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SATURDAY PREMIUM SERVICE PLAYS
Re: SATURDAY PREMIUM SERVICE PLAYS
3 Star Selection
Philadelphia (+3) over ATLANTA
The 76ers won big for me last night, bouncing back from their opening game loss, and now the Sixers apply to a 103-40-1 ATS road underdog momentum situation that is an even better 43-10 ATS for teams that played the previous night. My ratings favor the 76ers by only 1 point and I’ll take Philadelphia in a 3-Star Best Bet at +2 ½ points or more and for 2-Stars at +2 points.
3-Stars at +2 1/2 or more, 2-Stars at +2
2 Star Selection
Miami (+3) over CHARLOTTE
Charlotte’s poor game 1 performance is not a good omen for them tonight, as the Bobcats apply to a negative 14-46-1 ATS early season indicator. My ratings favor Charlotte by 2 ½ points, so the line is fair. And I’ll take Miami in a 2-Star Best Bet at +2 points or more and for 3-Stars at +3 ½ or more.
2-Stars at +2 or more, 3-Stars at +3 1/2 or more.
2 Star Selection
Washington (+10) over DETROIT
Washington applies to a 35-9-3 ATS subset of a 72-31-3 ATS early season indicator and Detroit applies to a the Pistons apply to a negative 24-49-2 ATS early season angle. Detroit tends to let up as a big favorite and rested teams tend to take advantage of that. In fact, the Pistons are just 8-26 ATS as a regular season favorite of more than 9 points against teams with rest while Washington is 25-9 ATS as a regular season road underdog when they didn’t play the previous night. My ratings favor Detroit by 11 points, so the line is a bit low, but I like the situation enough to play the Wizards at +10 or more. I’ll take Washington in a 2-Star Best Bet at +10 points or more and for 3-Stars at +11 or more.
2-Stars at +10 or more, 3-Stars at +11 or more.
3 Star Selection
Dallas (-5) over MINESOTA
Dallas is coming off an opening game loss to a very good Rockets team but the Mavericks apply to a very good 53-7-1 ATS early season indicator. Minnesota is an improved team with Mike Miller joining a young cast with potential, but my ratings favor Dallas by 5 points, so the line is fair. I’ll take Dallas in a 3-Star Best Bet at -6 points or less, for 4-Stars at -4 or less, and for 2-Stars at -6 ½.
3-Stars at -6 or less, 4-Stars at -4 or less, 2-Stars at -6 1/2.
4 Star Selection
PHOENIX (-8) over Portland
The Suns won at San Antonio before losing at home to a very good Hornets squad on Thursday night. I’ll look for Phoenix to bounce back tonight based on a 53-7-1 ATS early season indicator that applies to the Suns. Portland is coming off an exciting 1 point win over the Spurs last night and it will be tough for them to be ready for Steve Nash and the Suns tonight. Nash has a history of exploiting unrested teams and the Suns are 32-15 ATS with Nash in the lineup when not favored by more than 9 points against a team that played the previous night. My ratings favor the Suns by 9 points, so there is a bit of line value to go with the great situation. I’ll take Phoenix in a 4-Star Best Bet at -8 points or less and for 3-Stars from -8 ½ to -9 ½ points (2-Stars at -10).
4-Stars at -8 or less, 3-Stars from -8 1/2 to -9 1/2 and 2-Stars at -10.