THURSDAY PREMIUM SERVICE PLAYS
Re: THURSDAY PREMIUM SERVICE PLAYS
Cleveland Cavaliers at Orlando Magic
Prediction: Orlando Magic
Reason: Ai Simulator 10* graded play on Orlando as they host Cleveland in this huge matchup involving two of the best teams win the NBA. AiS also shows an 88% probability that Cleveland will score between 93 and 98 points in this game. Note that Orlando is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when they allow 93 to 98 points in a game this season. Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone 29-7 ATS for 81% since 2003. Play against dogs off a home no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite facing an opponent off a home win scoring 110 or more points. Orlando is also in a series of strong roles noting they are 14-2 ATS (+11.8 Units) versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season; 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) versus good shooting teams - making >=46% of their shots this season; 13-1 ATS (+11.9 Units) versus good offensive teams scoring 99+ points/game this season; 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days this season; 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) after 2 straight games with 10 or less offensive rebounds this season; 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) after 2 or more consecutive overs this season; 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) after leading in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half this season; 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) after scoring 60 points or more in the first half last game this season; 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) after a combined score of 225 points or more over the last 2 seasons. Take Orlando for 10*.
Re: THURSDAY PREMIUM SERVICE PLAYS
4 Unit Play. #763. Take Canisius +14.5 over Siena
For someone who is 10-4-1 over the lats 15 days in college ball and gained over 30 Units in that process, you wouldn't know it with Northwestern nearly losing outright to Indiana at home yesterday. Did some tweaking with the spreadsheet as that is what it takes to keep ahead of the books which has led to the profts - I felt a stagger of late, so I mad the necessary changes and am ready to roll today. Yes, I know Siena is a good team and they are ranked a top 75 power ranking team. Yes, I know Siena is a 16-5 team overall as well. But, bear in mind that Siena beat Canisius in an ugly fashion 77-49 and 72-44. Those were absolute routs. Much has changed for Golden Griffins this year as they are a 7 win team which is a far cry from years' past. This team has beat Navy at home and have been very game in conference play. Bear in mind they lost to Manhattan by just a bucket at home, they lost to Iona by 8 on the road, they lost to Fairfield by 3, they beat Rider at home by 22, lost to Iona at home by 1 point in Double Overtime, beat Marist on the road by 9 and lost to Niagara on the road by 6. You see a pattern? I just named you all of the conference games for these teams and they have done just fine losing by no more than 8 points to Iona on the road. Not bad eh? Besides an early blowout loss to Loyola Maryland on January 13th, this team has had 7 straight competitive games in the Metro Atlantic Conference and actually has won 2 of those games straight up. They have plenty of revenge from last year as well. Tack that on with Siena defeating a very good upstart Iona team at home, how does one get up for a team like "Canisius" who is in the bottom of the conference. Heck, this team only beat top 300 St. Peters at home by 13, and Canisius is at least 50-75 spots higher in the power rankings. I see Canisius going down SU today but by about 6-8 points. The Golden Griffins have covered their last 5 games ATS in the Metro while Siena is just 1-4 ATS over their last 4 home games.
4 Unit Play. Take Under 196 between Cleveland Cavaliers @ Orlando Magic
Bear in mind that I write this analysis at 3am eastern so gauge this total as you might be able to get a higher price if the public raises as it gets closer to game time. We, on the other hand, will gladly take the under. And, why not? Look, these are two defensive teams. Sure, these teams are both 29-14 ATS, they both have great stars on both sides, they are both two of the elite teams in the East, they both have 69 wins between them, but what if I told you that Cleveland is the #1 defensive team in the league? Would you believe me? Well, it's true. Cleveland is the #1 overall defense in the league allowing opponents to 90.6 ppg, and allow opponents to shoot 42.5% which is second in the league. Cleveland is also 7th in the league in 3 point percentage allowed. Not to be out done, Orlando is ranked 7th overall in the league in defense, #1 overall in the league in rebounds as they do not allow others to have second chance opportunities, 3rd in the league in allowing a low field goal percentage and a stellar #2 in the league in opponents 3 point shooting percentage 33.5%. What you have is going to be two teams that although will start off hot in the first quarter in shooting, will wane off in offensive prowess. You will see a quarter scores after the first quarter of 23-21, 24-22 - and such games, are on pace for an under. Don't forget, that the Boston vs. Orlando game finished off at 80-90 (170 points) and Cleveland is a very similar defensive team to Boston. Heck, Cleveland is #1 in defense and Boston only follows the Cavs in overall defense. Don't forget, the Cavs and Lakers only totaled 193 and the Cavs and the Hornets didn't totaled 170. The Under is 10-4-1 when the Cavs play a team with a straight up winning record and the Under is 6-1 for the Magic when they play a team with a straight up winning record. Meaning that when both teams play other teams that are competent, defense reigns.
Re: THURSDAY PREMIUM SERVICE PLAYS
3 units Michigan State -6.5
3 Units - Orlando Magic -5
3 Units - Phoenix Suns -1.5
3 Units - Cavaliers/Magic u196
3 Units - Spurs/Suns u198
5 Units - Montreal Canadiens -130
5 Units - St. Louis Blue -130
5 Units - Tampa Bay Lightning +140
3 Units - New Jersey Devils +140
2 Units - Phoenix Coyotes +300
2 Units - Dallas Stars +240
5 Units - Michigan St -6
5 Units - Arizona St -10.5
4 Units - Clemson -1
4 Units - Cleveland St -14
FREE - St.Marys
3* Troy St
3* Long Beach St
3* Arizona St -11
3* Gonzaga -9
3* Southern Illinois -7
Wright St (-5 1/2) 3-Stars at -7 or less, 2-Stars up to -8.
Gonzaga (-9) 3-Stars at -10 or less, 2-Stars up to -11.
Montana (+3 1/2) 2-Stars at +3 or more, 3-Stars at +4.
Southern Illinois (-7) 3-Stars at -7 or less, 2-Stars at -7 1/2.
5* Hawaii +5'
3 Arizona +1
ATS Sports Club
NBA Side Winner: Orlando Magic -4
NCAA Side Winner: Appalachian State -5
NHL Ice-Melter Winner: Boston Bruins -160
3* Clev St
3* St Louis
Arizona State -11
Florida International +3.5
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