NCAAB News and Notes Thursday 12/11

NCAAB News and Notes Thursday 12/11

ST JOSEPHS (4 - 4) at VILLANOVA (8 - 1)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
VILLANOVA is 1-1 against the spread versus ST JOSEPHS over the last 3 seasons
VILLANOVA is 1-1 straight up against ST JOSEPHS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


WI-MILWAUKEE (5 - 4) at MIAMI OHIO (4 - 3) - 12/11/2008, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WI-MILWAUKEE is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game over the last 2 seasons.
WI-MILWAUKEE is 103-73 ATS (+22.7 Units) after a conference game since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


SOUTHERN MISS (4 - 3) vs. KANSAS ST (5 - 3)
Top Trends for this game.
SOUTHERN MISS is 10-28 ATS (-20.8 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game since 1997.
SOUTHERN MISS is 34-17 ATS (+15.3 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
SOUTHERN MISS is 34-17 ATS (+15.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
SOUTHERN MISS is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS ST is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


TROY (3 - 5) at MIDDLE TENN ST (3 - 3)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIDDLE TENN ST is 4-2 against the spread versus TROY over the last 3 seasons
MIDDLE TENN ST is 4-2 straight up against TROY over the last 3 seasons
5 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


FAIRFIELD (6 - 3) at FORDHAM (1 - 6)
Top Trends for this game.
FORDHAM is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in all games this season.
FORDHAM is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in all lined games this season.
FORDHAM is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
FORDHAM is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in all home games over the last 2 seasons.
FORDHAM is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
FORDHAM is 1-12 ATS (-12.2 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
FORDHAM is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in non-conference games this season.
FORDHAM is 11-22 ATS (-13.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
FAIRFIELD is 1-0 against the spread versus FORDHAM over the last 3 seasons
FORDHAM is 1-0 straight up against FAIRFIELD over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


LONG BEACH ST (4 - 3) at WEBER ST (2 - 4)
Top Trends for this game.
WEBER ST is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) as a home favorite of 3 points or less or pick over the last 3 seasons.
WEBER ST is 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) in all home games over the last 3 seasons.
WEBER ST is 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
WEBER ST is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
LONG BEACH ST is 42-23 ATS (+16.7 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
WEBER ST is 1-0 against the spread versus LONG BEACH ST over the last 3 seasons
LONG BEACH ST is 1-0 straight up against WEBER ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


IDAHO ST (2 - 7) at WI-GREEN BAY (5 - 2)
Top Trends for this game.
IDAHO ST is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games when playing with one or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
WI-GREEN BAY is 19-6 ATS (+12.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


SACRAMENTO ST (1 - 7) at NEW MEXICO ST (2 - 4)
Top Trends for this game.
SACRAMENTO ST is 7-22 ATS (-17.2 Units) in road games in December games since 1997.
SACRAMENTO ST is 18-33 ATS (-18.3 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1997.
SACRAMENTO ST is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
NEW MEXICO ST is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
NEW MEXICO ST is 18-34 ATS (-19.4 Units) in home games after a non-conference game since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


FAIRFIELD vs. FORDHAM
Fairfield is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Fairfield is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Fordham is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Fairfield
Fordham is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Fairfield

WISC-MILWAUKEE vs. MIAMI (OHIO)
Wisc-Milwaukee is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Wisc-Milwaukee is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Miami (Ohio) is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

IDAHO STATE vs. WISC-GREEN BAY

Idaho State is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
Idaho State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Wisc-Green Bay is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Wisc-Green Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

SAINT JOSEPH'S vs. VILLANOVA
Saint Joseph's is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Saint Joseph's is 2-8-1 ATS in its last 11 games when playing Villanova
Villanova is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Saint Joseph's
Villanova is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Saint Joseph's

SOUTHERN MISS vs. KANSAS STATE
Southern Miss is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Southern Miss is 4-16 SU in its last 20 games on the road
Kansas State is 16-3 SU in its last 19 games at home

TROY vs. MIDDLE TENNESSEE
Troy is 5-16 SU in its last 21 games on the road
Troy is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Middle Tennessee
Middle Tennessee is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home
Middle Tennessee is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Troy

LONG BEACH STATE vs. WEBER STATE
Long Beach State is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
Long Beach State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Weber State is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
Weber State is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games

SACRAMENTO STATE vs. NEW MEXICO STATE
Sacramento State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Sacramento State is 1-15 SU in its last 16 games
New Mexico State is 13-4 ATS in its last 17 games
New Mexico State is 13-6 SU in its last 19 games

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Re: NCAAB News and Notes Thursday 12/11

NCAAB Today

Notes on today's games.

Villanova lost to Texas in 9:00 game Tuesday, has quick turnaround to face crosstown rival St Joe's team that waxed Wildcats 77-55 LY (45-26 at half). Hawks are 4-4; they also played Tuesday, winning at Towson by 21- they're 4-1 if they score more than 58 points. Villanova's loss to Texas was their first in nine games- they're 3-2 as a favorite.

Wisc-Milwaukee is 4-4, losing both its road games, 100-80 at Marquette (+20), 67-46 at Wisconsin (+16); Panthers won pair of Horizon games last week, allowing just 60.5 ppg. Miami OH is 4-3, but they won only home game by 28- they're 0-1 as a favorite. Horizon road dogs are 5-10 vs spread. MAC home favorites are 6-6.

Kansas State lost its last three games, by combined total of nine points; they're 1-1 as favorite. Southern Mississippi is 4-3; their last four games were all decided by four or less points-- Eagles lost only road game by hoop at New Mexico Saturday, but they went 2-1 in tourney on Virgin Islands last month.

Middle Tennessee beat Troy three times LY, 65-64 on road (+3), 81-58 here (-11.5) then 65-59 in Sun Belt tourney eight days later; Troy led at half in two of three games. Troy is 3-5, 0-3 on road, allowing 95.3 ppg in losses at UNCW, LSU, Dayton. MTSU is 1-3 vs D-I teams, scoring 63 ppg in losses to Tennessee (76-66), Vandy (65-57), Houston (70-67).

Fordham (1-6) won first game of season vs Lafayette Monday; they're 0-3 as underdog this year, losing those games by 39-20-20 points, with five new starters. Fairfield is 5-2, winning last four games- theur losses are at Memphis (90-63), Va Tech (74-57)- they also have a 78-66 win at Holy Cross- they scored 78.5 ppg in last four games.

Long Beach State is much-improved (4-3) this year, covering five of its seven games- they lost last game in double OT at San Francisco, ending a 4-game win streak. Weber State is 1-4 vs D-I teams, losing at home by 30 to BYU last time out, but four of those games were on road (they beat Prairie View by 10 in only home game).

In its last two games, Idaho State beat Utah by 12, lost at Wisconsin by a hoop, making them best 2-7 team in country. Bengals have already lost three games in OT this season. Green Bay is 5-2 with a strange 17-point loss to D-II Rollins. Horizon home favorites are 6-8 vs spread. Big Sky road dogs are 15-10 vs spread.

New Mexico State is 3-3, winning home games over Riverside (79-52), Pepperdine (90-66); they lost last three games overall. Sacramento State is 1-5 vs D-I teams, losing 51-32 at Santa Clara, 64-44 to Utah Valley St in last two games- this is third game in six nights for the Hornets. WAC home favorites are 5-9 vs spread.

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Re: NCAAB News and Notes Thursday 12/11

St. Joseph's at Villanova
By Brian Edwards

Bettors don’t have any can’t-miss games in college basketball tonight, but there are eight contests on the board. Most notably, we have Villanova (8-1 straight up, 3-3 against the spread) and St. Joseph’s (4-4 SU, 3-3 ATS) renewing their old-school rivalry at The Pavilion in Philadelphia.

Las Vegas Sports Consultants opened ‘Nova as a 9½-point favorite for its second Big Five game of the 2008-2009 campaign. The Wildcats won 69-47 at Penn as 14-point favorites on Dec. 2.

Jay Wright’s team suffered its first loss of the season Tuesday when Texas won a 67-58 decision. The Longhorns took the cash as two-point favorites in the night-cap game of the Jimmy V Classic at Madison Square Garden. The 125 combined points stayed ‘under’ the 134-point number rather easily.

Dante Cunningham led Villanova with 23 points, 12 rebounds, two steals and a pair of blocked shots. However, he had no help. The rest of his teammates combined to make just 10-of-36 shots from the floor. Scottie Reynolds finished with 10 points, five rebounds and five assists, but he also committed four turnovers and drained just 2-of-7 attempts from the field.

St. Joseph’s was also in action Tuesday night, capturing an 85-64 victory at Towson as a four-point road ‘chalk.’ Ahmad Nivins was the catalyst, scoring 25 points and grabbing nine rebounds. Darrin Govens added 22 points.

Phil Martelli’s team has four losses to date. St Joe’s lost twice at the Maui Classic to Texas (68-50) and Alabama (58-48). Before going to Hawaii, the Hawks lost at Holy Cross in overtime. Since returning, they went down to Creighton by a 69-58 count as 3½-point home favorites.

St. Joseph’s has won by double-digit margins in all four of its victories. In addition to thumping Towson, the Hawks have beat up on Rider, Indiana and Lehigh.

Villanova has played a cupcake schedule so far with its best win coming over Rhode Island at the Palestra.

The ‘under’ has cashed in five consecutive ‘Nova games with a total. Meanwhile, St. Joe’s has watched the ‘under’ go 4-2 overall.

ESPN2 will provide television coverage at 8:00 p.m. Eastern.

**B.E.’s Bonus Nuggets**

--I don’t remember the last time the SEC appeared to be this down. Georgia got a decent home win for the league over Va. Tech two nights ago. However, Mississippi St. lost at home last night to Charlotte, which came to Starkville with a 2-6 record.

--I took the 49ers last night catching seven points at The Hump. The win improved my record to 11-3-2 overall in college hoops this year.

--Wake Forest will be heavily favored in each game between now and a Jan. 3 trip to BYU. If the Cougars can find a way to win at Arizona St. on Dec. 20, expect BYU and Wake to be both be undefeated when they square off.

vegasinsider.com

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Re: NCAAB News and Notes Thursday 12/11

St. Joe’s (4-4, 3-3 ATS) at (15) Villanova (8-1, 3-3 ATS)

Villanova, coming off its first loss of the season in Tuesday’s the Jimmy V Classic, aims to get back on track when it plays host to cross-town and Big 5 rival St. Joe’s.

The Wildcats came up short against No. 6 Texas on Tuesday night, falling 67-58 as a two-point pup at Madison Square Garden, ending their eight-game SU winning streak to start the season. Poor shooting and turnovers plagued ‘Nova, which hit just 38 percent of its shots from the field (22.2 percent from 3-point range) and gave the ball away 19 times. Leading score Dante Cunningham (17.4 ppg) finished with 23 points, but Villanova fell 19 points below its season average (77.2) while giving up 10 more points than its average (57.9).

The Hawks ripped Towson 85-64 Tuesday as a four-point road ‘dog, bouncing back from a 69-58 home loss to perennial mid-major power Creighton. St. Joe’s hit a sizzling 51.7 percent from the floor (31 of 60) and 84.2 percent from the foul line (16 of 19), while outrebounding the Tigers 37-20. Top scorer Ahmad Nivins (19.1 ppg) had 25 points and nine rebounds, and Darrin Govens scored 22.

The Hawks sit at .500 on the season in most part because they’re scoring almost as many points (67 ppg) as they’re giving up (63.4).

Villanova is on a 6-2-1 ATS surge in this annual rivalry, though St. Joe’s pounded the Wildcats 77-55 last February laying 3½ points at home. The favorite has gone 5-0-1 ATS in the last six clashes.

The Wildcats are on a 3-8 ATS slide following a SU loss, but they are on positive pointspread upticks of 4-1 after a non-cover and 10-3-1 against Atlantic 10 opponents. Meanwhile, the Hawks are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 non-conference tilts, but they carry negative ATS trends of 1-4 in roadies, 1-4 against winning teams, 2-7 after a SU win and 2-5 after a spread-cover.

The under for Villanova is on streaks of 21-7-1 overall, 4-0 at home and 5-0 outside the Big East, and the under for St. Joe’s is on runs of 7-3 overall, 5-0 against winning teams, 6-2 against the Big East and 8-3 in non-conference contests. Finally, the total has stayed low in each of the last five meetings in this rivalry.

ATS ADVANTAGE: VILLANOVA and UNDER

Gametimepicks.com

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Re: NCAAB News and Notes Thursday 12/11

NCAAB RESEARCH REPORT
By Indiancowboy

Troy vs. Middle Tennessee State

Note that the public is split on this game. This is actually a conference game and Middle Tennessee State has owned this team the last four times they have played covering all four such times including sweeping this team last year by winning by 6 and 23 points at home. Troy comes off a cover against Dayton where they lost by 17 points but did cover the 21 point spread. This team however lost by 37 points to LSU and that is frightening to say the least. Middle Tennessee State however only lost by 10 points to the highly potent Tennessee Volunteers and lost by just 8 points to Vandy as they ended up covering both games. Nevertheless, it is tough to lay this many a point especially considering this is a conference game and Troy has such a revenge angle from the past few years as well.

Fairfield vs. Fordham

Fairfield is 6-3, but note that Fordham has beat Fairfield the last four times they have played them in recent memory. In fact, the last time Fairfield beat this team was in 2001. I hate to lay this many points, but I have Fairfield as significantly the better team here and they have years of frustration to take out on Fordham from the losses of previous years. I can see Fairfield wining this game by DD and likely coevering.

St. Josephs vs. Villanova

Villanova comes off their first loss of the year and they draw St. Josephs here. St. Joe’s beat this team by 22 last year so Villanova undoubtedly remembers that game and loss. St. Josephs also comes off a nice 21 point win over Towson who Villanova beat by a similar score. I don’t lay this many points, but there are reasons why you could support both teams. If you support St. Josephs you have the fact that this team is playing on neutral footing and are catching around double-digits and of course only 35% of the public are backing them. If you like Villanova, you have the fact they come off their first loss of the year and lost to this team by 20+ points last year.

Long Beach State vs. Weber State

The public is split about evenly on this game. This is going to be a tight game all the way through. In particular, earlier this year when these two teams hooked up, Long Beach State beat this team at home in overtime. Plus, LB State comes off a tough loss at San Fran in overtime, but did cover big against Pepperdine and New Mexico. By the way, Weber State comes off a 30 point thumping at the hands of BYU so obviously they will be fired up for this game and will look to bounce-back against a team they have revenge against. Weber State is undefeated at home and they do have some bite because they lost by just a few points to Miami of Ohio earlier this year. I lean on Weber State slightly, but I’ll tell you what even though Weber State has revenge and comes off an ugly loss, it is tough to bet against a Long Beach State team coming off a loss.

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