MONDAY PREMIUM SERVICE PLAYS
Re: MONDAY PREMIUM SERVICE PLAYS
Colts/Titans Over 40.5
This is pretty much a must win for Indy, but without Joseph Addai it will be hard to balance out their offense. Lucky for the Colts that they have Payton Manning and Tennessee is hurting up front on their defensive line. The Titans have a huge size advantage on offense and will be going against a banged up secondary of the Colts. Look for a lot of points from Tennessee. Payton Manning will need to work his Monday Night magic and get his team in the endzone. If there is ever a guy to count on it would be him. Look for both teams to score a lot of points. Take the over.
Major League Baseball
Phillies -1.5 runs over Rays +115
Re: MONDAY PREMIUM SERVICE PLAYS
Columbus +1.14 (3 Unit Play)
Columbus has been struggling a little bit to put pucks in the net as they have only two goals in back to back losses to the NY Rangers and Minnesota and they will be without starting goaltender Pacal LeClaire for this game tonight as he sprained his ankle in the last start. They are taking on a Anaheim team that has righted their ship on this road trip by going 3-0 and will look to complete a perfect trip with a win tonight but that may be easier said than done here. The Ducks allowed 47 shots to the Canadiens on Saturday and Giguere had to basically stand on his head to save that game for Anaheim and although look ahead games may not occur that often you have to wonder if the Ducks bring their "A" game tonight as they have the Red Wings in Anaheim on Wednesday. I think Columbus will rally behind Norrena in net this evening and avenge three one goal losses to the Ducks that they suffered last year with a big win tonight.
NY Islanders +1.63 (3 Unit Play)
The Islanders are finishing off a three game homestand and have dropped the first two games and will likely be without starting goaltender Rick Dipietro as he left last game with an undisclosed injury. The Islanders have already fallen well behind the league leading Rangers and need to win tonight to get some confidence going here early in the season. Although the Islanders lost their last game to Carolina they put 60 shots on net and that tells me that they are still trying. The Rangers have gotten off to a great start but only went 3-5 against the Islanders last year and getting a big price on the home underdog Islanders was worth it for me today.
Ottawa/Buffalo Over 6 +1.24 (3 Unit Play)
These teams met eight times last year and in the last five meetings the total was set at 6 1/2 so an adjustment has been made already this season. The Sabres have been receiving outstanding goaltending from Ryan Miller so far this year but Goaliepost.com is reporting that Patrick Lalime will get the start for the Sabres tonight. The Sabres have a couple of defenseman injured for tonight's contest and I think we will see some goals here tonight. Ottawa has dropped four straight contests and should be fired up to break that losing streak here tonight. Look for goals aplenty tonight and this game goes Over the posted total.
Re: MONDAY PREMIUM SERVICE PLAYS
Cajun-Sports NFL Executive
Indianapolis Colts vs. Tennessee Titans
Prediction: 4* Indianapolis Colts +4
The Titans take the field as the only undefeated team left in the league and face a 3-3 Colts team that is struggling to find their identity this season. The Titans enter this contest off a road win over the hapless Chiefs last week while the Colts are off a terrible performance last Sunday in Green Bay .
The Titans are 6-0 both SU and ATS but they have not faced a team with a winning record this season. We know that teams that are 6-0 both SU and ATS are a money burning 1-5 ATS in Game Seven of the season including 0-5 ATS if they are favored by ten or less points.
The Colts know a thing or two about fast starts, having started 7-0 last season, 9-0 in 2006 and 13-0 in ’05, yet are off to their slowest start in four years with a 3-3 mark through six games. But a win on the road against the Titans would not only allow them to get back in the division race, it would put everyone on notice that the five-time defending AFC South champions aren’t about to give up without a fight.
The Titans are on a franchise best run of allowing 17 or fewer points in ten straight games. This would appear to be a negative for the Colts tonight but a closer look on the technical front we see that the Colts are 9-1 ATS versus teams who give up 17 or less points over the last three seasons. They are also a perfect 8-0 ATS versus teams with a winning percentage of 75% or better over the last three seasons.
Tennessee’s fourth ranked rushing offense averages 153.8 yards per game and will face an Indy defensive unit that ranks 29th in the league against the run. Another facet of the Titans game that appears to be a negative for the Colts but we know that the Colts are 6-0 ATS versus good rushing teams averaging 4.5 or more rushing yards per carry.
The Titans rushed for 332 yards last week in their 34-10 win over the Kansas City Chiefs last week. We have an NFL Power System that tells us to Play AGAINST a favorite of more than 3 points off rushing for 280+ yards in its last game, 12-0 ATS since 1989.
Data base research has uncovered two more active NFL Systems for tonight’s contest. In Weeks 3-10, play ON a Monday team with a TOTAL of 45 points or less off a road favorite/pick ‘em SU loss of 8+ points last week vs. an opponent not off a shutout SU win in its last game, 17-0 ATS since 1983. Play ON a Monday team with a TOTAL of 38-52 points off a road SU loss of 13+ points last week vs. an opponent off a SU win of 7+ points, scoring less than 45 points in its last game, 17-0 ATS since 1984.
Finally our Technical Situational Report shows the Colts to be in a positive situation that says to Play ON teams in a divisional sandwich with a lower ATS Win % than their opponent and a season Interception Differential of >=-0.5, 92-22 ATS.
The Titans qualify in two negative situations that say to Play AGAINST team with a Pass Defense Rating >0.5 that surrendered <75 rushing yards and <60 total plays against in their last game are 36-133 ATS. The last situation says to Play AGAINST teams with a Passing Situation Rush Rating Against >0.5 and a below average 1st down Pass Rating For, 28-94 ATS since 1994.
With strong technical and situational support for the visitor in tonight’s match up we will back the Colts here as they keep this one close and possibly give the Titans their first loss of the season.
GRADED PREDICTION: 4* Indianapolis Colts +4
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