CFL News and Notes Week 18

CFL News and Notes Week 18

CFL Betting Power Poll: Week 18
By ALEX SMART

1: Calgary Stampeders (12-5) (12-5 ATS) (LW: 1) The Stampeders locked up the Western division crown after beating the Ti-Cats 28-17 Friday night. They’re now just one win away from their first Grey Cup since 2001. RB Joffrey Reynolds racked up 141 yards from scrimmage and two total touchdowns to pace the Calgary offense. The defense forced four turnovers and recorded three sacks. The Stamps are now 7-1 in their last eight games, winning those seven games by an average of 20.4 points per game.

Next up: Home vs. British Columbia (11-6)

2: British Columbia Lions (11-6) (9-8 ATS) (LW: 3) Step right up and beat the Argos! BC joined the fun of beating up on the favorites to win the Grey Cup at the outset of the season with its 55-32 win over the weekend. The Lions aren’t going to catch Calgary for the top spot in the West, but they’ll need to beat the Stamps to have any hope of hosting Saskatchewan in the first round of the playoffs.

Next up: Away at Calgary (12-5)

3: Montreal Alouettes (11-6) (10-7 ATS) (LW: 2) Montreal must have thought it had another bye week after losing 24-23 straight up against Winnipeg in a game it was favored by double digits. QB Anthony Calvillo had arguably his worst game of the season, only throwing for 191 yards, one touchdown, and one interception. He should still have MOP honors wrapped up since he has more touchdown passes this season (43) than any quarterback has since Khari Jones threw 46 scores in 2002.

Next up: Away at Edmonton (9-8)

4: Saskatchewan Roughriders (11-6) (11-6 ATS) (LW: 4) The Riders guaranteed their spot in the Western playoffs after knocking off the Eskies 55-9. The defense picked up a whopping eight turnovers in the victory, giving Saskatchewan a good chance to defend its Grey Cup title.

Next up: Away at Toronto (4-13)

5: Edmonton Eskimos (9-8) (8-8-1 ATS) (LW: 5) Six first half turnovers by Ricky Ray ensured an Eskies cross over to the Eastern Conference playoffs. No team has ever won the Grey Cup as a cross-over team.

Next up: Home vs. Montreal (12-6)

6: Winnipeg Blue Bombers (7-10) (7-10 ATS) (LW: 6) The Bombers looked far more interested in Sunday’s rather meaningless game with the Alouettes, winning 24-23 as double-digit underdogs. With just 10 more receiving yards by Derrick Armstrong, the Bombers can become one of just two teams this year to have three different receivers log 1,000 yards. They’ll look to continue carrying momentum into the playoffs when they take on the Ti-Cats next week.

Next up: Home vs. Hamilton (3-14)

7: Hamilton Tiger-Cats (3-14) (6-11 ATS) (LW: 7) The Tabbies showed some spunk in their final game at Ivor-Wynne this season, coming back from a 27-3 deficit to give Calgary bettors a scare. QB Quinton Porter is trying to assure himself of a job in the CFL next season, and was respectable, going 18/26 for 212 yards and a touchdown. But he did lose two fumbles that ruined Hamilton’s chance of winning. It might be a lousy conclusion to another awful season in Steel town, but the Tabbies are proving that they may have something to look forward to next year.

Next up: Away at Winnipeg (6-11)

8: Toronto Argonauts (4-13) (4-12-1 ATS) (LW: 8) If you had approached a random sports fan in Toronto and told him that the Maple Leafs would have more points at the end of October than the Argonauts, he’d probably ask you what type of drugs you were on. But that’s where the lowly Argos sit, having recorded just eight points this season. The only good news for Argos fans is that they’re only subject to having to watch their pathetic squad one more time this season.

Next up: Home vs. Saskatchewan (11-6)

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Re: CFL News and Notes Week 18

SASKATCHEWAN (11 - 6) at TORONTO (4 - 13) - 10/30/2008, 7:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
SASKATCHEWAN is 3-2 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
SASKATCHEWAN is 3-2 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


Friday, October 31


MONTREAL (11 - 6) at EDMONTON (9 - 8) - 10/31/2008, 9:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
EDMONTON is 3-2 against the spread versus MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
EDMONTON is 3-2 straight up against MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


Saturday, November 1


HAMILTON (3 - 14) at WINNIPEG (7 - 10) - 11/1/2008, 2:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
WINNIPEG is 6-3 against the spread versus HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
WINNIPEG is 7-2 straight up against HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BRITISH COLUMBIA (11 - 6) at CALGARY (12 - 5) - 11/1/2008, 5:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 5-4 against the spread versus CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 5-3 straight up against CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons 

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7:30 PM SASKATCHEWAN vs. TORONTO
Saskatchewan is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Saskatchewan is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games
Toronto is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Saskatchewan
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Toronto's last 8 games when playing at home against Saskatchewan

Friday, October 31

9:00 PM MONTREAL vs. EDMONTON
Montreal is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Edmonton
Montreal is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Edmonton
Edmonton is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Edmonton's last 9 games at home

Saturday, November 1

2:00 PM HAMILTON vs. WINNIPEG
Hamilton is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Winnipeg
Hamilton is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Winnipeg
Winnipeg is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Winnipeg is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games at home

5:00 PM BRITISH COLUMBIA vs. CALGARY
British Columbia is 11-4-1 SU in its last 16 games when playing Calgary
British Columbia is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Calgary is 3-8-1 SU in its last 12 games when playing British Columbia
Calgary is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against British Columbia

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Saskatchewan (11-6) @ Toronto (4-13)--  Arognauts lost last eight games and failed to cover last five at home; they lost 28-22 in Regina in Week 5 (+5), getting outrushed 176-68- they allowed 43 ppg over last 10 games. Riders lost last three road games, scoring just 13.3 ppg, but they scored 30-55 points in winning last two games, both at home. They've thrown nine INTs in last three games. Over is 3-1 in last four Rider games.

Friday, October 31

Montreal (11-6) @ Edmonton (9-8)--Eskimos got crushed 40-4 by Als five weeks ago (+3), losing five fumbles (-5 TOs). Montreal was 31-38 for 408 yards passing. Edmonton is 2-4 in its last six games, after a 6-3 start, giving up 43-55 points in losses the last two weeks. Montreal was held under 30 points last week for just second time this season- favorite covered four of their last five road games. Over is 3-1 in Edmonton's last four games.

Saturday, November 1

Hamilton (3-14) @ Winnipeg (7-10)-- Bombers beat TiCats twice so far this season, 37-24 at home (-4.5), 25-23 in Hamilton (-1.5); they've won five of last seven games overall, are 7-4 if they hold opponent under 30 points, 0-6 if they don't. TiCats scored 30+ points in six of 17 games so far, once in last six- they're 4-4 vs spread as road underdog. Winnipeg is 4-0 against spread in its last four games when favored to win.

BCLions (11-6) @ Calgary (12-5)-- Stampeders beat BC twice this year, 28-18 in season opener at McMahon (+3), then 36-29 on road in Week 9 (+3). Lions were outgained by 162-87 yards in the two games. Calgary is 7-1 in last eight games, winning last three by 27-21-11 points; they have covered last four home games. Lions won their last four home games, are 5-0 vs spread in last five. Under is 8-2 in Lions' last ten games.

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CFL preview and predictions: Week 18
By CHARLES-ANDRÉ MARCHAND

Saskatchewan Roughriders (11-6) at Toronto Argonauts (4-13) (+9.5)

Don Matthews wants to win at least one game at the helm of the Argonauts this season, but Michael Bishop is back in town with a thirst for revenge. The Saskatchewan Roughriders are still fighting for home-field advantage in next week’s Western Division semifinal against the Lions. Although Bishop has been struggling this season, the Riders have the league’s second-leading rusher in running back Wes Cates. The Argonauts have lost their last eight games, including seven under Matthews. Saskatchewan has a 6-1 record against East teams, while the Argos have won only two of their eight games against the West. Bottom line: the Roughriders can't afford to drop this game if they hope to have another shot at the Grey Cup.

Pick: Saskatchewan 

Montreal Alouettes (11-6) at Edmonton Eskimos (9-8) (-2.5)

The Montreal Alouettes will rest star QB Anthony Calvillo, running back Avon Cobourne, slotback Kerry Watkins, linebacker Reggie Hunt and cornerback Mark Estelle for this contest. Alouettes kicker and punter, Damon Duval, stayed in Montreal because of kidney stones. On the other side, the Eskimos will start Ricky Ray although it’s not known how long coach Danny Maciocia will keep his star QB in the game. Take Edmonton because of the circumstances, but with caution. Neither team has anything to gain in this season finale.

Pick: Edmonton                                                                           

Hamilton Tiger-Cats (3-14) vs Winnipeg Blue Bombers (7-10) (-7)

The Blue Bombers have many injured players only a week away from their playoff game against Edmonton. Cornerback Willie Amos aggravated a hamstring injury last week in Montreal, DB Anthony Malbrough is nursing a groin injury and quarterbacks Kevin Glenn (thumb) and Ryan Dinwiddie (ankle) are also hurt. Running backs Joe Smith (knee) and Fred Reid (sore ribs) are also beat up entering the final stretch. Hamilton has only one win to show in eight road games this season, but bettors should keep in mind some Ti-Cat players are still trying to win spots on next year’s roster. Winnipeg wants to finish the regular season on a high note but at what cost? This is another game to handle with caution. 

Pick: Hamilton

B.C. Lions (11-6) at Calgary Stampeders (12-5) (Pick 'em)

Buck Pierce, who left last week's game against Toronto with an ankle injury, is expected to be the starting QB for British Columbia, but the Lions will have to go on without star running back Charles Roberts. His place in the lineup will be taken by Stefan Logan who returns after missing the last two weeks because of sore ribs. This is a meaningful game for the Stamps, who won’t play a significant matchup until the Western final. Go with the Lions, especially if Saskatchewan stumbles in Toronto.

Pick : B.C.

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NFL Betting: CFL Week 18 Betting Preview
By: Ron Raymond

It's the final week of the CFL regular season, and Calgary already has the West wrapped up.  Meanwhile Edmonton tries to erase an ugly loss to the Roughriders last week.

Saskatchewan (-9) at Toronto (54½)

The Argos are looking at this game as their own little Grey Cup and for some of the older players like O’Shea and Wheaton will want to go out on their sword and a win! Let’s face it, the Argos have lost 8 in a row and the Roughriders are looking to get ready for the playoffs and a good win will help their confidence.

Ron’s forecast: Saskatchewan-28 Toronto-26

Roughriders at Argonauts History: 6-7-1 (ATS) 6-8 (SU) 4-10-0 (O/U/P)

ATSCalculator.com: Saskatchewan to win by 14.95 pts and the O/U to land on 54.86.

ATSDatabase.com Stat of the Game: When Toronto plays as a 7 to 9½ Underdog, coming off a game they scored 34 points or less, the Under is 7-3-0 for the Argos in this spot since 1999.

Montreal (55½) at Edmonton (-2½)

The Alouettes will be sitting Anthony Calvillo this week and Marcus Brady will get the start for Montreal. Edmonton is coming off a 55-9 thumping by the Roughriders and will want to come out fighting to erase that painful lost. Furthermore, Montreal has never done well at Commonwealth, and they are 3-8-1 as an underdog in the month of October.

Ron’s forecast: Edmonton-30 Montreal-13

Alouettes at Eskimos History: 7-7-0 (ATS) 5-9-0 (SU) 6-8-0 (O/U/P)

ATSCalculator.com: Montreal to win by 15.04 pts and the O/U to land on 58.73.

ATSDatabase.com Stat of the Game: When any CFL team is at home vs. a non-division opponent, vs. Montreal and coming off back-to-back SU losses, the Over is 11-4-2 for the home team in this role since ’96.

Hamilton (52) at Winnipeg (-6½)

Some of the Hamilton Tiger Cats players are playing for jobs next season, so you will get a decent effort out of the Ticats this weekend. Winnipeg is coming off a nice upset special win in Montreal last weekend, so they will want to carry that energy over to this weekend and into the playoffs next week with a win. The Under is 10-1-0 for the Bombers as a home favorite in the month of October since 1997.

Ron’s forecast: Winnipeg-23 Hamilton-21

Tiger Cats at Blue Bombers History: 8-10-0 (ATS) 6-12 (SU) 7-11-0 (O/U/P)

ATSCalculator.com: Winnipeg to win by 5.06 pts and the O/U to land on 53.26.

ATSDatabase.com Stat of the Game: When Hamilton plays on the road as an underdog and coming off a three-game losing streak, the Under is 10-4-0 for the Ticats in this spot since ’96.

British Columbia (OTB) at Calgary (OTB)

There’s no line on this game because of the X factors happening in the other Western teams games and Calgary has already clinched first place in the western division. Calgary has nothing to play for this weekend and will have a first week bye in the playoffs. Pass on this game.

Ron’s forecast: BC-23 Calgary-16

Lions at Stampeders History: 11-10-0 (ATS) 9-11-1 (SU) 7-12-2 (O/U/P)

ATSCalculator.com: Calgary to win by 5.07 pts and the O/U to land on 56.69.

ATSDatabase.com Stat of the Game: The Under is 13-3-0 for the Lions after scoring 40 points or more in their last game.

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