Tuesday Service Plays

Re: Tuesday Service Plays

Karl Garrett

Denver -3' at CHARLOTTE

Tonight in the association, I will lay the small number with the visiting Nuggets as they take on the Bobcats.

Plenty of North Carolina ties here, as George Karl and Larry Brown go way back, but the difference tonight is going to be the play of newly aquired guard Chauncey Billups, as I like this trade an awful lot for Denver.

The Nuggets seem to like it as well, as Denver has won and covered its last pair of games, and also won the last meeting with Charlotte last February.

The Bobcats are off a home loss to Toronto by double-digits, as Charlotte has now dropped 3 of its last 4.

Coach Brown has publically acknowledged that his team is a work in progress, and quite frankly, the Nuggets are the better team, and will get the result they are looking for in this road game.

Take Denver minus the points.

2♦ DENVER

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Re: Tuesday Service Plays

Sports Gambling Hotline

Utah at PHILADELPHIA -5

We are going to lay the home wood with the 76ers tonight, as they take on a banged-up Utah Jazz team.

The Jazz are still without guard Deron Williams, and now both Okur, and Harpering are injured. Not surprisingly, the Jazz dropped their first game of the season on Sunday at the New York Knicks.

We expect the combination of the road, and the injuries to catch up to Utah once again tonight. Philadelphia comes back home off a pair of losses at Miami, and Orlando, but the 76ers do own a two game home winning streak. Both Sixers wins have come by double digits, as Philly has been able to crush both New York, and Sacramento over their last two home games.

Utah did sweep last year's season series, but we don't see them being able to come up with the win tonight in the City of Brotherly Love.

Play on Phladelphia minus the points to hand the banged up Jazz another loss both straight up, and against the spread.

2♦ PHILADELPHIA

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Re: Tuesday Service Plays

Priceless Picks

1 Unit on Sacramento Kings +7.5

Since starting 0-4 with their first four games on the road, the Kings have been cleaning up with a 3-0 mark in its last 3 games.  The Pistons are still trying to build chemistry with Allen Iverson and they will likely struggle for a bit until they are able to do so.  The Kings are 3-0 SU and ATS at home this season and 2-0 SU and ATS in its last 2 home games with Detroit .  In fact, Sac has won 10 of its last 11 home games against the Pistons.  Take the points tonight.

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Re: Tuesday Service Plays

Mr A

Ball State at Miami (Ohio)   

The unbeaten Ball State Cardinals will easily outscore the struggling Miami-Ohio Redhawks. The Cardinals' offense is averaging 38.3 points per game and 458.4 yards. Junior quarterback Nate Davis and squad will have a field day against the Redhawks' defense.

Ball State Cardinals -19½

NBA

Utah Jazz +5
Atlanta Hawks +3½

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Re: Tuesday Service Plays

Johnny Guild

Ball State Cardinals at Miami-Ohio Redhawks

Ball State Cardinals have conquered their first nine challengers by an average of 24 points per game. Expect the Cardinals’ offense and their sharp quarterback Nate Davis to traumatize the Redhawks’ defense. The plummeting RedHawks have not beaten a Top 25 team since 2003. To boot, the road team in this series has covered the spread in the last five clashes, 8-2 ATS in the last 10.

Ball State Cardinals -19.5


Los Angeles Lakers at Dallas Mavericks

Los Angeles Lakers have won the last three meetings and 16 of their last 25 at Dallas. Look for the surging Lakers to take their sixth straight win tonight when they square off with the struggling Mavericks at American Airlines Center. Dallas has lost its last two games and games and three of their last four.

Los Angeles Lakers -5.5

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Re: Tuesday Service Plays

Stephen Nover

Minnesota Timberwolves @ Golden State Warriors
PICK: Minnesota Timberwolves

Minnesota coach Randy Wittman is shaking his club up starting Sebastian Telfair at point guard and benching Randy Foye.

Maybe that will jump start the Wolves. I'm not a big fan of Telfair, but look at who has become Golden State's main ball handler - Stephen Jackson. Now Jackson is a proficient scorer, but you know things aren't going well for your team when he's your de facto point guard and being counted on for team leadership.

The Warriors are the youngest team in the NBA. They are searching for an identity and go-to guys with Baron Davis gone to the Clippers and Monta Ellils injured.

Making matters worse for Golden State is constant front-office distractions and trade rumors swirling around forward Al Harrington, who remains out for this game.

Golden State probably gets back swingman Corey Maggette. But his minutes will be reduced since he's off a hamstring injury that has sidelined him for the past two games.

The Warriors are 9-24 against the number in their last 33 games versus Western Conference clubs. They have a poor history, too, getting up for weaker teams covering just eight of their past 28 home games versus teams with a losing road mark.

Do I like the Timberwolves? No. But I like the Warriors far less in this chalk role. A one-unit play on Minnesota. 

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Re: Tuesday Service Plays

Doc's Sports

Milwaukee Bucks @ Cleveland Cavaliers
PICK: Milwaukee Bucks

The Bucks have won three of the last five meetings straight up and they have covered in all five of those contests (one of the SU losses was in OT). So we have a history in the series where the dog plays real tough against this team. Milwaukee comes into this game at 3-4 but they have been very competitive and all their games and their biggest loss was in Boston by 12 points. The Cavs have been playing pretty well but even their last two wins were close. We don’t think this is a live dog that can win straight up but when you are getting this many points a blowout is the only way you can lose and the Bucks have shown the ability to hang around in games all season and we think they will keep this one within double digits.

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Re: Tuesday Service Plays

GREG SHAKER

New York Knicks at San Antonio Spurs
Play: Knicks +4

A combination of Age, and not having the services of Parker and Ginobili until early December has the Spurs reeling here in the early going. They do not have the scoring punch, the ball handling ability, nor the D to compete well right now. The fact is, San Antonio has always been known for their great defensive skills, but find themselves right now way toward the worst end of the league This line is based on reputation only and NBA Teams are having fun beating a team that has made their life miserable for a very long time. New York has dropped 6 straight and 12 of 13 verses San Antonio but this team is playing very well right now and the guard matchups tonight are highly in their favor. They are playing with a lot of confidence and they should be able to score points in this one. The Total line of 195 is indicative of just how poorly SA is playing right now. That is an uncommon number for this team here at home. I am going to grab these points tonight.

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Re: Tuesday Service Plays

Ben Burns

Game: Atlanta Hawks at Chicago Bulls
Prediction: Under

The 'under' is a perfect 4-0 the last four times that the Hawks traveled to Chicago. Those games had scores of 94-86, 106-81, 90-78 and 103-94. That's an average combined score of 183. The 'under' is 4-1 in Atlanta's five games this season, including 3-0 on the road. Those three games had an average score of only 174.7. Consider the UNDER

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Re: Tuesday Service Plays

Michael Cannon

LA Lakers -6 at DALLAS

Take the Lakers tonight on the road over the Mavericks.

Dallas is a shell of its former self, and Dirk and company don’t have what it takes anymore to compete with the Lakers frontcourt of Pau Gasol, Andrew Bynum and Lamar Odom.

If that wasn’t bad enough for Dallas, they have to deal with Kobe and a Lakers team that is off to a 5-0 start, with four of those wins coming by double digits. 

The Lakers have scored at least 104 points in four straight and is winning by an average margin of 23 points per game.

Dallas is off to a 2-4 start and has dropped its first two home games by double digits.  This is an aging team that has not made any significant additions to its lineup, other than making it older with the acquisition of Jason Kidd last year. 

Take the Lakers as they get it done in Big D.

3♦ LA LAKERS

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Re: Tuesday Service Plays

Larry Ness

SAN -4.5 vs NYK

San Antonio entered the season knowing Manu Ginobili (last year's leading scorer) would miss the first month or so following off-season ankle surgery. The Spurs lost their first three games of the new season but then rode Tony Parker's 55 points to a 129-125 double-OT win at Minnesota. However, Parker went down with a severe ankle sprain last Friday, as the Spurs fell to 1-4 (0-5 ATS) with a 99-83 home loss to the Heat. Parker will be out for at least a month, leaving only Time Duncan from the trio which led San Antonio to three titles in six years. The Knicks have been in a "deep funk" these last few seasons and bravely, Mike D'Antoni decided to accept the challenge after being forced out at Phoenix. One must applaud the job he's done so far, as the Knicks enter this game 4-2 after Sunday's impressive 107-99 win Sunday at MSG over the Jazz (Utah entered 5-0). Randolph (19.8-11.5) and Crawford (19.2) lead six players scoring in double figures and while PG Chris Duhon (8.2-6.7 APG) is not one of that group, the former Bull has fit in nicely. Marbury's been inactive and Curry has yet to play (is he really hurt?), as the new-look Knicks are off to a surprising start. Now I realize this isn't the "Spurs of old," but the Knicks (while greatly improved), are still a "work in progress." I'll remind everyone that the Knicks have lost six straight to the Spurs (have not scored more than 96 points in any loss) and nine of 10 to them since last winning game in San Antnoio (March 18, 2003). The Spurs were 12 1/2-point favorites here in San Antonio last year when hosting the Knicks and I'll lay the relatively 'cheap' number tonight. Take the Spurs.

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Re: Tuesday Service Plays

VictoriousPlay

New York @ San Antonio

Curious game today with a New York team coming of a three straight winning streak while San Antonio, without Ginobili and now Tony Parker, has a record of 1-4 since the season started. We all know that New York is an offensive team that can score around 100 points in every game but will San Antonio be able to outscore them without both Parker and Ginobili? We believe they can. In today’s game we expect to see a close but fast game, with both teams reaching 100 points. Due to this factor we believe the best play is definitely the Over.
Recommendation: 1* Over 196

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Re: Tuesday Service Plays

Andre Gomes

SAN -4 vs NYK

First of all, no matter what the result ends up being, I won't regret in making this play, even if the Spurs get blown out today. Every factor points to a big edge of the Spurs tonight and I'm not buying the hysteric wave of fading the Spurs no matter what.

My analysis are based especially in three factors: spots, matchup analysis and emotional factors and I see an edge for the Spurs in all these three factors. The Spurs lost Tony Parker and the game against Miami by 83-99 and they will now host the red hot Knicks and typically on sports, the spot of a team playing an home game after having lost an game as a home favorite is always powerful. That's the case of the Spurs today and a good example of how powerful can this spot be involves the... Knicks! The Sixers lost at home against Toronto as an home favorite and then they hosted the Knicks and slaughtered them by 116-87!

The Spurs weren't able to adjust themselves after losing Parker during the game against Miami, which was extremely hard to be done, but the team had exactly what they needed for this game: they haven't played since last Friday and Popovich obviously took advantage of these days to adjust the team to this new situation. On the other side, the Knicks are coming to this game in a classic spot of a letdown. They have won their last 3 games, including an upset win at home against Utah on their last game. They will now play on the West and the risk of a collapse is huge.

Also for this game, the Spurs will be benefited for the wild style of the Knicks, as we all know the Spurs are very strong against run and gun teams and the fact that they won't need to play with an organized offense will help them. Basically they will just need to take advantage of the turnovers of the Knicks and play good defense. And defense has been the most used word by Pop in the last few days:

"If we don't play good defense, it doesn't matter if we score or not," said Popovich, whose team is 1-4 for the first time in his 11-plus seasons. "We're not going to score 110 points a game, so we have to keep people in the 80s or low 90s for wins. That's how we've done it every year."

Even Duncan has referred that:

"Even if Manu and Tony were healthy, we can't continue to play the defense we have been," Tim Duncan said. "We're going to try to get back to the old Spurs ways, where we keep the games in the 80s."

And that's a key factor for this game. Why? Well, the Knicks are 4-0 this season when they score 100 points or more, but 0-2 when they score less than 100 points. As any run and gun team, the Knicks depend from their shooting percentages and today I expect the Spurs to be extremely focused on defense. For San Antonio, it won't be hard for them to score against the Knicks, it seems almost ridiculous but the Knicks during this 3 game winning streak has allowed their opponents to shoot an average of 50.6% FG!!! Now I ask: if the Knicks aren't efficient on the offense, can they still be competitive even when they can't defend? I don't think so.

At last, we have a psychological factor: Popovich owns D'Antoni and his teams and even a run and gun top team like the Suns never had success against the Spurs. Come to this, I think the Spurs are being underrated today and so I'll take them in here. Take San Antonio.

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Re: Tuesday Service Plays

Rocketman

IUPUI vs Northeastern 
Play:1* Northeastern -6 1/2

Jaguars are 2-5-2 ATS in their last 9 neutral site games. Northeastern is 22-12 ATS last 34 games as a favorite. IUPUI is 0-3 ATS last 3 after an away game.  My power ratings has Northeastern to win this game by 10.27 points. We'll recommend a small play on Northeastern today!

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Re: Tuesday Service Plays

Yankee Capper

3 Units - Pittsburgh Penguins +165

3 Units - Philadelphia 76ers -3.5

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Re: Tuesday Service Plays

Matt Foust

Ball St. -18.5

Tonight ESPN2 gives us anther MAC match-up, this time between Ball State and the Miami, OH Red Hawks. The Cardinals are favored on the road anywhere from -18.5 to -20.5, and for good reason. We are taking Ball State -18.5 in tonight’s stand alone game.

Ball State, sitting at 9-0, has dominated the MAC this year. The Cardinals are known for their offense prowess, averaging 38.3 points per game on the season, but it is their defense that really makes them superior. Ball State has held their opposition to an average of 15.3 points per game and they shut down a quality Northern Illinois unit last week, limiting them to just 14 points. They will do the same this evening against the Red Hawks who have struggled to score points all year.

The Red Hawks are 2-7 on the season and just 1-3 at home (their lone win coming against FCS school Charleston Southern). Their three losses came against Vanderbilt and conference foes Temple and Kent State. The average margin of loss for the Red Hawks at Fred C. Yager Stadium this season is 24 points.

Ball State can hurt opponents in many ways, but their ground game sets things up well for quarterback Nate Davis (19 TD’s, 5 INT). The Cardinals average 194.1 yards per game on the ground and Miami, OH yields 178 per to opposing rushing attacks. MiQuale Lewis (5.8 ypc on the year) will have a field day against the Red Hawk front and Davis will take care of the rest. Additionally, Ball State’s rushing ability often puts them in third and short situations and they excel at converting (51%) while the Red Hawks defense has difficulty getting offenses off the field (45% third downs conversions allowed).

This game is a mismatch in almost everyway, right down to the turnovers. Ball State is +6 in turnovers on the road and Miami, OH is -10 at home. This thing has route written all over it.

Things to consider: Ball State is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 as a road favorite. Miami (OH) is 3-6-1 ATS in their last 10 as a home dog. Ball State is 3-0 ATS the last four years when coming off a two game home stand.

Take Ball State -18.5

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Re: Tuesday Service Plays

Ted Sevransky

Atlanta Hawks @ Chicago Bulls 
PICK: Atlanta Hawks

Two weeks into the young season, there’s a lot to be said for the concept of strength of schedule. With most teams in the NBA having played five or six games, a quick look at the standings won’t tell us much. Atlanta is 5-0; Chicago is 3-4; no big deal, necessarily – until we start to look at the teams that Chicago has been losing to, and the teams that the Hawks have been beating.

The Bulls have three wins. They beat a last-place-contending Bucks squad; a worst-team-in-the-NBA contending Memphis Grizzlies and a Phoenix Suns team playing their third game in four nights on the road without Shaq. The Bulls have lost all four games that they’ve played against opposing teams with a winning record, including a home loss to the Cavs in their last outing.

Atlanta is perfect on the road, and they’ve been beating quality squads, including impressive upset wins at New Orleans and at Orlando. Even without defensive stopper Josh Smith in the lineup on Saturday, the Hawks came through with a brilliant defensive game, winning despite shooting only 37% from the floor. Head coach Mike Woodson: “These guys tasted a little success last season when we got in the playoffs against the Celtics, and they know what that feeling is like. And they want to get back.” Expect them to continue their winning ways at the United Center this evening. Take Atlanta.

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Re: Tuesday Service Plays

Scott Rickenbach

Toronto Maple Leafs @ Calgary Flames
PICK: Calgary Flames

The Flames are a pricier favorite than what I prefer to use as a “pay play” but there is still value with Calgary in this spot and, at what is truly a fair price that’s why you’re reading about them here! Calgary is catching a Maple Leafs club off of a huge win as Toronto beat Montreal 6 to 3 on Saturday. That will leave the Leafs a little flat here and note that they had lost three straight games prior to that win. They’re facing a Flames team that is very fired up and very hungry for this game. Calgary is coming off of a disappointing two game road trip where they lost the two games by a combined score of 9 to 2. Calgary was in a very tough spot there though as the two road games were back to back and they were part of a stretch where it was three games in four nights for the Flames. Now Calgary has the benefit of having had a day off yesterday and they will also enjoy being back on home ice where they scored 7 goals and won their most recent game in a wild one. Look for a focused effort from the Flames to cut down on the shaky defense and goaltending that has hampered them recently. They’re catching the Leafs at a good time as Toronto will take awhile to come down off the high of beating Montreal and, as a result, the Maple Leafs will struggle to focus on the task at hand tonight. This is why the Flames, in a very fair price range tonight, are at least “worth a look” as a small play on Tuesday. This one is all about the scheduling advantages as well as the fact that, with the Flames off a loss and the Rangers off a win, the hungrier team is definitely the home team in this one!

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Re: Tuesday Service Plays

Jay Todd

Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Golden State Warriors
Play: Golden State Warriors -5½

Minnesota enters this game on a five game losing streak. Do not expect things to get any better as they take on the high scoring Warriors. Minnesota is allowing 115.7 points per game over their last three. This is great news for Golden State, who averages 101 points per game on the season.

Golden state has five players scoring in double figures, three of which average over 17 a game. The Timberwolves will have trouble defending all of the Warriors’ weapons. We all know about Stephen Jackson, who is averaging 22 points per game, but the real surprise for Golden State has been the play of Andris Biedrins. Biedrins will be the key factor in this game. He is averaging 17 points and 14 rebounds. Biedrins can play inside and out and Minnesota will have no one that can match up with him.

Golden State has struggled on defense so far this season, but that is going to change in this game. Minnesota has only score over 100 twice this season, one of which came in overtime. The Warriors will be able to do enough defensively to help them cover this spread.

Golden State will get back to their winning ways on their home court, where they have been outstanding over the past couple of years. Play Golden State -5.5 over Minnesota.

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Re: Tuesday Service Plays

Mr. East

Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Golden State Warriors
Play: Under 206

I'm a firm believer, that most of the time, the home team dictates tempo in the NBA, and one of the most blatant examples to verify that is the Golden St. warriors. Coach nelson has one agenda, and that is to run, and then run some more. So how has that translated at home to the premise that began this write-up? the last 33 games Golden St. has taken the floor at home, the total points scored has average 223 a game. Those 33 games have seen the total finish under tonight's number, just 1 time! That is good for 97% against this number. that has been against slowdown half-court teams, run and gun teams, or teams that don't play either, but try to slow them down, but not one has succeeded. The only one that came in below tonight's total was 204, just a couple points shy. Only one way to go here, and that's under

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