Wednesday Service Plays

Wednesday Service Plays

Masterbets

Bet Under 7.5

There is a lot of firepower in both batting lineups and public awareness of that fact might be the reason why the number for this game is inflated by half a run. 7.5 doesn't look that high if you don't follow baseball, but if you do then you know there is some padding to exploit here because a match-up between Hamels and Kazmir is a pitcher's duel in the making.

Hamels is the best pitcher that the Phillies have by a distance. Kazmir is his equal, and at home following his excellent effort last time out in Boston when he left with a 7-0 lead only to see his bull pen wet themselves he is on song right now.

There is a lot of excitement for this world series and rightfully so, but this game is going to be decided on the mound and will come down to a couple of fortunate hits. We'll advise a bet on the UNDER as long as the number stays at the current 7.5 combined runs.

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Stephen Nover

Philadelphia Phillies @ Tampa Bay Rays
PICK: Tampa Bay Rays

The line is around pick because of the perceived pitching advantage the Phillies are supposed to have with Cole Hamels against Scott Kazmir.

That's trumped, though, by the Rays playing at home, where Kazmir has been strong, and the Phillies being idle for seven days.

Philadelphia last played a week ago. The Phillies figure to be rusty and their timing off. We have recent history to back this up. Two years ago, Detroit had six days off before beginning World Series action against St. Louis. The Tigers lost 7-2 in Game 1 and fell to the underdog Cardinals in five games.

Last year, Colorado had a record eight days off before its World Series against Boston. The Rockies played terrible and were swept in four games.

Contrast this with the Rays, who have momentum and adrenaline that should carry over for this home matchup.

The importance of Tropicana Field can't be underestimated. The Rays have won 75 percent of their past 76 games there. This is a field with a lot of quirks that the Phillies haven't experienced.

The dome and synthetic grass are different at Tropicana Field than what the Phillies have experienced in the National League playing at Arizona and Milwaukee, which have retractable roofs. Phillies outfielders may have trouble with the numerous catwalks and scaffolding hanging from the top and the extensive lighting at Tropicana Field.

The southpaw Hamels has been brilliant in the post-season. But the Phillies are 10-7 in his road starts, 2-7 versus teams with winning records.

The Rays have proven they can defeat good lefties during the post-season, beating Jon Lester and scoring eight runs and getting 17 hits in 13 2/3 innings versus White Sox lefties Mark Buehrle and John Danks.

Kazmir has been much better when pitching at Tropicana Field. The Rays went 14-2 in Kazmir's home starts with 12 of the 16 games coming against teams with winning records. Kazmir was exceptionally sharp in his last start during Game 5 at Fenway Park, shutting out Boston for six innings while allowing just two hits and striking out seven. 

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SPORTS ADVISORS

Philadelphia (7-2) at Tampa Bay (7-4)

Having dispatched of the defending champs in a wild seven-game American League Championship Series, the Rays now take part in their first Fall Classic when they host the Phillies, who are back in the World Series for the first time since 1993. Two solid lefties will be on the mound at Tropicana Field for Game 1, with Tampa Bay’s Scott Kazmir (13-8, 3.54 ERA in 30 regular-season and postseason starts) opposing Philadelphia ace Cole Hamels (17-10, 2.92 ERA in 36 starts).

The Rays blew a 3-1 advantage to the Red Sox in the ALCS, losing 8-7 in Game 5 in Boston after having a 7-0, seventh-inning lead, then falling 4-2 at home in Game 6 on Saturday. But Tampa Bay rallied from a 1-0 deficit in Game 7 on Sunday and held off the Sox 3-1 to advance to its first World Series. Tampa defeated the White Sox 3-1 in the best-of-5 divisional round.

Philadelphia easily dispatched of the Dodgers in the National League Championship Series, prevailing in five games. The Phillies, who beat the Brewers in four games in the NLDS, have been idle since their series-clinching 5-1 victory at Los Angeles a week ago tonight, and they’re looking for their first world championship since 1980.

The Phillies are on runs of 35-16 overall, 8-3 on the road, 15-4 following a victory, 22-8 against winning teams and 13-3 after an off day. Meanwhile, the Rays are on streaks of 57-19 at Tropicana Field and 6-2 at home against southpaw starters.

These teams last faced each other in 2006, when Tampa Bay took two of three interleague games in Philadelphia. The Rays are 10-5 all time against the Phillies, including 5-1 in the last six overall and 4-0 in the last four at Tropicana Field.

Tampa Bay went 12-6 against the National League in 2008, batting .290 as a team and posting a 3.21 ERA. On the flip side, the Phillies tied the Padres for the worst interleague record this season at 3-15, batting .250 and posting a team ERA of 4.90. The Rays are on interleague streaks of 7-1 against the N.L. East, 8-3 at home and 7-0 when facing a southpaw starter, while Philadelphia is in interleague slides of 17-36 overall, 6-17 on the road and 1-4 against the A.L. East.

Hamels is 3-0 with a 1.23 ERA in three playoff starts this month, including leading the Phillies to the World Series in last Wednesday’s 5-1 win over the Dodgers. He went seven innings in that contest, giving up one run on five hits en route to being named MVP of the NLCS. Hamels has given up two earned runs or fewer in six straight starts and 12 of his last 13, and the Phillies are 8-5 during this stretch (5-1 in his last six).

Tampa Bay is 21-8 in Kazmir’s last 29 starts overall (2-1 in the playoffs) and 35-17 in his last 52 at the Trop. The southpaw is 1-0 with a 4.02 ERA in three October outings, and he had his best start in six weeks in Game 5 at Fenway Park on Thursday, scattering two hits and three walks while striking out seven in six scoreless innings. He left with a 7-0 lead before his bullpen imploded, giving up eight runs over the final three innings to lose, 8-7.

Including the postseason, Hamels is 8-3 with a 3.08 ERA in 17 road starts (Philadelphia is 10-7), while Kazmir is 9-2 with a 3.30 ERA in 16 home starts (14 of which Tampa Bay has won).

Hamels faced the Rays back on June 16, 2006, and he lasted just 3 2/3 innings, allowing six runs (five earned) on seven hits in a 10-4 home loss. The next night, Kazmir shut down Philadelphia in a 7-2 win, yielding two runs on six hits in five innings, walking three and striking out nine.

With Hamels on the mound, the under is on runs of 5-0 overall and 5-1 on Wednesdays, but the over is 5-1 in his last six interleague outings. For Kazmir, the over is on streaks of 7-1 overall and 5-1 at home.

For the Phillies, the under is on streaks of 7-3 in the playoffs, 5-2 on the road, 7-2 in interleague play and 4-1 after an off day. For the Rays, the under is on runs of 4-1 at home, 20-8-1 in interleague home games and 19-7 at home against lefty starters. However, the over is 6-2-1 in Tampa Bay’s last nine against the N.L. East.

ATS ADVANTAGE: UNDER

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Dave Cokin

PHI Phillies / TB Rays
Take Under

Great potential pitching matchup in Game One of the World Series. Cole Hamels has been lights out for the Phillies and there's nothing to indicate he won't stay that way here. Scott Kazmir relocated his slider in a superb Game Five effort against the Red Sox and when Kazmir has it all working, he's as tough as it gets. I think runs are going to be tough to come by here and I'm going with the Under.

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Jim Feist

EDM Oilers / CHI Blackhawks
Take EDM Oilers

The Edmonton Oilers look to have their best team in some time and if the start of the 2008 season is any indication, they just may have. The Oilers are out of the gate fast, going 4-0-0 with eight points in their first four games. They have used a stingy defense that has allowed just nine goals thus far. Mathieu Garon has started between the pipes in three of the four games and has just a 2.00 goals against average. Garon has turned back 94.1% of the shots he's faced. Garon is due for a day off and that could be today or it could be Thursday. If it's today, then the goaltending duties fall to 24-year old Quebec native, Jeff Drouin-Deslauriers. The rookie netminder picked up his first win of his career last Friday in a win over the Flames. Meanwhile, the Blackhawks are 2-2-2 after six games for six points. They have allowed more goals (18) than they have scored (17). New head coach Joel Quenneville picked up his first win for the Hawks last Sunday over the Canucks, 4-2. The Hawks are still trying to trade disgruntled goalie, Nikolai Khabibulin and hopefully can get some size in return for him. This Chicago team isn't very physical and has no enforcer on the club. Quenneville is a good teacher and maybe with time he can have this young team playing half way decent, but right now the Oilers are just way ahead of Chicago.

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Jimmy The Moose

Dallas Stars at New Jersey Devils
Prediction: New Jersey Devils

The Stars have lost 5 of their last 7 games. Dallas is also 2-5 in their last 7 road games. In their last 5 games following a win the Stars are 1-4. The Devils have won 4 of their last 5. In their last 7 games vs. a Western Conference team the Devils are 6-1. New Jersey is 13-5 in their last 18 home games following a road trip of seven days or more. The home team has won the last 4 meetings between the clubs. New Jersey is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings between the team's. Play on the New Jersey Devils -.

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The Gold Medal Club

Florida / Ottawa
PLAY OVER 5.5

Both teams here are looking to open it up after disappointing offensive performances. With Florida averaging 34 shots a game, its a matter of time before the bounces find there way into the net.Ottawa ranked 6th in power play conversions at 25% look to add some depth to there scoring attack, by moving Spezza to the second line.Ottawa, not happy with there 23 shot performance against the Bruins, should be able to turn up the heat on backup Florida goalie Craig Anderson, who is scheduled to start tonight!

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Chris Jordan

Boston at TAMPA BAY (-140, Series) 

So the stage is set, and as much as I would love to see my boy Shane Victorino win a World Series ring after he personally hoisted the Phillies on his shoulders in the National League playoffs, I just don't believe it's going to happen because of three glaring reasons:

Pitching, home-field advantage and Interleague play.

Let's work backward ...

The Rays were 12-6 against the senior circuit after an 11-4 run to close out interleague play. And that included a three-game sweep against the Cubs in June.

On the other hand, the Phils were a disappointing 4-11 against the American League, including a 2-7 skid against three of the best-hitting teams on the junior circuit - Boston, Texas and the Angels. And though they didn't meet this season, the Phils are a team Tampa has handled over the years with a 10-5 mark against them.

With Tampa getting to host the series to its advantage, I doubt Philadelphia will be able to steal home-field advantage; and even if it does, there's no reason to believe the Rays can't scoot up to Citizens Bank Park and steal one in Philly. Bottom line is the Rays posted the best home record in the majors, and with all the caroms off the catwalks, Tropicana Field is a strong candidate for baseball's first postseason replay.

With the type of pitching Tampa puts on the hill, an aggressive like Philadelphia could be in a lot of trouble. Seriously, who would have thought Matt Garza - a once go-against pitcher - would be named ALCS MVP? You mix in some James Shields, Andy Sonnanstine and Scott Kazmir and this is a dangerous rotation. I'd much rather have that rotation working for us, than the likes of one that includes Brett Myers and 45-year-old Jamie Moyer.

All the elements are there, and this preseason's 200-to-1 longshot is certainly in the right spot to finish the job with a World Series title.

2♦ RAYS IN THE WORLD SERIES

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O.C. Dooley

Rays +1'/-170 on the RUN LINE

One of the big stories of this World Series involves a Tampa Bay franchise who until this year had never won more than 70 games in a single campaign.  The last time we had a "worst to first scenario" like this was way back in 1991 when the Atlanta Braves came out of the ashes to make the Fall Classic.  That 1991 World Series which at the time featured a pair of non-descript small-market franchises (Atlanta, Minnesota) turned out to be a seven-game thriller where the winning (and clinching) run crossed the plate in the TENTH INNING.  In my opinion this particular World Series has a similar feel which is why I am recommending the RUN-LINE this evening in what should be a very tightly contested clash.  To give you an idea just how similar these two teams are, Tampa has baseball's best overall record, while Philadelphia has a #2 major league ranking in road victories.  Going back to that 1991 World Series, the HOME team ended up winning all 7 games, with the bulk of those contests being very close.  Since Philadelphia has ace Cole Hamels (3-0,1.23 postseason ERA) on the mound and since the bullpen has yet to blow a save after the eighth inning, I once again have decided to try tonight's side on the RUN-LINE.  For those of you into statistics, note that the Rays are a staggering 14-2 at HOME with Scott Kazmir as their starter

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SportsKingz

PHILLY / TAMPA UNDER 7.5

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Greg Shaker

Philadelphia Phillies at Tampa Bay Rays

The Phillies are not going to be anyone's favorite in this series except for Diehard National League People and those that live or are from the Philly area. That is why we are getting what may be the best pitcher in either league at such a good price. We can just throw out all of the records for these two teams in the venue that they play in. I do know that TB has been superb here at Tropicana but this is the World Series and Focus will be very good for these teams. Hamels is clearly the better thrower and he has been the better thrower down thr stretch. He has been masterful in these playoffs with 3 solid efforts and 22 innings thrown, just 3 runs allowed on a measly 13 hits. While the Phils hit lefties better than righties, the Rays do not and are batting 20 points less here at home verses them. That gap is even worse over their last 10 played. Philly has been reaching base at a much larger pace than that over their last 10 contests verses the same. This reachable front porch at this Park suits the visitors very well. That is key when you consider the following. Hamels has allowed just 3 Dingers over his last 6 games. Kazmir has allowed 11 over the same timeframe. BINGO!! In addition, the Philly Bullpen has been ON and have been limiting runners to cross the plate over the last 10 play at 1.6 per 9 innings. With the series here, pressure becomes the rule and there is much more on TB for this first game. They know that they must win or they lose the advantage. Our team will be much more loose and our team has a much better hitting posture for the first game. Beating the RedSox was a huge win for the home boys. That already means that they are supposed to swim through the next series. This Series. Vegas certainly thinks so, spotting them as the favorite to do so and doing that at a pretty high number. I do think those odds will change after game 1 is over.

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Tom Freese

San Jose Sharks at Philadelphia Flyers
Prediction: San Jose Sharks

San Jose is 22-6 vs. an opponent who allowed 5 or more goals in their last game and they are 40-19 their last 59 games vs. losing teams. The Sharks are 18-4 vs. the Atlantic Division and they are 6-0-2 their last 8 meetings with the Flyers. Philadelphia is 2-7 their last 9 games vs. Pacific Division teams and they are 1-6 vs. a team with a win percentage of over 60%. The Flyers are 0-5 this year and they are 0-4 when playing with 3 or more days of rest. PLAY ON SAN JOSE

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DUNKEL

Philadelphia at Tampa Bay
The Phillies look to steal Game One on the road behind starter Cole Hamels, who has allowed just 13 hits and three runs in 22 postseason innings.  Philadelphia is the pick (-105) according to Dunkel, which has the Phillies favored by 1.  Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-105).   

Game 951-952: Philadelphia at Tampa Bay
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Hamels) 17.437; Tampa Bay (Kazmir) 16.358
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1; 7
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-105); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-105); Under


NHL

San Jose at Philadelphia
The Flyers look for their first win of the season after benching struggling goalie Martin Biron (5.74 GAA in 3 starts).  Philadelphia is the underdog pick (+110) according to Dunkel, which has the Flyers favored straight up by 1.  Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+110).   

Game 51-52: Florida at Ottawa
Dunkel Ratings: Florida 11.979; Ottawa 11.158
Dunkel Line & Total: Florida by 1; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Ottawa (-175); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Florida (+155); Under


Game 53-54: Dallas at New Jersey
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 11.006; New Jersey 12.719
Dunkel Line & Total: New Jersey by 1 1/2; 5 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: New Jersey (-145); 5
Dunkel Pick: New Jersey (-145); Over


Game 55-56: San Jose at Philadelphia
Dunkel Ratings: San Jose 10.311; Philadelphia 11.453
Dunkel Line & Total: Philadelphia by 1; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: San Jose (-130); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+110); Under


Game 57-58: Detroit at St. Louis
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 12.692; St. Louis 11.035
Dunkel Line & Total: Detroit by 1 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Detroit (-140); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-140); Under


Game 59-60: Edmonton at Chicago
Dunkel Ratings: Edmonton 11.447; Chicago 12.742
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago (-125); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-125); Over 

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Rocketman Sports

Florida Panthers vs. Ottawa Senators
Play: Ottawa Senators     

Ottawa is 7-1 SU and ATS overall vs Florida last 3 years including 4-0 SU and ATS at home. Panthers are 1-5 in their last 6 vs. Northeast. Panthers are 1-6 in their last 7 Wednesday games. Senators are 14-5 in their last 19 games playing on 3 or more days rest. Senators are 68-33-4 in their last 105 vs. Southeast. Senators are 37-18 in their last 55 when their opponent scores 2 goals or less in their previous game. Senators are 53-26-3 in their last 82 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Panthers are 6-21 in the last 27 meetings. Panthers are 0-4 in the last 4 meetings in Ottawa. We'll recommend a small play on Ottawa tonight! 

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LT Profits

Florida Panthers @ Ottawa Senators Under 5.5

Scoring may be up in the NHL this season, but apparently, someone forgot to tell this to the Florida Panthers and the Ottawa Senators.

The Panthers are averaging a lowly 2.40 goals per game, and since scoring four goals vs. the Carolina Hurricanes on opening night, Florida has scored a grand total of eight goals in the last four games. For those of you scoring at home, that is an even 2.00 goals per game.

Now granted, the Senators are averaging 3.20 goals after five games, but this figure is skewed by one six-goal outburst vs. a defenseless Phoenix Coyotes team. Ottawa has not exceeded three goals in any of their other four games, and they may not again tonight vs. a Florida defense that has tightened up nicely in the last couple of games.

Look for both teams to continue their offensive struggles tonight.

Pick: Panthers, Senators Under 5.5

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Jeff Benton

For Wednesday take the UNDER in Game 1 of the World Series between the Rays and Phillies.

We’ve got two sensational starting pitchers going at each other tonight at Tropicana Field, with Tampa’s Scott Kazmir facing Philadelphia’s Cole Hamels. Hamels has been ridiculously good in three postseason starts (3-0, 1.23 ERA), and he’s given up two earned runs or fewer in 12 of his last 13 starts dating to the regular season. Meanwhile Kazmir was as dominant as anyone could be in his most recent outing six days ago at Fenway Park, when he blanked the Red Sox on two hits over six innings.

Kazmir has a 3.30 ERA in 16 starts at home this season (including the playoffs), while Hamels has a 3.08 ERA in 17 road outings (including that impressive 5-1, NLCS-clinching win at the Dodgers a week ago, when his only blemish was a solo homer by Manny Ramirez). Both of these starters are backed by two of the best bullpens in baseball – the Phillies’ relievers have a 3.14 ERA on the season (1.88 in the playoffs), while Tampa’s sport a 3.44 ERA (3.31 in the playoffs).

Finally, the under is on streaks of 5-0 with Hamels on the mound, 7-3 for the Phillies in postseason play, 7-2 for the Phillies against the American League, 4-1 for the Rays at home and 20-8-1 for Tampa Bay against the National League.

Throw in the usual butterflies that come with Game 1 of the World Series and the long layoff for the hitters, and I wouldn’t be at all surprised to see a 2-1 or 3-1 game tonight, so don’t sweat the small total – take the UNDER.

3♦ Phillies-Rays UNDER the total

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Jeff Allen

Hamels has been throwing his nasty change for strikes at will and has allowed just three earned in 22 innings of post season work. Kazmir was nails in last but has had a very ordinary second half and his post season ERA is 4.02 with 24 baserunners in just 15 2/3 innings of work. Phils best chance to stay in this is to get wins from Hamels in Games One and Five. A Must Win for Philadelphia and they get it. Take Philadelphia.

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JrTips

PHILADELPHIA vs. TAMPA BAY FREE PICK

Tonight's game is a pick when the Phillies play the first game of the World Series in Tampa. The Phillies will send their ace, Cole Hamels tonight while the Rays will counter with Scott Kazmir. Hamels has been brilliant in the playoffs going 3-0 with a 1.23 ERA and won the NLCS MVP as he held the Dodgers to just three runs in 14 innings of work. Kazmir pitched very well for Tampa in his last start in Boston giving up just two hits in six shutout innings. The Phillies are 1-4 in their last 5 vs. the American League East, 5-1 in Hamels’ last 6 starts although 0-4 in the last 4 meetings in Tampa Bay. The Rays are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague home games vs. a left-handed starter, 7-1 in their last 8 vs. the National League East and 21-8 in Kazmir’s last 29 starts. The under is 5-0 in Hamels’ last 5 starts overall, 4-0 in the Rays last 4 playoff home games and 6-1 in the Rays last 7 games vs. a left-handed starter. Hamels will keep this a low scoring game and game 1 jitters will make it tough for the Philadelphia offense to produce runs on the road in the 1st game of the World series.

TAKE UNDER 7 1/2 Phillies/Tampa Bay

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Big AL

Philadelphia Phillies and Tampa Bay Rays
Play: Over 7½

A pair of lefties will oppose each other in Game 1 Wednesday night when Tampa Bay hosts Philadelphia for Game 1 of the 2008 World Series.  Look for the Over to cash.

Our selection in Game 1 of the 2008 World Series is on the Tampa Bay Rays and Philadelphia Phillies to go over the total at The Trop in St. Pete.

The first game of this World Series will feature a lefty vs. lefty matchup of young starters: Philadelphia's Cole Hamels vs. Scott Kazmir of Tampa Bay.  After a lackluster NL Division Series that saw them score only 15 runs in four games, Phillies hitters turned it up a notch in the NLCS, and sent 22 men across the plate in the final four games against the Dodgers.  And now they will get the added benefit of a DH for the first two games in this World Series against Tampa, so that should help them increase their run output perhaps beyond where they left off in Los Angeles.

Philadelphia, which hit better as a team vs. lefties than righties, hasn't seen a southpaw starter since game two of the NL Division Series against the the Brewers and C.C. Sabathia, and they scored five runs in that game without the help of a designated hitter.

For Tampa's part the adrenaline will be flowing following their huge win on Sunday against the Red Sox, so look for the Rays to come out firing as well.  Hamels has not faced the Rays since his rookie season in 2006 when he had one start against them and that was definitely not one of his better moments.  The Rays are hoping he has some flashbacks Wednesday night in Game 1. Take the Over.

Pick: Phillies-Rays Over 7½

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Mr A

Philadelphia Phillies at Tampa Bay Rays

Philadelphia Phillies are 8-3 in their last 11 road games, but have played poorly in interleague games, just 17-36 in their last 53 and 6-17 in its last 23 away from home. Meanwhile, the Rays are 8-3 in their last 11 interleague home games. Take Tampa Bay to grab their fifth straight win versus Philadelphia at Tropicana Field Philadelphia's lefthander Cole Hamels is 3-0 with a 0.86 ERA in his last three starts and is 8-3 with a 3.08 ERA in 17 road starts. Tampa Bay's lefthander  Scott Kazmir  is 1-0 with a 4.02 ERA in his last three starts and is 9-2 with a 3.30 ERA in 16 home starts 

Tampa Bay Rays -105

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