and blew a three goal lead in their loss while the Flames lost their most recent game in the shootout. Calgary and Minnesota both have reputations as being lower-scoring clubs but that is simply not the current case for either team and that is giving us good value here. We do see some books with 5.5 on this but with some books also having this total at a 5 it is a tremendous value. 24 of the Flames last 30 games have totaled at least five goals and many have ended up well over five goals!

As for the Wild, 11 of their last 15 games have totaled at least five goals. The Wild have allowed an average of three goals per game in their last five games and they?ve scored at least 3 goals in five of their last seven games. The Wild are well rested here as they haven?t played since Saturday so they?ll have fresh legs pushing the tempo all over the ice. Also, Flames goalie Miikka Kiprusoff has been more successful at home than on the road throughout his career. The Flames have allowed an average of over 3 goals per game in February but they?ve also averaged nearly 3.5 goals per game in their last 18 games. There are some situational issues here for both teams (like the fact that they?re each coming off of a loss) and that, along with the high-scoring style these teams have been playing ? evidenced by the above stats, means one should consider a small play on OVER 5 goals in Minnesota Thursday night.

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Re: Thursday Service Plays


St. Bonaventure at George Washington
Pick: St. Bonaventure +3.5

I am hard pressed to understand why the Colonials rate as the choice here. They jumped out to a 6-2 start with some real creampuffs, but have been humbled since going 1-12, with the lone win coming against three-win Fordham. The Bonnies have rebounded from disastrous 1-6 stretch to win two of three and cover four straight and five of their last six. They hung tough on the road against Rhode Island and Duquesne, and won at Richmond. The resistance in this one tonight will not be nearly the same, so I like the Bonnies to get it done on the road against a very poor Colonials’ team.

Montreal at Pittsburgh
Pick: UNDER 6 +110

The Penguins just can't seem to find the magic that carried them to the Stanley Cup finals a year ago. The offense has been struggling off and on for most of the season, and right now it is off. The Pen's have managed just six goals in their last four games - something they are getting accustomed to in Pittsburgh. It has manifested itself at home as well, leading to six of the last eight played on home ice going UNDER the total. These teams have met twice this season and have failed to top this total. I don't see it happening here either and will go with the UNDER.

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Re: Thursday Service Plays

Brett Maverick Sports


We dodged the Bruins early in the year as we knew the lines would resemble last years talent, and not reflect the departure of Stars. Now we start to see value in the lines as UCLA has dropped back to back games. Washington was picked N0.5 in the Pac-10 and has over achieved nicely. But we see hard times on the Horizon for Washington starting tonight. The Bruins have played poor defense the last 2 games allowing 53% shooting in the last outing. Nothing makes a coach stand up and demand respect like lack of effort. If the shots will not fall, thats basketball, but when your lazy on defense, then its gut check time. UCLA has not dropped 3 in a row since 2005, and watch the Bruins hit on all cylinders tonight as they turn up the heat on both ends of the court. Take UCLA as a small play.

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Re: Thursday Service Plays

Drew Gordon

San Antonio at DETROIT +1 

I know full well the Pistons are just 7-21 ATS at the Palace this season, but if all you're going to use to handicap this contest is that one stat, then you're not getting the whole picture. Fact of the matter is, the Pistons absolutely must stop the bleeding, losers of 4 straight games, including 3 of those 4 in front of the home fans. I'm expecting an all-out effort from the Pistons tonight, and the fact the Spurs have shown some vulnerability on the road of late only helps Detroit's cause.

Speaking of the Spurs and their recent road play, they've lost their last 2 on the highway, at Toronto and at New York... Not exactly Eastern Conference powerhouses if you ask me! Before you go blindly riding the Spurs simply because the price "looks" right, think about their recent road play and then decide.

Also, while one could argue the revenge factor comes into play tonight, with the Pistons having crushed the Spurs 89-77 in San Antonio back in December, I disagree. If anything, it showed what this Pistons team can do in the right match up, with the right motivation... And its deja vu all over again, as this is the right match up, and obviously the Pistons are highly motivated to snap their losing streak in this one.

Pistons locked down the Spurs to just 39% shooting at the AT&T Center in that contest, and based on how poorly San Antonio has played in their last 2 road games, I'd say they're just as susceptible tonight. Note, the Spurs are just 2-6 ATS in their last 8 meetings in Detroit. In the end, I'll admit its been a disappointing run for Detroit, but in this particular case, they're absolutely desperate for a win, and that's makes all the difference.

Take Detroit plus the points over San Antonio in this NBA match up.


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Re: Thursday Service Plays

Michael Cannon

Washington at UCLA -8' 

Let’s back the Bruins at home tonight over Washington.

Ucla comes into this game needing a win to stay in the hunt for its fourth straight regular season Pac 10 title, but they also have revenge motive for an 86-75 loss at Washington last month.

I’ll admit this Bruins team isn’t as talented as some of Ben Howland’s past editions, but they are on their home court and they’ve proven to be a tough hombre in that role.

Ucla is 4-0 SUATS in its last four at Pauley Pavilion, winning by an average of 22 ppg.  The Bruins have held the opposition to 66 points or less in each of those four games.  Overall Ucla is 14-1 at home with 13 of those wins coming by 15 points or more.

Washington has played Ucla tough in this series, but this line is small enough that the Bruins shouldn’t have any problems covering it with the home court advantage.

The host has won six consecutive games in this rivalry and is 4-1 ATS in the last five.

Take Ucla minus the points as they grab the home win and cover.


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Re: Thursday Service Plays

Jake Timlin

Today's Selection

In one of the biggest blowouts of the night I look for Villanova to cruise to a 20 plus point win at home and thus covering tonight’s high number.  After all given that Villanova will be looking to rebound at home and doing so against a bad Rutgers teams I expect nothing but a blowout tonight.  You see for the Wildcats they will welcome being back home where they are 12-1 on the season after scoring 102 points in each of their last two home games to win by 18 and 17 points respectively. Meanwhile, for Rutgers the second half of the season has been a disaster as they have lost 12 of their last 13 games.  Flat out, the Scarlet Knights lack the offenses needed to keep things close tonight and thus given Villanova looking to avenge last year’s loss to Rutgers I look for the Wildcats to win by at least 20 points.   All Villanova minus the chalk!

PICK: Villanova Wildcats

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Re: Thursday Service Plays

Graig Davis

Another big “free play” win with NC State last night as this game was NEVER in doubt. Getting 20+ points was an absolute mistake by Vegas and we capitalized on it and I hope you did as well. That’s yet another FREE PLAY winner, so you can only imagine what I have in store for you inside.

Tonight’s free play is one Indiana. Yes, I realize the Hoosiers failed to show up against Illinois last Sunday, but they did make a game of it late and actually trailed by just six points with four minutes to go.

The run ended and the Illini’ finished with a 13-point win as 10.5-point favorites.

The difference tonight is the fact the Badgers just don’t have much offense. Sure, they play well defensively and have been on an amazing run lately, but they just aren’t the same team on the road as they are at home, and the Hoosiers will have enough left in the tank to keep this one close for 40 minutes.

No doubt they Hoosiers don’t enter the locker room down by 20+ points like they did Sunday vs. Illinois.

Wisky gets the win, but there’s no way they cover the 10+ points. The Badgers have won four in a row, but before that they were on a six-game losing streak. The Hoosiers are 12-5 ATS their last 17 at home as an underdog.

Take the points.


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