TUESDAY PREMEIUM SERVICE PLAYS

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Brandon Lang

10 Dime Buffalo

5 Dime Houston

FREE - Cavaliers

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Jorge Gonzalez

PORTLAND at LA LAKERS Under 196

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DOC'S

3 Unit Play. Take Ohio over Buffalo

This was the year Turner Gill and company were suppose to put it all together and get back to being a contender in the MAC, but things have not gone well lately as they have lost three of their last four games. There lone victory during this time came against Army, by just three points. The Bulls have been terrible on the road losing all three games this season and playing at Peden Stadium will be no picnic. The Bobcats have owned this series going 7-3 against Buffalo and will take care of business tonight at home, as we collect big in the process as well.

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Jeff Hochman

3* Tampa Bay Lightning +124

The Lightning are playing very good defense but the offense has yet to click. As long as their playing suffocating defense the offense will soon follow. Light play on Tampa Bay!


3* Pittsburgh Penquins +155

The Sharks are not going to win every game at home this season. In fact, they tend to struggle at HP Pavilion vs. winning teams. The Penguins are one of a very short list of teams that can match the Sharks' speed, size, and skill. Pittsburgh is worth a small play at this juicy price.

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Ben Burns

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Portland


MAC Total Of The Month

Buffalo/Ohio Over

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Ron Raymond

3* Marshall +7.5

Nashville Predators +110

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ATS Lock Club

3 units Marshall
3 units Lakers

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ATS Financial

3 units Buffalo
3 units Bulls

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Dr Bob

Buffalo 24 OHIO (-1.5) 23

Ohio has now lost 3 games this season by 4 points or less and they are certainly better than their 1-6 record against Division 1A opponents suggest. However, the Bobcats suffered a couple of injuries to key offensive players, RB Donte Harden and TE Andrew Mooney, and they performed poorly on offense last week in a 10-14 loss to Temple. Harden was by far the best running back on the Ohio team, averaging 5.2 ypr and 18.3 yards per catch on 8 receptions and new top back Chris Garrett has averaged a pathetic 3.6 ypr this season. Ohio’s offense is 0.4 yards per play below average for the season, but they rate at 0.6 yppl below average without Harden, which is slightly worse than Buffalo’s 0.5 yppl below average defensive rating. The Bulls are 0.3 yppl worse than average offensively, but experienced quarterback Drew Willy takes care of the ball (only 10 interceptions the last two seasons on 611 pass attempts). Ohio is solid defensively, particularly by MAC standards, as the Bobcats have allowed just 5.3 yppl to teams that would combine to average 5.3 yppl against an average team, so they have a slightly advantage over Buffalo’s offense. My math model favors Ohio by 4 points even after accounting for the injuries to their star running back and starting tight end, but the Bobcats apply to a negative 38-81-2 ATS situation and I’ll lean slightly with Buffalo plus the points.


Houston (-7.5) 37 MARSHALL 29

Houston’s prolific offense (6.9 yards per play and 39 points per game against teams that would allow 5.9 yppl and 32 points to an average team) should score enough points against a sub-par Marshall defense to overcome a defense that rates at 0.5 yppl worse than average. Marshall’s offense is 0.5 yppl worse than average, so the Thundering Herd don’t have an advantage over the Cougars’ stop unit in this game. My math model favors Houston by 8 points in a high-scoring contest, so I’ll pass the side and lean slightly with the over (62½ points).

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Oscarxena Sports

Ohio Money Line -1.17 (3 Unit Play)

Buffalo/Ohio Over 50 1/2 Even (3 Unit Play)

The line is at Ohio -1 1/2 -1.08 so why lay the points for only a difference of .09 cents. I watched that horrible game last week between Ohio and Temple but I thought overall Ohio played pretty well and just fell apart late in the game. Ohio has only played two games at home this year and they played very well statwise in both falling to Central Michigan 31-28 and beating Division 1-AA VMI 51-31. Sure you can question their motivation tonight but playing at home in front of a ESPN audience should have them up for this one. Buffalo meanwhile is still entertaining hopes of winning the MAC East and playing in the MAC Championship game but I have not been impressed with them lately as they struggled to beat Army at home in OT and then blew a late lead in falling to Western Michigan at home in OT. James Starks for the Bulls is listed as probably tonight but is fighting turf toe which has been sidelining Darren McFadden of the Raiders lately and the depth behind him is minimal. Buffalo has played three teams close on the road but have not been performing well on the defensive side of the ball lately and I think Ohio will win this one tonight. I also believe this game will be higher scoring than people think tonight so I am playing both sides.


Marshall +7 1/2 -1.13 (3 Unit Play)

These two teams both entertain hopes still that if they win tonight they will be able to reach the Conference USA Title Game. I think we are getting some value on Marshall at home here tonight due to them losing their last three games outright and granted they did not perform well in those games but I don't believe that Houston should be laying more than a TD on the road here. Houston's best offensive lineman SirVincent Rogers has been lost for the year with a foot injury and he was up for All-Conference Honors and his loss can't be underestimated. Houston has been a road favorite twice this year and lost both of those games against the spread and Marshall is a tough place to play, especially in a game during the week. Look for the Thundering Herd to cover here tonight.

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Matt Rivers 

150,000* SPLIT SPORT 3PACK
Your winners here are on:



1. 50,000♦ Marshall

2. 50,000♦ Cavs

3. 50,000♦ Bulls





1. How can you not grab the home dog here!?!?!? Who is Houston to be laying this number!??!? Obviously Randy Moss, Chad Pennington and Byron Leftwich are not stepping on the field for Marshall but the Thundering Herd at home with a decent amount of talent will compete for sure today.



Yes Marshall has lost three in a row and has issues at Quarterback but they also had a 14-0 lead in Wisconsin earlier in the season, played a fairly competitive game against West Virginia despite losing in the end 27-3 and won as the solid dog in Southern Miss. I'm not exactly saying they're winning the National Championship in the near future and I do believe they are the inferior team here but a touchdown plus at home is too much against a sketchy Cougars outfit.



Kevin Sumlin took over for Art Briles and has his team cooking after that third straight win 10 days ago. I still say so what though as laying over a touchdown like this on the road is too much. Both teams still have aspirations of winning their division and in the end I will gladly grab this solid price.







2. I always like going against teams that win championships in their first game back the next season as the hoopla and the ring ceremonies and everything that goes along with it normally proves to be too much, ala the Heat a few seasons ago who lost by literally 50 in their first game back against the Bulls. No this does not always work as the Giants in football took care of business this season against the Redskins but a lot of these teams are just emotionally drained by the time the game begins. Plus to get a superstud in LeBron in revenge after getting eliminated last season in seven games by these same Celtics in what once again should be a grind it out defensive struggle is a deal and a half.



Cleveland is still mainly all about King James but with Mo Williams now around running the point after the trade from Milwaukee we at least have a ball handler who could take some pressure off of LeBron.



We may easily see a heinous 78-74 game where these points are just too darn much.





2. I really think the Bulls are going to be a lot better this season than the dreadful mess they turned out to be a year ago. For one Derrick Rose is an absolute baller and a total winner. The guy is a floor general and a team leader and will make everybody that much better. Add in all of the talent with Nocioni and Deng and Gordon and Hinrich and I just think these guys underachieved so much last season that they are extremely undervalued today.



The Bucks are probably a better team then they proved in terms of wins and losses a season ago with Michael Redd bombing away but they still do not rebound the ball and losing Mo Williams cannot help. Richard Jeffersonw as a nice little addition but chemistry certainly could be a bit of an issue early on and today in this spot in the Windy City I can definitely see the semi new look Bulls led by Rose win this thing going away.

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Nick Bogdanovich

Both small plays

Bufflo +2

Marshall +7.5

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Frank Patron

10000 unit lock

Houston Cougars -7.5

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Bob Balfe

Buffalo +1.5 over Ohio
Ohio's offense has been sluggish lately and they have been turning the ball over a lot. Buffalo won this meeting last year in convincing fashion. Buffalo has a bowl bid in their sights and will need to win here tonight. The talent for Buffalo has gotten even better from last year to now and they should handle Ohio the same as they did last year. Take Buffalo.

NBA Basketball
Celtics -6

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Kelso

5 units Houston Cougars

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Rocketman

Carolina / Montreal
Pla: 3* Carolina +170

Carolina is 4-0 SU and ATS at Montreal last 3 years. Hurricanes are 5-1 in their last 6 games playing on 2 days rest. Canadiens are 1-4 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record. Hurricanes are 9-0 in the last 9 meetings in Montreal. Hurricanes are 9-3 in the last 12 meetings. Road team is 14-2 in the last 16 meetings.

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JB Sports

Cleveland Cavs

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LT Profits

Atlanta Thrashers

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