WEDNESDAY PREMIUM SERVICE PLAYS

WEDNESDAY PREMIUM SERVICE PLAYS

Raging Bull

Soccer:

English Conference:

Forest Green Rovers/Northwich Victoria over 2.5

UEFA Cup:

Sampdoria -140

AC Milan/Werder Bremen over 2.5

Aston Villa -110

Olympiakos -160


ATS Sports Club

UEFA Cup:

Zenit St. Petersburg vs. VfB Stuttgart over 2.5

Paris Saint-Germain vs. VfL Wolfsburg over 2.5

Sampdoria -140

Scottish Cup:

Rangers vs. Forfar Athletic over 2.5

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Maddux Sports

Basketball

3 units on Orlando +1

3 units on Eastern Michigan +11
3 units on Georgia Tech +14
4 units on NC State +20
3 units on Eastern Kentucky -4.5

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Unit Play Sports

3 Units - Niagara -4.5

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Fairway Jay

Rider +4.5 / 3 units

Wyoming +7 / 5 units

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RAS

Pacific -1

UC Davis +1

Irvine +2

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Dr. Canada

Columbus Blue Jackets -140

Red Wings/Predators Over 5.5

Canadiens/Capitals Over 6

Kings/Ducks Over 5.5

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Las Vegas Sport Picks

NBA:

1* Nuggets -1
2* Hawks -5
4* Blazers -11

NCAA:

1* Auburn/Georgia Over 135
2* Notre Dame/WVU Over 146
2* TN-Martin -5
3* Wright St. +3

NHL:

2* Canadians/Capitals Over 6

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Plus Line Sports

NHL: Passed

NCAA

Va Tech +1.5

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BRANDON LANG

15-Dime Ohio State

5-Dime Mississippi State

5-Dime Philadelphia Sixers

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BeatYourBookie

100* Play James Madison (+2.5) over Hofstra (NCAA)
(Colonial Athletic Game of the Year)

James Madison is 12-3 ATS over the last 15 games
James Madison is 8-1 ATS in road games this season
James Madison is 11-4 ATS vs. conference opponents this season
James Madison is 8-2 ATS coming off an OVER the total


100* Play Mississippi (+5) over Tennessee (NCAA)

Mississippi is 11-2 ATS when playing on a Wednesday the last 2 seasons
Mississippi is 15-5 ATS in home games when the total is between 140 and 149.5
Mississippi is 8-2 ATS vs. conference opponents this season


Bonus Hoops & Hockey Plays

30* Play Minnesota (+9.5) over Miami (NBA)

Miami is 0-7 ATS coming off an upset win as a road underdog
Miami is 9-22 ATS when playing as a home favorite the last 2 seasons
Miami is 7-19 ATS after having won 2 of the last 3 games

30* Play Detroit (-315) over Nashville (NHL)

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John Fina

TV Game of the Year

Hornets

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Larry Ness

15* Revenge Rout-CBB (13-6 BKB run since Feb 4)

It's starting to look like this is Buffalo's year. Turner Gill led the football team to the MAC championship and a bowl game and now Reggie Witherspoon is looking for a "repeat performance" by this year's basketball team. The Bulls were just 10-20 (3-13 in the MAC) last year but this year's team comes into this game 17-6 overall, while leading the MAC East with a 9-2 record. The Bulls saw their nine-game winning streak snapped this past Sunday, as they lost 53-51 at Ball State (shot just 37 percent as a team, including 2-of-9 on threes!) but don't expect that one loss to "burst the team's bubble." The Bulls have 11 players in their rotation, nine who have played in all 23 games. The 6-3 Betts (10.0-6.1) and the 6-4 Gamble (8.8-5.3) are two small forwards who get the most out of their abilities. The 6-9 Fedotov (5.3-2.4) and the 6-7 Bouderau (5.3-3.) have done decent jobs inside, while Pierce (14.0-3.7) has had a breakout season at one guard (he averaged just 7.6 PPG last year) and fellow guard Andy Robinson (8.2) has been the team's best perimeter defender. Bowling Green also 'slipped up' this past Sunday but it's transgression was much worse. The Falcons, 14-10 overall and 7-4 in MAC play, lost 65-57 at home to Eastern Michigan, which is just 4-12 overall, including 2-9 in MAC play. Louis Orr is in his second season at BG (went 13-17 LY) and like Buffalo, has two talented small forwards (both 6-4) in Miller (12.5-6.7) and Clements (10.3-4.3). The Falcons own a little more size than the Bulls, as the 6-7 Knight (6.6-4.9), the 6-9 Polk (5.9-5.6) and the 6-7 Marschall (4.9-3.7) are all contributors. BG's backcourt consists of Moten (11.2) and Jakubowski (8.3-2.8-3.7). Bowling Green beat Buffalo 86-82 back on Jan 10, while shooting 53 percent from the floor (including 8-of-13 on threes). One can't expect that kind of marksmanship again, as Buffalo is allowing just 59 PPG on its home floor, where it is 8-2. Revenge works here. Revenge Rout on Buffalo (7*).


Weekly Wipeout Winner-CBB (9-2 since Jan 27!)

Charles Koch went 11-20 (4-14 in MVC play) in his first season as the Shockers' head coach and lost four starters off that team. He enters this game 13-13 overall, with a 7-8 league mark. Freshman guard Murry (11.6-3.6) and his JUCO partner Hannah (10.4-4.5 APG) have solidified Wichita's backcourt but 7-0 freshman Stutz (4.6-2.9) has not lived up to expectations, in the frontcourt. The 6-7 Durley (8.0-4.5) has recovered nicely from LY's injury, while the 6-6 Clemente (7.2-7.7) has been fine all season, after collapsing during July drills. Hawkins (4.4-2.1), a 6-5 transfer from St Bonaventure, is about the only other major contributor. Illinois St opened the year 14-0 but is just 7-5 since. The Redbirds are 10-5 in the MVC, trailing both Northern Iowa and Creighton. Illinois St won 25 games last season in Tim Jankovich's first year at Normal and are well on their way to topping that total this year. Three starters are gone from LY's team but only the 6-7 Slack (9.5-7.1) is really missed. The 6-8 Odiakosa (9.2-7.3) and the 6-8 Sampay (7.2-5.0) have done a decent job up front and shouldn't have much trouble with Wichita's frontcourt. Illinois State's backcourt has been excellent all year, as returning players Eldridgre (14.0-6.1) and Holloway (11.1-4.1-2.9) have been joined by 6-5 Oregon transfer Oguchi (14.7-5.8) and JUCO point guard Phillips (11.6-3.5 APG). Phillips has missed the team's last two games because of personal reasons but it hasn't mattered, as the Redbirds won at Evansville and then routed last year's MVC champs Drake, 67-45 in Des Moines on Sunday (Phillips is expected back here). Illinois St knows failing to win the MVC regular season title likely means no NCAA bid without winning the MVC tourney, as LY's 24 wins left the team playing in the NIT. Illinois St still has games upcoming with Northern Iowa and Creighton but tonight, it's first things first. The Redbirds won't lack for motivation, as this will be the team's first home game since it lost 75-73 (in OT) in Normal to Indiana St on Feb 8. It's the team's lone home loss this year (14-1 SU) and came to a team which is 7-19 overall, including 5-10 in MVC play. What's more, Illinois St lost 64-58 at Wichita State back on Jan 21, so taking the Shockers lightly should not be a worry. Wichita State is just 1-8 SU on the road TY (won at Ind St), even losing 68-55 at MVC doormat Missouri St (Bears are 3-13 in MVC play). The Shockers have been a poor road team for quite some time now, while Illinois St has been tough to beat here in Redbird Arena. Weekly Wipeout Winner Illinois St (7.5*).


Oddsmaker's Error-CBB (13-6 BKB run since Feb 4)

Travis Ford led U Mass to 24 wins and 25 wins in each of the last two seasons and last year, led the Minutemen to the NIT championship game (lost to Ohio St). He used that as a 'springboard' to get the Okla St job, where Sean Sutton was let go. Things haven't exactly worked out as planned for Ford and their are rumors that he's alienated more than a few players. The Cowboys are an odd team to begin with, featuring no big men to speak of. The 6-11 Thomas (8.3-3.9) decided to transfer after seven games and OSU is basically down to a five-man rotation. It includes PG Eaton (14.5-3.4-6.0) and freshman Page (9.2), teamed with three 6-5 or 6-6 players. Anderson (17.7-5.8) is the team's leading scorer, Muonelo (14.1-8.3) its leading rebounder and Harris (14.3-5.0) completes the trio. OSU has been known as a poor road team long before Ford's arrival but he's dome little to change that reputation this year. OSU is 2-5 SU (1-5 ATS) in true road games this year, beating only Texas A&M-CC and Nebraska. In three neutral-site games, the Cowboys lost to Gonzaga and Mich St (0-2 ATS), while beating Siena. Now things are "far from perfect" in Lubbock either, as Pat Knight tries to fill his father's shoes. Tech is not a big team by any stretch of the imagination but the 6-5 Singleatry (10.2-5.3) is a pretty nice small forward, 6-9 freshman Lewandowski (6.9-4.0) has shown signs of being a pretty fair player plus the 6-7 Roberts (6.1-4.2) and the 6-7 Prince (4.3-3.2) add 'bodies.' Tech's backcourt is pretty good, led by sophomore PG Roberson (14.4-3.4-6.7), senior Voskuvil (14.0-4.2) and JUCO transfer Okorie (10.3.). Tech is 11-3 SU at home (losses are to TCU, Tex and Neb) and almost won at Stillwater back on Feb 4. In that game, Tech led 47-35 at the half, before barely losing, 81-80. Knight's team is fighting for a winning season right now (12-13 overall) and the poor-traveling, somewhat 'distracted' Cowboys should prove to be the perfect 'tonic.' OSU has lost eight games away from Stillwater this year, allowing 85.6 PPG. While I'm not calling for Tech to 'hang' 167 points on the Cowboys (like the Red Raiders did to East Central on Nov 20), I do expect them to have a big game. Why is this bunch of Cowboys even favored away from Stillwater? Oddsmaker's Error on Texas Tech (8*).

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Scott Rickenbach

2* (Top Play) Drake Bulldogs (+) @ Northern Iowa

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MATT FARGO

7* ACC SUPREME ANNIHILATOR **6-3 RUN**

Matchup: VIRGINIA TECH at VIRGINIA
PICK: VIRGINIA TECH +1.5

Virginia is coming off its best ACC wins of the year as it knocked off Clemson in overtime on Sunday. I was on the Cavaliers for that one but I am now heading the opposite way this time around as playing with that much energy for a second game in four days will be next to impossible. That big win improved Virginia to just 2-8 in the conference and things remain tough with a visit from rival Virginia Tech. The Cavaliers want nothing more than to avoid a season sweep against the Hokies and while that will be an angle for Virginia, the Hokies swept the season series last season. And that was against a much better Virginia team. While the Cavaliers are coming off a big win, Virginia Tech is coming off a disappointing loss as it went down by 10 points in Maryland on Saturday. It was just the fourth loss in the last 15 games for the Hokies and it dropped them into a tie for 4th place in the ACC. They will no doubt be up for this rivalry game but the fact that Virginia is coming off that win over Clemson, it will surely not be looking past this one. The last five ACC games for the Hokies are against Florida St. twice, Clemson, Duke and North Carolina. Therefore this is the last “winnable” game on the schedule so it is a must at this point. Virginia Tech enters this game 16-8 on the season and I believe this record could be a lot better even. The Hokies lost by 25 points at Duke and was the only real bad game of the season. They have registered victories on the road against Miami and Wake Forest in back-to-back games and winning in those venues is no small feat. The losses have been tough to take in some cases. Virginia Tech’s first four losses this season were by a total of eight points and two against Xavier and Wisconsin came with less than one second on the clock. Two other losses against Clemson and Boston College came by five points combined meaning they have lost six games by an average of 2.2 ppg. That is just some really bad luck and the majority of the defeats have come against some excellent competition in some tough places. Virginia is not an excellent team and John Paul Jones Arena is not a tough spot for visitors this season with Virginia going just 7-6 there on the season. Five of those came against VMI, Radford, Longwood, Hampton and Brown who are ranked 183rd, 177th, 291st, 279th and 304th. One of those losses came against Liberty, ranked 173rd. Proving that the Hokies are strewn with talent, Virginia Tech is one of only two Division I schools to have three different players record 30-point games this season against Division I opponents. That is pretty solid. The Hokies will be without forward Jeff Allen for this game as he is serving a one-game suspension stemming from the game against Maryland. Normally that would be a problem and while his production will no doubt be missed, it is not as bad playing against Virginia who is far from a dominant big team. Looking at the overall number, the Hokies have a huge edge in efficiency as well as the ever important assist/turnover ratio category. Virginia Tech has held the opposition to under 40 percent from the floor in nine of the 23 games this season and opponents have shot better than 45 percent from the field just six times this season. The Hokies fall into a very solid situation as well. Play on road teams as a favorite or pick that are averaging between 67 and 74 ppg going up against a team allowing between 67 and 74 , after a combined score of 155 points or more. This situation is 139-83 ATS (62.6 percent) since 1997 with the average point differential being +6.0 ppg. The percentage may not seem exciting however based on 222 games, it is extremely powerful, picking up close to 50 units in the process. 7* Virginia Tech Hokies

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Paul Bovi

LA Lakers at Golden State
Play: Over 228.5

Not too long ago these two hooked up in what was to be a 114 106 Lakers victory. It's been only 6 weeks since that contest, but much has changed which will only serve to weaken defenses that were already suspect, much more so in the case of the Warriors who lack presence on the inside. Biedrins is out for GS who averages only 13 but provides shot blocking prowess (he had 3 in that game) as is Andrew Bynum for LA who himself had a pair of rejections in that Laker win. Stephen Jackson sat out for the Warriors in that one as did Monta Ellis, the latter who is 11 games removed from an ankle injury that forced him to miss the early part of the season. LA beat the Hawks last night in a yawner but nobody was put out to pasture. Lamar Odom led with 34 minutes. Adam Morrison gets his first field goal tonight and the Lakers and Warriors play out a wild one that hits the 240 mark.

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INDIAN COWBOY

4 unit play Take NC Wilmington +10.5 over Old Dominion

Great game yesterday as Vandy gets it done for us although the first half might have given you a coronary. For today's action, I nearly settled on Florida as they come back home off of back to back losses and will likely look for a blowout against the Tide. But, the Tide were imperssive against South Carolina at home only losing by 2 so I laid off. Instead, let's look at a classic type of play we like to roll with and that is a home dog that is catching a butt load of points on revenge. Such is the case with the Seahawks today. We are 2-0 on the week and we will look to the Seahawks to get us to 3-0 and get a nice stranglehold on the winning week. The Seahawks are 6-21 SU. There is no doubt when you look at the SU record of this team they are abysmal. But, this team at home does have the capacity to play well. Remember, this is the same team that beat a top VCU team by 9, lost to James Madison by 6 at home who is a top 125 team, lost to Hofstra by 2 at home who is a top 140 team and lost to Richmond at home by 7 who is also a top 125 team. Yes, these two met earlier this year and NC Wilmington got drilled by a score of 57-87. But, what if I told you they got drilled by a similar margin against VCU on the road earlier this year by a score of 59-88 only to come back home and defeat the same team 81-72. The difference between NC Wilmington at home and on the road is that they can shoot at the friendly confines of their gym as compared to the on the road they can't shoot worth a lick as it is obvious. Look for NC Wilmington, who comes off a tight loss to Georgia State on the road by just 3, as they return home, with revenge, in a similar game as the VCU contest (who is a top 100 team as compared to ODU who is a top 125 team), who has covered their last 6 of 7, and their last 3 at home to be very game for this contest.

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BEN BURNS

Personal Favorite

I'm playing on NEW ORLEANS. Both these top tier teams come off narrow victories last night. The Hornets won by two at Oklahoma City. The Magic needed overtime to get by Charlotte. While neither team covered, with the exception of a very big game from Dwight Howard, the Hornets were arguably more impressive overall. Winning at OKC isn't easy these days. However, the Magic shouldn't have had so much trouble beating a Charlotte team which doesn't play well on the road. Both teams are currently dealing with some "issues." The Hornets made a major trade yesterday, which saw them deal center Tyson Chandler. Although Chandler had been hurt recently, his loss does weaken the Hornets inside. Meanwhile, the Magic are still dealing with the injury to Jameer Nelson, a huge blow to their team. It's true that the Magic have been an excellent road team. However, their road record (18-7) is only marginally better than the Hornets' home (18- 9) record. The Hornets should be the more motivated team and I expect that to prove to be the difference. For starters, the Magic are comfortably on top of the Southeast Division. They could still catch Boston and Cleveland, the loss of Nelson makes that less likely. However, with an 8.5 game lead on their nearest division rival, they're still highly unlikely to finish less than third in the East. Conversely, the Hornets are fighting for their playoff lives. Only 3.5 games back of the Spurs, they could easily still finish on top of their division. However, they're also only 2.5 games ahead of the ninth place team (Phoenix) in the highly competitive West, which has nine teams fighting for eight spots, the bottom six of them separated by a mere 3.5 games. Additional motivation will be provided by the fact that the Hornets were blown out at Orlando on Christmas Day, losing by a score of 88-66, their lowest scoring output of the season. Chris Paul is extremely competitive and he'll have the Hornets, who are a profitable 59-37-2 ATS in the revenge role the past few seasons, fired up to earn some payback. Look for him to lead by example and for the home team to come away with the important victory. *Personal Favorite


Annihilator

I'm taking the points PHILADELPHIA. We're getting a very reasonable line on the 76'ers here, due in part to the fact that they played last night. However, this back to back situation isn't nearly as difficult as usual. Often, teams will be playing their third game in four nights or even their fourth game in five nights. That's not the case here though because yesterday was the first day back from the All Star Break, so the players had plenty of rest before yesterday's game. Note that the 76'ers are 3-1 ATS when playing the second of back to back games in 2009. It's also worth mentioning that the Nuggets are 1-4 ATS on the season when playing with three or more day's rest in between games. While the talented Nuggets are certainly worthy of respect, winning at Philadelphia has been no easy task in recent weeks. Indeed, the 76ers have won four straight, 10 of 13 and 12 of their last 16 games here at the Wachovia Center. They were 9-5-2 ATS during that 16-game stretch, playing particularly tough against teams from the West. They did lose by two points to Dallas. However, they beat the likes of the Spurs, Blazers and Suns all by double-digits. In fact, Philly beat those three teams by a combined 60 points! (They also defeated the Rockets by eight.) Additionally, although not a Western Conf. team, note that they also played the Celtics very tough here during that 16 game stretch, losing by a single point. Including the 21 and 22 point victories over San Antonio and Portland, the 76'ers are a perfect 4-0 (3-1 SU) as home underdogs of three points or less. They've played the Nuggets tough the last two meetings. They lost by four at Denver, covering as 6.5 point underdogs, back in December. The previous meeting was here at Philadelphia, 11 months ago, and that resulted in a 2-point victory for the 76'ers. I expect the 76'ers to continue their strong play on this court and for them to score the minor upset. *Annihilator


Best Bet

I'm taking the points with TORONTO. The Cavaliers had an outstanding first half and they were nearly unbeatable on the road. They were rather ordinary on the road though, going 14-12 ATS. That's admittedly still a lot better than the Raptors' home record. That said, the Raptors showed some real spark heading into the break. Indeed, they closed out the first half of the season with an eight point win at Minnesota, followed by an outright win over the Spurs, who were red hot at the time. They won both those games without Bosh. Conversely, while the Cavs did win their final game, they were still 1-3 ATS their last four, including 0-2 ATS their last two on the road. Every game is important to the Cavs, as they want to finish ahead of Boston and Orlando for the top spot. In my opinion, this game is more important for the Raptors though. The Raptors are second last in the Conference and are probably too far back to actually make the playoffs. However, the last couple of wins have given them new hope and a closer looks that they're actually only 5.5 games back of the 8th place team. If they really want to make a push, every game is extremely important. They'd also like to get a win under their belts to feel good about the recent O'Neall/Marion/Banks trade. Additionally, added importance and motivation comes from the fact that the Raptors already got crushed twice at Cleveland. The Raptors have played the Cavs tough here at Toronto. While they've only won two of the last five series meetings here, the three losses came by only five combined points, two of them coming by a single point. Look for the new look Raptors to give their guests all they can handle once again. *Best Bet

NHL

Western Conf. TOY

I'm playing on the Kings and Ducks to finish UNDER the number. These teams both come off losses against the Thrashers. In both cases, a ton of goals were scored. The Ducks were beaten 8-4. The Kings lost 7-6. That's not "normal" for either team though and I expect both to be determined to play much better defensively this evening. Prior to the game vs. Atlanta, the Ducks had seen their previous two games finish with scores of 3-2 and 2-1. Likewise, prior to facing Atlanta, the Kings had seen their previous two games finish with scores of 3-2 and 2-0. The Kings have seen the UNDER go go 10-6 this season after allowing four or more goals. The last time they allowed four or more goals, they responded by holding the Devils to one goal in their next game. The last time that the Ducks allowed four or more goals, they also responded by allowing just a single goal. Anaheim doesn't often string together back to back high-scoring games either. The last time that the Ducks scored four or more goals, they were shutout in their next game. Including that result, the UNDER is 12-5 the last 17 times that the Ducks scored four or more goals in their previous game and 43-28-9 their last 80 in that situation. Anaheim player Ryan Getzlaf noted the importance of bouncing back with a strong defensive effort: "We've got to go back to work... We're a team that prides itself on not giving up so many shots. We didn??t respond the way we needed." Six of the last nine series meetings have fallen below the total and I expect another relatively low-scoring affair this evening. *Western Conf. TOY


NCAA

ILLINOIS-CHICAGO

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Jack Clayton Guaranteed Selections

5* Nets/Mavericks over the total

There are plenty of offensive weapons on both sides, and neither team plays a lick of defense. New Jersey averages 98 ppg but allows 100 ppg. The Mavs average 100 ppg, but allow 99 ppg. Antoine Wright scored 23 points, his best scoring game in nearly three months, Howard also had 23 points, and the Mavericks won 118-100 over Sacramento last week to make the Kings the first NBA team guaranteed to have a losing season. Surprised this total wasn't above 200. Dallas I on a 3-2 run over the total, while the Nets just allowed 108 to San Antonio. Look for plenty of points, play the Nets/Mavericks over the total.

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PROFIT ON SPORTS

NBA Milwaukee Pk

CBB Florida St. -2.5

CBB Mississippi St. -3

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