Sunday Service Plays

Re: Sunday Service Plays

Pure Lock

Buffalo vs. Ball State    
Play: Buffalo -3


Mikey Sports

Akron vs. Northern Illinois    
Play: Northern Illinois +10½


R&R Totals

Atlanta Thrashers vs. Anaheim Ducks    
Play: Under 5½

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DUNKEL

Towson at Drexel
The Dragons are 9-2 ATS as a favorite this season and face a Towson team that is 6-10 ATS as an underdog.  Drexel is the pick (-11) according to Dunkel, which has the Dragons favored by 14.  Dunkel Pick: Drexel (-11). 

Game 803-804: Illinois at Indiana
Dunkel Ratings: Illinois 66.007; Indiana 59.477
Dunkel Line: Illinois by 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Illinois by 10
Dunkel Pick: Indiana (+10)


Game 805-806: Clemson at Virginia
Dunkel Ratings: Clemson 75.186; Virginia 62.487
Dunkel Line: Clemson by 12 1/2
Vegas Line: Clemson by 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Clemson (-8 1/2)


Game 807-808: Loyola-Chicago at Butler
Dunkel Ratings: Loyola-Chicago 48.379; Butler 69.739
Dunkel Line: Butler by 21 1/2
Vegas Line: Butler by 19
Dunkel Pick: Butler (-19)


Game 809-810: Buffalo at Ball State
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 59.657; Ball State 55.242
Dunkel Line: Buffalo by 4 1/2
Vegas Line: Buffalo by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (-2 1/2)


Game 811-812: South Florida at Notre Dame
Dunkel Ratings: South Florida 56.842; Notre Dame 72.836
Dunkel Line: Notre Dame by 16
Vegas Line: Notre Dame by 13 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Notre Dame (-13 1/2)


Game 813-814: Akron at Northern Illinois
Dunkel Ratings: Akron 59.233; Northern Illinois 47.811
Dunkel Line: Akron by 11 1/2
Vegas Line: Akron by 10
Dunkel Pick: Akron (-10)


Game 815-816: Towson at Drexel
Dunkel Ratings: Towson 46.455; Drexel 60.303
Dunkel Line: Drexel by 14
Vegas Line: Drexel by 11
Dunkel Pick: Drexel (-11)


Game 817-818: Temple at Duquesne
Dunkel Ratings: Temple 63.468; Duquesne 64.890
Dunkel Line: Duquesne by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: Temple by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Duquesne (+1 1/2)


Game 819-820: Michigan at Northwestern
Dunkel Ratings: Michigan 65.744; Northwestern 66.640
Dunkel Line: Northwestern by 1
Vegas Line: Northwestern by 4
Dunkel Pick: Michigan (+4)


Game 821-822: Illinois-Chicago at Valparaiso
Dunkel Ratings: Illinois-Chicago 52.900; Valparaiso 58.102
Dunkel Line: Valparaiso by 5
Vegas Line: Valparaiso by 1
Dunkel Pick: Valparaiso (-1)


Game 823-824: DePaul at Louisville
Dunkel Ratings: DePaul 52.517; Louisville 71.997
Dunkel Line: Louisville by 19 1/2
Vegas Line: Louisville by 21 1/2
Dunkel Pick: DePaul (+19 1/2)


Game 825-826: Duke at Boston College
Dunkel Ratings: Duke 72.891; Boston College 68.790
Dunkel Line: Duke by 4
Vegas Line: Duke by 7
Dunkel Pick: Boston College (+7)


Game 827-828: Eastern Michigan at Bowling Green
Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Michigan 41.902; Bowling Green 56.936
Dunkel Line: Bowling Green by 15
Vegas Line: Bowling Green by 14 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Bowling Green (-14 1/2)


Game 829-830: Illinois State at Drake
Dunkel Ratings: Illinois State 61.091; Drake 58.592
Dunkel Line: Illinois State by 2 1/2
Vegas Line: Drake by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Illinois State (+1 1/2)


Game 831-832: North Carolina at Miami (FL)
Dunkel Ratings: North Carolina 78.530; Miami (FL) 73.035
Dunkel Line: North Carolina by 5 1/2
Vegas Line: North Carolina by 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Miami (FL) (+8 1/2)


Game 833-834: USC at Arizona State
Dunkel Ratings: USC 68.032; Arizona State 72.670
Dunkel Line: Arizona State by 4 1/2
Vegas Line: Arizona State by 8
Dunkel Pick: USC (+8)


Game 835-836: Rider at Manhattan
Dunkel Ratings: Rider 50.951; Manhattan 56.850
Dunkel Line: Manhattan by 6
Vegas Line: Manhattan by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Manhattan (-1 1/2) 


NHL

San Jose at New Jersey   
The Sharks have dropped four of their last five and face a New Jersey team that has won three straight.  The Devils are the underdog pick (+100) according to Dunkel, which has New Jersey favored straight up by 1.  Dunkel Pick: New Jersey (+100).   

Game 1-2: Philadelphia at NY Rangers
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 11.806; NY Rangers 11.112
Dunkel Line & Total: Philadelphia by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: NY Rangers (-130); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+110); Over


Game 3-4: San Jose at New Jersey
Dunkel Ratings: San Jose 12.005; New Jersey 12.710
Dunkel Line & Total: New Jersey by 1; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: San Jose (-120); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New Jersey (+100); Under


Game 5-6: Colorado at Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado 10.829; Detroit 13.301
Dunkel Line & Total: Detroit by 2 1/2; 7
Vegas Line & Total: Detroit (-360); 6
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-360); Over


Game 7-8: Washington at Florida
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 12.339; Florida 12.685
Dunkel Line & Total: Florida by 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Washington (-130); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Florida (+110); Under


Game 9-10: Carolina at Buffalo
Dunkel Ratings: Carolina 11.872; Buffalo 12.442
Dunkel Line & Total: Buffalo by 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Buffalo (-165); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (-165); Under


Game 11-12: Atlanta at Anaheim
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 11.056; Anaheim 12.006
Dunkel Line & Total: Anaheim by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Anaheim (-210); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Anaheim (-210); Over


Game 13-14: Montreal at Vancouver
Dunkel Ratings: Montreal 10.386; Vancouver 11.337
Dunkel Line & Total: Vancouver by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Vancouver (-150); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Vancouver (-150); Over 

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UNDER - Total Play of the Day from Pregame.com

Illinois (-10, O/U 123.5): The Illini snapped a four-game road losing streak on Thursday with a thrilling 60-59 victory at Northwestern. They saw guard Trent Meacham score eight straight points and then assist on the game-winning basket in the final minutes after trailing 31-25 at halftime. “We’re just thinking, ‘Here we go again. We can’t get stops when we need it - we can’t make the plays when we need it,’” said Meacham. Illinois' first meeting with Indiana was anything but close, resulting in a 76-45 rout.

PROJECTED SCORE: 62 

The UNDER is 8-1 in Illinois' last 9 games overall.

Indiana: The status of leading scorer Devan Dumes (13.8 points per game) remains a mystery after he was suspended following a flagrant foul against Michigan State on February 7th. Hoosiers head coach Tom Crean still does not know if Dumes will be active, and he started four freshmen in Tuesday's 62-54 loss at Minnesota. “We’ll just have to wait and see,” Crean said. “I’m being evasive. I’m not trying to hold it from you. I’m not trying to play strategy games. We’re just going day by day with this.”

PROJECTED SCORE: 52

The OVER is 7-3 in Indiana's last 10 games overall


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maddux sports

Today's Free Pick is Miami Fla +8.5


============================================================

Game 831-832: North Carolina at Miami (FL)
Dunkel Ratings: North Carolina 78.530; Miami (FL) 73.035
Dunkel Line: North Carolina by 5 1/2
Vegas Line: North Carolina by 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Miami (FL) (+8 1/2)


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Re: Sunday Service Plays

Vegas Experts

Duke at Boston College

We do look for the Dookies to bounce back with a victory on Sunday, but covering this sizable number is a different story altogether. Remember, Boston College went into Chapel Hill and beat North Carolina. While the Blue Devils are off three straight ATS losses, BC is off back-to-back SU losses, so this game is crucial to the hosts as well. They are 10-2 ATS at home after playing their previous game as a home dog. Take the points.

Play on: Duke

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John Ryan

South Florida vs. Notre Dame    
Play: Under 140.5     

Ai Simulator 3* graded play Under South Florida/Notre Dame slated to start at 2:00 EST. AiS shows a 73% probability that 140 or fewer points will be scored in this game. Supporting this graded play is a strong system that has posted a 23-7 mark UNDER for 77% since 2003. Play under with all teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points after 2 straight games forcing opponent to commit 11 or less turnovers facing opponent after 3 straight games forcing opponent to commit 11 or less turnovers. SF is 13-4 UNDER (+8.6 Units) versus good 3 point shooting teams - making >=37% of their attempts after 15+ games since 1997. ND is a strong perimeter shooting team, but in this game- a must win game - they will look to work the ball into the point for high percentage shots and will focus even more attention on the defensive end. There is NO reason for ND to run and gun in this game as that would only play into the strengths of SF. Notre Dame faithful still believe they can get an at large birth and in this game defense will be the dominant factor. Take the UNDER.

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Tom Freese

Illinois St at Drake

Drake is 13-4-1 ATS off an ATS loss and they are 10-4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning road record. The Bulldogs are 16-7 ATS vs. teams with a winning percentage of over 60% and they are 8-3 ATS their last 11 games vs. the Redbirds. Illinois St is 3-8 ATS their last 11 Conference games and they are 1-4 ATS their last 5 games vs. winning teams. The Redbirds are 10-21 ATS off two consecutive Conference games. PLAY ON DRAKE

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Dennis Macklin

Clemson at Virginia
Prediction: Clemson

The Clemson Tigers are for real winning four of last five and three of four on the ACC road, twice by DDs. Virginia is a trainwreck having lost L3 homies by DDs and have failed to cover L5 overall while failing to shoot 37% from the field in any game. How do you think hosts will like Clemson full court pressure. Lay the points.

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Scott Rickenbach

Montreal Canadiens at Vancouver Canucks
Prediction: Over

The Canucks just continue to be involved in high scoring games and the odds makers just haven't properly adjusted. That is giving great value to over players and the Canadiens are off of a game where they ended up netting four goals but they were outshot by a huge margin. Their defense has struggled, their goal-tending has struggled, and this one will turn into a very high-scoring match-up. That's because the Canucks continue to give up a lot of goals even though Roberto Luongo is back. Vancouver should find a way to stay hot and win this one but the OVER is offering more value than the side in this game! Consider a small play on the OVER.

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Ben Burns

Philadelphia Flyers @ New York Rangers
PICK: New York Rangers

The Flyers won big (5-1) yesterday. However, that was against the lowly Islanders. Note that they're just 5-8 (-4.7) the last 13 times that they were coming off a win by two goals or more. Additionally, they're also just 19-26 the last 45 times they played the second of back to back games. During the same stretch, including an earlier loss in this series, the Flyers are an ugly 30-52 in games vs. divisional opponents.

The Rangers lost a tough one last time out, falling 2-1 in a shootout loss at Florida. However, they won their most recent home game (5-4 vs. Washington) and they're a profitable 10-4 (+3.8) on the season, when coming off a game in which they scored one goal or less. Looking back further and we find them at 32-18 their last 50 in that situation. During that stretch, the Rangers have also gone an outstanding 32-13 when playing a home game with a total of 5.5. They've got a great chance at improving on those numbers here. Consider New York

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Jack Jones

Colorado +300 over Detroit

I know some of you don't know anything about hockey, so if you don't want to comment on this game, just give me your opinions on some other hoops action today and I'll still send you the premium pick.  This is a pretty hefty underdog that I think shows value, but remember if Colorado has better than a 1 in 4 shot at winning this game, it would be worth a play.  The Avalanche have beaten the Red Wings twice this year already, including a 3-2 victory at Detroit back in December.  I know Colorado is in last place out West, but they have played better than their record shows, like Friday when they outshot the Candiens 48-23 yet lost.  I think this line should be around +225, so there is quite a bit of value today if you want to take the Avalanche.

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Jeff Alexander Sports

1 Unit on Duquesne +2

These teams have played each other tight each of the past two seasons, with Duquesne beating Temple at home by 4 as an underdog in 2007.  Duquesne is 9-3 at home this season and I like the Dukes here against an Owls team that is just playing .500 ball on the road.  Home court has definitely been the key in this series as the Home team is 7-0 ATS in the last 7 meetings.  It also bodes well for the Dukes being in a bounce back spot of a loss as they are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a SU loss.  Duquesne plays its best ball against the best.  We saw this when the Dukes knocked off Xavier a week ago at home.  Duquesne is 11-3 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) over the last 3 seasons.  Take the home dog here.

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Drew Gordon

Illinois at INDIANA +10

For as bad as you may think the Hoosiers are this season, the Illini have been just as terrible on the road of late, going 1-4 SUATS over their last 5 in hostile territory. They eeked out a win at Northwestern to snap their 4-game slide on the road in their last one, but even that win was by the skin of their teeth. Sorry Illini-backers, but your team is in trouble this afternoon and here's why:

The Hoosiers are starting to "get it." A strong home win and cover over Iowa in their last one at Assembley Hall is a positive sign of things to come. Granted, Iowa is no juggernaut, but the Hawkeyes can play defense, and the Hoosiers torched them for 49% shooting from the field and a blistering 53% from 3-point land! Of course, Indiana didn't look so hot in their next two road games, but fact is, a return home is exactly what this team needs.

On the flip side, we've discussed the Illni's road woes above, but the real key to their problems has been on the offensive end, where they're struggling mightily. Illinois is averaging just 54 ppg on 40% shooting (26% from 3-point) over their last 5 games, and going out on the road (even at 6-17 Indiana) is not going to help them get any better. Illini have proven consistent in their inability to score points on the road, and with Indiana's confidence rising... This is NOT the spot to be laying this many with Illinois.

Take Indiana plus the points over Illinois in this college hoops match up.

3♦ INDIANA

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Michael Cannon

North Carolina -8' at MIAMI (FLA) 

Take North Carolina minus the points tonight on the road over Miami (Fla).

I know what the consensus thought here is.  Aren’t the Tarheels ripe for a letdown here after their big win at archrival Duke on Wednesday?

Sure, that’s a distinct possibility.  But I’m more concerned about the Hurricanes’ psyche going into this game than anything.

Miami has lost four of its last five overall, and three have come in overtime.  They’ve been off since February 7 so there’s a real chance they’ll come out rusty in this one, and all it takes is a little opportunity and North Carolina can be up by 20 in the blink of an eye.

It’s not like Miami has been competitive in this series lately either.  The Hurricanes have lost four straight in this “rivalry”, with the average margin of victory of 21 for the Tarheels.

North Carolina just looks like a team that’s ready to take off and I can easily see them winning this game by 15 or more tonight.

Lay the points with North Carolina on the road as they blowout Miami.

3♦ NORTH CAROLINA

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Jrtips

ILLINOIS vs. INDIANA

llinois dropped four straight on the road before a last-minute comeback win in their last game against Northwestern. The 22nd-ranked Fighting Illini face last place Indiana today at Assembly Hall and try to win there for the first time in more than five years.Illinois went more than six weeks without a road win, dropping four Big Ten road games by an average of 13.0 points. Illini (20-5, 8-4) are led by a trio of sophomores, McCamey, 7-foot-1 center Mike Tisdale and forward Mike Davis each starting and averaging more than 10 points. McCamey had a game-high 21 points, six rebounds and five assists against the Wildcats.Illinois also has the top scoring defense in the Big Ten, ranking among the top 10 nationally by allowing 56.6 points per game.The Indiana Hoosiers(6-17, 1-10) sputtering offense, which has averaged 50.5 points in its last two games, both losses and has one win in its last 14 games, including home losses to Northeastern and Lipscomb. The Illini won 76-45 over the Hoosiers on Jan. 10th. Indiana started four freshmen in Tuesday night's 62-54 loss at Minnesota, two days after indefinitely suspending top scorer Devan Dumes for throwing an elbow in the previous game against Michigan State.It's unclear if Dumes will be activated for Sunday's game. The Illini haven't won in Indiana since 2004, but they've still won nine of 13 overall against the Hoosiers. Both of these teams have trouble scoring and even though the Illini is the better team, they will have to win with their Top 10 defense today where they struggle on the road.TAKE UNDER 123

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Larry Ness

Drake -1.5 vs Illinois St.

Illinois St opened 14-0 but is since 6-5 SU and 3-8 ATS. Drake, which last year won 28 games on its way to the MVC title (regular season and tourney) and its first NCAA appearance since 1971, also started well but has likewise faded. The Bulldogs lost head coach Keno Davis to Providence plus scorers Houston (14.1) and Korver (10.4), as well as MVC p-o-y Emmenecker (8.6-4.6-6.5). Drake opened 13-3 but has lost SEVEN of nine (all in MVC play), to come in 15-10 (6-8 in the conference). Young (15.8) and Parker (12.0) can score, while the 6-8 Cox (11.8-8.5) is one of the league's best big men but Drake's depth is a question. The 6-5 Templeton (5.8-3.8) is a JUCO transfer and Drake had hoped he'd fill Emmenecker's shoes but that hasn't happened. The 6-8 Heemskerk (3.8-4.4) has also fallen short of expectations. While Illinois St is having the better overall season, the Redbirds are hardly "hitting on all cylinders" these days. Returning guards Eldridge (14.0-6.0) and Holloway (10.1-4.2) have been joined by 6-6 Oregon transfer Oguchi (14.9-5.9) plus JUCO point guard Phillips (11.6-3.5 APG) to form an excellent backcourt. However, Phillips will miss again here (personal reasons) and that hurts. The 6-8 Odiakosa (9.3-7.2) and the 6-8 Sampay (7.1-4.9) are decent inside players but Illinois St was only able to beat Drake 65-61 in Normal (as eight-point favorites) and here in Des Moines, a desperate and proud Drake team should prevail. Take the home team.

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Re: Sunday Service Plays

GREG SHAKER

Rider Broncs at Manhattan Jaspers
Play: Under 136.5

Playing the Rider Broncs UNDER the Total is always a scary proposition. Afterall, they do possess a tempo that is well within the Top 25% in this land and they do have a combination of good offensive efficiency and less than average defensive efficiency. However, there are some things that I expect to happen in this contest and on this floor which has produced just 122 points per game this year. The Jaspers like to control the tempo here and they have been pretty spiffy at doing so. Other High Octane conference foes have come here and have had to play along with the Jasper style. That is the reason why UNDER is 6-3 this year right here and that is the reason why UNDER is 8-2 last 10 regardless where Manhattan dribbles the ball. They simply cannot afford to get into a free for all shooting match with the visitors and they will work very hard not to do so. This betting line opened at 139 and has quickly come down to it's current level. You can play it down to 134 but I it probably would be smart to play it now.

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Nelly

Drake - over Illinois State

Player turnover and the coaching change has certainly taken a toll on Drake, coming off a great season last year that led to an unexpected conference title and a NCAA tournament trip. The Bulldogs have now lost seven of the past nine games but have gone 4-3 at home in Missouri Valley games with two narrow losses also included. Illinois State won by four at home against Drake earlier this season but the Redbirds had a fantastic long-range shooting game with twelve 3-point makes. Illinois State is 2-4 ATS in the past six road games and two road wins came in OT so the Redbirds have been fortunate to squeak by in a few games. Illinois State is 20-5 but they have played the weakest schedule of any team in the MVC still not having played a team in the top 50 of the Sagarin ratings. Following a narrow win at Evansville on Wednesday this is a tough turnaround and a second straight road game that could give Drake an opportunity for an upset. Drake has shown it can deliver high level performances at home.

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Dave Price

1 Unit on Miami +8.5

After a highly emotionally and physically draining win at Duke, the Heels fall into a letdown situation on the road today. Miami is 10-3 at home this season and it has not lacked confidence in big games, crushing Wake Forest and losing by just 3 to Duke in OT. That was Wake's last game, and it was over a week ago, so the Canes have had more time than you ever usually get to prepare for one opponent and that will serve them well here. UNC won the first meeting at home, but did not cover the spread and Miami will look like a completely different team in this game. The Tar Heels are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 vs. Atlantic Coast, 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games following a SU win, and 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games following an ATS win. The Hurricanes are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a home underdog. Bet Miami here.

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Tony Karpinski

Illinois State vs. Drake    
Play: Drake -1.5

Illinois state has the better record, but I like DRake in this spot tonight. Drake is 13-4-1 ATS off an ATS loss and they are 10-4-1 ATS vs a team with a winning road record. The Bulldogs are 16-7 ATS vs. teams with a winning percentage of over 60% and they are 8-3 ATS their last 11 games vs. the Redbirds. Illinois St is 3-8 ATS their last 11 Conference games and they are 1-4 ATS their last 5 games vs. winning teams.

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