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MONDAY PREMIUM SERVICE PLAYS
Re: MONDAY PREMIUM SERVICE PLAYS
West Virginia vs. Pittsburgh
Play: West Virginia +7.5
It was almost two weeks ago when #5 Pittsburgh went into Morgantown and handled the Mountaineers easliy winning by 12. Although West Virginia has covered the number only five times in the last 18 meeting against Pittsburgh this 'Backyard Brawl' rival will bring out the best in the Mountaineers. West Virginia has gone 6-2 in their last eight Monday night games so I'll back them with revengu here. WEST VIRGINIA!
Phoenix Suns vs. Philadelphia 76ers
Play: Philadelphia 76ers -3
With Elton Brand now out for the season the 76ers know where they stand as they host the Suns in the sixth of their seven game homestand. Phoenix is coming off a big National TV win over the Detroit Pistons and are going back-to-back and they face Cleveland on Wednesday to complete this three game road trip. The Suns have 'cover only four of their last 16 games overall and the favorite has gotten the money nine of the last 11 outtings between these two. With Philadelphia now the favorite we'll take Philadelphia. 76ERS!
Re: MONDAY PREMIUM SERVICE PLAYS
7* Philadelphia vs. Phoenix UNDER 211.5
After getting two big wins against the Pistons and Warriors, this will be Phoenix’ 3rd game in the past 4 nights. They have a big road game @Cleveland on Wednesday waiting in the wings, so expect the Suns to use a lot of their bench minutes tonight. They used just 8 players against the Warriors and 9 against the Pistons, so it’s obvious they don’t have the most talented bench. The ‘Sixers young, talented athletes have been giving opposing offenses fits, allowing 95.6 points per game. Look for Philly’s defense to cause problems for the fatigued Suns tonight.
Phoenix’ thrives when Shaquille O’Neal and Amare Stoudemire can dominate the paint, they also like to get out and run on the fast break whenever the opportunity presents itself. In the last 10 games, Phoenix averages 20.7 points per game on fast breaks and 54.4 points in the paint. Philly is great at stopping both; In the ‘Sixers last 10 games, they allow just 11.3 fast break points and 36.4 points in the paint per game.
Our math model projects just 199 points in this game. The Suns have finished UNDER in their last four games on no days rest. Philly is 21-9-1 UNDER in their last 31 home games. In their last 23 games the 76ers and their opponent have topped 211 total points just 3 times. When these two teams match up, they have finished UNDER in 5 of their last 7 meetings. With a fatigued lineup against a great defense, this game will NOT surpass 211 points. Go with the UNDER.
Re: MONDAY PREMIUM SERVICE PLAYS
4 Unit Play. Take Furman +8 over Elon College
Congrats on the 5-2 week in CBB last week, the 5-2 week in the NBA and the Overall 10-4 Week in Hoops which has allowed us to bank +22.4 net Units in Overall profit. Let's continue to focus, research and roll as per this week as we look to duplicate last week's 10-4, and last month's +66 Overall Units. This line is likely to rise as the day continues as there are 7.5's out there and now, we are beginning to see sprinklings of +8 as I write this in the early morning. I like the Southern Conference. After all, we rode The Citadel Outright over App. State most recently in the conference. These two teams have not met this year but certainly Furman remembers their dubbing they took at the hands of Elon last year when they lost 52-37 at Elon and the fact the game prior to that last year when they lost 58-60 at home to Elon. Well, Fuman is a team that seems to be getting some mo-jo back as conference play continues. Keep in mind that this team has won just 3 conference games all year and have lost 10. But, 2 of those 2 conference games they have won come in their last two games as back to back victories. This team defeated both Samford and Chattanooga at home who were teams ranked in the top 275 and top 200. Bear in mind that these were both Outright wins as Furman was dogged by 6.5 and 2.5. In fact, what has gone unnoticed is the fact that Furman has covered their last 5 straight contests and this is important considering this team si 7-10 ATS overall this year. Furman is improving its play. It is obvious by their ATS covers of late and the fact they have been rewarded with back to back conference wins at home. Does this translate into a competitive spirit on the road? Yes, I believe so. After all, prior to the win over Samford at home, this team lost to App. State by just 2 points and they were dogged by 13 in that game. In fact, in the game prior to that, this team was dogged by 13 to Western Carolina and fell short by 9 points on the road. Who is to say that our Furman Paladins who are 4-0 ATS as underdogs of late, who are 5-0 ATS overall of late, the Elon Phoenix who are 0-4 ATS at home of late, with Furman having revenge and now with a renewed sense of play which has led them to ATS wins and increasing their conference wins by 200% in a span of two games, will not be competitive here? Paladins baby! (p.s. The Paladins were known as the twelve peers and were the foremost warriors in Charlemagne's court - we can use 7 of those warriors tonight).
4 Unit Play. Take Under New Orleans Hornets @ Memphis Grizzlies
There is no reason why this game shouldn't go under today. Are you aware what the final total was between the Raptors vs. Grizzlies? Try 150 (78-72 as the Grizzlies won). The combination of Conley, Mayo and Warrick scored 15, 16, and 16 points as if it was a college game. Part of this reason was because of Gay and Arthur did not play in the contest due to Arthur's personal reasons and Gay's Hip Flexor. Tack on the fact that Kyle Lowry did not play either as he is day to day with an ankle injury. Do you want to know why Toronto had trouble scoring? Well, they had no Chris Bosh and consequently, this team barely scored above 70 points. What is the similarity between Toronto and New Orleans? The fact that both teams are banged and Chris Paul and Chandler are likely to still be out and note, David West might be serving his suspension today. So, when you tack all this on what you are looking at is two banged up teams that will be struggling to score over 85 points a piece. In fact, I think the Grizzlies likely win this game outright, but how can one take the Grizzlies without knowing if Arthur or Gay is playing for certain and with a possibility of Paul playing and a possibility of West playing. I liked the under without the possibilities of injuries, but the chance that 5 of the better/best players of either of these teams combined might not be seeing action, certainly allows for me to take the under here. The Under is 5-2 for the Hornets following an ATS win and the Under is 6-2 when the Grizzlies play a winning team at home.