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Tuesday Service Plays

Re: Tuesday Service Plays

Info Plays

3* on New York Knicks +4.5

Reasons why the Knicks cover the spread Tuesday:

1.) The Spurs are now without Manu Ginobli and Tony Parker. Although Tim Duncan is still a solid big man, the Spurs cannot win without Ginobli and Parker on the floor. The Knicks should be the favorite tonight against a Spurs’ team that just 1-4 on the season.

2.) The Knicks are finally playing solid basketball this season under new head coach Mike D’Antoni. New York is off to a 4-2 start after handing the Utah Jazz their first loss of the season in a 107-99 victory on Sunday. The Knicks are actually having fun again with the up-tempo style D’Antoni has brought to the table. This is the kind of style that the Spurs don’t have an answer for. Ginobli and Parker could run the floor for easy baskets, and they could also defend in transition. The Knicks will be able to exploit this weakness and get up and down the floor for easy baskets all game long.

3.) System Play. We’ll Play Against - Home teams (SAN ANTONIO) - good shooting team from last season - made >=45.5% of their shot attempts, in non-conference games. This is a 47-21 ATS System hitting 69.1% over the last 5 seasons. San Antonio is 0-3 at home this season, scoring just 87.3 PPG and shooting only 43% from the field. Don’t expect the Spurs to shoot any better from the field tonight as this team is clearly lost out on the court without their floor general in Tony Parker running the offense. He could create easy shots for teammates, but don’t expect anything to come easy for the Spurs tonight. Bet the Knicks on the road.

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Re: Tuesday Service Plays

Jack Jones

Atlanta Hawks vs. Chicago Bulls
Play: Chicago Bulls -3½

One of the reasons the line is so low on this game is Atlanta's 5-0 SU mark overall and their 3-0 record on the road, but don't forget the Bulls are 3-1 SU and ATS on their home floor. Atlanta is plying tough defense in allowing opponents to score just 85.8 ppg on the year, but the Bulls have averaged 100.2 ppg at home this season. Atlanta is just 1-11 ATS on the road where the total is between 185 and 189.5 points the last two seasons and 14-26 ATS as a road underdog the last two years. Chicago is 53-33 ATS the last ten years against the Southeast division. Injuries are playing a big role in this game and that's one of the reasons this is a free pick and not one of our more confident premium picks on the night. Drew Gooden is questionable and Kirk Heinrich is out for the Bulls, while Josh Smith will miss the next few weeks for Atlanta with a left ankle sprain. Atlanta has lost seven straight in Chicago and we see that going to eight tonight.

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Re: Tuesday Service Plays

Black Widow Sports

1* on Jazz/76ers Under 190

This is a showdown between two teams that do not run the floor, yet rely on solid half court offense/defense to win games.  The Jazz lost their ability to push the ball up the court when Deron Williams went down with an ankle injury before the season.  He is still out for tonight’s game and will not return for about a week.  The 76ers brought in Elton Brand to improve their post offense and defense.  Both teams have been solid defensively this season, with the giving up 91.0 points per game on the season and 90.0 point per game on the road, while the 76ers are yielding just 95.3 points per game on the season and 91.0 points per game at home.  The UNDER is 5-1 in the 76ers’ six games this season, and the UNDER is 4-2 in the Jazz’ six contests as well.  Philly is 17-7 UNDER (+9.3 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.  Utah is 25-13 UNDER (+10.7 Units) versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting <=24 free throws/game over the last 2 seasons.  The 76ers are 24-13 UNDER (+9.7 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.  Defense prevails tonight with neither team scoring more than 95 points in this one.  Take the UNDER 190 points

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Re: Tuesday Service Plays

Black Magic Sports

1 Unit on L.A. Lakers -5.5

The L.A. Lakers are 5-0 this season, winning their games by an average of 22.4 points/game.  The Lakers are the real deal this season, and there have been talks in the clubhouse about setting the NBA record for most wins in the season.  If there was one team that could accomplish this feat, it would be the 2008-09 L.A. Lakers.  This team is stacked from top to bottom, playing a 10-deep roster.   What’s sick is that Lamar Odom is now coming off the bench, and their second unit isn’t giving in one bit.  A key in this game will be that F Josh Howard is Doubtful to play tonight for the Mavericks with a wrist injury he suffered in a 105-108 loss to Denver.  He didn’t play in the team’s following game, a 103-92 loss to the L.A. Clippers as the Mavericks handed the Clipps their first win of the season.  Dallas has looked terrible at home this season, losing to Cleveland 100-81 and to Houston 112-102.  This was the same Rockets’ team that the Lakers beat 111-82 just two days ago on Sunday, for a 29-point beat down.  The Mavericks are overmatched in every phase of this game.  Even is Dallas gets 30 points out of Dirk, I still see the Mavericks losing by double-digits.  The Lakers are 22-5 ATS versus up-tempo teams averaging 83 or more shots/game over the last 2 seasons.  The Lakers are 24-9 ATS in road games after scoring 110 points or more over the last 3 seasons.  The Lakers have been able to do whatever they want offensively, and the Mavericks won’t be able to stop the combo of Bynum and Gasol inside.  Then there’s Kobe Bryant, who has recently posted 52 and 62-point efforts against the Mavericks.  Dallas might not even make the playoffs this season, and with 10-point and 19-point home losses already by the Mavs to start he season, nothing leads me to believe they can even keep this game close.  Cash in with the Lakers as the favorite.

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