Sunday Service Plays

Re: Sunday Service Plays

Scott's Sport Picks!

Atlanta Falcons (-6.5) vs Denver ~ 3 Units

I was going to just put out an opinion on this game until I took a good, long look at Denver's defensive stats. They have only forced 10 turnovers this year. With 3 of them being interceptions and 7 being forced fumbles. They only have 20 sacks as well so look for Matt Ryan to add to his Team's record of 4-0 @ home.

QB Jay Cutler did his job last week for the Broncos, pulling out a high scoring 34-30 victory over the Browns. I have a joke for you. What do you get when you put the 27th and 29th ranked defensive teams against each other? A high scoring, 34-30 ball game. Don't let that game scare ANYONE into thinking the Broncos are back on track. They're still the same team that has only averaged 15 points a game the 5 games prior to the Browns. In their last 4 games, their opponents have averaged over 30 PPG. This is a no brainer...

The Falcons have emerged this year as a solid contender. They're tied for 2nd and 1 game behind first in the NFC South. QB Matt Ryan has blossomed into one of those rare rookie QB's that come out of college and starts off good in the Pros. At home this year, the Falcons are 4-0 only allowing opponents to score an average 18 PPG while averaging 32 themselves. That stat would be higher but they only scored 22 against a solid Bears defense.

Falcons are 4-0 ATS in their last 5 home games.
Falcons are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.

Broncos are 8-24-1 ATS in their last 33 games overall.
Broncos are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 road games.

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Re: Sunday Service Plays

Jimmy Boyd

1 Unit on Philadelphia Eagles -9

The Philadelphia Eagles will look to get back on track following a narrow defeat to division rival New York on Sunday Night Football while the Bengals will look to build off of their first win of the season. Philly is now 1-9 in games decided by less than a touchdowns the last two seasons, including 0-4 in 2008. During that same stretch, it is 12-3 in games decided by seven points or more. So it should be good news for the Eagles that they are 9-point favorites with the total set at 41 this week.

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Jeff Alexander Sports

1 unit on Seattle Seahawks +3

I like the Seahawks catching points at home against a Cardinals team which has continued to struggle on the road.  The Seahawks realize their reign atop the division likely ends this season but they will not go down without a fight.  Seattle is 7-0 ATS after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons, exploding to win these games by an average score of 24.3 to 11.3 while Arizona is 6-22 ATS after having won 3 out of their last 4 games since 1992.  Seattle is 2-0 SU and ATS at home versus the Cards the last 3 seasons and it has won 6 of the last 8 overall at home in this series.  Head coach Mike Holmgren is also 9-0 ATS off an extremely close road loss by 3 points or less as the coach of Seattle , exploding to win in these spots by an average score of 30.3 to 15.6.  We'll take the points.

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Re: Sunday Service Plays

Bob Balfe

Bengals +9 over Eagles
The Bengals are 1-8 and obviously would love nothing more than to get a big home victory, but that will be tough to do against Philadelphia. I will say that the Bengals are one of the best teams to start 1-8, not like that means much. Cincy is coming off a big win against the Jags last week and will look to carry the momentum into today. I was actually in Cincinnati yesterday and it was cold and really windy. This 9 point spread might be too much for Philly to overcome in these conditions. Last weeks loss to the Giants really deflated this Eagles team. Take the Bengals.

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Matt Rivers

Grab the points with the Ravens today at New York.

I cannot say that I have fully bought into Joe Flacco or this Baltimore offense, but getting a full touchdown is enough for me here, even on the road and even against what appears to be the best team in the NFL in Tom Coughlin's Giants. With that said, I do have to give today's visitors some respect as they have won four in a row and thanks in great part to that offense which has scored a whopping 134 points in those games.

I definitely have a ton of respect for what New York has been doing ever since the regular season game against the Patriots last season, but Ray Lewis, Ed Reed and the hard-hitting Ravens defense is once again no joke and as confident as can be. With the offense scoring some points, a full touchdown is pretty darn solid.

Playing a third straight road game is extremely tough and one theory which always means a must go against, but I am going directly against this theory as this is going to be a competitive game until the final whistle.

This game will not be for the faint of heart as both teams will be hitting and getting after it as they both seem to do. In the end the Giants certainly could prevail at home as Eli Manning, Brandon Jacobs, Plaxico Burress and the G-Men are really good, but the number is a bit too much and at the very worst a small must play.

Comp Play: Baltimore

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Re: Sunday Service Plays

John Fina

Selection: New Orleans/Kansas City Over 50

Reason: Put us down on the New Orleans Saints/Kansas City Chiefs Over 50 for our Free NFL Selection on Sunday. The Atlanta defense has been incredible lately, but New Orleans lit up the defense last week. The Saints gained a total of 521 yards against that amazing defense and the Falcons don’t even compare. The Saints are one of the best in the league, averaging 416 yards per game in total offense. New Orleans holds the NFL record as the only team to average more than 400 yards per game. Turnovers were the only reason that the Saints didn’t put up more than 20 points against the Falcons. As for Kansas City, they are the absolute worst in total defense in the league with an average allowed yardage of 406.2 per game. There is only one other team in the entire NFL that allows more than 400 and that is Detroit. This season, the Chiefs have given their opponents an average of 27 points per game. In 4 out of their last 7, they’ve surrendered at least 30. The Kansas City defense is the main problem as they have been outgained in all 9 games this season. Small wonder they’ve won only once. And when things look like they couldn’t be worse, the Chiefs allow a total of nearly 420 yards at home at Arrowhead Stadium. To give credit where credit is due, Kansas City has made some relatively impressive improvements offensively. This is mostly because QB Tyler Thigpen has seasoned. The Kansas City average for the year is a mere 288.6 yards per game, but has come along way over the last 3 games with an average of 351 yards per game. Early on, Thigpen was tripping over his own feet, but lately he has risen to a strong 66-102 for 710 yards. He has had 6 TDs and zero interceptions in those last three games. Thigpen’s passer rating jumped from the 50’s to 73.7 since then. Thigpen’s success should continue to excel here as they face another inadequate defense. While the Saints tore through the Falcon defense, and also did well overall, they are ranked 24th in total defense in the NFL, giving up an average of 348 yards per game. On the road, they give up an average of 380.2 yards per game, not including the London game vs. San Diego where they allowed 451 yards. New Orleans also allows an average of 25.4 points per game which places them at 24th in the league for points scored. We don’t expect Kansas City to have any trouble matching and exceeding that ,which would obviously put this game at the over. For some strange reason, this Over has not caught the public eye, which is usually the case in any over, but especially when New Orleans is involved. For the last 14 games, New Orleans is 11-2-1 for the over. Kansas City games have gone over in 8 of the last 10 games at home since last year. The bottom line, we should see another high-scoring game today! Take the New Orleans Saints/Kansas City Chiefs Over 50!

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Re: Sunday Service Plays

Dwayne Bryant

Dallas Cowboys at Washington Redskins
Play: Dallas Cowboys -1.5

The Cowboys got a lot healthier during their bye week. Tony Romo will be back at QB and WR Roy Williams had two more weeks to learn the playbook. This offense, including Terrell Owens, Marion Barber and Jason Witten, should be downright scary. It won't help Washington that CB Shawn Springs will be less than 100% for this one. Dallas also needs this game in a big way. A loss would put them at 5-5 and in last place in the NFC East, two games out of second place.

The 'Skins strength has been the running of Clinton Portis. As Portis goes, so go the 'Skins. Well, Portis is banged up and will either be inactive or see very limited action at far less than 100%. If you can make a team one-dimensional, you can beat them most of the time. And the Cowboys have shown a good pass rush since Wade Phillips got more involved in the defense. The Cowboys also welcome back star CB Terrence Newman. The Redskins won the season's first meeting in Dallas and the Cowboys certainly remember. Here comes the payback.

Take the Dallas Cowboys -1.5

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Re: Sunday Service Plays

Yankee Capper

2 Units - Ravens/Giants Under 40
2 Units - Broncos/Falcons Over 51

3 Units - Hofstra -2

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Re: Sunday Service Plays

Wunderdog

Minnesota at Denver
Pick: OVER 201.5

Minnesota has dropped seven in a row to start the 2008 campaign. It doesn't get any easier tonight against Denver at the Pepsi Center. Minnesota isn't as horrible as their record suggests however as five of the seven losses have been close with two coming in overtime. If there's a weakness on this team it's certainly on the defensive end. The T-Wolves are giving up 103.4 per game (104.7 on the road). Over their last five games Minnesota has give up 109.6 per game while scoring 104! Denver, averaging 101.7 per game at home, will certainly score early and often in this one. And, while Denver's defense has improved since the Iverson-Billups trade, it's still far from great. The Nuggets are giving up 100 per game at home. In the favorite role, the Nugges are 77-51 OVER under George Karl as in these types of games, they like feel comfortable reverting to their run-and-gun. I see this one sailing OVER the total.

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