Monday Service Plays

Re: Monday Service Plays

Drew Gordon

Houston at OKLAHOMA CITY +8' 

I know full well its hard to back a 1-9 Thunder team, even at home. But in this particlular case, they're catching a rock-solid Rockets team at precisely the right time, but let me explain further...

The Thunder are sanwiched right in the middle of two tough games for this Rockets team, between a hard-fought win over New Orleans Saturday, and then a look-ahead game against Dallas on deck. In other words, its possible Houston may lose their focus in this sandwich game, especially considering the hefty price on this contest.

Second, the one thing the Thunder have done well at home is play defense, allowing 95 ppg on 43% shooting, which is surprisingly close to the Rockets defensive numbers on the road (92 ppg, 44% shooting). Not only that, but Houston-backers have to be concerned with the lack of offense, as they're scoring just 91 ppg on 41% shooting... Making it rather difficult to cover the number in this spot.

Finally, its no secret the Rockets have taken this team lightly in the past, going just 2-6-1 ATS over their last 9 meetings. With the Thunder sitting at just 1-9 for the season, it should come as no surprise if the Rockets "take a night off," especially considering they have Dallas on deck. In the end, the Rockets are the better team, but situationally, you have to give the edge to the Thunder.

Small play on Oklahoma City plus the points over Houston in this NBA match up.

1♦ OKLAHOMA CITY

Blade
useravatar
Offline
214949 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Monday Service Plays

Bobby Maxwell

San Antonio +1' at L.A. CLIPPERS 

San Antonio is missing two of its big three players as Manu Ginobili and Tony Parker recover from injuries, but this team has a lot of veterans and a lot of heart. They have won two straight close games and they can still play defense. We'll play the Spurs today in Los Angeles against the Clippers.

The Spurs have only scored more than 100 points once this season. Obviously the loss of two stars hurts when it comes to putting points on the board. But on defense they have toughened up lately, limiting the opposition to just one game of 100 points or more in the last seven and none in the last five.

San Antonio got a 77-75 home win over the Rockets on Friday and then went to Sacramento on Sunday and got a 90-88 win as two-point road 'dogs.

Meanwhile the Clippers have opened the season as only they can, losing eight of their first nine games and six of seven at home. Saturday night they lost 121-103 to the Warriors as 3 1/2-point favorites and they are allowing 103.8 points per game this season. Los Angeles isn't stopping anybody and yet they are only averaging 89.9 points themselves. Ugly.

San Antonio has won eight straight matchups with the Clippers and four in a row in Los Angeles. And going back to March 2006, the highest point total they've been able to put up against the Spurs is 88. Look for San Antonio to lock them down again tonight and get a win and cover. Play the Spurs.

3♦ SAN ANTONIO

Blade
useravatar
Offline
214949 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Monday Service Plays

Jeff Benton

For Monday we’ll venture to College Basketball for the first time this season and take the points with Utah State over UC Santa Barbara.

Santa Barbara was hardly impressive in Friday’s season-opener at home against Division II Cal State Los Angeles, winning 64-55. The Gauchos got outscored 34-25 in the second half, shot just 42.6 percent from the field (6-for-20 from three-point land) and committed a whopping 22 turnovers. First-game jitters? Perhaps, but that still shouldn’t happen against a Division II opponent at home.

While UCSB struggled to put away Cal State LA, Utah State had no such trouble against its cupcake on Friday, trouncing Montana State-Northern 71-50 while making 54.3 percent of its shots and turning the ball over just eight times.

The Aggies have won five straight meetings in this rivalry, including last year’s Bracket Buster 72-59 rout at home as a 4½-point chalk. In fact, Utah State’s last three wins over the Gauchos have been double-digit routs, including an 80-50 victory in their most recent trip to Santa Barbara in 2005. Utah State finished last year on ATS runs of 7-1 overall and 6-0 in non-conference games, while UCSB was 2-7-1 in its final 10 home contests last year and 2-5 ATS in its last seven against non-league foes. Take the points, even though I’m pretty confident that the Aggies will depart Santa Barbara with an outright win.

2♦ UTAH STATE

Blade
useravatar
Offline
214949 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Monday Service Plays

Jimmy Boyd

1 Unit on Oklahoma City Thunder +8.5

We'll play against favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (HOUSTON) after going under the total by 42 or more points total in their last five games, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team.  This system is 47-19 ATS the last 5 seasons.  Oklahoma City has lost 7 in a row and is coming off a blowout loss on the road.  The Thunder will return home tonight leaving it all out on the floor to get back in the win column.  The Underdog is 5-2-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings and we'll snatch the dog again here.

Blade
useravatar
Offline
214949 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Monday Service Plays

Tommy Rider 

Eastern Michigan +21 (1 unit)

Miami, OH +14 (1 unit)

Brown +12 (1/2 unit)

Blade
useravatar
Offline
214949 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Monday Service Plays

Vegas Experts

Cleveland Browns at Buffalo Bills

Bad weather looks like a possibility tonight and when these teams met last year in Cleveland in the snow, the result was an 8-0 final in favor of the Browns. Not saying it will be that low scoring this time around but the Bills have gone Under in four straight games, are 15-5 Under coming off an ATS loss, and a perfect 6 for 6 Under the total when coming off back-to-back pointspread losses. Cleveland will still keep the offense simple under QB Brady Quinn.

Play on: Under

Blade
useravatar
Offline
214949 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Monday Service Plays

LT Profits

San Antonio Spurs @ Los Angeles Clippers Under 177.0

This may look like a vey low total, but when we look at the series history between the San Antonio Spurs and the Los Angeles Clippers and also at the fact that the Spurs had a tough game last night, this total is understandable.

For starters, the Under is 19-8-3 in the last 30 meetings between these clubs, including an unbelievable 13-1-1 in the last 15 meetings here in Los Angeles. The last two meetings at Staples produced point outputs of 162 and 170 points respectively, which again shows that this posted total is not as low as I seems at first glance.

Then there is the fact that the Clippers are shooting a woeful 41.1 percent from the field this season, so it is no coincidence that they are off to a 1-8 start. Sure, they have averaged 100 points over the last three games, but those contests were vs. Golden State, Sacramento and Dallas, three clubs that play at a fast pace and do not play much defense. The last time they played a team that actually defends anyone they managed just 83 points vs. the Houston Rockets.

Now the Spurs are a depleted club without Parker and Ginobili, and as a result they are averaging just 84.0 points in the last five games. They are also coming off of a hard-fought 90-88 win at Sacramento last night, and this is an old club that may not bounce back as well when playing back-to-back games as some younger teams would.

We look for history to repeat here tonight, which would man both teams tossing up tons of bricks.

Pick: Spurs, Clippers Under 177

Blade
useravatar
Offline
214949 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Monday Service Plays

Nostradamus

Cleve/Buff. Under 41
Vancouver -140
Nashville +120
SJ/Nash Under 5.5 -115

Blade
useravatar
Offline
214949 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Monday Service Plays

blade, any premium plays yet?

Mr. Blue Sky
useravatar
Offline
26 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Monday Service Plays

3Daily Winners

Cleveland Browns vs. Buffalo Bills
Play:Cleveland Browns +5

Originally this was going to make this a 2* play on Cleveland, however the forecast has been changed to 3 inches of snow as a possibility, thus will make this a Free Play. What I like about Cleveland in this spot is when expectations are low, they respond. The Browns are 22-11 ATS after one or more consecutive spread losses. Brady Quinn will face a more challenging defense in Buffalo who will likely blitz more than Denver did, however the Cleveland offensive line is above average and should limits hits on Quinn. Just like last year's snow game Jamal Lewis can control the contest running the ball. Buffalo's offense is really hurting with no running game, averaging just over 80 yards per game the last five contests. This exposes QB Trent Edwards as just ordinary when asked to pass to win. With the Bills offensive woes, five points is too much. Take the Browns and based on the weather and the Under.

Blade
useravatar
Offline
214949 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Monday Service Plays

John Ryan

San Antonio Spurs vs. Los Angeles Clippers    
Play:San Antonio Spurs +2.5

Ai Simulator 3* graded play on San Antonio (nba) – AiS shows a 73% probability that SA will win this game. AiS also reveals an 88% probability that the Clippers will not get more than 15 offensive rebounds. Clippers are 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) when they grab 10 to 15 offensive rebounds in a game this season. Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone 27-7 for 79% ATS since 2002. Play against home favorites that are poor three point shooting teams hitting <=33% and is facing a poor 3PT defense allowing >=36.5% and is an average ball handling team yielding 14.5-16.5 TOPG facing a good ball handling team <=14.5 TOPG. Clippers are in a poor role noting they are 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) in home games versus poor foul drawing teams attempting <=24 free throws/game over the last 3 seasons; 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons. Take San Antonio.

Blade
useravatar
Offline
214949 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Monday Service Plays

Ben Burns

San Jose Sharks at Nashville Predators
Prediction: San Jose Sharks

This is the first game back home off an extended road trip for the Predators. That can be a difficult situation at the best of times. Making matters worse is that they'll be facing San Jose, one of the best teams in the league. The Sharks will be fully focused too, as the Predators just upset them at San Jose last week. A closer look at the stats from that game reveal that the Predators were fortunate to escape with a victory as they were outshot by a whopping 57-29 margin. Yes, the Sharks played last night. However, that's not necessarily a negative as we find them at a highly profitable 27-8 the last 35 times that they played the second of back to back games. Consider San Jose

Blade
useravatar
Offline
214949 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Monday Service Plays

Brian Hansen

Edmonton Oilers at Detroit Red Wings
Prediction: Detroit Red Wings

The Oilers are struggling. The Wings are one of the best teams in hockey - heck, they're the defeninding Stanley Cup champions!With the Wings at 33-10 the last 3 years when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season, there's only one to go in this one. Lay the wood!

Blade
useravatar
Offline
214949 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Monday Service Plays

David Malinsky

Missouri State @ Central Michigan
PICK: Central Michigan

Just another non-conference game? This is anything but that for Ernie Zeigler and his Chippewas. And in a game in which the matchups are favorable for them to turn the tables, we have excellent value to step in.

Zeigler made our ticket several times last season, and he is the kind of coach that we can work with well. He is never going to bring great talent to Mount Pleasant, but he has focused on getting hard-nosed players that will dig in deep at the defensive end, suiting his own personality (remember that he spent his five seasons prior to taking this job as a Ben Howland assistant at both Pittsburgh and U.C.L.A., which put him on our radar). In his first season he led C.M.U. to the nation’s 17th best turnaround, and LY the Chippewas finished at .500 in the M.A.C. for only the third time in 17 years. Baby steps, of course, but they are heading in the right direction. The defensive fundamentals will again be sound, and in 6-8/245 Chris Kellermann there is a legitimate go-to player, with Kellerman beginning his senior season with 28 points and 13 rebounds in that road win at Princeton. The confidence gained by getting that win without the suspended Marcus Van is a plus here, and we also like getting sharp-shooting guard Robbie Harman in a bounce-back mode – after knocking down 44.6 percent from 3-point range LY, good enough to finish #2 in the M.A.C., he took an 0-5 collar in Friday’s win.

So what does it mean for tonight? A high level of intensity in a special setting. They are promoting this as “Rock The Rose” night for the home opener, with a variety of prizes and giveaways to drive the crowd, and Zeigler and his players should feed off of the passion, plus the memory of that 90-76 loss to Missouri State at Springfield LY that left them with a bad taste, an outcome in which they believe they clearly got the worst of it from the officials. They were whistled for 31 fouls to just 13 for the Bears, and got out-scored 33-7 from the charity stripe. That is about as wide a gap as we ever find for a college game. From Kellerman - "We definitely owe them one from last year."

Not only do the Chippewas want this game, but they can get it. Cuonzo Martin is facing a most difficult time fitting the pieces together in his first season at Missouri State, with only eight players available right now, as Shane Laurie, Justin Fuehrmeyer, Derron Hobbs and Dominick Brumfield all remain sidelined. It is forcing playing time to freshmen Isaiah Rhine and John Hayward-Mayhew, and there were some aspects of their 75-60 loss at Auburn that were much worse than the score shows – they were soundly beaten despite knocking down 11-23 3-pointers, a most negative sign, and they were dominated inside by a mediocre Tiger front-court. Auburn had seven dunks as part of a 23-35 success rate inside the arc, won the boards easily, and would have blown the scoreboard wide open if not for missing half of their 28 free throw attempts. The Tigers made more 2-point shots (23) than Missouri State attempted inside (22), a sign of how one-sided the play was around the basket.

Blade
useravatar
Offline
214949 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Monday Service Plays

Scott Rickenbach

Ottawa Senators @ New York Rangers
PICK: Ottawa Senators

The Senators are a good sized dog tonight and they’ve burned me recently and this is part of the reason why I prefer not to use Ottawa as a “pay play” but there is still value with the Senators in this spot! Plus, at what is truly a nice underdog return, that’s why you’re reading about them here! The Senators have been getting their chances recently but just not cashing in! They’ve been getting shots on goal, creating offensive chances, and doing a good job defensively. This has included getting good goaltending as we noticed a change in this hockey club as soon as Alex Auld started getting more action between the pipes. After a solid winning streak, the Sens have now fallen victim to a tough losing skid. However, the team is still confident and they know their losses are not for a lack of work. The trouble is that the Senators have come up just short in many of their recent defeats. As for the Rangers, they are coming off of a bit of a “miracle win” as they rallied from a late two-goal deficit to defeat the Bruins in their most recent game. Although they got the win the Rangers have certainly not been the dominant team recently that they were earlier this season. We feel that, as a result, this is offering great line value with the Senators and we’ll take it!

Blade
useravatar
Offline
214949 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Monday Service Plays

LARRY NESS

Houston Rockets @ Oklahoma City Thunder
PICK: Oklahoma City Thunder

The good news for the Rockets tonight is that they are facing the Thunder (formerly the Sonics) and will be going for their ninth straight win over the Oklahoma City/Seattle franchise. The Rockets are just 5-4 on the season, despite opening 3-0, and have been frustrated by their inconsistent play. T-Mac is averaging just 16.7 PPG (shooting a career-low 38.7 percent from the floor), the lowest he's scored since his early days with the Raptors. He never averaged lower than 25.6 PPG (his high was 32.1) in four years with the Magic and he's averaged about 24 PPG in his first four years with the Rockets. Yao looks healthy (16.7-9.3) and Artest (14.2-5.0) has been an excellent addition. Second-year guard Aaron Brooks is averaging 11.4 PPG (up from 5.2 LY) but still, there's that 5-4 record. The problem has been a very tough schedule. After losing to Boston in Houston on November 4 (first loss of the season), the Rockets had a five-game road trip, ending with games at the Lakers, Suns and Spurs. Saturday night, they hosted the Hornets and now it's a road game at Oklahoma City. I can easily see the Rockets being 'flat' here against the Thunder. Durant is averaging 21.1 PPG (averaged 20.3 PPG as a rookie), Jeff Green looks greatly improved, upping his numbers from 10.5-4.7 last year to 15.2-6.3 TY and rookie guard Russell Westbrook is averaging 11.8 PPG. OKC is just 1-9 but I see them 'sneaking' under this number. Take the points.

Blade
useravatar
Offline
214949 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Monday Service Plays

DOC

San Antonio Spurs @ Los Angeles Clippers
PICK: Los Angeles Clippers -2.5

We think this is a good spot to back the Clippers as a small home favorite. The Spurs will have all sorts of trouble until Ginobli and Parker return and, despite winning two straight this team still has major issues. The Clippers have been horrible when you look at their record but if you really compare the talent these two teams have on the court tonight with the Spurs missing these two key cogs then the Clippers should be favored by more here. Coach Dunleavy said at the start of this season that it would take some time for this team to gel and we expect there to be some value on this team as they continue to work better together and public confidence is at an all-time low. This team really does have the talent to compete for a playoff spot but they just haven’t put it together on the court yet but this team will start to play better ball and we want to be there backing them when the odds are right and value is present. The public is pounding the Spurs tonight and this is a great time to go against the majority and get some extra value out of the line.

Blade
useravatar
Offline
214949 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Monday Service Plays

Wunderdog

Eastern Michigan at Purdue
Pick: Purdue -21

Many wondered if when Gene Keady retired if Purdue could find its way back onto the national scene again. After a struggle, Matt Painter logged a 22-win season with the Boilers last year. This season, he has a team with Final Four potential, 28 years since their last appearance. Grant,  Hummel and Moore all connected on over 43% from beyond the arc last season and return with Jajuan Johnson who is expected to come up big under the basket. The Boilermaker's have all the ingredients to find their way deep in the tournament. Eastern Michigan is off an injury-riddled 14-17 mark and just .500 in the MAC. The team is experienced inside and has a good PG in Carlos Medlock, but the depth, quickness, and athleticism on the perimeter for Purdue will cause this Eagle team many problems. Turnovers should mount and turn into some easy hoops, and Purdue's trio of marksman on the perimeter just won't be able to be defended. And if they get hot, this one could be over very early! I'll back Purdue in a rout here.

Blade
useravatar
Offline
214949 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Monday Service Plays

GREG SHAKER

Boise State Broncos at Siena Saints - Siena -12

This game is a no contest for the Saints. They have an extraordinary offensive scheme. Siena has been Number 1 or Number 2 in the MAAC in offense in each of Coach McCaffery's first three seasons. A big reason the Saints enter this year expected to repeat as MAAC champions is their offense, which again figures to be among the league's best. They are simply loaded. The motion offense that they run introduces surprise, because there are no set patterns. Instead, players make passes, drive to the basket, set screens or take shots by reacting to the defense. It's full-court ad-lib, and they do it very well. It is also impossible to prepare for and the primary reason why out of conference matchups they play, they win. The visiting Broncos cannot handle the home boys tonight. They did not on their home floor last year, losing 93-70. Siena won their exibition game verses Union 99-47. This one will not be that bad but it will be Blowout City as Boise cannot handle the quickness that the Saints have to obtain the easy shots. Let's not be afraid to lay these points. Additional Note: The court tonight is not blue.

Blade
useravatar
Offline
214949 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Monday Service Plays

SportsKingz

CLEVELAND / BUFFALO OVER 41

Blade
useravatar
Offline
214949 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Board Info

Board Stats:
 
Total Topics:
44939
Total Polls:
2
Total Posts:
281947
Average Posts Per Hour:
3.3
User Info:
 
Total Users:
3587
Newest User:
Jeffery Jones
Members Online:
0
Guests Online:
1961

Online: 
There are no members online

Forum Legend:

 Topic
 New
 Locked
 Sticky
 Active
 New/Locked
 Sticky/Locked

Privacy Policy | Terms of Service | Contact Us | Advertising | 888-99-SPREAD

THIS IS NOT A GAMBLING SITE – If you think you have a gambling problem click here.

Disclaimer: This site is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Individual users are responsible for the laws regarding accessing gambling information from their jurisdictions. Many countries around the world prohibit gambling, please check the laws in your location. Any use of this information that may violate any federal, state, local or international law is strictly prohibited.

Copyright: The information contained on TheSpread.com website is protected by international copyright and may not be reproduced, or redistributed in any way without expressed written consent.

About: TheSpread.com is the largest sports betting news site in the United States. We provide point spread news, odds, statistics and information to over 199 countries around the world each year. Our coverage includes all North American College and Professional Sports as well as entertainment, political and proposition wagering news.

©1999-2013 TheSpread.com