SATURDAY PREMIUM SERVICE PLAYS
Re: SATURDAY PREMIUM SERVICE PLAYS
Iowa +2.5 - 6 units
Illinois has four wins this season. They beat FCS Eastern Illinois. They barely hung on to beat a Sun Belt Conference team, Louisiana-Lafayette, by three points. They beat Michigan. And they beat Indiana. We’re talking about three blowouts over real bottom feeders, and a fourth win by a field goal over a mid-level Sun Belt squad. Every single time Illinois has faced a solid foe:, Minnesota, Wisconsin, Penn State and Missouri – the Illini have lost by at least a touchdown.
Juice Williams and the Illini offense have had absolutely no success against the Hawkeyes defense in any recent meeting. The Illini went to the Rose Bowl last year, while Iowa finished 6-6, but Iowa beat Illinois 10-6 in last year’s game, holding Illinois under 300 total yards. That was the only game all year in which the Illini didn’t score a touchdown. It was a similar story in ’06, a 24-7 road win at Illinois from another six win Iowa squad. In ’05, the Ron Zook – Kirk Ferentz matchup worked out in Iowa’s favor once again, a 35-7 smackdown. Iowa has won five straight in this series.
Juice Williams had 98 yards passing and 43 yards rushing last year against the Hawkeyes defense. In ’06, Williams completed only nine of his 32 pass attempts against Iowa (28%) while gaining only 44 rushing yards on 17 carries. And there’s little reason to expect anything different this time around. Williams is coming off a season worst three interception showing against the Badgers, and he’s been sacked nine times in his last three starts.
Meanwhile, Iowa’s defense has been nothing short of stellar all season long, allowing a grand total of 92 points in their first eight games (11.5 ppg), with every opponent held to 22 points or less. In terms of ‘true’ numbers, the Hawkeyes rank #14 in the nation against the run and #25 against the pass, holding foes under four yards per carry and under 5.3 yards per pass attempt. This is a defense worth supporting, in sharp contrast to the Illini defense ranked 56th against the run and 57th against the pass. In all four Illinois losses, the Illini have allowed more points than Iowa has allowed all season. There’s no comparison between these two stop units – Iowa has a good one; Illinois does not.
During the Kirk Ferentz era, Iowa has consistently improved by leaps and bounds as the season has progressed. Discounting the disastrous 2006 campaign, when an injury riddled Hawkeyes squad tanked to the tune of a 1-10 ATS run during the regular season, the Hawkeyes have gone an amazing 19-6 ATS during their last five games of the regular season since 2002. This is a team worthy of support down the stretch once again in 2008. At 5-3, coming off a bye week with only one loss in Big 10 play, Iowa is still very much in play for a New Year’s Day bowl game.
Hawkeyes QB Ricky Stanzi ranks third in the Big 10 in passing efficiency rating. Star running back Shonn Greene is averaging a whopping 6.5 yards per carry; the only FBS player to open up the season with eight consecutive 100 yard rushing games. Greene is coming off a four touchdown performance in a 38-16 win against Wisconsin in his last outing; the same team that Illinois lost to by double digits last week. The Hawkeye defense has notched 14 interceptions while allowing only five touchdown passes all year. And their smashmouth offensive style is exactly the type of attack that has given the suspect Illini defense trouble all year. Wrong team favored here, in a game worthy of Big Ticket status. Big Ticket: Take Iowa.
Nebraska +22.0 - 4 units
Oklahoma does not have the defense to lay points in this spread range. Yes, the Sooners have bounced back nicely from their disappointing loss to Texas, reeling off wins against Kansas and Kansas State over the last two weeks. But the Sooners have earned those victories in spite of a rapidly declining defense that makes this pointspread range a good notch or two too high for the home favorite.
The numbers don’t lie. Oklahoma allowed 45 points and nearly 450 yards in the loss to Texas, giving up a kick return touchdown as well, while allowing the Longhorns to rush for more than six yards per carry. Against Kansas, the defense couldn’t preserve a spread covering three touchdown lead, as Todd Reesing threw for more than 300 yards as the Jayhawks hung 31 on the Sooners right here in Norman. Last week, at Kansas State, a +4 turnover differential turned a 28-28 game into a 58-35 final. Even in victory, the Sooners allowed 478 passing yards and 9.4 yards per pass attempt against the Wildcats. This is not a defense that we can trust laying points in this price range.
Nebraska head coach Bo Pelini knows Bob Stoops, serving as a co-defensive coordinator for the Sooners earlier this decade. He’ll be intimately familiar with the reason that the Sooners are just 1-4 ATS in their last five tries as home favorites of 20 or more points – an exploitable stop unit. And, unlike Oklahoma, Nebraska seems to improve week after week, a team trending upward as the season progresses, not atypical of solid teams with first year head coaches.
The Huskers most assuredly had their share of early season struggles adjusting to Pelini’s system, and rebuilding their confidence after the 2007 debacle. Over the course of the last three weeks, the Huskers have finally shown real signs of progress. First they travelled to Lubbock and took undefeated Texas Tech to overtime, while holding the Red Raiders to their lowest point total in regulation this season. Nebraska followed that impressive showing with a pair of solid double digit victories against Big 12 bottom feeders, but their defense played as well in each of those games as they’ve played in the last two years; clearly an improving unit under Pelini’s tutelage.
No, Nebraska is not going to shut Oklahoma down – expect the Sooners to approach 40+ points again this week. But the Cornhuskers offense is simply too good to get more than three touchdowns against any but the most elite level defensive teams in the country, which Oklahoma is not. Senior QB Joe Ganz has proven his mettle and maturity on the road. His 70% completion rating and 8.5 yards per pass attempt are comparable to Sam Bradford’s numbers with the Sooners. Seven different receivers have at least ten catches, while RB Marlon Lucky has been a steady force on the ground, expected to be near 100% despite a foot injury. There’s no reason to think that the Huskers can’t trade points with the Sooners from start to finish in this one, making them a clear choice as more than three touchdown underdogs. (#351) Take Nebraska.
Oregon +3.0 - 4 units
On a rainy, windy day in Berkeley, look for the Cal Bears to finally be exposed as the frauds that they are. Cal has repeatedly tanked down the stretch under Jeff Tedford in recent years. The numbers don’t lie. Ove the last four years, in the final five games of the regular season, Cal has been nothing short of dreadful: 3-17 ATS. And the Bears look primed for a fall once again this year, vastly overvalued by the betting marketplace following a series of misleading final scores and poorly played victories.
Cal’s last ‘good’ game came back on September 6th against a Washington State team that is on pace to be one of the worst teams in PAC-10 history. Since that victory, here’s what Cal has done. They got blown out at Maryland, an ugly loss. They couldn’t move the football against a hideous Colorado State defense, outgained at home by a bottom tier Mountain West team.
Cal was equally bad, if not worse, the following week against Arizona State, escaping with a ten point win against a team that has been outscored 105-30 by their other three opponents over the last month, including a 54-20 home loss to Oregon last week. Cal stunk it up at Arizona, blown out in the second half. And last week, we saw another very misleading final score in their 41-20 win over UCLA, a four point game in the fourth quarter before a litany of Bruins errors gave Cal a win on the scoreboard that appeared much easier than it actually did on the field.
Cal does not have a great defense, by any stretch of the imagination. Good power rushing teams like Michigan State and Maryland have moved the ball at will against this stop unit. Quarterback Kevin Riley has struggled mightily, just 24-54 for 309 yards in his last three outings against Colorado State, Arizona and UCLA. Following the loss of their top three pass catchers from last year’s team, Riley is still developing chemistry with the completely rebuilt receiving corps. Leading receivers Nyan Boateng and Cameron Morrah have combined for 36 catches for the entire season. The only thing Cal does well is run the football with Jahvid Best and Shane Vereen. Against a team as good as Oregon, that single unit of strength isn’t likely to be enough to carry them to a win, let alone a win by margin.
The Ducks were on their way to a #1 national ranking last year before quarterback Dennis Dixon got hurt in mid-November at Arizona. And despite a myriad of quarterback injuries and a pair of disappointing losses to quality USC and Boise State squads, this year’s Oregon team isn’t that far behind last year’s version; a legitimate Top 10-Top 15 caliber squad. The quarterback situation is settled, with Jeremiah Masoli returning from injury and Justin Roper healthy again as well, a very capable backup. Oregon’s running game with LaGarrette Blount and Jeremiah Johnson is every bit as potent as Cal’s, despite the lack of hype. In fact, the Ducks have run for more than 300 yards on five occasions already this year, and run for at least 227 yards in every game except their contest with USC. Oregon leads the nation with 30 rushing touchdowns in 2008.
Oregon has some meaningful revenge on their minds for this game. The Ducks lost at home to the Bears last year, despite winning the yardage battle by margin, thanks to a -4 turnover differential, including a potential game tying touchdown that was fumbled out of the end zone; a particularly memorable and frustrating defeat. The Ducks have won three out of four on the road this year, losing only at mighty USC, and they are in the midst of a long term 13-7 SU run on the highway since the start of the 2005 season, Given Cal’s fraudulent results and their late season track record, I’ve got no hesitation pulling the trigger on the superior team, in revenge mode, catching points. Take Oregon.
Kent +6.5 - 3 units
Last week, we cashed a ticket betting on Bowling Green in a ‘must win’ game for the Falcons to keep their bowl hopes alive. BG covered the spread for us, but they lost the game at Northern Illinois. The loss dropped Gregg Brandon’s underachieving squad to 3-5 overall; 1-3 in conference play. That essentially ended any postseason dreams for a team that had gone bowling three times in the last five years, and was hoping for some semblance of redemption in ’08 following their 63-7 blowout loss to Tulsa in last year’s GMAC Bowl.
With three conference losses and five losses overall, Bowling Green is simply playing out the string. Since their opening day win over a vulnerable Pittsburgh squad, the Falcons have just two wins, one against hapless Wyoming, the other a come-from-behind affair at Akron. Their home field edge is non-existent these days, with SU and ATS losses to 2-6 Miami-Ohio and 2-7 Eastern Michigan in their only two conference home games. BG also lost SU and ATS at Doyt Perry Stadium to Minnesota back in September; still 0-fer the season both SU and ATS at home.
Last year, when BG was a bowl team, their offense was consistently potent, averaging more than 30 points per game for the season. Quarterback Tyler Sheehan threw for over 3200 yards, completing 64% of his passes. Sheehan’s production has declined in 2008, as evidenced by the 21 passes that he threw last week, resulting in a grand total of 92 passing yards. The Falcons lack a legitimate big play receiver with Willie Geter and Freddie Barnes both sidelined; their running game is mediocre at best and the defense has been routinely torched. This is not a hard team to bet against as a home favorite this week; an over-rated team in an absolutely awful spot.
Kent was supposed to be vastly improved this year following a disappointing 3-9 injury riddled campaign last year. But things started out all wrong for the Golden Flashes, as they dropped each of their first six games against FBS competition, due to a variety of injuries and mistakes. But with a healthy Julian Edelman at quarterback and a healthy Eugene Jarvis back at running back, Kent was absolutely dominant last week, earning a 54-21 win at Miami-Ohio; the same team that beat Bowling Green at home two weeks ago. Unlike BG, Kent has some real positive momentum heading into this matchup, and their health is as good as it’s been all year.
Kent head coach Doug Martin, following the win at Miami-O: “We played like we are capable of playing today, but this is meaningless unless our guys are ready to keep going and….do it again next week.” Kent won on this field 38-3 on their last trip to BG, but lost to the Falcons as home favorites last year. In this road dominated series, look for Kent to continue their move up in the MAC East standings, while BG continues stumbling downward. Take Kent.
Re: SATURDAY PREMIUM SERVICE PLAYS
Arkansas St. +23.5 - 3 units
Alabama is coming off of their “most complete game” of the season, according to head coach Nick Saban. We’ve seen the Crimson Tide let down repeatedly following their big road wins. The Crimson Tide were outgained at home by Tulane following a big win against Clemson. They narrowly escaped with a three point win against Kentucky following their blowout in Athens against Georgia. In fact, for all the hype that their undefeated season has brought to Nick Saban and company, we’re talking about a team with a grand total of one pointspread cover in four previous tries as a home favorite this year, and that ATS win came after the sluggish showing against Tulane against a Sun Belt bottom feeder Western Kentucky. It’s surely worth noting that Western Kentucky’s offense was stymied every bit as much in losses at Michigan State, Indiana and Virginia Tech; a team that simply can’t move the football against quality competition.
Arkansas State doesn’t seem to have that problem. The Red Wolves gave Texas everything they could handle in Austin last year. They hung 27 points on Tennessee’s SEC East winning defense. This year, Arkansas State already has a SU win as 18.5 point underdogs at Texas A&M. Even discounting their amazing 83-10 win over FCS Texas Southern back in September, the Red Wolves are still averaging a whopping 6.25 yards per carry, the seventh best ‘true’ yards per carry average in the country. QB Corey Leonard has an 11:3 touchdown to interception ratio in his third year as the starter. Running backs Reggie Arnold and Derek Lawson have combined for more than 1100 rushing yards between them. Quite simply, this team should be able to move the football, even against Alabama’s dominant stop unit.
The spot here is what makes these matchup issues worthy of a wager. I’ve already written about the Crimson Tide’s strong tendency to let down following a big win, and their inability to cover pointspreads as a home favorite. To make matters even worse for Alabama here, they are in an awful sandwich spot. They blasted Tennessee in Knoxville last week and have a matchup with LSU (and a chance to clinch the SEC West title) on deck next week. How much attention do you think the Tide paid to UL-M in practice this week? If you answered ‘not much’ you’re on the same page as I am. Given Nick Saban’s 1-5 ATS mark as a double digit favorite during his tenure in Tuscaloosa, the lack of focus on UL-M is a major concern for the home team.
Meanwhile, Arkansas State is fresh and healthy, coming off a bye week. They’ve got a potent offense, capable of moving the football against the Tide. Kicker Josh Arauco has nailed 15 consecutive field goal attempts, and those field goals really add up in this pointspread range against this caliber of defense. The Red Wolves even have the nation’s leader in tackles for loss this season, playmaking junior defensive end Alex Carrington. In this spread range we don’t need an outright upset or anything close – a three touchdown defeat still cashes our ticket. Take Arkansas State.
Troy -10.0 - 3 units
If you watched your ESPN Gameplan last week, you know already that Louisiana-Monroe blew 21-0 lead against Florida Atlantic, losing on a touchdown pass with 20 seconds remaining in the contest. The loss was absolutely devastating for the banged up War Hawks, dropping them to 1-3 in conference, 2-6 overall, and ending any speculation that UL-M could bounce back for another strong finish.
Charlie Weatherbie’s squad has been pointspread gold down the stretch in each of the last two seasons, finishing a perfect 10-0 ATS in their final five games of ’06 and ’07. Yes, they covered the spread in defeat against FAU last week, but this team looks completely spent heading into their matchup against the best team in the Sun Belt. We can stick a fork in the War Hawks, because they are done.
Troy has been the class of the Sun Belt for the past three seasons. They earned a bowl victory over Rice following an eight win 2006 campaign, and just missed the return trip last year, upset at home as 16 point favorites in their season finale. And they are a perfect 4-0 in conference play already this year, including three wins by double digit margins in their three previous conference road games. Head coach Larry Blakeney recruits on a different level than the rest of his Sun Belt counterparts – Troy is the only Sun Belt school to consistently send multiple players on to the NFL.
Troy beat UL-M 24-7 last year, and that was a better, healthier and more promising Louisiana-Monroe squad than the one they’ll face this time around. Quarterback Levi Brown has stepped in to Jamie Hampton’s big shoes and played extremely well in his first few outings, including a 391 yard performance last week in his first road start. Brown has yet to throw an interception. Wide receiver Jerrel Jernigan is a big play threat in the passing game; running back DuJuan Harris leads a stable of quality backs.
But more than anything else besides the mental letdown that I expect from UL-M this week, this is a bet on the Trojans defense, an upper echelon stop unit. Troy ranks 37th in the nation in true rushing yards, despite facing Ohio State and Oklahoma State in non-conference play. UL-M ranks 119th out of 120 teams in that same category. Troy also has the vastly superior pass defense, allowing 5.6 yards per pass attempt, in comparison to the 6.4 yards per pass that Louisiana-Monroe is giving up. The price here is perfectly reasonable to support a road favorite that has been consistently winning these types of games by margin. Take Troy.
South Carolina -5.5 - 3 units
Rested home teams in conference play are certainly worth a long, hard look at this stage of the season. When their opponent is in the midst of a truly dismal slide, playing out the string for an embattled head coach already, on the first weekend of November, a long hard look at the home favorite isn’t enough – they deserve a wager.
South Carolina has the #1 statistical defense in the SEC, allowing just 256 yards per game and 4.2 yards per play. Based on ‘true’ numbers, the Gamecocks rank #13 in the nation, allowing less than 3.8 yards per carry, while their ‘true pass defense is ranked 6th in the country. That’s very bad news for the struggling Vols offense. The Vols 1-4 SEC record is no accident. They have averaged only 12 first downs and 221 yards of offense in those conference games, scoring 14 points or less five times in the last six weeks. Quarterback Nick Stephens hasn’t been a significant improvement over the benched Jonathan Crompton, with a high of 208 passing yards in his four starts. Tennessee has been unable to run the football with any level of consistency, and the receiving corps lacks playmakers. Leading receiver Lucas Taylor has a grand total of 22 catches in the Vols first eight games of the season.
To make matters even worse for Tennessee, this is already a lost season for the Vols. They’ll be playing their eighth straight week without a bye. Last week was a ‘circle the wagons’ type of game against Alabama, but any hope for a second half turnaround from Phil Fulmer’s squad ended with their 20 point home loss. Tennessee ranks 11th out of 12 teams in four key categories: scoring, total offense, rushing and third-down defense. They rank dead last in first downs and time of possession. Injuries have become a factor, with little depth to replace the injured starters due to a gradual decline in recruiting over the past three or four years. Look for physical and emotional fatigue to be a real negative factor for the Vols in this one.
South Carolina suffered a devastating three point overtime loss to Tennessee last year despite a nearly 200 yard edge in the box score, and didn’t win another game following that crushing defeat. Phil Fulmer genuinely ruined Steve Spurrier’s season last year. Now that QB’s Stephen Garcia and Chris Smelley have had two full weeks to prepare against this defense, look for the ol’ ballcoach to give Tennessee’s stout stop unit a variety of different looks to deal with, thanks to the diversity of these two quarterbacks capabilities. And with the Vols front seven defensively particularly banged up, don’t be surprise if we see the Gamecocks have some success moving the football on the ground as well, leading to a comfortable revenge victory in Columbia on Saturday Night. Take South Carolina.
Re: SATURDAY PREMIUM SERVICE PLAYS
Temple / Navy
Play: 5* Temple +7
Owls are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game. Owls are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game. Owls are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game. Owls are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game. Owls are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game. Owls are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games overall. Owls are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 vs. INDEP. Owls are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games on grass. Owls are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a SU win. Owls are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game. Midshipmen are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 vs. MAC. Owls are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings. We'll play Temple for 5 units today!
Hawaii / Utah State
Play:3* Utah State +7
Hawaii is only 1-3 SU on the road this year and are scoring only 14 points per game on the road while allowing a whopping 39.2 points per game in road games this season. Warriors are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games. Warriors are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game. Warriors are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game. Last game out Utah State played a very good game at home against a good Fresno State team losing the game by only 2 points 30-28. We'll play Utah State for 3 units today!
3* New Jersey
3* LA Lakers
Re: SATURDAY PREMIUM SERVICE PLAYS
200,000* SILLIEST LINE I HAVE EVER SEEN Plus Bonus Locks
Your winners here are on:
1. 200,000♦ Arkansas
2. 75,000♦ Syracuse
3. 50,000♦ Florida
4. 50,000♦ Navy
1. Do I really need to put analysis here for this 200,000♦ monster lock? Yes Tulsa's offense has been unreal this season as they score 50 plus ppg but for this smaller program to be laying a full touchdown on the road against an SEC school is possibly the dumbest thing I have EVER seen!
Arkansas is clearly not an elite SEC team but the Razorbacks have been a ton better of late after the first few shoddy games to the season and now look like a team that can compete with any. Auburn is certainly a team that is not playing well but going on the road and winning there was still a great victory, That last game cover at home against an Ole Miss team that won in Gainesville about a month earlier was not a terrible result either. There was no way that Houston Nutt's new team was not going to win that game and to lose by only two and grab the cash was as good as could be possibly expected.
Arkansas also hung very very tough with Florida last month but had a ridiculous beat on two late late Gator long touchdown runs in the 38-7 loss. I watched that game and it was beyond a crime for the Razorbacks to not only not cover but not be in that game throughout as Arkansas was literally the better team in the first half.
Overall Arkansas has covered three straight and ever since the beatdown to number one Texas has picked it up a whole lot. Bobby Petrino's team has been improving every game and now welcome in a Tulsa team that can score against semi bottomfeeder Conference USA teams but on the road against an SEC team is an entirely new beast.
I spit on that 8-0 Golden Hurricane record as they have not stepped it up like this. This is still the same Tulsa squad who, in their last road game, almost lost outright at SMU in the 37-31 win as the 24 or so point road chalk. Tulsa also just trailed at home at the half, 19-14, to Central Florida just six days ago before busting out in the second half.
The wrong team is laying the touchdown here, period!
2. This is not Bobby Petrino's Louisville team of the early 2000's and for them to be laying a price like this on the road is dumb! Yes the Cardinals did just have that solid upset win over South Florida but we just saw on Thursday how the Bulls are a team that is falling apart and not as good as it seemed. Matt Grothe and SF for whatever reason has just lost it and therefore the 'Ville was able to win that game in upset fashion.
Steve Kragthorpe has not been a good thing after replacing Petrino as this program is just not the same. Hunter Cantwell overall has been fairly disappointing and these guys are not worth being such a large chalk on the road at night like this, even against a Syracuse team which I admit is awful.
Louisville was badly outplayed by Kentucky to begin the season, looked awful in a ridiculously lucky win at Memphis about a month ago, trailed early on at home to MTSU 14-0 and is just not all that talented at all.
The Orangemen have a dead man walking in Coach Greg Robinson and are not good, there is no denying that at all. They were also just drilled by the same South Florida team which I ripped on in this same writeup but that was the only game that SF came to play in their last four. I don't see that as much about Syracuse as it was about the Bulls actually reaching their potential.
The Orange certainly know how to be on the wrong end of blowouts but I just really like them in this rare home night spot as they cannot get blown out in this spot. They showed they could compete against both West Virginia and Pittsburgh and I just do not see a less than talented Louisville team coming into the Carrierdome and leaving with an easy win. Brohm, Douglas, Urrutia and others are long gone and this is going to end up a tight final that could go either way. Also Scott Long is now done for the season and that clearly is not a good thing for them.
3. Stafford, Moreno and Green are great and a threesome as good as any but this spot is just too tough for Mark Richt's Bulldawgs. UGA may compete for a little while as they are a top 10 team but Florida is very possibly the best team in the nation right now with all of their insane speed and after the game last season you know the Gators will lay it all on the line here.
UGA had a great win in LSU last week but the Tigers really are not a very good team right now as we saw at the Swamp a month ago. LSU does not have a real Quarterback and it showed last week. Even with that Georgia win things will be tougher here though for them as playing back-to-back brutal SEC contests' like that is not easy at all.
Yes last season Georgia won 42-30 in the game between these teams but things were a ton different. For one, Tim Tebow was injured and shouldn't have even played in that game. I think having one rush pretty much proves that. Then you also factor in how UGA had a bye week the previous week and was able to rest and recoup for the Cocktail party. This season things could not be any more different as Tebow is healthy and ready to get revenge and it was Florida who had the laugher at home against Kentucky unlike Georgia who spent a lot of energy in Baton Rouge.
Everything, and I mean everything, is in our corner here and after 60 minutes this thing will be a double digit Gator stomping!
4. All Navy does week in and week out is win and cover. Kaipo and the fellas didn't even need to attempt a pass last week in the easier than easy win over SMU. Besides the loss at Pitt this team has not missed a beat from the Paul Johnson era. The Naval Academy continues to get no respect yet the offense just cannot be stopped by real teams and therefore leading me to believe that Temple is in a ton of trouble.
The Midshipmen won at both Wake Forest and Air Force and upset a major program in Rutgers. This team is no joke at all and to be laying basically a touchdown max at home against Temple is silly. The Owls do have Adam DiMichelle back and are obviously much improved when compared to the horrific past but on the road here against the triple option are not going to stay in this thing, no how no way.
Re: SATURDAY PREMIUM SERVICE PLAYS
100 Units OKLAHOMA (-21) over Nebraska
Prediction: Oklahoma by 35
The biggest single issue in releasing Oklahoma as a 100-unit play is the fact the Sooners (7-1) still have a chance to play for the national championship and they can showcase themselves tonight on national television. The Sooners will show every one just how good they are and you can take it to the bank Oklahoma coach Bob Stoops will show absolutely no mercy to his good friend, Nebraska coach Bo Pelini. That is just the beginning of the handicapping process in this one. My figures say there is no way Nebraska (5-3) is going to be able to keep up with the no huddle offense of Oklahoma. The Sooners run it with perfection and have used it to rip apart better teams than Nebraska this season. In breaking down the game element by element it is difficult to find any factor other than special teams where the Cornhuskers have any edge. Oklahoma is an incentive-drive team tonight and will turn all the big guns lose in a game that should be a monster blowout.
15 units LSU -26.5
5 units Tx Tech +3.5
4 units Georgia +6.5
3 units Oregon +2.5