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vegasflyers top 6 Sunday
Re: vegasflyers top 6 Sunday
San Francisco 49ers at Arizona Cardinals
This team is in the midst of many changes. I consider Singletary's first game, like it was his first preseason game, at least he gets a bye week to figure out his second game. Just looking at the defense, giving up 28.8 ppg. They have been out on the field longer than the offense in almost every game. They rank 19th against the rush and the pass, and fall 20th overall. They don't have a pass rush, but do employ a decent secondary that has averaged 1 interception a game, through 8 games. The 49ers are allowing 30.75 ppg. when playing a top ten offense. They have been penalized 56 times for 460 yards on defense. That is a lot of yardage to give up, and it usually puts the offense in bad field position, when holding the other team from scoring. Their special teams have not done much to make up for the mistakes on defense, and do not have a punt or kick return for a touchdown this year. Offensively, the quarterback change could help, but the line has given up 34 sacks! this year. They still have 9 fumbles rushing the ball, and only convert 30.8% of 3rd downs,so taking away O'Sullivan's interception ratio for a few games may only slow the bleeding there. Hill actually played well for a half, completing 65.2% of his passes for 173 yards, only getting sacked twice, getting a QB rating of 102.3 Since this is Hill's first full start under Singletary, there is some unknown offensive strategies here. He could gear this offense to run more to avoid lost yardage in sacks, and try to keep the Cardinal offense off the field. This really looks like his only chance to stay in this game. The offense has averaged 18.3 ppg. against top ten defenses, but that was with O'Sullivan and Nolan at the helm.
Arizona will retract the roof for the first time this year, that shouldn't slow an offense averaging 34 ppg. at home. The Cardinals are 9-2 at home since last year, and have definitely established a home field advantage. The defense has forced 7 fumbles, 4 interceptions, and has 21 sacks. They rank 9th against the rush, and 18th against the pass, and are currently ranked 13th overall. The defense is allowing an average of 17 ppg. at home. Their special teams are without two key players, Highsmith had a season ending injury last week, and Hightower who is starting in place of James. The offense has outscored opponents by 20 points or more in 4 out of the last 9 games. Warner,(104.2) QB rtg, is throwing for 303.9 ypg, has a 16-6 TD/INT ratio, and is completing 69.9% of his passes. Hightower has been a better ball carrier than James, and keeps the offense from being one dimensional, as well as keeping teams from doubling up on Boldin and Fitzgerald. Arizona won in the double revenge mode in the first week against San Francisco, but still has payback at home.
My power ratings favor the cardinals by 15.5 giving 6 points in value to the Cardinals-9.5. My power ratings are 6-3 on Monday nights.
With all the changes going on in San Francisco, there could be some dissention with the team. I can't see Singletary, or any head coach, transforming this team in two weeks. Turnovers and sacks will still plague this team until changes in the offensive line are made. This should be a statement game for Arizona on Monday Night. The Cardinals have a 3 game lead over the division and can push it to 3.5 games with 7 left to play. I can't see any let up here. My play Arizona-9.5