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SUNDAY PREMIUM SERVICE PLAYS
Re: SUNDAY PREMIUM SERVICE PLAYS
Like Baltimore as a team and I'll likely be backing them a couple times before the season is done. But not here. Houston plays their best football at home and this is a HUGE game. They had their chances at Minnesota last week and outgained then but ultimately fell short. Rosenfels will be fine here and played well last week. He gets the Baltimore D still somewhat banged up and they have big targets in the passing game (fantasy owners - TE Owens would be a strong start catching dump-offs). Baltimore is sitting cozy at 5-3 off a divisional win and traveling for the 2nd straight week. I know we'll have the better motivated team who will be laying it all on the line. Homefield can make a big difference in run defence to keep Baltimore somewhat in check. On pass defense the Texans can hold their own but big plays have killed them. I expect a focused Houston team to win by 3 or more here in a mild shocker. Take Houston -1 for a 3* Regular Play
Re: SUNDAY PREMIUM SERVICE PLAYS
Sunday Night Delight-NYG/Phi (75% FB run since Monday!)
My Sunday Night Delight is on the Phi Eagles at 8:15 ET. It's hard to argue against the Giants and their 7-1 record or against how well the team has played away from the Meadowlands these last two seasons. The Giants lost at Dallas in Week 1 of the 2007 season and have lost away from home just ONCE, since that game. New York ended the '07 campaign by winning its final 11 games away from the Meadowlands, a run which included six regular season road games, a neutral site game at London, three road playoff wins and the team's Super Bowl win over the Pats in Arizona. The Giants are 2-1 on the road in '08, meaning they have gone 13-1 SU and 12-2 ATS over their last 14 games away from the Meadowlands. That being said, I believe the Giants will have their work cut out for themselves tonight in Philadelphia. Last year's "playoff maturity" has continued this year for Eli and the Giants' running game (162.6 YPPG / 5.2 YPC) has been at or near the top (currently ranks No. 2) of the NFL all season. Burress is a 'pain' at WR but he's talented and dangerous, while Smith and Toomer give Eli receivers he can count on. TE Boss is also getting in the act the last two weeks, as seven of his 13 receptions this year have come against the Steelers and Cowboys. Then there is the Giants defense, which ranks third in YPG (260.4), fourth in PPG (16.1) and second in sacks (30). While the Giants are an excellent team, they are not invulnerable, as the Browns showed in their Week 6 MNF win (Cleveland won, 35-14 ). The Giants are off two HUGE wins, a fourth-quarter comeback win in Pittsburgh and a rout of the hated and 'wounded' Cowboys last week in the Meadowlands. The Eagles present a tough challenge as the middle game of a five-game stretch in which the Giants must host Baltimore next week and travel to the resurgent Cardinals the week after. The Eagles are 5-3 in '08 but that puts them only ahead of the 5-4 Cowboys in the brutally tough NFC East (Giants are 7-1 and 'Skins are 6-3). This is almost a "must win" for Philly, as the Eagles are already 0-2 in their division, losing 41-37 at Dallas and 23-17 at Washington. McNabb is having an excellent season (63.2 percent / 10-4 ratio / 92.0 QB rating) and with 2,178 passing yards already, is on pace to throw for a single-season career high in yards. He's accomplished that with RB Westbrook having been in and out of the lineup and for most of the year being without veteran receivers Brown and Curtis. However, they are both back now, joining rookie DeSean Jackson, who has been just terrific. Defensively, the Eagles rate as a toss-up with the Giats, allowing 280.5 YPG (5th) and 18.0 PPG (7th), while garnering 27 sacks (4th). Philly's 'D' can pressure Eli and their secondary is deep and talented. McNabb has his full compliment of receivers now and one can't over state the importance of Westbrook (a true game-changer). The Eagles are 48-20 SU in November and December games under Reid (since 2001) and add to that superb mark here, with another win. Sunday Night Delight on the Phi Eagles.
Oddsmaker's Error-NBA (first TY)
My Oddsmakers Error is on the Sac Kings at 9:05 ET. The linemakers are not adjusting to the Kings. Sacramento opened the new season with four straight road games. The Kings lost at Minnesota 98-96 in their season-opener, then got blown out in three consecutive contests (103-77, 121-103 and 125-91). The Kings 'limped' home 0-4 but got in the win column with a100-95 win over the Grizzlies and then made it two straight wins with a 121-109 win over the T-wolves on Friday. Kevin Martin began the year in a little shooting slump but he leads the team in scoring at 21.7 PPG, plus in joined in the backcourt by Salmons (17.5) and Udrih (8.3-3.8 APG). Sacramento's depth in the frontcourt is better than most think, as second-year player Spencer Hawes averages 12.7-8.0 and rookie Jason Thompson 11.7-6.0. Veteran Mikki Moore (6.0-3.3) and Shelden Williams (5.8-4.5) aren't bad, either. The real good news for the Kings came Friday, with the return of Brad Miller (12.1-7.8 for his career), who is back after a five-game suspension and immediately scored 11 points and pulled down 10 rebounds. Let's not forget that the Kings were 26-15 at home last year and will be a 'tough out' at home this year, especially against the quality of competition they are facing tonight. The Warriors are a very different team this year. The team's best player, Baron Davis, is gone, as are role players Barnes and Pietrus. Monta Ellis (20.2 PPG last year) is serving a 30-game suspension, Maggette (18.5) will miss with a hamstring problem (isn't he ALWAYS hurt?) and Al Harrington (12.4-5.6) is expected miss with a bad back and worse, a bad attitude (wants out and the team will likely oblige). The Warriors still have the talented Jackson (23.5-4.2-4.7), up and coming center Biedrins (17.5-13.5) plus another rising star in Azubuike (15.7), but they don't have enough healthy bodies (or in Harrington's case, healthy mind) to beat the under-appreciated Kings here at Arco. "The price is right." Oddsmaker's Error on the Sac Kings. ,p> Good Luck...larry