WEDNESDAY PREMIUM SERVICE PLAYS

WEDNESDAY PREMIUM SERVICE PLAYS

Brandon Lang

10 Dime Phillies

20 Dime SERIES PLAY on Phillies

Free pick - Phils/Rays Over

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Larry Ness

World Series GOY 20*

Phillies

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Seabass

100* Las Vegas Steam Play

Phillies

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EZWINNERS

2 STAR: (952) TAMPA BAY (-$105) over Philadelphia
(Listing Kazmir only)
(Risking $210 to win $200)

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Drew Gordon

1. 100,000♦ Phillies

1. Phillies- First things first, do not over think this play. Cole Hamels is the best pitcher in this series, going 3-0 with a lockdown 1.23 ERA in 3 starts. Rays' Scott Kazmir, on the other hand, has been all over the place this postseason, going 1-0 with a 4.02 ERA in 3 starts. Sure, his last start against Boston was rock-solid, but the start prior, at Tropicana against the Red Sox, was anything but, allowing 5 runs in 4 1/3 innings. Fact of it is, you have to give the edge to the Phillies as far as starting pitching is concerned in Game 1, an obviously looking at the price on the contest, the oddsmakers agree.

Second, while overall the Rays may have an edge with their starting pitching in the series, there's no question the Phillies offense is more dynamic, and that includes vs left-handed starters. Rays were far less effective against southpaws this season, batting .258 against them at the Trop, averaging 4.4 runs per game. Phillies, on the other hand, while batting only .240 on the road against them (but .292 over their last 10 overall) average a hearty 5.2 runs per game against lefties away this season. Kazmir has been hittable, and that much will become clear after tonight.

Then there's the rest vs rust argument, and while there's many different ways to prove either side right, what's more important is the mind-set of this Rays club. They're coming off a draining 7-game series with the Red Sox, and while not a huge factor, I'll take the rested team versus the one that's lost 2 of their last 3 and is coming into this contest with just 2 days rest.

Finally, its tough to argue against the Phillies bullpen, which is 86-0 this year when leading after 8 innings! They've posted an impressive 1.88 ERA throughout the postseason, led by Brad Lidge (1.23 ERA this postseason). Also, relievers Madson, Durbin, and Romero have been excellent. We know we'll get 7 innings from Hamels tonight, and handing the ball off to the Majors best bullpen is a HUGE advantage for the Phillies.

Bottom line, I repeat, do not over think this Game 1 match up. Hamels is the one true stud of this World Series, and he knows (as well as most) that a win here is the key to the Phillies winning the title. Combine him with this Phillies bullpen and you've got a recipe for disaster as far as the Rays offense is concerned. True, they've been rock-solid of late, but not against lefties (batting .245 vs lefties L10 games). In the end, look for the Phillies to ride their ace to a huge Game 1 victory Wednesday night!

Take the Phillies behind Hamels over the Rays and Kazmir as your top-rated play of the day.

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Beat Your Bookie

100* Philadelphia

Philadelphia is 7-2 when playing in the month of October this season
Philadelphia is 17-7 after allowing one run or less the last game
Cole Hamels is 8-3 in road games this season with an ERA of 3.08

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Vegas Sports Experts

10* Take Philadelphia (-110) over Tampa Bay (Power Play)

Philadelphia
• 27-17 in road games when the line is between +125 to -125
• 54-35 coming off an UNDER the total
• Cole Hamels is 3-0 over the last 3 starts with an ERA of 1.23

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Bob Balfe

Phillies/Rays Under 7.5
Hamels/Kazmir

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Maddux Sports:

Tampa Bay

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RON RAYMOND

5* NHL GAME OF THE NIGHT

Chicago Blackhawks -135

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Nick "BookieKiller" Parsons

Double-Dime Bet

SJS (-135) vs PHI

When you play on a streak you only lose once. In other words, you can keep playing that same streak
situation over and over again until you lose. By doing so, you will have pocketed a lot of profits before that first loss. Its called catching a streak and timing is the key. In this case, were going to fade the last winless team in the NHL as the Flyers, although theyve played five games, are still without a win. Even though they are back home in Philadelphia, all is not good for Philly here. Theyre facing a Sharks team that they havent defeated in eight years and, while the Flyers have slumped to start the season, San Jose has been rolling. Philadelphias problems are on defense and, until they shore that up, they simply must be faded. The Flyers have allowed 22 goals in their five games this season and theyre now taking on a Sharks team that, before splitting last weekend (losing Friday, winning Saturday) had allowed a total of just four goals and had gone 4-0 to start the season! San Jose is now 5-1 on the season, after the weekend split, and this included winning Saturday 5-4 as they took down the Flyers in overtime. Now its a rematch with Philadelphia on Wednesday and the Flyers were outshot 45 to 17 in Saturdays loss. In other words, the Sharks dominated the game much more than the final score showed and it really was just the play of Flyers back-up goalie Antero Niittymaki that kept Philadelphia in the game! This has earned the Philly netminder the start again tonight but the problem is that if the Flyers netminders continue to get peppered with shots, they will still come out on the losing end most nights and thats what we expect Wednesday. San Jose was the best road team in the league last season with a 27-10-4 mark and this East Coast road trip should begin with an easy win Wednesday!

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Oscarxena Sports

Florida/Ottawa Over 5 1/2 -1.06 (3 Unit Play)

San Jose/Philadelphia Under 5 1/2 -1.10 (3 Unit Play)

Detroit/St. Louis Under 5 1/2 -1.06 (3 Unit Play)

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Rocketman

Dallas / New Jersey
Play: 3* Dallas +120

Stars are 5-2 in their last 7 vs. Atlantic. Stars are 16-7 in their last 23 games playing on 1 days rest. Devils are 3-7 in their last 10 vs. Pacific. We'll play Dallas for 3 units tonight!


San Jose / Philadelphia
Play: 3* San Jose -130

Philadelphia is 12-36 last 3 years after 3 or more consecutive losses. San Jose is 3-0 SU and ATS overall vs Philadelphia last 3 years. Sharks are 5-1 in their last 6 overall. Sharks are 4-1 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400. Sharks are 4-1 in their last 5 Wednesday games. Sharks are 22-6 in their last 28 when their opponent allows 5 goals or more in their previous game. Sharks are 10-4 in their last 14 vs. Atlantic. Sharks are 35-16-7 in their last 58 vs. Eastern Conference. Sharks are 40-19 in their last 59 vs. a team with a losing record. Sharks are 35-17 in their last 52 games following a win. Flyers are 2-5 in their last 7 vs. Western Conference. Flyers are 2-7 in their last 9 vs. Pacific. Flyers are 1-6 in their last 7 vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Flyers are 0-4 in their last 4 games playing on 3 or more days rest. Flyers are 0-6 in their last 6 overall. Sharks are 6-0-2 in the last 8 meetings. We'll play San Jose for 3 units tonight!

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Ben Burns

CHI (-135) vs EDM

The Oilers are red hot. They're off to a 4-0 start and come in well-rested, having not played since 10/18. That's not necessarily a positive though. For starters, the Oilers were a money-burning 5-9 (-5.7) the past two seasons when playing with three or more day's rest in between games. During the same stretch, despite the recent win over Calgary, they're also just 5-9 after having won three or more consecutive games. It's also worth noting that the Oilers haven't gotten off to a 5-0 start for more than 20 years. The Hawks come in off a victory over Vancouver, which was their first win under new coach Joel Quenneville. Quenneville was quoted as saying: "I liked the response. It was a real emotional loss for us (in St. Louis). Theres a big picture thats very bright here. The skill level of our kids will get better and better. But as a coach, we're in a short-term business. We want to win hockey games." Including that victory, the Hawks are now 7-1 their last eight games here and the lone loss (10/13 vs. Nashville) came in a shootout. The Hawks are also 3-1 the last four times that they were a host in this series. Look for them to build some positive momentum from Sunday's victory and hand the Oilers their first loss of the season. *Annihilator

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Scott Rickenbach    

2* (Top Play) Philadelphia Phillies Money Line (-) @ Tampa Bay

This is simply a fantastic line value to be able to get the Phillies at a pick’em price with the much stronger left-hander on the mound in Game One of the World Series so we’re kicking our level up a notch to Top Play territory here! There is simply no comparison to the way Cole Hamels has pitched for the Phillies this fall and the way that Scott Kazmir has pitched for the Rays! Yes, Kazmir bounced back and got a solid outing against Boston in Game Six of the ALCS but note what happened in that game! The Tampa Bay southpaw was staked to a 5-0 lead by the time the game reached the bottom of the third inning! That changes everything for both the hurler and the lineup he is facing. In the first two innings of the game the Red Sox got two men on in EACH inning. By the bottom of the third inning the game had already changed dramatically because Boston had a 5-0 lead. The Red Sox approach at the plate changed and Kazmir cruised from there. Don’t make the mistake of overemphasizing that start for Kazmir. That is the key point with this write-up! Prior to that start, Kazmir had allowed 11 homers in his last five outings! He’s simply not the dominant hurler that he once was and now, after facing an injury depleted Red Sox lineup that also was without the bat of Manny Ramirez, he faces arguably the most dangerous lineup in the National League!

The Phillies should pound Kazmir and, at the same time, it really shouldn’t take much run support for Hamels to get the win. The Philadelphia southpaw has arguably the most devastating change-up in all of baseball. He’s also got the numbers to show just how effective he’s been this postseason! Hamels has allowed just three earned runs on 13 hits in 22 innings of work! The Phillies have won all three of his starts and, in our opinion, his stuff is going to be much tougher for the Rays hitters to adjust to than vice versa. The Phillies lineup can, and will, catch up with a struggling Kazmir real quick. As for the fact that Rays hammered Hamels in their only shot against him, don’t be fooled. That was two and a half years ago when Hamels was a rookie and struggling. His ERA was 5.98 in July of that season before he turned things around in his rookie season. In other words, he’s a much different pitcher now and the Rays are absolutely facing one of the best in the game on Wednesday night. As for the bullpens, Tampa Bay was certainly impressive in their series win over the Red Sox but they did blow that Game Five and then struggled again before putting Game Seven away. This is in contrast with a Phillies bullpen anchored by Brad “Lights Out” Lidge and the Phils’ bullpen has not shown any signs of wearing out in the postseason. They continue to do a phenomenal job and couple that with a rock-solid lineup and a big starting pitching edge and this one easily earned Top Play status. Play Philadelphia on the money line as a Top Play selection in Game One on Wednesday night!

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Seabass

50* Philly/TB Under

50* Philly for the series

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Bob Akmens

20* Tampa Bay Rays

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Kelso

5 units Rays

Take the Rays (-140) to win World Series

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NSA

20* Phillies
10* Phi/TB Under

10* Edmonton
10* San Jose

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Bobby Esposito

5,000 Phillies

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