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THURSDAY PREMIUM SERVICE PLAYS

THURSDAY PREMIUM SERVICE PLAYS

Dave Malinsky

4* Auburn +3

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Mike Lineback

Auburn / W. Virginia Under

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Marc Lawrence

Never Lost College Football Super Pick Super Play!    

Play On: New Mexico

When the Lobos take on the Falcons at the Air Force Academy Thursday night they will do so knowing New Mexico is 12-1 ATS on the road off back-to-back ATS wins under head coach Rocky Long, including 11-0 when off a conference game. With Air Force just 1-3 ATS as a favorite this season and the Lobos riding a 4-game ATS win streak, look for New Mexico to keep Long's streak in tact tonight.

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Jeff Bonds

Double-Dime Bet

West Virginia -2.5 vs Auburn

Not willing to fall into the trap of playing the SEC against other conferences in this particular spot.  Auburn doesn't normally travel in non-conference games and they walk into a tough place to play on Thursday night.

West Virginia has won four straight over the SEC and Auburn's Tommy Tuberville is 1-2 versus the Big East in his career.

Have to love that West Virginia is 111-25-4 all-time in October home games and 46-2 since 2002 when winning the turnover battle.  With the Tigers undergoing a change in offensive identity - it leaves it wide open for a few turnovers to be created.

This isn't the Auburn and West Virginia teams that the public has been use to seeing over the past few years, but have to like one of the better home teams in America in this spot, as Auburn will wonder why its in West Virginia on Thursday night.

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King Creole

Air Force / New Mexico Over 45
1* Play on: OVER THE TOTAL

OU line in this Mountain West battle opened at 47 points. At last look, it was working it's way down to the 45 - 45.5 range. That suits us fine. Try and get in when it bottoms out. Thursday night College Football games in the MOUNTAIN WEST Conference have been a staple since the 2002 season. And these THURSDAY games have seen an average combined point total of 52.3... which is about a touchdown of value compared to tonight's line. We also note that when the game line is 4 or more points, the average total improves to 56.5.

With the Lobos SPANKING the San Diego State Aztecs by a score of 70-7 last week, I decided to do a query in the Playbook database.

In the last 6 years, College teams who scored 70 or more points the previous week have averaged a combined 67.2 PPG (15-4 O/U).

Additional value based on this week's OU line can be found in each team's YTD stats. The average NEW MEXICO LOBO game has seen 49.7 total points scored. The average AIR FORCE FALCON game has seen 49.8 total points. Both team's offenses are actually on recent upticks, as well. Last-3-game offensive averages are HIGHER than YTD comparisons. Lobos: 5-2 O/U last 7. Falcons: 4-1 O/U last 5.

Let's wrap it up with the series history. These two teams are 8-2 O/U versus each other in the last 10 meetings... and 3-1 O/U in the last 4. Average points scored: a whopping 58.6.

Final score: 31-27....

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Brandon Lang

10 Dime New Mexico
5 Dime West Virginia (Buy 1/2-point down if your book has 3, and be sure to get to only lay a field goal in this game.)

Free pick - Phils/Rays Over

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Kelso Sturgeon

Chairman’s Club

10 Units

WEST VIRGINIA (-3) over Auburn

Prediction: West Virginia by 9-10

West Virginia (4-2) will send out a healthy Pat White at quarterback tonight and that means West Virginia is going to score some points—something an Auburn team (4-3) has struggled to do in most of its games this season.


Best Bets Club

5 Units

New Mexico (+5) over AIR FORCE

Prediction: Air Force by 1-2

Both these teams have outstanding running games and excellent defenses. Air Force averages 300.1 yards per game on the ground, while New Mexico stands at 223.1 yards per outing. Bettors can look for these teams to spend the night grinding it out, playing chess all the way, and for the game to go right to the money.

MLB

5 units Devilrays -150

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Tommy Rider

West Virginia -3 vs Auburn

Some people expect this game to be close. I'm not one of those people. Auburn is an absolute mess right now. They fired their offensive coordinator, they have no quarterback and their coach is being rumored to be in line for other jobs. Other than that, things are doing great up on the Plains. I believe the team has given up on the season and will get blown out in this game. Even the defense has stopped playing. Against Arkansas, the Tigers gave up 188 yards on the ground and 416 overall. I look for the West Virginia offense - a unit that's very tough to prepare for - to run all over Auburn with Pat White and Noel Devine. Kodi Burns starts at QB for the Tigers and that's not a good thing. Burns is a terrible passer and will get eaten alive by an underrated Mountaineers defense. The spread says this should be a close game but I say WV turns out the lights on Auburn and wins easily. **2 UNIT PLAY**

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Bob Majors

Double-Dime Bet

Auburn +3 vs West Virginia

West Virgina Mountaineers host the Auburn Tiger in a Thursday evening matchup.The Tigers have a solid defense and no offense and the Mountaineers have a good offense and no defense.The Tigers are 9th in the country in scoring defense allowing 13.1 ppg.Auburn is 6-1 in Thursday night games and are on a 3 game winning streak; 18-7 ATS in their las 25 games in October; and 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games overall.The Mountaineers are 2-5 ATS in their last seven home games; 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games on turf; and 1-4 ATS in the last five games overall. They are also 0-4 ATS in the last 4four games following a bye week.I feel the defense will prevail and Auburn will keep it close. Take the generous points and run to the bank.

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Ben Burns

Double-Dime Bet

MIN / BUF Under 5.5 

These teams have both gotten off to terrific starts. That's been largely due to strong defensive play and excellent goaltending. Entering tonight's game, both teams are allowing an identical 1.7 goals per game. Buffalo goalie Ryan Miller enters tonight's game with a 1.45 goals-against average. Niklas Backstrom has been nearly as good, going 4-0 with a 1.72 GAA. Another area where the goalies have shined and another big reason for the success of these clubs has been the excellent play of their respective penalty-killing units. The Wild have yet to allow a power-play goal, successfully defending all 15 of their short-handed situations. Meanwhile, Buffalo has allowed just a single power-play goal in 29 chances. We're paying some extra juice to get 5.5 here but I feel that price is justified. The Sabres have seen the UNDER go 78-39 the last 117 times they played a road game with an over/under line of 5.5, including a 16-8 mark the last couple of seasons. During that stretch, the Wild have seen the UNDER go 20-8 when playing a home game with a total of 5.5. During the same time period, the Wild have seen the UNDER go 17-8-5 when coming off three or more consecutive victories and 10-5-2 when playing with three or more day's rest in between games. Last year's meeting did finish with six combined goals. However, the previous four meetings in this series averaged less than four goals each and they all produced five or less goals overall. The Wild are without several of last year's offensive stars and I'm expecting another relatively low-scoring affair this evening. *Blue Chip

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Beat Your Bookie

100* Play Tampa Bay -145

Tampa Bay is 40-18 in home games when the total is between 7.5 and 8 runs
Tampa Bay is 33-15 coming off 2 or more consecutive UNDER the totals
James Shields is 10-4 in home games with an ERA of 2.75

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Vegas Sports Experts

10* Take West Virginia -3 (NCAA Power Play)

West Virginia
• 14-1 SU coming off a loss against the spread
• 15-2 SU in home games the last 3 seasons
• 8-0 SU when playing in the month of October
• 17-2 SU after allowing 6 points or less in the last game


10* Take Tampa Bay -145 (Power Play)

Philadelphia
• 4-12 in road games when the total is between 8 and 8.5 runs
• Brett Myers is 3-8 in road games with an ERA of 6.21

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Winning Angle Sports

Play on West Virginia (-3) over Auburn*

West Virginia has won 8 consecutive games when playing in the month of October and they have also won 14 of the last 16 non-conference games. West Virginia has won 15 of the last 17 home games and they are only allowing 11 points a game on defense at home this season. Meanwhile, Auburn has lost 6 consecutive games against the spread.

Play on West Virginia minus the points on Thursday


Play on Air Force (-5) over New Mexico*

Air Force has won 5 consecutive home games when the total posted is between 42.5 and 49 points and they have also won 5 of the last 6 games coming off a conference road win. Air Force has won 11 of the last 15 games as a favorite and they have also won 5 oft the last 6 games vs. New Mexico at home.

Play on Air Force minus the points on Thursday

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Pro Sports Plays

Take West Virginia (-3) over Auburn
(10* Top NCAA Play)

Auburn has lost 6 consecutive games against the spread and they have also lost 10 of the last 15 games against the spread when the total posted is 42 points or less.

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Nick "BookieKiller" Parsons

Double-Dime Bet

New Mexico +5 vs Air Force

Air Force has covered four straight in this series but New Mexico did win last season's match-up straight-up to put an end to the Falcons three consecutive straight-up wins in this series. One of the key advantages for the Lobos in matching up with Air Force is that New Mexico head coach Rocky Long has great knowledge of the option. Even though the Falcons have managed to get the cover in recent meetings with the Lobos, New Mexico actually has done a good job against the Air Force option attack. Offensively, the Lobos certainly got to warm up their attack last week as they scored 70 points in totally dominating San Diego State. While New Mexico comes in off of an easy win, the Falcons barely squeaked by UNLV last week in a one-point non-covering win. Air Force did allow over 400 yards of offense last week and the key was the success of their ground game but that same option attack will not fare as well against the Lobos defense. Also, Air Force has failed to cover 6 of the last 7 times in the week before the Army game. Even though Falcons head coach denies it, the service games do mean a lot to this academy school. Also, the Lobos were able to force a lot of fumbles against the Falcons in last season's match-up and they will look to disrupt the Air Force offense in the same manner in this season's match-up. Also, last season we saw dropped passes cost the Lobos a ton of yardage through the air and yet New Mexico still hung on for the win. Additionally, the Falcons first touchdown in that game (among 31 points they scored) was truly a gift after the Lobos fumbled insider their own 20 yard line. The point being that New Mexico's defense played quite well in last season?s game and this season they have even more team speed! This has been a key to the Lobos defensive success this season and it will be a key to them once again shutting down the Falcons option attack on Thursday night. That will lead to a cover and, quite likely, an outright win for the Lobos!


COL (-143) vs EDM

Double-Dime Bet

The Avalanche lost their home opener to the Bruins on a late goal. Since that early loss they have won three of their last five even though four of those five games were on the road. Now the Avs get a chance to avenge one of those road losses as they host the Oilers. The Avalanche lost at Edmonton 3-2 on Sunday October 12th. That's the only time this season that the potent Colorado offensive attack has been held under four goals and tonight, at home, the Avalanche will do something about it! The Avs will take advantage of an Oilers club that is playing the second night of a back to back situation and that could already be looking ahead to a big battle at Vancouver on Saturday. Yes, this is also a division rival tonight but the Oilers are especially mindful of their rivals up in Western Canada the Canucks and the Flames. The problem for the Oilers is they've come out as the flatter team in recent games and have had to overcome that. In their game last night they couldn't do that against Chicago. Even if the Oilers regroup and hit the ice with a lot of emotion tonight, it?s going to be hard for them to overcome the energy that the amped-up Avs will bring to the ice tonight. Colorado is seeking revenge and they are a very tough team to beat at The Pepsi Center. Also, unlike the Oilers, Colorado is rested here as they have been off since Monday. The Oil won just 18 road games last season and the Avs won 27 games at home. Factoring that in along with the situational edges that favor Colorado here and the Avalanche are worth laying the price in this spot. Their money line is quite fair considering the situation. The Oilers special teams units have struggled in recent games, after a strong start to the season, and look for the Avalanche to take advantage of that tonight. Lay the price with Colorado!

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Greg Shaker

Double-Dime Bet

West Virginia -3 vs Auburn

It is quite unusual for me to play against an SEC School in a non-conference game but there are plenty of reasons to do just that tonight. The loss that Auburn suffered to LSU on 9/20 was a hard blow for this team and they have been in a tailspin ever sice. They have fired their offensive coordinator, Tuberville is already rumored to be looking for other coaching jobs. Focus has got to be a problem right now for them. They also have serious injuries on the defensive side of the field. That was very evident last game verses Arkansas, allowing the Hogs to score often back at home and ended the game with a negative 223 yard mark. This short week of preparation does not allow them to heal from the loss of personel and they will play one of the more prolific offenses in the country tonight. The Auburn problems do not end on defense. They have a limited QB that has thrown more INT's than TD's. We all know the problems the Tigers have scoring this year and playing a bunch of fired up Mountaineers tonight is not what the Doctor ordered. Consider this: Auburn has had serious turnover issues this year. The Home team is 46-2 last 48 games when they force more TO's than they have. Our team loves to play SEC Schools and they have won their last 4 times when doing so. Morgantown is going to be a loud and uncomfortable place to be tonight for Auburn so I will lay the 3 points.

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MATT RIVERS:



100,000♦ West Virginia

2. 50,000♦ Phillies





1. Both Auburn and West Virginia have been overly disappointing this season but both also have an upside as good as most other teams in the nation on one side of the ball. Tommy Tuberville's gang has been very very offensively challenged but boast a defense that may be second to none. Meanwhile Pat White and the extremely athletic and fast Mountaineer offense has not been as dominant as most thought they would be thanks to injuries and just flat out underachieving.



Morgantown is one of the tougher places to play in the country. Routinely teams come in there and leave limping after getting trounced. I'm not sure if Auburn's defense will get trounced as they are awesome but it is not easy at all to try and play for 60 minutes against White, Noel Devine and the ultra tricky WV offense. No doubt Bill Stewart is not a great coach and the Mounties are somewhat vulnerable overall, compared to the past few seasons with Rich Rodriguez running the show, but in college football the home field is as important as in any sport and on the road I do not see the Tigers being able to muster enough offense.



No matter how good of a defense a team has one has to still expect White and the home boys to be able to move the ball a bit and score their 20 or so points. To fully keep them down is pretty much impossible and on the other extreme I do not see Auburn being able to do that much against what is a decent enough Mountaineer defense.



Auburn just failed to score in the final three quarters in that loss at Vanderbilt and in that last game blew a big lead at home in a game they were thoroughly dominated in against what is a pretty dreadful Arkansas squad.



West Virginia has at least won three in a row, are at home where they are still perfect and are just too talented offensively to not be able to score more points than an opponent that is just brutal offensively.





2. James Shields has been great at home and the Rays are definitely no joke which they have proven all season long but a little plus money here on the Fightin' Phils is enough for me.



Longoria, Crawford, Pena and the Rays on their home fast track have been as good as any team in the game. But Charlie Manual's squad has been the best team around on the road and are not exactly going to be intimidated by a few cowbells and fake fans down at the Trop. Rollins, Utley and Howard are stars, if not full fledged superstars and Brett Myers has been great since the stint in the Minors. I'm not at all calling this a lock of my life but plus money with all of the positive factors going the way of the Phils is enough for me.

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Does anybody have Scott Farrell's hockey picks?

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jerseyguytim wrote:


Does anybody have Scott Farrell's hockey picks?

I see his premium stuff every once in awhile but not very often,thanks for the play jerseyguytim.

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Nick Bogdanovich

Medium New Mexico +5

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