THURSDAY PREMIUM SERVICE PLAYS

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Wayne Root

Chairman- Notre Dame
Millionaire- Arizona St
No Limit- Idaho
Insiders- St Marys

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Jeff Benton

15 Dime UCLA


Bob Valentino

25 Dime UCLA

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Seabass

Steam 100* Idaho

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igz1 sports

NHL
3* Carolina -130

CBB
5* The Citadel -3
4* Fairfield -1
3* Wisconsin Milwaukee +11.5
3* St Josephs PK

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Indian Cowboy

4 Unit Play. Take Northwestern +2 over Illinois

We have certainly gone around the merry-go-round once this week as we are 1-1-1 rolling into Thursday. Currently we are 17-9 out our last 26 college ball picks which is sound but I really want to repeat something similar to last week when we went 5-2 hitting at one point 5 straight underdogs, four of which won outright. We did solid in Januayr with +66 units and in February we are hovingering around +20 in total profit as we roll on with our tortoise and investment philosophy of 2 plays a day - 1 per college and 1 per the nba. For today's play, let's roll with an upset in the making in the Big10 - my favorite conference. Man, I love this conference. When it was announced that Tubby and Jimmy B were going to be two of the coaches in this conference, I was stoked. This is because I knew Penn State and Northwestern were going to be much better this year as they had recruited well and had a lot of returning talent come back. Such is the case when Northwestern went ahead and prevailed in countless surprising results this year. Remember, Northwestern is the same team that beat Wisconsin at home by 3, the same team that beat Minnesota at home, Michigan State on the road, and after starting the year 0-4 in conference play, now sit at 4-6 so they can certainly use all the conference wins they can get. They only play Illinois once this year and bear in mind, well over 70% of the public favor Illinois. I love Illinois basketball. In fact, it is the team that I have ridden the most in the 2008-2009 year for ATS covers. Heck, they were even my GOM twice this year. But, this is simply not a good spot for them. Illinois beat this team 70-37 at home last year so these group of young men who have now grown up and a are a bit more seasoned, remember that stomping. You don't think these fellas that defeated Michigan State, Wisconsin and Minnesota do not have what it takes to take care of Illinois at home? Heck, this team even beat FSU at home as well. Illinois comes off a huge emotional win against Purdue and are in for a classic let down here as they are the same teams that of late have lost on the road to Wisconsin by 13 and Minnesota by 23. This game will swing back and forth, but let's ride the wave of the home crowd, with massive revenge from last year, our team that comes off a road loss as they return home and fading the public who is likely to get buried here as there is a reason why Northwestern is a +2 dog similar to what they were when they Minnesota and defeated them relatively easily.

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Kelso Sturgeon

PAC-10 Game Of The Year

50 Units Arizona State (+1½) over UCLA
Arizona State by 5-6

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Erin Rynning

Playmaker: Notre Dame

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Scott Pritchard

USC at Arizona
Pick: Under 134

I have one play, one time. It's not how many you play, it's how many you win. USC at Arizona. I like the UNDER. I'm coming off another winner yesterday and am having a great college hoops season. I also have an opinion on the Boston-Dallas pro contest. Play the USC game UNDER and see the cashier.

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BEN BURNS

MAIN EVENT

I'm taking the points with DALLAS. The defending champs got back on track last night. However, they're still just 2-4 ATS their last six games. I expect them to have their hands full tonight.

For starters, the Celtics, who saw Allen leave yesterday's game with an injured thumb, will be playing the second of back to back games. That's worth noting as the Celts are just 5-7 ATS on the season when playing the second of back to back games, including outright losses vs. the likes of the Pacers, Warriors and Rockets.

Additionally, with this being the final game before the All Star Break, the champs could easily get caught looking past tonight's opponent and ahead to the festivities. Regardless of whether or not that proves to be the case, they'll be dealing with a highly motivated Dallas team, one which is playing very well at home these days.

I played against Dallas last Thursday and the Mavericks got embarrassed by the Jazz, losing by 28 at Utah. That game was also on TNT and should work in our favor here. For starters, many people watched the game and were left with the impression that the Mavs are not playing well, which is helping to keep tonight's number where it is. While that may be true on the road, that's hardly been the case here at Dallas. Indeed, the Mavs have won 10 of their last 11 at the American Airlines Center, including five straight.

Perhaps more importantly, the loss to the Jazz should provide the Mavs with some added motivation here, as no team wants to get embarrassed on the same (national TV) network on back to back weeks. Speaking of getting embarrassed, the Mavs were blown out at Boston less than three weeks ago. That loss should provide even further motivation for the Mavs, who will be anxious to prove that they can compete with the best from the East.

Yes, the Mavs will be without Jason Terry - and that is a significant loss for them. However, they scored 118 points without him last time out and I believe that they've still got enough talent to earn the upset tonight, even without their valuable sixth man. The Mavs are 11-3 (9-5 ATS) on the season after scoring 105 or more points in their previous game. While no one talks about them much these days, this is still a playoff team which is capable of doing some damage on its homecourt. Catching their guests off a game last night and looking ahead to the All Star game/break, look for them to deliver a huge effort and avenge the earlier loss. *Main Event


ROAST

I'm taking the points with NOTRE DAME. I successfully played on Louisville when these teams faced each other exactly one month ago. The boxscore will show that the Cardinals won by a convincing 87-73 margin. However, I'll be the first to admit that it was a rather fortunate victory and it was anything but convincing. That's because the game was close the entire way before it went to overtime. Once in OT, having failed to close out the game in regulation, the Irish wilted. Despite the final score, that game showed that the Irish are fully capable of playing with the Cardinals and should provide them with some much-needed confidence for tonight's match. Star Luke Harangody promised the Irish would be fully ready for the Cardinals this time, noting of tonight's rematch: "It's going to be a fight and there's going to be punches thrown..." On an extended losing streak, there is no real pressure on the Irish here and that should allow them to relax. As guard Kyle McAlarney noted: "There really is nothing to lose. No one's going to pick us. So we really can go out there and let it all hang out and play with reckless abandon." Lets not forget that the Irish are still a very talented team. In fact, on paper, with four seniors and three juniors, including the reigning Big East player of the year (Harangody) this is one of Notre Dame's stronger teams in recent years. Note that the Irish even had the higher ranking than Louisville for last month's meeting. They haven't given up on the season yet and I look for them to get their turn-around started with a badly-needed victory. *Roast


ANNIHILATOR

I'm playing on Portland and Golden State to finish UNDER the total. The reason that we have such a high over/under line here is because the Warriors score the second most points (most at home) in the league and because they also give up the most. That was on display in the Warriors' last game, as they combined with the Knicks to score a whopping 271 points. However, the Knicks are a team cut from the same mold as the Warriors, as they like to run up and down the floor and don't care much for playing defense. Note that even with that result, the UNDER remains a profitable 7-3 the last 10 Golden State games. Unlike the Knicks, the Blazers are a team which is capable of playing excellent defense. Heading into last night's game, the were allowing 95.2 points per game. Therefore, it was no surprise that they limited Oklahoma City to only 92. The 96.8 points per game which they allow on the road is the third best mark in the Western Conference, seventh best in the league. Looking back at Portland's last 20 games and we find that only two of them produced greater than 217 combined points. While both earlier meetings finished above the total, the UNDER remains a highly profitable 13-5 the last 18 meetings in this series. Note that NONE of those 20 meetings had an over/under line as high as tonight's number. The highest over/under line of those 20 games was one of 214.5 in 2007. This year's earlier two games had totals of 205.5 and 209 points. Tonight's number is significantly higher, which gives us plenty of room to work with. Note that the Blazers have seen the UNDER go 5-2 the last seven times that they played a game with an over/under line of 210 or great, including a 4-1 mark in five road games. Look for them to do their best to slow down their hosts and for the final combined score to find its way beneath the generous number. *Annihilator


PERSONAL FAVORITE

I'm laying the price with NASHVILLE. Its not often that the Blues face an opponent playing with "triple revenge." That's the case here though, as the Blues have won all three previous meetings this season. Those games should provide the Predators with plenty of motivation, as they absolutely can't afford to lose four straight vs. the team with the fewest points in the Western Conference. Note that two of the earlier three games were played at St. Louis and that the Blues' victory here at Nashville was a 1-0 win in a shootout. A closer look at the stats from that game shows that the Preds had a 47-17 edge on shots on goal! Even with that loss, the Preds are still a profitable 7-2 the last nine times that they were a host in this series. The Preds lost 5-3 last time out. However, that was against a powerful Detroit team and its worth noting that the Preds are still a profitable 35-25 (+10.1) the last 60 times that they were coming off a loss by two goals or more. Look for them to bounce back and get some payback from the earlier losses with the Blues falling to 1-7 the last eight times that they were coming off three or more consecutive losses. *Personal Favorite

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Big Al‏

3* Golden State

3* Troy State
1* Arkansas State
1* Sienna

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Scott Rickenbach

1* (regular play) Chicago Bulls (-) vs Miami

In the long grind of an NBA season, it is important for a capper to focus in on games where there are special edges. Let’s face it, the odds makers do a rock solid job on most games so the key is finding those games where there is a stronger edge than one would normally expect to find. That is the case here with the Bulls. Chicago has not forgotten losing at Miami in their first match-up this season. That occurred in late December and the Bulls felt disrespected when the Heat called a timeout with just 30 seconds left and a 13 point lead. They used the time out to pull Dwyane Wade, Udonis Haslem, and Mario Chalmers from the game. However, the Bulls definitely felt it was not necessary and was simply a way for the Heat to “rub salt in the wound” in what was already a dominating effort for Miami. Bulls coach Vinny Del Negro was quoted after the game as saying “we’ll play them again”. That time has come!

On Thursday in Chicago on TNT, the Bulls get a chance to execute payback and they won’t let it pass them by. The key here is that the Heat have been struggling badly. Miami has lost five of their last seven and a big problem has been having to rely too much on Wade. He’s the only guy giving steady contributions in many games. That’s a big problem in this match-up because the Chicago native actually hasn’t played well at the United Center. In his last five games there Wade is averaging 16.6 points on just 36.1 percent shooting! Look for the other Chicago native on the floor tonight, Derrick Rose, to key the Bulls victory here. Rose has come a long way since that game at Miami. The Bulls have won five of their last seven and, over the last seven weeks, Rose has impressed more and more with each passing week. He’s averaged 18.4 points on 57.1 percent shooting in his last seven games. Also, Rose has 47 assists versus just 14 turnovers during this stretch.

While the Bulls had to rally to win their last game (versus the Pistons) it is the growth of Rose that helped the Bulls have that strong game-ending run. Those are the kind of strong finishes that build confidence and this Chicago team has come a long way compared to where they were the last time they faced the Heat. In the first match-up, Luol Deng got hurt during the game and Larry Hughes and Aaron Gray were both playing significant roles. Now Deng is healthy and Hughes and Gray weren’t even in the box score of the Bulls win over Detroit Tuesday. Also, Kirk Hinrich is now back for Chicago and Joakim Noah has become a big contributor. This is a classic case of two teams going in opposite directions and the added incentive for the Bulls here made it a definite play for us! Play Chicago minus the points as a regular selection


1* (regular play) Louisville Cardinals (-) @ Notre Dame

This is a classic case of “hot versus not”. What’s interesting here is you would have never expected to see a line like this earlier in the season as Notre Dame has such a solid history at home. However, times change and if you don’t keep up with the times you lose! We’re speaking from the sports betting “perspective” there as this Irish team certainly doesn’t merit that much more respect here even though they’re on their home floor. They’ve lost seven straight games and two of those were at home. We love the fact that we’re able to get a short number of points to lay with Louisville, the far superior team, just because they’re on the road in this match-up. The key here is defense. The Cardinals play it and the Fighting Irish don’t!

Notre Dame has allowed at least 87 points in five of their last seven games. That is simply amazing as this is not the NBA folks! To be giving up that many points in College Hoops is a real issue! The streak of defensive demise – and Notre Dame’s current seven game losing streak – started with a loss at Louisville. While it’s true that the 87 to 73 loss to the Cardinals was an overtime game, it’s also true that the Cards held Notre Dame to just two points in overtime while Louisville scored 16 and got the win. Once again, it’s evident who has the superior defense in this match-up. The Cardinals are 10-1 in their last 11 games and the only loss was to Connecticut! Of course the Huskies are currently the top team in the country and Notre Dame is not on par with that team. The Cardinals defensive numbers are in stark contrast with how the Irish have performed lately. The most points that Louisville has allowed, in going 18-4 this season, is 75 points. Only FOUR times this season has Louisville allowed more than 68 points in a game! As for Notre Dame, they give up an AVERAGE of 73 points per game on the season!

Even though the Irish took this match-up to overtime in the first meeting between these teams, note that the Cardinals had edges in rebounds, blocked shots, and steals. Truly the only reason the game wasn’t more of a blowout in regulation is because the Irish made 9 of 20 three pointers while the Cardinals only made 10 of 30 from downtown. Overall, the Irish are the better team from 3-point land but it’s normally not that pronounced and the Cardinals have shown the ability to rely on their defense – as they did at St John’s on Sunday – when their offense is not clicking. Of the 18 wins the Cardinals have this season, only two have come by less than six points. Those were against Kentucky and Villanova. Both these teams are superior to the Irish. As for Notre Dame, all their losses have come by at least five points and many have been blowout defeats. We have no qualms about laying the short number here with the Cardinals. Luke Harangody will be the focus of the Cardinals defense and we saw at UCLA what happens to the Irish (a 26 point loss!) when Harangody is shut down. The only other guy to score in double digits when Notre Dame first met Louisville was Kyle McAlarney. However, McAlarney has only made 17 of 60 (28%) of his field goal attempts in his last five games and this has played a key role in the demise of the Irish. That’s another reason their losing streak continues here. Play Louisville minus the points as a regular selection.


1* (regular play) Southern Cal Trojans (+) @ Arizona

Under coach Tim Floyd, the Trojans have a history of performing very well as an underdog in Pac Ten action. We get another fantastic opportunity to ride that streak here. The Trojans are coming off of an embarrassing loss at UCLA in their last game. They’ve had over a week to “stew” about that loss and that means when they take the court tonight there is going to be tremendous mental and physical energy coming from USC. Before that loss to the Bruins, Southern Cal was a very impressive 15-6 on the season. Five of those six losses had come by an average margin of just 3 points per game. That easily “gets us into the game” here as the Trojans tremendous defense has kept them in all but two games out of 22 games this season! The key tonight is that USC is so hungry they will not be denied in this spot.

Before their loss to UCLA, the Trojans had held ten of their last twelve opponents to 64 points or less! As for Arizona, the Wildcats have allowed four of their last eight opponents to score at least 77 points! Yes, Arizona has won five straight games but, prior to this, the Cats had gone just 6-7 in their previous 13 games. This truly is very much a mediocre Pac Ten team. The Wildcats last three wins have all come against three of the worst teams in the conference. Their prior two wins including a non-conference opponent, Houston, and also a big win over the Huskies. Yes, beating Washington was somewhat impressive but they did give up 97 points in that game. The Wildcats got 51 free throw attempts in that game. That is ridiculous and they won the game despite getting outscored 84 to 65 from the field. That’s not going to happen very often. In their win over Houston they allowed 90 points!

The coaching edge also goes to USC in this match-up with Floyd going against interim coach Russ Pennell. The first match-up between these teams was a tight win for USC but they had five more field goal attempts and nine more free throw attempts. It was only a strong shooting performance from Arizona that kept the game close. The Trojans should give a much stronger defensive effort here. This is especially true with coming off of the loss at UCLA that was such an ugly one. The reserves ended up playing a lot of minutes in that game and the Trojans starters will come back hungrier than ever as they seek, and get, a big road win here! Play Southern Cal plus the points as a regular selection.


1* (regular play) Vancouver Canucks Money Line (-) @ Phoenix

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Opposite Action Plays

Notre Dame


Mike Lineback 

Celtics/Mavericks Under


Lenny Del Genio

GS Warriors


Tony George

Celtics


Cogyle

8* Kings Over 5.5


Bond

10* Bulls Under 195.5


Daddy

10* St Joes


RAS

1.5 units Furman

1 unit Idaho


NSA


20* UCLA -1
10* Louisville -3
10* St Joe's -1.5
10* San Diego -13.5
10* Boston -2.5
10* Portland +3.5


Kelso


10 units Pepperdine
5 units Portland (CBB)
3 units Bulls


Scott Spreitzer

25* Buffalo


Nick Parsons

Miami Heat


C-Stars Sports

1000 units Top Play 8:00 PM Troy over Middle Tennessee St
1000 units Top Play 9:05 Portland St. minus the points over Idaho State

1000 Units Top Play Boston/Dallas under the total When DALLAS team played as a Home team - Last 3 years - Coming off 2 game home stand 4-12 O/U in this spot. When BOSTON team played as a Road team - playing on Thursday - Coming off a 1 game win 2-9 O/U in this spot.


ATS Lock Club

5 units Notre Dame +3.5
4 units Arizona -2.5
3 units Arizona St. +1.5

ATS Financial Package

4 units Troy -1
3 units Gonzaga -4.5


CHARLIES SPORTS

500* Buffalo -9
30* Delaware +6
20* Notre Dame +3
20* San Diego -13
10* Portland @ Golden St under 217
10* Dallas +4 (free play)

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Indian Cowboy

4 Unit Play. Take Northwestern +2 over Illinois

We have certainly gone around the merry-go-round once this week as we are 1-1-1 rolling into Thursday. Currently we are 17-9 out our last 26 college ball picks which is sound but I really want to repeat something similar to last week when we went 5-2 hitting at one point 5 straight underdogs, four of which won outright. We did solid in Januayr with +66 units and in February we are hovingering around +20 in total profit as we roll on with our tortoise and investment philosophy of 2 plays a day - 1 per college and 1 per the nba. For today's play, let's roll with an upset in the making in the Big10 - my favorite conference. Man, I love this conference. When it was announced that Tubby and Jimmy B were going to be two of the coaches in this conference, I was stoked. This is because I knew Penn State and Northwestern were going to be much better this year as they had recruited well and had a lot of returning talent come back. Such is the case when Northwestern went ahead and prevailed in countless surprising results this year. Remember, Northwestern is the same team that beat Wisconsin at home by 3, the same team that beat Minnesota at home, Michigan State on the road, and after starting the year 0-4 in conference play, now sit at 4-6 so they can certainly use all the conference wins they can get. They only play Illinois once this year and bear in mind, well over 70% of the public favor Illinois. I love Illinois basketball. In fact, it is the team that I have ridden the most in the 2008-2009 year for ATS covers. Heck, they were even my GOM twice this year. But, this is simply not a good spot for them. Illinois beat this team 70-37 at home last year so these group of young men who have now grown up and a are a bit more seasoned, remember that stomping. You don't think these fellas that defeated Michigan State, Wisconsin and Minnesota do not have what it takes to take care of Illinois at home? Heck, this team even beat FSU at home as well. Illinois comes off a huge emotional win against Purdue and are in for a classic let down here as they are the same teams that of late have lost on the road to Wisconsin by 13 and Minnesota by 23. This game will swing back and forth, but let's ride the wave of the home crowd, with massive revenge from last year, our team that comes off a road loss as they return home and fading the public who is likely to get buried here as there is a reason why Northwestern is a +2 dog similar to what they were when they Minnesota and defeated them relatively easily.

2 Unit Play. Take Golden State Warriors -3.5 over Portland Trailblazers

Congrats on the Nuggets Outright last night at Orlando. Regardless of what happens today considering this is a 2* selection we will have our 8th straight winning week this week. But, I would love to hit this play as it will allow us to go 3-1 overall on the week and enable us to secure even more profit this week. The line has steadily increased for this game and it should not come as a surprise. For starters, the Trailblazers come off a big win last night and cover against OKC. After all, they had revenge against the Thunder and they got it done. Well, now, the Warriors have revenge against this tem from an earlier season loss. Given the style of play the Warriors play anyway which is an up and down style of play, they certainly will have their legs underneath them and the Blazers will not. Let's not forget, this is the same Blazer team that fell to the Thunder handily on the road and this is the same Warrior team that beat the Jazz, Celtics, Suns and nearly the Cavs by losing 1 point at home. Let's ride GS here with GS as they are rested, have revenge, have covered their last 4 at home against the likes of the Jazz, Knicks, Clippers and even the Spurs who they ended up losing to in OT. Let's ride the W's as they are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games at home and the Blazers are just 4-11 ATS in their last 15 road games.

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BOB AKMENS

20* CAROLINA HURRICANES

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Karl Garrett

20 DIMER - TEMPLE OWLS

10 DIMER - LOUISVILLE CARDINALS

No doubt the Hawks have been playing some hot hoops, as they have won their last pair, and 9 of their last 10 as they get set to take on in-city rival Temple tonight, but in this battle of birds, I am going with the Owls.

Temple played tough at Xavier last week, and followed that loss up with a solid win and cover at home over URI over the weekend. The Owls have now won 7 of 10 straight up, going 6-3-1 against the spread along the way.

Most importantly, after 5 straight series losses, it looks like Fran Dunphy's ways against the Hawks have turned the tide, as Temple has won the last pair of series meetings, and they have covered the last 3 meetings as well.

I believe Temple currently has the Hawks number, and I am siding with the Owls to make it 3 straight over their conference rival.

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Bell's Best Bets

NcaaB:
Portland - 4
Idaho + 5
NWestern + 1.5
UCLA - 1
St. Joe's - 1.5

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Plus Line Sports

NHL selection

Detroit Puckline (+113) Moneyline (-275)

Basketball selections

Wisc GB -5
Buffalo -9
Niagra -8

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Alatex

15* Arizona -2.5

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Yankee Capper

NCAA HOOPS GUARANTEED BLOWOUT

BUFFALO -9.5


NCAA HOOPS GUARANTEED BLOWOUT

PORTLAND STATE -4

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