NFL: GAMEDAY NEWS AND NOTES 10/19

NFL: GAMEDAY NEWS AND NOTES 10/19

New Orleans Saints vs. Carolina Panthers

Oddsmakers currently have the Panthers listed as 3-point favorites versus the Saints, while the game's total is sitting at 45.

The Saints defeated Oakland 34-3 as a 7-point favorite in Week 6. The combined score fell UNDER the posted over/under total (47).

Drew Brees passed for 320 yards with three touchdowns for New Orleans, while Reggie Bush rushed for 27 yards and a touchdown on 14 carries and also caught a TD pass in the win.

The Panthers lost to Tampa Bay 27-3 as a 2-point underdog in Week 6. The combined score fell UNDER the posted over/under total (37).

Jake Delhomme threw for 242 yards with three interceptions for Carolina and Steve Smith caught six passes for 112 yards.

Team records:
New Orleans: 3-3 SU, 4-2 ATS
Carolina: 4-2 SU, 3-2-1 ATS

New Orleans most recently:
When playing in October are 6-4
When playing on grass are 3-7
After outgaining opponent are 5-5
When playing within the division are 6-4

Carolina most recently:
When playing in October are 6-4
When playing on grass are 7-3
After being outgained are 6-4
When playing within the division are 6-4

A few trends to consider:
New Orleans is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Carolina
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Orleans's last 5 games when playing on the road against Carolina
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of New Orleans's last 7 games when playing Carolina
The total has gone OVER in 9 of New Orleans's last 11 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Carolina's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Carolina's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Carolina's last 5 games when playing at home against New Orleans
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Carolina's last 7 games when playing New Orleans

Next up:
New Orleans home to San Diego, Sunday, October 26
Carolina home to Arizona, Sunday, October 26


Dallas Cowboys vs. St. Louis Rams

Oddsmakers currently have the Cowboys listed as 7-point favorites versus the Rams, while the game's total is sitting at 43½.

The Cowboys lost to Arizona 30-24 as a 5-point favorite in Week 6. The combined score went OVER the posted over/under total (53.5).

Tony Romo passed for 312 yards with three touchdowns for Dallas and Marion Barber caught 11 passes for 128 yards with a touchdown.

The Rams upset Washington 19-17 as an 11.5-point underdog in Week 6. The combined score fell UNDER the posted over/under total (44).

Marc Bulger passed for 136 yards with no touchdowns for St. Louis, while Josh Brown connected on four field goals in the win.

Team records:
Dallas: 4-2 SU, 2-4 ATS
St. Louis: 1-4 SU, 1-4 ATS

Dallas most recently:
When playing in October are 6-4
When playing on turf are 7-3
After outgaining opponent are 7-3
When playing outside the division are 8-2

St. Louis most recently:
When playing in October are 4-6
When playing on turf are 2-8
After being outgained are 1-9
When playing outside the division are 3-7

A few trends to consider:
Dallas is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games on the road
Dallas is 17-6 SU in its last 23 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of St. Louis's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of St. Louis's last 7 games
St. Louis is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Dallas
St. Louis is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Dallas

Next up:
Dallas home to Tampa Bay, Sunday, October 26
St. Louis at New England, Sunday, October 26


San Francisco 49ers vs. New York Giants

Oddsmakers currently have the Giants listed as 11-point favorites versus the 49ers, while the game's total is sitting at 47.

The 49ers lost to Philadelphia 40-26 as a 5-point underdog in Week 6. The combined score went OVER the posted over/under total (41.5).

J.T. O'Sullivan threw for 212 yards with no touchdowns and two interceptions for San Francisco, while Frank Gore rushed for 99 yards and a touchdown on 19 carries.

Eli Manning was 18-for-28 for 196 yards with a touchdown and three interceptions for New York in its 35-14 loss to Cleveland in Week 6 action on Monday night.

Cleveland cashed as 7-point home underdogs as the game played over the 43-point total set by oddsmakers.

Current streak:
San Francisco has lost 3 straight games.

Team records:
San Francisco: 2-4 SU, 2-4 ATS
New York: 4-1 SU, 3-2 ATS

San Francisco most recently:
When playing in October are 2-8
When playing on turf are 4-6
After being outgained are 0-10
When playing outside the division are 3-7

New York most recently:
When playing in October are 9-1
When playing on turf are 7-3
After being outgained are 6-4
When playing outside the division are 8-2

A few trends to consider:
San Francisco is 6-2 SU in their last 8 games when playing NY Giants
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Francisco's last 6 games when playing NY Giants
San Francisco is 4-2 SU in their last 6 games when playing on the road against NY Giants
San Francisco is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
NY Giants are 8-1 SU in their last 9 games
NY Giants are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of the NY Giants last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of the NY Giants last 9 games at home

Next up:
San Francisco home to Seattle, Sunday, October 26
NY Giants at Pittsburgh, Sunday, October 26


Baltimore Ravens vs. Miami Dolphins

Oddsmakers currently have the Dolphins listed as 3-point favorites versus the Ravens, while the game's total is sitting at 36½.

The Ravens lost to Indianapolis 31-3 as a 4-point underdog in Week 6. The combined score fell UNDER the posted over/under total (39).

Joe Flacco passed for 241 yards with three interceptions for Baltimore and Willis McGahee was held to 18 yards on eight carries.

The Dolphins lost to Houston 29-28 as a 3-point underdog in Week 6. The combined score went OVER the posted over/under total (45).

Chad Pennington passed for 284 yards with two touchdowns and an interception for Miami, while Patrick Cobbs caught three passes for 138 yards and a pair of touchdowns.

Current streak:
Baltimore has lost 3 straight games.

Team records:
Baltimore: 2-3 SU, 3-2 ATS
Miami: 2-3 SU, 3-2 ATS

Baltimore most recently:
When playing in October are 4-6
When playing on grass are 4-6
After being outgained are 3-7
When playing outside the division are 2-8

Miami most recently:
When playing in October are 1-9
When playing on grass are 2-8
After being outgained are 2-8
When playing outside the division are 2-8

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Baltimore's last 6 games when playing on the road against Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Baltimore's last 7 games when playing Miami
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Baltimore's last 12 games
Baltimore is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Miami is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Baltimore
Miami is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Baltimore
Miami is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games when playing Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 6 games when playing at home against Baltimore

Next up:
Baltimore home to Oakland, Sunday, October 26
Miami home to Buffalo, Sunday, October 26


Tennessee Titans vs. Kansas City Chiefs

Oddsmakers currently have the Titans listed as 9½-point favorites versus the Chiefs, while the game's total is sitting at 35.

The Titans defeated Baltimore 13-10 as a 1-point favorite in Week 5. The combined score fell UNDER the posted over/under total (33.5).

Kerry Collins passed for 162 yards with a touchdown and two interceptions for Tennessee, while Chris Johnson rushed for 44 yards on 18 carries.

The Chiefs lost to Carolina 34-0 as a 10-point underdog in Week 5. The combined score fell UNDER the posted over/under total (38).

Damon Huard threw for 86 yard with two interceptions for Kansas City and Larry Johnson was limited to two rushing yards on seven carries.

Current streak:
Tennessee has won 5 straight games.

Team records:
Tennessee: 5-0 SU, 5-0 ATS
Kansas City: 1-4 SU, 2-3 ATS

Tennessee most recently:
When playing in October are 6-4
When playing on grass are 6-4
After being outgained are 10-0
When playing outside the division are 6-4

Kansas City most recently:
When playing in October are 6-4
When playing on grass are 2-8
After being outgained are 1-9
When playing outside the division are 1-9

A few trends to consider:
Tennessee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Tennessee is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tennessee's last 6 games on the road
Tennessee is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Kansas City's last 8 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas City's last 7 games
Kansas City is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Tennessee
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Kansas City's last 7 games when playing Tennessee

Next up:
Tennessee home to Indianapolis, Monday, October 27
Kansas City at NY Jets, Sunday, October 26


Minnesota Vikings vs. Chicago Bears

Oddsmakers currently have the Bears listed as 3-point favorites versus the Vikings, while the game's total is sitting at 38.

The Vikings defeated Detroit 12-10 as a 13-point favorite in Week 6. The combined score fell UNDER the posted over/under total (44).

Gus Frerotte passed for 296 yards with a touchdown and an interception for Minnesota, while Adrian Peterson rushed for 111 yards on 25 carries.

The Bears lost to Atlanta 22-20 as a 3-ponit favorite in Week 6. The combined score fell UNDER the posted over/under total (43.5).

Kyle Orton threw for 286 yards with a touchdown for Chicago and Matt Forte rushed for 76 yards on 20 carries with a touchdown.

Current streak:
Minnesota has won 2 straight games.

Team records:
Minnesota: 3-3 SU, 2-4 ATS
Chicago: 3-3 SU, 3-2-1 ATS

Minnesota most recently:
When playing in October are 5-5
When playing on grass are 2-8
After outgaining opponent are 4-6
When playing within the division are 5-5

Chicago most recently:
When playing in October are 7-3
When playing on grass are 5-5
After being outgained are 7-3
When playing within the division are 5-5

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games on the road
Minnesota is 3-5-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Chicago
Minnesota is 5-11 SU in its last 16 games on the road
Minnesota is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games
Chicago is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 6 games at home
Chicago is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 6 games

Next up:
Minnesota home to Houston, Sunday, November 2
Chicago home to Detroit, Sunday, November 2


Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Cincinnati Bengals

Oddsmakers currently have the Steelers listed as 10-point favorites versus the Bengals, while the game's total is sitting at 35.

The Steelers defeated Jacksonville 26-21 as a 5.5-point underdog in Week 5. The combined score went OVER the posted over/under total (38.5).

Ben Roethlisberger passed for 309 yards with three touchdowns and an interception for Pittsburgh, while Nate Washington caught six passes for 94 yards with a touchdown in the win.

The Bengals lost to the Jets 26-14 as a 10-point underdog in Week 6. The combined score fell UNDER the posted over/under total (44).

Ryan Fitzpatrick threw for 152 yards with a TD run for Cincinnati and T.J. Houshmandzadeh caught seven passes for 49 yards.

Current streak:
Pittsburgh has won 2 straight games.
Cincinnati has lost 6 straight games.

Team records:
Pittsburgh: 4-1 SU, 2-3 ATS
Cincinnati: 0-6 SU, 2-4 ATS

Pittsburgh most recently:
When playing in October are 6-4
When playing on turf are 5-5
After outgaining opponent are 5-5
When playing within the division are 8-2

Cincinnati most recently:
When playing in October are 2-8
When playing on turf are 3-7
After being outgained are 4-6
When playing within the division are 4-6

A few trends to consider:
Pittsburgh is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
Pittsburgh is 6-0-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Pittsburgh's last 7 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
Pittsburgh is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Cincinnati's last 7 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Cincinnati's last 12 games
Cincinnati is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games

Next up:
Pittsburgh home to NY Giants, Sunday, October 26
Cincinnati at Houston, Sunday, October 26

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Re: NFL: GAMEDAY NEWS AND NOTES 10/19

San Diego Chargers vs. Buffalo Bills

Odds aren't yet posted for this game, so check back later for the opening line and total.

The Chargers defeated New England 30-10 as a 6-point favorite in Week 6. The combined score fell UNDER the posted over/under total (45).

Philip Rivers passed for 306 yards with three touchdown passes for San Diego, while Vincent Jackson caught five passes for 134 yards with a touchdown in the win.

The Bills lost to Arizona 41-17 as a 2.5-point underdog in Week 5. The combined score went OVER the posted over/under total (44.5).

J.P. Losman replaced an injured Trent Edward for Buffalo and passed for 220 yards with a touchdown and an interception, while Lee Evans had two receptions for 100 yards and a touchdown.

Team records:
San Diego: 3-3 SU, 3-2-1 ATS
Buffalo: 4-1 SU, 3-2 ATS

San Diego most recently:
When playing in October are 7-3
When playing on turf are 6-4
After outgaining opponent are 10-0
When playing outside the division are 7-3

Buffalo most recently:
When playing in October are 3-7
When playing on turf are 7-3
After being outgained are 4-6
When playing outside the division are 5-5

A few trends to consider:
San Diego is 12-2-1 ATS in its last 15 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Diego's last 5 games when playing Buffalo
San Diego is 6-1-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
San Diego is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Buffalo
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Buffalo's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Buffalo's last 5 games
Buffalo is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Buffalo's last 5 games when playing San Diego

Next up:
San Diego at New Orleans, Sunday, October 26
Buffalo at Miami, Sunday, October 26


Detroit Lions vs. Houston Texans

Oddsmakers currently have the Texans listed as 10-point favorites versus the Lions, while the game's total is sitting at 47.

The Lions lost to Minnesota 12-10 as a 13-point underdog in Week 6. The combined score fell UNDER The posted over/under total (44).

Dan Orlovsky threw for 150 yards with a touchdown for Detroit and Calvin Johnson caught four passes for 85 yards with a touchdown.

The Texans defeated Miami 29-28 as a 3-point favorite in Week 6. The combined score went OVER the posted over/under total (45).

Matt Schaub passed for 379 yards with a touchdown and two interceptions and he also ran in for the game-winning TD for Houston, while Andre Johnson caught 10 passes for 178 yards with a touchdown in the win.

Current streak:
Detroit has lost 5 straight games.

Team records:
Detroit: 0-5 SU, 1-4 ATS
Houston: 1-4 SU, 2-3 ATS

Detroit most recently:
When playing in October are 3-7
When playing on grass are 2-8
After being outgained are 2-8
When playing outside the division are 3-7

Houston most recently:
When playing in October are 4-6
When playing on grass are 4-6
After outgaining opponent are 6-4
When playing outside the division are 6-4

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 7 games on the road
Detroit is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Detroit is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games
Detroit is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston's last 5 games
Houston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
Houston is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games at home

Next up:
Detroit home to Washington, Sunday, October 26
Houston home to Cincinnati, Sunday, October 26


Indianapolis Colts vs. Green Bay Packers

Oddsmakers currently have the Colts listed as 2½-point favorites versus the Packers, while the game's total is sitting at 47.

The Colts defeated Baltimore 31-3 as a 4-point favorite in Week 6. The combined score fell UNDER the posted over/under total (39).

Peyton Manning passed for 271 yards with three touchdowns for Indianapolis, while Marvin Harrison had three receptions for 83 yards with a pair of touchdowns in the win.

The Packers defeated Seattle 27-17 as a pick'em in Week 6. The combined score fell UNDER the posted over/under total (44.5).

Aaron Rodgers passed for 208 yards with a pair of touchdown passes and a TD run for Green Bay, while Greg Jennings caught five passes for 84 yards and a touchdown in the win.

Current streak:
Indianapolis has won 2 straight games.

Team records:
Indianapolis: 3-2 SU, 2-3 ATS
Green Bay: 3-3 SU, 3-3 ATS

Indianapolis most recently:
When playing in October are 10-0
When playing on grass are 7-3
After outgaining opponent are 7-3
When playing outside the division are 6-4

Green Bay most recently:
When playing in October are 5-5
When playing on grass are 5-5
After outgaining opponent are 7-3
When playing outside the division are 5-5

A few trends to consider:
Indianapolis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Indianapolis is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Green Bay
Indianapolis is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Indianapolis's last 12 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Green Bay's last 8 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Green Bay's last 10 games
Green Bay is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games at home
Green Bay is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games

Next up:
Indianapolis at Tennessee, Monday, October 27
Green Bay at Tennessee, Sunday, November 2


Cleveland Browns vs. Washington Redskins

Oddsmakers currently have the Redskins listed as 7½-point favorites versus the Browns, while the game's total is sitting at 42.

Derek Anderson went 18-for-29 for 310 yards with two touchdowns to lead the Browns past the Giants 35-14 in Week 6 action on Monday night.

Cleveland cashed as 7-point home underdogs as the game played over the 43-point total set by oddsmakers.

The Redskins lost to St. Louis 19-17 as an 11.5-point favorite in Week 6. The combined score fell UNDER the posted over/under total (44).

Jason Campbell threw for 208 yards with no touchdowns for Washington and Clinton Portis rushed for 129 yards with two touchdowns on 21 carries.

Current streak:
Cleveland has won 2 straight games.

Team records:
Cleveland: 2-3 SU, 3-2 ATS
Washington: 4-2 SU, 4-2 ATS

Cleveland most recently:
When playing in October are 5-5
When playing on grass are 6-4
After outgaining opponent are 5-5
When playing outside the division are 8-2

Washington most recently:
When playing in October are 4-6
When playing on grass are 6-4
After outgaining opponent are 5-5
When playing outside the division are 5-5

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Cleveland's last 11 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games on the road
Cleveland is 12-4 ATS in its last 16 games
Cleveland is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games on the road
Washington is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Washington is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Washington is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
Washington is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home

Next up:
Cleveland at Jacksonville, Sunday, October 26
Washington at Detroit, Sunday, October 26


New York Jets vs. Oakland Raiders

Oddsmakers currently have the Jets listed as 3½-point favorites versus the Raiders, while the game's total is sitting at 41.

The Jets defeated Cincinnati 26-14 as a 10-point favorite in Week 6. The combined score fell UNDER the posted over/under total (44).

Thomas Jones rushed for 65 yards and a pair of touchdowns on 17 carries and caught a TD pass for the Jets, while Brett Favre passed for 189 yards with a touchdown and two interceptions in the win.

The Raiders lost to New Orleans 34-3 as a 7-point underdog in Week 6. The combined score fell UNDER the posted over/under total (47).

JaMarcus Russell passed for 159 yards with an interception for Oakland, while Justin Fargas was held to 35 yards on 10 carries.

Current streak:
New York has won 2 straight games.
Oakland has lost 3 straight games.

Team records:
New York: 3-2 SU, 3-2 ATS
Oakland: 1-4 SU, 2-3 ATS

New York most recently:
When playing in October are 3-7
When playing on grass are 6-4
After outgaining opponent are 4-6
When playing outside the division are 4-6

Oakland most recently:
When playing in October are 3-7
When playing on grass are 3-7
After being outgained are 2-8
When playing outside the division are 1-9

A few trends to consider:
NY Jets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of the NY Jets last 9 games
NY Jets are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of the NY Jets last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oakland's last 5 games at home
Oakland is 7-2 SU in their last 9 games when playing at home against NY Jets
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Oakland's last 12 games
Oakland is 10-5 SU in their last 15 games when playing NY Jets

Next up:
NY Jets home to Kansas City, Sunday, October 26
Oakland at Baltimore, Sunday, October 26


Seattle Seahawks vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Oddsmakers currently have the Buccaneers listed as 11-point favorites versus the Seahawks, while the game's total is sitting at 38.

The Seahawks lost to Green Bay 27-17 as a pick'em in Week 6. The combined score fell UNDER the posted over/under total (44.5).

Charlie Frye passed for only 83 yards with a pair of touchdowns and two interceptions for Seattle and John Carlson caught four passes for 22 yards with a touchdown.

The Buccaneers defeated Carolina 27-3 as a 2-point favorite in Week 6. The combined score fell UNDER the posted over/under total (37).

Jeff Garcia passed for 173 yards with a touchdown pass for Tampa Bay, while Warrick Dunn rushed for 115 yards on 22 carries in the win.

Current streak:
Seattle has lost 2 straight games.

Team records:
Seattle: 1-4 SU, 1-4 ATS
Tampa Bay: 4-2 SU, 5-1 ATS

Seattle most recently:
When playing in October are 3-7
When playing on grass are 3-7
After being outgained are 5-5
When playing outside the division are 4-6

Tampa Bay most recently:
When playing in October are 4-6
When playing on grass are 5-5
After outgaining opponent are 6-4
When playing outside the division are 4-6

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Seattle's last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Seattle's last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Seattle's last 6 games on the road
Seattle is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games when playing Seattle
Tampa Bay is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Tampa Bay is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home

Next up:
Seattle at San Francisco, Sunday, October 26
Tampa Bay at Dallas, Sunday, October 26

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Re: NFL: GAMEDAY NEWS AND NOTES 10/19

Tennessee (5-0 SU and ATS) at Kansas City (1-4, 2-3 ATS)

Two teams headed in opposite directions get together when the unbeaten Titans travel to Arrowhead Stadium to take on the Chiefs.

Tennessee took last week off after edging Baltimore 13-10 two weeks ago as a one-point road favorite, staying perfect both SU and ATS on the season. In fact, the SU winner has cashed in seven straight and 10 of the last 11 games for the Titans. Against the Ravens, QB Kerry Collins struggled, going 17 of 32 for just 163 yards with two INTs, but his lone TD pass came on a game-winning drive late in the fourth quarter. Tennessee won despite generating a paltry 210 total yards and despite losing the time-of-possession battle by nine minutes.

Kansas City, which also is coming off its bye, got pasted 34-0 at Carolina as a 9½-point underdog in its last outing. The Chiefs finished got outgained 441-127, and QB Damon Huard (10 of 21, 86 yards) accounted for all three turnovers, throwing two INTs and losing one of his two fumbles. K.C. had an 18-minute deficit in time of possession.

These teams have met just three times this decade, with Tennessee going 2-1 SU, but 1-2 ATS. Last December, the Titans scored a 26-17 win in K.C. giving 3½ points. The visitor is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings between these two, all as an underdog.

Tennessee is on ATS streaks of 7-2-1 on the road, 5-0 following a SU win, 4-0 after a spread-cover and 5-1 against losing teams. Conversely, the Chiefs are on pointspread streaks of 1-6 at home, 2-8 on grass and 2-6 against winning teams.

The under for Tennessee is on stretches of 6-2 overall, 4-0 on the road, 6-1 against AFC foes and 12-3-1 after a SU win, but the over is 8-2-1 for the Titans coming off a bye. The over for Kansas City is on runs of 5-1 after the bye, 5-1 after a non-cover, 6-2 at home and 11-4 in October.

ATS ADVANTAGE: TENNESSEE


San Diego (3-3 SU and ATS) at Buffalo (4-1, 3-2 ATS)

The Chargers, who next week will fly to London to play the Saints, first make a cross-country trek to upstate New York to take on the resurgent Bills at Ralph Wilson Stadium.

San Diego is coming off a 30-10 blitzing of defending AFC champion New England as a six-point home chalk, making the SU winner a sterling 23-1-1 ATS in the Bolts’ last 25 games, including 5-0-1 ATS this season. Against the Tom Brady-less Pats, Philip Rivers padded his stats by going 18 of 27 for 306 yards and three TDs with no turnovers, and San Diego outgained New England 404-299.

Buffalo was off last week after tasting defeat for the first time in 2008, falling 41-17 at Arizona as a one-point road pup Oct. 5. QB Trent Edwards completed his first three passes (for 18 yards) before exiting the game with a concussion, and though J.P. Losman (15 of 21, 221 yards, 1 TD, 1 INT) was serviceable, the Bills never drew closer than seven after falling behind 14-0. They lost the turnover battle 4-0 and the time-of-possession battle by 13 minutes.

These clubs have met five times this decade, with San Diego going 3-2 SU and Buffalo going 3-2 ATS.

The Chargers are on a lengthy 47-22-3 ATS streak overall and sport additional positive pointspread runs of 5-0-1 against winning teams, 9-2 after a SU win and 9-2 after a spread-cover. However, they’re 2-6 ATS in their last eight trips to the Eastern time zone and 1-7 ATS in their last eight non-divisional road games. Meanwhile, the Bills are on ATS runs of 5-1-1 coming off the bye, 4-1 after a non-cover, 11-4 at home and 13-4 on turf.

The over for the Chargers is on runs of 4-1 on turf and 13-4-2 on the highway. For Buffalo, the over streaks including 4-1 this season, 7-0 on turf and 6-0 at home. Finally, the over has cashed in four of the last five clashes in this rivalry.

ATS ADVANTAGE: OVER


Pittsburgh (4-1, 2-3 ATS) at Cincinnati (0-6, 2-4 ATS)

The Steelers look to strengthen their stranglehold on the AFC North when they roll into Paul Brown Stadium to take on the freefalling Bengals.

Pittsburgh, coming off its bye week, upset Jacksonville 26-21 two weeks ago as a five-point road ‘dog, halting a three-game ATS slide. QB Ben Roethlisberger (26 of 41, 309 yards, 3 TDs, 1 INT) got hit a lot but made few mistakes, leading the Steelers to a whopping 415-213 edge in total yards. Pittsburgh’s defense also held the Jags’ vaunted running game to just 38 net yards.

The Bengals fell 26-14 to the New York Jets last week getting 9½ points on the road to remain winless this season. Cincy’s offense went nowhere without QB Carson Palmer (injured), as backup Ryan Fitzpatrick (20 of 33, 152 yards, 0 TDs, 0 INTs) paced an offense that finished with a meager 171 yards. The Bengals finished with an 11-minute deficit in time of possession and couldn’t take advantage of a 3-1 edge in turnovers.

Pittsburgh has won and covered the last three in this rivalry, including a 24-13 win as a four-point favorite last year in Cincinnati. In fact, the Steelers are 6-0-1 ATS in the last seven meetings in Cincy and 4-1 ATS in the last five battles overall, and the road team is on a 6-1 spread-covering streak.

The Steelers are in a 1-8 ATS rut facing division foes after a bye and are on further pointspread skids of 0-4 after a spread-cover, 1-4 in the AFC North and 2-5 on the highway. The Bengals aren’t any better, posting ATS slides of 2-5 at home, 2-5 overall in divisional play, 2-7 as a division home ‘dog and 0-4 against the AFC.

For Pittsburgh, the over is on streaks of 7-2 overall, 6-1 against AFC foes and 11-5-1 inside the division. Conversely, the under for Cincinnati is on runs of 9-3 overall, 5-0 at home, 6-0 in AFC North contests and 9-3 against winning teams. Also, the under has cashed in six of the last seven Steelers-Bengals meetings in Cincinnati.

ATS ADVANTAGE: UNDER


Baltimore (2-3, 3-2 ATS) at Miami (2-3, 3-2 ATS)

Two teams looking to get back to .500 square off when the Dolphins welcome the Ravens to South Beach.

Miami fell just short at Houston in a 29-28 loss a week ago, snapping a two-game win streak, but the Dolphins cashed as a three-point pup for their third straight spread-cover. QB Chad Pennington (19 of 25, 284 yards, 2 TDs, 1 INT) had a solid outing, and the Dolphins won the turnover war 4-1, but they lost the game when Texans QB Matt Schaub scored on a 3-yard TD run in the final seconds.

The Ravens got blasted 31-3 at Indianapolis as a four-point ‘dog for their third straight defeat and second consecutive ATS setback. QB Joe Flacco looked like a rookie, throwing three INTs and no TDs despite going 28 of 38 for 241 yards, and he now has just one TD pass against seven INTs. Overall, Baltimore committed five turnovers and forced none against Indy.

Miami is 3-1 SU and ATS in the last four meetings with Baltimore, including a 22-16 overtime home win last December catching 3½ points – the Dolphins’ only victory in 2007. Miami is 5-2 ATS in the last seven series clashes, but the underdog is 5-1 ATS in the last six battles.

The Dolphins are 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 home games and are in additional ATS funks of 8-20-1 against losing teams and 9-21-1 after a spread-cover, but they are 5-2 ATS in their last seven against the AFC. The Ravens are 1-9 SU and ATS in their last nine on the highway and are on further ATS declines of 6-16 overall, 3-12 after a SU loss, 5-13 versus AFC foes and 2-5 against losing teams.

The under is 5-2 in the last seven meetings between these teams and 4-1 in the last five battles in Miami. But the over is on runs of 7-3 for the Dolphins overall, 8-3 for Baltimore against AFC foes and 8-2 for Baltimore on grass.

ATS ADVANTAGE: MIAMI


Dallas (4-2, 2-4 ATS) at St. Louis (1-4 SU and ATS)

After a week filled with distractions, the Cowboys aim to regain their focus when they take on the Rams at the Edward Jones Dome.

Dallas tumbled to Arizona 30-24 in overtime as a 4½-point road favorite, losing on a blocked punt near its own goal line that was returned for a short TD, and the Cowboys are now on a three-game ATS slide. QB Tony Romo (24 of 38, 321 yards, 3 TDs, 0 INTs) suffered a broken right pinkie, and his status this week is in doubt. The Cowboys couldn’t get the job done despite forcing three Cardinals turnovers and posting a 374-276 yardage edge.

If Romo doesn’t go, 40-year-old Brad Johnson will get the nod at QB.

St. Louis finally broke through for its first win, coming out of its by and stunning Washington 19-17 as a 12-point road ‘dog under newly promoted head coach Jim Haslett. The SU winner is now 15-1 ATS in the Rams’ last 16 games (5-0 ATS this year). St. Louis did little on offense, finishing with just 200 total yards – while Washington racked up 368 – but the Rams defense forced three turnovers, returning a fumble 75 yards for a TD at the end of the first half, and Josh Brown won it on a 49-yard field goal as time expired.

Dallas pounded St. Louis 35-7 last year laying 13 points at home, but in four meetings this decade, the teams are dead-even at 2-2 SU and ATS.

The Cowboys are in a 2-9 ATS freefall in their last 11 overall and are mired in additional ATS slumps of 2-11 as a road chalk of seven or more, 1-8 against the NFC and 1-6 after a non-cover, but they are 14-6-1 ATS in their last 21 following a SU loss. The Rams are on a 7-3 ATS run after a SU win, but the pointspread trends are all negative from there, including 1-7 overall, 3-7 as a home pup of seven or more, 0-4 at the dome and 5-17 against winning teams.

The under is 4-1 in Dallas’ last five road games – with last week’s game being the one that cleared the total – but the over is on streaks of 4-1 overall and 5-1 on turf for the ‘Boys. Also, for St. Louis, the over is on runs of 6-2 overall, 5-0 at home, 5-0 on turf and 4-1 against winning teams.

ATS ADVANTAGE: OVER


Minnesota (3-3, 2-4 ATS) at Chicago (3-3, 3-2-1 ATS)

The Bears will look to break up a three-way logjam atop the mediocre NFC North when they host the Vikings at Soldier Field.

Chicago suffered a stunning loss last week at Atlanta, falling 22-20 as a three-point chalk. The Bears scored a go-ahead TD with 11 seconds left, but the Falcons miraculously got themselves in position for a 48-yard field goal with one second left, and Jason Elam nailed it. It was an evenly played contest, with Atlanta narrowly outgaining Chicago 376-361, and both teams committed just one turnover.

The SU winner is 18-1-1 ATS in Chicago’s last 20 games (5-0-1 this year).

Minnesota proved quite fortunate in eking out a 12-10 win over hapless Detroit as an overwhelming 13-point home favorite. A questionable pass-interference call led to Ryan Longwell’s 26-yard field goal in the waning seconds secure the win. Minnesota had a whopping 392-212 edge in total offense, but the Vikings lost the turnover battle 3-1, and their only first-half score came on a safety.

Minnesota won both meetings in this rivalry last year (1-1 ATS), including a 34-31 victory in Chicago getting 4½ points. The underdog is 17-8 ATS in the last 25 clashes, but the home team is on an 8-3 ATS roll, and Chicago has taken the cash in four of the last five at Soldier Field.

The Bears sport positive ATS streaks of 6-2-1 overall, 6-1 after a non-cover, 7-2 after a SU loss and 9-4 in October, though they’ve gone just 1-5 ATS in their last six as a division chalk. The Vikings, meanwhile, are in a 2-7 ATS slump and are on further pointspread slides of 0-4 after a SU win, 1-4 inside the division and 2-5 on grass.

The over for Chicago is on runs of 17-5 at home, 5-1 after a SU loss, 24-9-1 against NFC foes and 15-6 after a pointspread setback, and the over for Minnesota is on a 4-1-1 stretch on the road and is 11-3-1 in the Vikes last 15 games after a non-cover. Lastly, the over is 3-1-1 in the last five meetings between these hated rivals (2-0 in Chicago).

ATS ADVANTAGE: CHICAGO and OVER


New Orleans (3-3, 4-2 ATS) at Carolina (3-3, 3-2-1 ATS)

The Saints, coming off a nearly flawless effort last week, head to Bank of America Stadium in Charlotte for an NFC South battle against the Panthers, who are licking their wounds after getting whipped in Tampa Bay.

New Orleans blasted Oakland 34-3 a week ago, easily cashing as a seven-point home favorite. QB Drew Brees was 26 of 30 for 320 yards and three TDs, helping New Orleans post a huge 441-226 yardage edge. The Saints had no turnovers while forcing two and finished with a nearly 13-minute edge in time of possession.

Carolina went to Tampa Bay last Sunday and got drilled 27-3 as a one-point road pup, halting a two-game SU and ATS streak. Turnovers and special teams proved to be the difference, as QB Jake Delhomme threw three INTs, and the Bucs returned a blocked punt for a TD in the first quarter.

The SU winner is 20-1-1 ATS in Carolina’s last 22 contests dating to the 2007 season opener (5-0-1 this year) and 15-1 ATS in the Saints’ last 16 outings (5-1 this year).

These teams split last year’s meetings, with the road team winning and cashing in both, including a 31-6 Saints rout in Charlotte as a three-point favorite. In fact, the Saints have covered in six straight trips to Carolina, and the road team is on a 14-2 ATS spree in the last 16 clashes.

The Saints are 10-2-1 ATS in their last 13 games as a division road pup, but they are in ATS skids of 1-5 after a SU win and 3-9 after a pointspread cover. The Panthers are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 as a division home chalk, but they are on positive spread runs of 6-2-1 overall, 5-0-1 at home, 5-0 after a SU loss and 5-2-1 against NFC opponents.

For the Saints, the over is on streaks of 9-1-1 overall, 4-0 on the highway, 8-0 after a SU win and 19-7-1 in conference play. On the flip side, the under for Carolina is on runs of 5-0 overall, 21-8-1 at home, 4-0 against NFC foes and 6-1 inside the division. Finally, the under is 6-1 in the last seven series meetings overall and 5-0 in the past five clashes at Carolina.

ATS ADVANTAGE: NONE


San Francisco (2-4 SU and ATS) at N.Y. Giants (4-1, 3-2 ATS)

The defending Super Bowl champion Giants hope to bounce back from their first loss since the 2007 regular season when they invite the 49ers to East Rutherford, N.J.

New York went off as a nine-point favorite in prime time Monday night at Cleveland, then got humbled in a 35-14 wipeout for its first setback since losing to New England in the 2007 regular-season finale. QB Eli Manning (18 of 28, 196 yards, 1 TD) had his worst outing of the season, throwing three INTs, including one in the fourth quarter that was returned 94 yards for a TD as New York was threatening to get back in the game. The Giants got outgained 454-373.

San Francisco fell to Philadelphia 40-26 as a 4½-point home underdog, taking a 26-17 lead into the fourth quarter before imploding in giving up 23 unanswered points. QB J.T. O’Sullivan (17 of 30, 199 yards, 0 TDs) had two INTs and a lost fumble during the fourth-quarter meltdown, with his final pick going back for a TD in the last minute.

The SU winner has cashed in each of the 49ers’ last 21 games, and the winner is also 9-1 ATS in the Giants’ last 10 starts (5-1 this year).

New York is on a 4-0 ATS run (2-2 SU) in four meetings this decade with San Francisco, including a 33-15 home rout last year laying 9½ points.

The Giants are still 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games and sport additional ATS streaks of 5-0 after a SU loss, 4-0 after a pointspread setback and 20-8-1 against the NFC. Conversely, the 49ers haven’t got a positive ATS trend to speak of, shouldering pointspread slides of 2-5 overall, 0-6 outside the NFC West, 1-5 against winning teams, 8-23-1 in the Eastern time zone and 4-11 in conference games.

For New York, the over is on runs of 4-0 overall (all against losing teams), 7-2 at home and 5-2 following a Monday night appearance. The over is also 5-2 in San Francisco’s last seven against winning teams.

ATS ADVANTAGE: N.Y. GIANTS and OVER


Detroit (0-5, 1-4 ATS) at Houston (1-4 SU and ATS)

The winless Lions travel to Reliant Stadium for a non-conference matchup with the Texans, who finally cracked the win column last week.

Detroit let one get away last week in a pedestrian 12-10 loss to Minnesota as a heavy 13-point underdog, losing on a field goal in the last minute following a controversial pass interference penalty. The Lions put up just 212 total yards, while allowing 392, but they led most of the game by winning the turnover battle 3-1. QB Dan Orlovsky (12 of 21, 150 yards, 1 TD), making his first career start, took an unusual first-quarter safety, inadvertently running outside the back of the end zone for several yards while scrambling on a pass play, ultimately leading to the game-deciding points.

Houston broke through with a 29-28 win over Miami, winning on QB Matt Schaub’s 3-yard run in the game’s final seconds but failing to cover as a three-point home chalk. Schaub (22 of 42, 379 yards, 1 TD, 2 INTs) led a Texans offense that racked up 485 total yards, which helped offset a 4-1 turnover deficit, and WR Andre Johnson went off with 10 catches for 178 yards and a TD.

These teams have met just once, with Detroit claiming a 28-16 home win as a three-point favorite in 2004.

The Lions are on a bevy of ATS slides, including 1-7 overall, 2-8 on the highway, 1-5 after a SU loss, 4-11-1 after a spread-cover and 4-9 against losing teams. Likewise, the Texans are on pointspread skids of 0-7 in October and 10-21 after a SU win, but they are 4-1 ATS in their last five against losing teams and have cashed in eight of their last 12 at Reliant Stadium.

The over for Detroit is on runs of 8-3 overall and 8-3 in roadies, and the over for Houston is on a 9-1 tear overall (5-0 this year) and is 4-1 in its last five at home and 6-0 in its last six on grass.

ATS ADVANTAGE: HOUSTON and OVER

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Re: NFL: GAMEDAY NEWS AND NOTES 10/19

N.Y. Jets (3-2 SU and ATS) at Oakland (1-4, 2-3 ATS)

Brett Favre leads the Jets on a trip to the West Coast for a matchup against the Raiders at McAfee Coliseum.

New York dropped winless Cincinnati 26-14 and got the cash as a 9½-point home favorite last Sunday, making the SU winner 5-0 ATS in Jets games this season. Favre (25 of 33, 189 yards, 1 TD, 2 INTs) had a mediocre outing, and New York lost the turnover battle 3-1, but the defense shut out Cincy in the second half and yielded just 171 total yards, and the Jets finished with a nearly 12-minute edge in time of possession.

Oakland, playing its first game under newly appointed head coach Tom Cable, came out of its bye and got flattened 34-3 at New Orleans as a seven-point pup. QB JaMarcus Russell was a putrid 13 of 35 for 159 yards passing, with no TDs and one INT, and the Raiders finished with just 226 total yards while allowing the Saints to roll up 441 yards.

New York is 3-1-1 ATS in its last five meetings with Oakland, winning the last three games SU (2-1 ATS), including a 23-3 rout as a 13-point home chalk two years ago. The home team is on a 4-1-1 ATS run in the last six contests.

The Jets are on pointspread streaks of 4-1 on the highway and 10-5 as a non-division chalk, but they are on ATS skids of 2-6 coming off a SU win and 2-6 against losing teams. Oakland’s plethora of negative pointspread trends include 28-57-1 overall, 2-11 at home (0-2 this year), 16-37-1 after a non-cover and 19-43-1 after a SU loss.

The under for New York is on runs of 7-2 overall, 6-0 after a SU win, 8-0 after a spread-cover and 7-1 against AFC foes. On the flip side, the over for Oakland is on stretches of 9-3 overall, 5-1 versus the AFC and 4-1 at home.

ATS ADVANTAGE: N.Y. JETS


Cleveland (2-3, 3-2 ATS) at Washington (4-2 SU and ATS)

The Redskins, coming off a stunning loss, look to rebound when they host the Browns at FedEx Field.

Washington was a heavy 12-point home chalk against winless St. Louis last Sunday, but came up short in a 19-17 loss, ending a 4-0 SU and ATS surge. The Redskins rallied from a 10-point fourth-quarter deficit to take a 17-16 lead, but the Rams won it on a 49-yard field goal as time expired. Washington held St. Louis to just 200 yards while gaining 368, but the Redskins also lost the turnover battle, 3-1.

Cleveland was part of an upset last week, as well, whipping the New York Giants 35-14 catching nine points at home Monday for its second straight win and cover. QB Derek Anderson was a steady 18 of 29 for a season-best 310 yards with two TDS and no INTs, as the Browns finished with no turnovers and rolled up a 454-373 total yardage edge. Cleveland also forced three turnovers, including Eric Wright’s game-clinching 94-yard INT return for a TD late in the fourth quarter.

These teams have met just once in regular-season play this decade, with Cleveland winning 17-13 as a three-point home favorite in 2004.

The Redskins are on ATS runs of 4-1 overall and 4-1 at home, but they also carry pointspread slumps of 0-4-1 as a non-conference home chalk and 2-10-1 against losing teams. The Browns are on positive ATS streaks of 15-5 overall, 13-3 against winning teams, 6-2 after a SU win and 7-3 following a spread-cover.

The over for Washington is on a 6-2 stretch following a SU loss and is 8-2-1 in Cleveland’s last 11 against winning teams, but the under for the Browns is on runs of 9-2 overall and 4-1 on the highway.

ATS ADVANTAGE: WASHINGTON


Indianapolis (3-2 SU and ATS) at Green Bay (3-3 SU and ATS)

The Colts, seemingly back on track after a slow start, travel to Lambeau Field for a non-conference clash against the Packers.

Indianapolis blasted Baltimore 31-3 as a four-point home favorite. QB Peyton Manning (19 of 28, 271 yards, 3 TDs, 0 INTs) had his best overall outing of the year, and he got plenty of defensive help, as Indy won the turnover battle by a lopsided 5-0 count.

Green Bay posted a 27-17 win at Seattle getting one point, shaking a three-game SU and ATS slide in the process, and the SU winner is on an eye-opening 23-0-1 spread-covering run in the Pack’s last 24 games. QB Aaron Rodgers (21 of 30, 208 yards, 2 TDs, 0 INTs) was solid enough, and the Packers held the ball for over 37 minutes, aided by a defense that allowed just 177 total yards.

The SU winner is an eye-popping 23-0-1 ATS in Green Bay’s last 24 games overall and 9-1 ATS in Indy’s last 10.

These teams haven’t met since 2004, when Indy won a 45-31 shootout giving 6½ points at home.

The Packers are on ATS runs of 17-7-1 overall, 12-5 after a SU win and 11-5 after a spread-cover, though they are on pointspread hiccups of 2-6 at home against AFC foes and 1-4 against winning teams. The Colts, meanwhile, sport ATS streaks of 10-2 against the NFC, 4-1 in roadies and 9-4 after a SU win.

The over for Green Bay is on tears of 21-8-1 overall, 10-1 on grass, 7-1 at Lambeau and 6-1 against winning teams.

ATS ADVANTAGE: INDIANAPOLIS and OVER


Seattle (1-4 SU and ATS) at Tampa Bay (4-2, 5-1 ATS)

The Buccaneers try to keep their spread-covering streak intact when they face the Seahawks in a prime-time Sunday battle at Raymond James Stadium.

Tampa Bay ripped Carolina 27-3 as a one-point home chalk, bagging the cash for the fifth straight week (4-1 SU). QB Jeff Garcia returned to action and was an efficient 15 of 20 for 173 yards and a TD, and Tampa finished with a nearly 10-minute edge in time of possession. The Bucs also forced three turnovers while committing none.

Seattle fell to Green Bay 27-17 giving one point at home for its second consecutive SU and ATS setback. Backup QB Charlie Frye, subbing for the injured Matt Hasselbeck, somehow tossed two TD passes despite an ugly 12-for-23, 88-yard, 2-INT passing effort. The Seahawks mustered just 177 total yards and had a 15-minute deficit in time of possession.

The SU winner has cashed in each of Seattle’s last 20 games and 22 of Tampa’s last 23 outings.

Seattle opened the 2007 season with a 20-6 rout of the Bucs as a six-point home favorite, improving to 3-0 SU and ATS against Tampa in the last four years.

Along with their current 5-0 ATS streak, the Buccaneers are on pointspread runs of 9-3 at home, 16-8-1 as a non-division home chalk, 5-0 on grass and 4-0 in conference play. Meanwhile, Seattle has struggled against the number on cross-country trips, going 4-14 ATS in their last 18 games in the Eastern time zone, and they are in further ATS ruts of 1-5 overall, 0-5 on the highway, 1-4 against the NFC and 1-4 against winning teams.

The under is 5-0 in the last five meetings between these NFC rivals. Conversely, the over for Tampa Bay is on runs of 6-0 against losing teams, 6-1 after a SU win and 7-3 against the NFC, and the over for Seattle is on streaks of 7-0-1 overall, 4-0 on the road, 4-0 against winning teams and 6-0-1 against NFC foes.

ATS ADVANTAGE: TAMPA BAY

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Re: NFL: GAMEDAY NEWS AND NOTES 10/19

Early NFL Action
By Josh Jacobs

Instead of meandering through the usual introduction about how this team is doing or how underdogs have faired, let’s cut right to the chase. Which of the following matchups will yield maximum dollars at 1:00 p.m. EDT and more importantly, are there any teams that look like automatic fades even before the opening kickoff takes place?

Baltimore (-3, 36.5) at Miami

The most alarming trend causing sour stomachs for backers is Miami’s 0-10 against the spread stint off a straight up loss and favored in the next contest. The Dolphins are coming off a heartbreaking 29-28 Week 6 loss which had Houston scoring a three-yard TD with three seconds left on the game clock in the fourth quarter.

Miami has improved drastically in the offensive department from last season. This was the same Dolphins squad that averaged 16.7 PPG with 287.5 total yards per game in 2007, only to up the ante with 21.4 PPG posted with a 10th best 346.8 YPG averaged in 2008. There’s plenty of areas that have been improved upon but adding quarterback Chad Pennington (1,101 passing yards with five TDs and two INTs) to the mix and shuffling up RB Ronnie Browns’ (336 rushing yards with seven big scores) assignments have been integral (using RB Rickie Williams to compliment Brown has been a success story in its own).

The Ravens bring with them one of the deepest defenses that the NFL has bared witness to. Baltimore ranks No. 1 in allowing a total of 220.8 YPG, is No. 1 against the run (66.4 YPG), against the pass (154.4 YPG) and No. 6 in points allowed (17.4 PPG). But there’s just no balance inside the huddle with the Ravens gaining a 25th worst 283.6 total YPG (150.6 YPG through the air), while scoring a 28th worst 15.6 PPG. About the only positive on offense is 133.2 YPG gained on the ground.

A true test of Baltimore defense steel versus a revamped Miami offense should make for an interesting matchup in sunny South Florida.

The Dolphins are 11-28-1 ATS in their last 40 home games.

San Francisco (+10.5, 46) at N.Y. Giants

As expressed in last week’s MNF preview on Vegasinsider.com, the Giants faced being brought down from the upper limits of the atmosphere when they traveled to Cleveland. Well, the inevitable took place and now New York finds itself fending off some of the same criticism it faced early on in 2007.

Big Blue signal caller Eli Manning’s (1,228 passing yards with seven TDs) TD to INT ration is now standing at 7/8, a figure that NFL fans and bettors are more accustomed to from years past. The meltdown in Ohio had Manning overthrowing or telegraphing three passes for picks, including crafting the coming out party for Browns’ cornerback Eric Wright (he took one of Eli’s INT passes to house on a 94-yard return).

We can point a thousand fingers in the direction of the Giants' offense, defense (not one sack was recorded in the blowout loss in Cleveland) and special teams but this is a club that gravitates towards negative publicity.

New York is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 October contests and 7-2 ATS in its last nine games played on grass.

Easily the deadliest weapon on the 49ers hails from Miami, Florida. Running back Frank Gore has rallied for 524 rushing yards with five TDs (one receiving score). QB J.T. O’Sullivan has thrown eight picks on the season but there’s no doubt that San Fran is finally on the right path in the passing department. Veteran wide out Isaac Bruce has also risen to the occasion with four scores TDs on 14 receptions.

Problem for 49ers’ backers is the team’s 2-7 ATS report in the last nine road games and a 4-11 ATS record in its last 15 games versus the NFC. But in all fairness, San Francisco might be in the midst of climbing out of a hole that it’s dug for itself in so many seasons.

The 49ers are 6-4 SU in their last 10 versus New York but are 3-7 ATS. New York has gone 4-0 ATS in their last four head-to-head meetings.

Pittsburgh (-9.5, 35.5) at Cincinnati

Coming off back-to-back wins and a much needed bye week, the Steelers look like the obvious choice to win straight out when they pair up against the tamed Bengals. Although Pittsburgh was able to wrangle up the stiff Jaguars (26-21) and defensively oriented Ravens (23-20), the point differences this season have been razor thin. Pitt has been able to pull out its last three ‘Ws’ by outscoring opponents by a close score of 59-47.

Expressed in every NFL weekly preview, the Steelers QB Ben Roethlisberger has been floored for 18 sacks this season (19th worst in the NFL), helping to suppress his throwing numbers to 947 yards. Running back Willie Parker’s status for Sunday continues to be a lingering problem which means that the depleted backfield might have Mewelde Morre (118 rushing yards) participating in the big role.

QB Ryan Fitzpatrick will make his third start in a Bengals' uniform but expectations continue to be low. His completion percentage has been ok (60.5) but three picks thrown in Week 4’s loss versus Cleveland (20-12) and zero TDs delivered in the 26-14 loss against the Jets continues to place major doubt in the minds of bettors.

On top of the offensive uncertainties and stigmas how can the Bengals facilitate an ATS win, let alone a ‘W’ in the standings when its defense is equally as poor? We’re talking about a group who’s defended the pass with success (167.3 YPG) but its opponents have ran out of town with 156.8 YPG (28th worst in the NFL). With only five sacks (31st worst) and four interceptions recorded, we’re talking about a Cincinnati team struggling from the front seven to the entire secondary.

With such a low total invest some time looking at trends and matchups. The Steelers have gone ‘over’ the total seven times in their last nine overall. The ‘over’ has also been recorded at 11-5-1 in Pittsburgh’s last 17 versus the AFC North.

Minnesota (+3, 37.5) at Chicago

The Vikings have been despicable in Game 7’s with as an 0-5 ATS slide indicates. Top that off with a ticket tearing 2-14 ATS free fall in Minnesota’s last 16 as road underdogs versus a team coming off a SU and ATS loss.

Chicago is that opponent coming off a terrible defeat in Atlanta last Sunday by the score of 22-20. While the Bears have locked down the running game all season by allowing just 74.3 YPG (446 total running yards allowed), Hawks’ signal caller Matt Ryan exposed Chi-Town’s secondary for 301 passing yards with one TD pass. It might seem elementary, but the Bears have allowed 26 ½-points per game in its last six defeats compared to giving up a suffocating 12 ½-PPG in their last four wins.

Minnesota is coming off what could be described as one of the most lackluster contests of the season. In a 12-10 win in Detroit, the Vikings had problems posting scores on the board even with RB Adrian Peterson racking up 111 yards and WR Bernard Berrian adding 131 receiving yards with a score to the stat sheet.

Once again, expect to witness a defensive deadlock as both Chicago’s QB Kyle Orton and Minnesota’s Gus Frerotte will look to keep things simple in the passing department.

With both organizations tied up at 3 wins apiece in the NFC North, this divisional throw down is sure to conjure up some heated exchanges.

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Re: NFL: GAMEDAY NEWS AND NOTES 10/19

Early NFL Action, Part II
By Judd Hall

Tennessee Titans at Kansas City Chiefs (+9, 35)

The Titans probably didn’t want to see the open date come last Sunday after opening up the year with a 5-0 SU and ATS record. The week off may have been a blessing in disguise for Jeff Fisher’ squad after they barely escaped Baltimore with a 13-10 victory as one-point road favorites. Kerry Collins is still penciled in to be Tennessee’s starting quarterback, but Vince Young is looming in his rear view mirror. Regardless of who will be under center, they could be down two wide receivers as Justin McCareins (hamstring) and Justin Gage (knee) are both listed as “questionable.”

Kansas City couldn’t have been happier to see the bye come on its schedule. The Chiefs entered the week off after being totally dominated by Carolina in Week 5, 34-0. With such an embarrassing defeat, you know knew there would be some form of change. Running back Larry Johnson is “out” this Sunday after violating team rules, leaving former Longhorn Jamaal Charles to handle the rushing duties. Brodie Croyle will return under center for KC this week, after missing four games from a separated shoulder. He claims to be fine right now, but could change when you face a defense that is giving up just 267.8 yards per game. Let alone the fact that the Titans average three sacks per game.

One saving grace for the Chiefs is they’re 1-0 ATS when listed as home underdogs this season and 6-4 ATS since 2005. Tennessee is 2-4 SU and 1-5 ATS in their last six tilts with clubs from the AFC West.

San Diego Chargers at Buffalo Bills (-1, 44)

Norv Turner wanted to make sure his Chargers were ready to exact some revenge last Sunday. And they did just that in primetime as six-point home favorites against New England, 30-10. Yet that win came at a price as wideout Chris Chambers (ankle) is “doubtful” for this week’s contest. On the plus side, rushers LaDainian Tomlinson (toe) and Darren Sproles (ankle) are both “probable” to play in Buffalo.

The Bills are coming off of a much needed week off after getting torched 41-17 at Arizona in Week 5. That game went against Buffalo early as signal caller Trent Edwards went down with a concussion. Edwards has made practice all week and is looking fine as the Bills head into Sunday.

This is the first time the Chargers will be road pups this season, but it is a role that suits them since they’re 4-5 SU and 5-2 ATS since 2005. The Bills are 10-3 SU and 9-4 ATS when a home favorite in the last 13 times they’ve found themselves in that role. Plus, Buffalo is 5-2 SU and 7-0 ATS when playing off of a bye week in the last three seasons.

New Orleans Saints at Carolina Panthers (-3, 44½)

Drew Brees and the Saints are riding high after destroying Oakland last Sunday at home, 34-3. The Purdue graduate rarely missed his targets, completing 26 of 30 passes for 320 yards and three touchdowns. What should make the New Orleans attack more potent is rusher Reggie Bush (knee), wide out Marques Colston (thumb) and tight end Jeremy Shockey (hernia) are all listed as “probable.”

Carolina is happy to come back home after getting waxed by the Buccaneers, 27-3, as a 1 ½-point road underdog. A big reason for the Panthers’ woes is the fact they only gain 3.6 yards per carry this season, 27th in the league. If John Fox’s team expects to win, they’ll need their defense to keep up the pace by allowing just 264.5 YPG.

New Orleans is 0-2 ATS when coming off of a win this year. The ‘under’ is 13-6 when the Panthers are tabbed as home favorites.

Dallas Cowboys at St. Louis Rams (+7, 44)

If you go by the media, the Cowboys are desperately in need of a win this week. I guess that’s what happens when you fall at Arizona in overtime, 30-24. It could also have something to do with Tony Romo (finger) still on the fence for this week’s matchup, currently listed as “questionable.” Regardless of Romo playing or not, backup QB Brad Johnson will get some playing time on Sunday…his first since playing in Week 17 of last year. They’ll have a new target to play with after WR Roy Williams came over from Detroit to eliminate the double coverage issues that have plagues Terrell Owens.

St. Louis is downright giddy after coming through as an 11 ½-point road underdog in its 19-17 win versus the Redskins. Then reality slaps the Rams in the face as tackle Orlando Pace (thigh) is “questionable.” Meanwhile, Marc Bulger (finger) is “probable” to call the signals for the Rams’ offense.

Recent history shows it will rough afternoon for the Rams as they’re 6-3 SU and ATS when facing off against NFC East teams. Dallas is 13-2 SU and 9-5 ATS when coming off of a defeat the previous week.

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Re: NFL: GAMEDAY NEWS AND NOTES 10/19

Four at Four
By Brian Edwards

**Lions at Texans**

--Most books are listing Houston (1-4 straight up, 1-3-1 against the spread) as a nine-point favorite with a total of 47. Bettors can back the Lions to win their first game for a plus 350 return (risk $100 to win $350).

--Detroit (0-5 SU, 1-4 ATS) had lost every game by 13 points or more until last week, when it led virtually the entire game before losing a 12-10 decision at Minnesota. Ryan Longwell booted a game-winning field goal as time expired to lift the Vikings to victory (and allow me to stay alive in my Eliminator League). The Lions did take the cash, however, as 13 ½-point underdogs.

--Detroit has dealt with its share of drama in recent weeks. During the open date preceding a 34-7 home loss to Chicago, team President and GM Matt Millen was belatedly shown the door. This past week, starting QB Jon Kitna was put on injured reserve with a back injury, while mercurial WR Roy Williams was traded to Dallas for future draft picks. And of course, head coach Rod Marinelli looks like a lame duck.

--The Lions are 0-3 SU and 1-2 ATS on the road this season. Dating back to 2006, Detroit is an atrocious 5-14 ATS as a road underdog.

--Houston captured its first win of the season last week by taking out Miami 29-28. Matt Schaub’s three-yard touchdown run with three seconds left lifted the Texans to a wild victory. They needed an incredible 23-yard catch by Andre Johnson on fourth and 10 on the game-winning drive. The Dolphins took the money, though, as three-point road underdogs.

--Johnson had 10 catches for 178 yards and one TD against the ‘Fins. For the season, Johnson has 34 receptions for 488 yards and two TDs. He has nine catches or more in three of Houston’s five games.

--Houston is 1-1 SU and 0-1-1 ATS this year. Before the win over Miami, the Texas blew a 17-point lead in the fourth quarter of a 31-27 loss to Indianapolis.

--The ‘under’ is 3-2 overall for the Lions, 2-1 in their road games. They have seen three straight ‘unders,’ as their offense has put up just 10 points per game.

--The ‘over’ is a perfect 5-0 for the Texans.

**Jets at Raiders**

--Most spots have installed New York (3-2 SU, 3-2 ATS) as a three-point favorite with a total of 41. As of Saturday afternoon, most books were requiring gamblers to lay at least a minus 120 price to back the Jets. Obviously, oddsmakers are reluctant to come off of the key number of three. The Raiders are plus 150 on the money line.

--The Jets have won back-to-back games both SU and ATS at home, beating Arizona 56-35 and Cincinnati 26-14. Thomas Jones ran for a pair of touchdowns and caught a TD pass from Brett Favre to lead his team into the win column. Eric Mangini’s team covered the number as a 9 ½-point home ‘chalk.’

--Oakland (1-4 SU, 2-3 ATS) has lost three in a row and looked horrible in its first game without Lane Kiffin, a 34-3 defeat at New Orleans as a seven-point underdog.

--New York QB Brett Favre has been outstanding, completing 71.3 percent of his passes for 1,124 yards with a 13/6 touchdown-interception ratio. His play has made the Jets the fifth-most prolific scoring offense in the NFL with a 28.2 points per game average.

--Favre has a 4-0 lifetime record with 11 TD passes against the Raiders. This is his first trip to Oakland since his classic MNF performance in 2003, when he threw for 399 yards and four TDs in a 41-7 victory.

--During Mangini’s three-year tenure, the Jets have only been road favorites three times, posting a 2-1 spread record.

--The Raiders are an abysmal 5-15 ATS as home underdogs since 2004. They have lost four in a row at home and 12 of their last 14 (SU, that is).

--How bad has Oakland’s offense been lately? The Raiders have gone 103 straight plays without a touchdown.

--The ‘under’ is 3-2 overall for the Jets, 1-1 in their road assignments.

--Oakland has watched the ‘under’ go 3-2 overall, but the ‘over’ has cashed in both of their home games.

**Browns at Redskins**

--Most books are listing Washington (4-2 SU, 4-2 ATS) as a 7½-point ‘chalk’ with a total of 42. The Browns are plus 250 on the money line.

--Jim Zorn’s team saw its four-game winning streak (both SU and ATS) snapped last week when St. Louis beat the Redskins, 19-17. The Rams won outright as 11 ½-point road underdogs thanks to Josh Brown’s 49-yard field goal.

--Cleveland (2-3 SU, 3-2 ATS) is off its best performance of the year, seemingly returning to its 2007 form in a 35-14 win over the Giants as an eight-point home underdog. Derek Anderson was sensational with 310 passing yards, 225 in the first half. He wasn’t sacked and didn’t commit a turnover, as Cleveland produced 454 yards of total offense and didn’t punt for the first time since 1995. Braylon Edwards had five receptions for a career-high 154 yards and two touchdowns.

--Before picking apart the Giants, Anderson was in jeopardy of losing his starting job to Brady Quinn. Even with last week’s performance, he still has a mediocre 5/6 TD-INT ratio.

--Washington QB Jason Campbell has a 6/0 TD-INT ratio. Clinton Portis leads the NFL in rushing yards (643), averaging 4.7 yards per carry with six rushing TDs.

--Since 2006, Washington is 4-8-1 ATS as a home favorite.

--The ‘under’ is 4-2 overall for the ‘Skins, 2-1 in their road games. Meanwhile, the Browns have watched the ‘under’ go 3-2 overall, 1-1 in their road outings.

**Colts at Packers**

--Most spots have installed Indianapolis (3-2 SU, 2-2-1 ATS) as a one-point favorite with a total of 47. The Colts are off their best game of the year, a 31-3 clubbing of Baltimore as four-point home ‘chalk.’

--Peyton Manning threw for 271 yards and three TDs without an interception against the Ravens. For the year, Manning has an 8/5 TD-INT ratio. He will face a Packers secondary that's ranked seventh in the NFL and features Charles Woodson, who leads the league in interceptions with four.

--Green Bay (3-3 SU, 3-3 ATS) snapped a three-game losing streak with last week’s 27-17 win at Seattle as a one-point underdog. Aaron Rodgers played well despite a shoulder injury for the second straight week. He completed 21-of-30 throws for 208 yards, two TDs and zero interceptions.

--Rodgers is completing better than 64 percent of his passes with an 11/4 TD-INT ratio.

--The Packers are 2-6 ATS as home underdogs during Mike McCarthy’s three-year tenure.

--Indy RB Joseph Addai is “doubtful” with a hamstring injury and gamblers shouldn’t expect to see him in uniform. Rookie Mike Hart from out of Michigan is also out after going on IR this week. That leaves the rushing load to Dominick Rhodes, who is averaging just 3.3 YPC. The Colts are last in the NFL in rushing, producing just 69.4 yards on the ground per game.

**B.E.’s Bonus Nuggets**

--How good is Miami QB Chad Pennington playing? He has the second-best QB rating (98.8) of his career so far this year, in addition to a 5/2 TD-INT ratio.

--I’m going with the Giants as my Eliminator pick this week. There are 13 players (of 111) still vying for the prize.

--Carolina has the NFL’s best ‘under’ record at 4-1-1.

--For our purposes, Tennessee is the only team still perfect ATS at 5-0.

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Re: NFL: GAMEDAY NEWS AND NOTES 10/19

Seahawks at Buccaneers
By Judd Hall

When the schedule makers sent the Seahawks to Tampa Bay this week, NBC figured it was worthy of the national spotlight. After all, Seattle had won the NFC West for four straight seasons and the Buccaneers were defending NFC South champs. Unfortunately only one of the two teams is living up to the billing that was expected.

Seattle wasn’t supposed to be just 1-4 straight and against the spread at this point of the season. Then again, the Seahawks weren’t supposed to be able to provide the guest stars for M.A.S.H. on their roster either.

Mike Holmgren has seen his top wide receiver, Nate Burleson, go down for the season with a torn ACL in Week 1. Then watched Deion Branch (heel) hit the field once this season before having to be listed as “out” for this week. The most recent nail in the coffin came when quarterback Matt Hasselbeck (back) went “out” after the game versus the Giants.

The ‘Hawks weren’t worried as much as they could be with Hasselbeck’s injury since they have a quite capable backup signal caller in Seneca Wallace. Yet Wallace injured his calf in last week’s practices, leading to third-stringer Charlie Frye to face the Packers at Qwest Field.

Not much was expected of Frye for Seattle, who lost as a one-point home favorite, 27-17. And he didn’t do anything to impress either as he completed 12 of 23 of his passes for a paltry 82 yards for two touchdowns and a pair of second half interceptions…the worst production the Seahawks have had from a quarterback since 2001.

Wallace is expected to be under center this week and will get a boost from Koren Robinson being in the lineup at wide receiver. If anything, this duo will help a passing attack that is the worst in the NFL, averaging just 151.8 yards per game through the air. And Wallace’s grasp of the offense will be helpful in fighting against a defense that leads the league with 11 interceptions.

As bad as things have been passing the ball, Seattle’s ground game what truly will determine if it will be in the game or not. The Seahawks have the fifth best rushing attack in the league, averaging 137.2 YPG. Their biggest offseason acquisition, Julius Jones, has ran for 417 yards on 90 carries so far this year. It will be interesting to see if Jones can register his third 100-yard game this season against the Bucs, who have yet to allow a running back to hit the century mark…let alone give up a rushing touchdown.

Tampa Bay is coming off a big 27-3 win over the Panthers as a slight one-point home “chalk.” Jeff Garcia did exactly what was needed, connecting on 15 of 20 passes for 173 yards, one scores and (most importantly) no turnovers. That performance has given Garcia the chance to start his second straight game. Well that and Brian Griese (elbow) sitting “out.” Jon Gruden’s passing scheme should be able to take advantage of a Seahawk secondary that has allowed nine touchdowns so far.

The Buccaneers were successful on the ground as Warrick Dunn contributed to the effort by carrying 22 times for 115 yards last Sunday. Not bad considering they’re still missing fullback B.J. Askew (hamstring), who will be “out” for this week as well. Tampa should run rampant against since the ‘Hawks rank 23rd in rush defense, giving up 126.2 YPG.

Seattle has gone 0-2 SU and ATS on the road this season, getting outscored 78-16 in the process. Meanwhile, the ‘over’ has hit in both matches away from home for the Seahawks.

The Buccaneers are 3-0 SU and ATS at Raymond James Stadium, with the ‘under’ going 2-1.

It might seem hard to believe at the moment, but the Seahawks have owned Tampa Bay in the head-to-head series. Seattle is on a 5-1 SU and 4-2 ATS run versus the Bucs. That includes the ‘Hawks going 3-0 SU and ATS in the past three meetings. Also, the ‘under’ has cashed tickets in the past contests between these brothers in expansion.

The sportsbooks have listed the Buccaneers as 10½-point home favorites with a total of 38. Both numbers have yet to deviate more than a half-point during the week.

Favorites haven’t fared all that well on Sunday Night Football, as evidenced by their 4-3 SU and 3-4 ATS. The ‘under’ is 5-2 for the NBC centerpiece.

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Re: NFL: GAMEDAY NEWS AND NOTES 10/19

Total Talk - Week 7
By Chris David

Week 6 Recap

Finally, the reign of ‘over’ tickets was defeated in Week 6 as the ‘under’ prevailed to a 9-4 record. The ‘over’ still holds a 47-39 (54.7%) edge on the season and that number will probably get closer to 50 percent as year winds down. Of the 13 games, 11 had totals of 40-plus points. The two games that had numbers below the 40-point plateau went ‘under’ the total. Gamblers who played the ‘over’ in the Cowboys-Cardinals game were extended an early Christmas gift last Sunday. The number closed at 53 1/2 points after opening at 49. The game was tied 7-7 at half but wound up going to overtime with the score knotted at 24-24. Sure enough, the old fashioned punt block touchdown helped Arizona win 30-24, which pushed the contest ‘over’ the total.

Handicapping Totals

Picking sides in the NFL is a science and not many people are good at it and that’s why the books continue to make money every season. Playing totals in pro football can be just as difficult, so we decided to get some advice from one of the top handicappers on VI this year, Scott Pritchard (66%, +935).

“When playing totals, there are a number of variables that come into play. Adverse weather will neutralize talent, which is always a shade towards the UNDER. And it’s a stronger UNDER play when you have two teams that would much rather run than pass anyway,“ said Pritchard.

It’s still early in the season that weather hasn’t played a role yet but that should change in a couple weeks, especially up North. For Week 7, keep an eye on the Packers-Colts matchup, which could see bad weather.
   
Pritchard added, “Another angle that leans to an UNDER play is the projected blowout situation. Whenever a much better team is favored by double digits, it will present an UNDER play as well because you will have one team that generally will get up early and have enough points to win. The underdog is incapable of scoring and it’s always a good situation when one team isn’t even looking to score and the other team can’t score. One club that fits the criteria would be Kansas City.”

The Chiefs (+7.5) are once again underdogs this weekend, this time at home to Tennessee. The ‘over/under’ on this battle has been set at 35 ½ points, which is the second lowest total on the board this week. The Titans have held four of their first five opponents to under 12 points, while the Chiefs have only been able to muster up 15 or more points once in five games. Both teams should be prepared off the bye, plus K.C. will be without running back Larry Johnson (suspension) on Sunday.

As mentioned above in the recap, the ‘over’ has been cashing more often than the ‘under’ this year and Scott puts stock into turnovers when making an ‘over’ play.

Pritchard explained, “I simply look for teams that force turnovers playing teams that tend to give the ball away. No matter which way you slice it, turnovers lead to points and that’s the bottom line.”

High for a Reason

Houston at Detroit (47): The Texans have put up 29, 27 and 27 in their last three games and face a Detroit defense that is suspect. Houston’s defense isn’t that good either, giving up 31.6 point  per game after five battles. Houston has watched the ‘over’ go 5-0 this year, but the Lions have seen the last three games go ‘under’, largely because their offense has been decimated with injuries and cohesion. Detroit has put up 13, 7 and 10 in its last three games and some might wonder if they can any better than that on the road.

San Francisco at N.Y. Giants (46): The 49ers defense has fallen apart the past three weeks, giving up 31, 30 and 40 points. This week, they face a Giants team that is looking to explode after being held to 14 points on MNF to the Browns. The ‘over’ is on a 4-0 run for New York after watching the Week 1 opener go ‘under’. San Francisco has shown the ability to run and pass the football but it's been forced to kick nine field goals in the red zone.

Indianapolis at Green Bay (47): The Colts busted out last week with a 31-point performance against the Ravens. Now Peyton Manning and Indy face a Green Bay team that has allowed 19, 27 and 27 at home this year. Neither team has been able to establish the run this season, which means the ball could be in the air often on Sunday. Check weather reports on this game as precipitation is expected late.

Monday Night Fireworks

We know this section could be getting redundant but it’s hard not to be amazed by the ‘over’ run on Monday Night Football. After seven games played in the primetime slot, the ‘over’ is an eye opening 7-0 on the year. And for the most part, theses games haven’t even been close with exception to Week 1, when the Packers-Vikings and Broncos-Raiders games both got nice second-half outputs.

This week, the Broncos battle the Patriots from Foxboro and the oddsmakers have hung a number of 48 on the board. Denver saw its first four games go ‘over’ the total but the offense has posted 16 and 17 points, while the defense has allowed 13 and 24 in the last two games. The result is an ‘under’ streak of 2-0. The Patriots’ defense has been hit or miss this year, giving up a combined 41 points in their three victories and allowing 68 points in their losses. If you’re into trends and angles, then perhaps you go New England and the ‘under’ and vice versa with Denver and the ‘over’.

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Re: NFL: GAMEDAY NEWS AND NOTES 10/19

NFL poolies' cheat sheet: Week 7
By SHAWN HARTLEN

San Diego at Buffalo (+1)

Why Chargers cover: Are 6-1-1 ATS in their last eight road games. Have won six of last eight against Bills. Philip Rivers (1489 yards, 14 TDs) will face a banged up Bills secondary.

Why Bills cover: Are 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven games following a bye week. Should get QB Trent Edwards (3-1 ATS) back from concussion suffered in Week 5. Marshawn Lynch loves playing in Buffalo where he averages close to 90 yards rushing per game.

Total (44.5): Over is 4-1 in the last five meetings.

New Orleans at Carolina (-3)

Why Saints cover: Are 6-0 ATS in their last six contests in Carolina. Drew Brees (1993 yards, 12 TDs) is having an MVP-calibre season. Road team is 14-2 ATS in the last 16 matchups.

Why Panthers cover: Have won four of last five meetings. Steve Smith has seven TDs in his last six games versus New Orleans.

Total (45): Under is 6-1 in the last seven between these two teams and 5-0 in the last five played in Carolina.

Minnesota at Chicago (-3)

Why Vikings cover: Are 3-1 with Gus Frerotte at quarterback. Underdog is 17-8 ATS in the last 25 head-to-head battles. Bears have a knack for giving away games in the fourth quarter. Adrian Peterson rushed for 224 yards and three scores last game against Chicago.

Why Bears cover: Home team is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 contests. Offense is getting progressively better under the maturation of QB Kyle Orton. Matt Forte leads all rookie running backs with 459 rushing yards. Vikings are 1-4 ATS in their last five trips to Chicago.

Total (37.5):  Over is 4-1-1 in Vikings’ last six road games.
 
Pittsburgh at Cincinnati (+9.5)

Why Steelers cover: Have won last three meetings. Are 4-1 ATS in their last five against the Bengals and 6-0-1 ATS in the last seven games played in Cincinnati. Ryan Fitzpatrick (57.7 QB rating) will fill in again for the injured Carson Palmer. Banged up Ben Roethlisberger should be healthier after resting on bye week. Road team is 6-1 ATS in their last seven meetings.

Why Bengals cover: Will turn to former first-round pick Cedric Benson to spark the sputtering running game. Pittsburgh running back Willie Parker, who was expected to return this week, suffered a setback in practice and may be out for this contest.

Total (35.5): Under is 6-1 in the last seven meetings in Cincinnati.

Tennessee at Kansas City (+9)

Why Titans cover: Fourth-ranked defense faces K.C.’s 29th ranked offense. Road team is 4-1 ATS in the previous five contests. LenDale White and Chris Johnson (546 yards, 7 TDs combined) face a Chiefs rush defense that ranks last in the NFL - allowing over 180 yards per game.

Why Chiefs cover: Have won four of last six meetings. Will have QB Brodie Croyle back from shoulder injury. Croyle had his best game as a pro last season against Tennessee, throwing for 217 yards and two touchdowns. Underdog is 4-1 ATS in their last five matchups.

Total (35): Under is 4-0 in Titans’ last four road games.

Baltimore at Miami (-3)

Why Ravens cover: Dolphins’ potent rushing attack could struggle against the Ravens’ top ranked rush defense that hasn’t allowed a 100-yard rusher in their last 24 games. Underdog is 5-1 ATS in their last six games.

Why Dolphins cover: Have won five of six meetings and are 4-0 against the Ravens at home. Baltimore’s rookie QB Joe Flacco has only one TD pass this year to go along with seven interceptions.

Total (37): Under is 5-2 in the last seven times these two faced and 4-1 in the last five played in Miami.

San Francisco at N.Y. Giants (-10.5)

Why 49ers cover: Are 5-2 versus the Giants at the Meadowlands. Eli Manning is suffering from a bruised chest and coming off a three-interception game against the Browns.

Why Giants cover: Are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games. 49ers are 0-4 ATS in their last four meetings and have blown leads in their last three games. J.T. O’Sullivan has been sacked more than any other quarterback.

Total (46): Over is 4-0 in Giants’ last four games.

Dallas at St. Louis (+6.5)

Why Cowboys cover: Added receiver Roy Williams to bolster passing attack. Have won last three meetings in St. Louis. Rams are 1-7 ATS in their last eight games.

Why Rams cover: Won first game under new coach Jim Haslett as 12-point underdogs. Cowboys will be without both QB Tony Romo (finger) and punter Matt McBriar (foot). Veteran Brad Johnson will start at QB. Dallas dealing with distraction of Pacman Jones fiasco. Cowboys are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games.

Total (43.5): Over is 5-0 in Rams’ last five home games and 4-1 in Cowboys’ last five games overall.

Detroit at Houston (-9.5)

Why Lions cover: Held Minnesota to only 12 points in loss last week as 13-point underdogs. Texans are 1-4 ATS in their last five games.

Why Texans cover: Lions are 1-6 ATS in their last seven road games and 1-7 ATS in their last eight games overall. Lions will be without receiver Roy Williams, who was traded to Dallas at the deadline. Dan Orlovsky will start in place of Jon Kitna who was placed on injured reserve, ending his season. Mario Williams (six sacks) goes up against an offensive line that has allowed 22 sacks this season.

Total (47): Over is 8-3 in Lions’ last 11 games and 7-0 in Texans’ last seven games.

Indianapolis at Green Bay (+1)

Why Colts cover: Are 4-1 ATS in their last five road games. Offense finally starting to click after some early season issues. Reggie Wayne had 11 catches for 184 yards and a score in his last game against the Packers.

Why Packers cover: Are 17-7-1 ATS in their last 25 games. Shoulder injury doesn’t seem to be an issue for Aaron Rodgers.  Colts will be without Joseph Addai who has a slightly torn hamstring.

Total (47): Over is 7-1 in Packers’ last eight home games.

N.Y. Jets at Oakland (+3)

Why Jets cover: Have won last three meetings. Brett Favre has gone undefeated (4-0) against the Raiders, throwing for 1188 yards and 11 TDs. Coaching change didn’t matter for Oakland who lost 34-3 to New Orleans last week.

Why Raiders cover: AFC’s top ranked rushing attack faces New York’s 27th ranked rush defense.  Home team is 4-1-1 ATS in their last six meetings.

Total (41): Under is 7-2 in Jets’ last nine games.

Cleveland at Washington (-7)

Why Browns cover: Are 13-3 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Coming off big win against Super Bowl Champs as 9-point underdogs. Derek Anderson (310 yards, 2 TD) and Braylon Edwards (154 yards, TD) finally played up to last season’s form. Clinton Portis will be plying with a strained hip flexor.

Why Redskins cover: Are 4-1 ATS in their last five home games and 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall. Portis has run for over 100 yards in each of his last three games and leads the NFL in rushing. Cleveland is allowing 137 rushing yards per game, 25th in the league.

Total (42): Under is 4-1 in Browns’ last five road games and 9-2 in their last 11 games overall.

Seattle at Tampa Bay (-10.5)

Why Seahawks cover: Have won seven of eight meetings and are 4-1 ATS in their last five. Have held Tampa Bay’s offense to only 9.6 points per game in their last five contests. Road team is 4-1 ATS in their last five meetings.

Why Buccaneers cover: Seattle will be without QB Matt Hasselbeck for the second straight game. Could have deep threat Joey Galloway back from foot injury. Jeff Garcia stepped back into the starting QB position and promptly dismantled the Panthers last week 27-3.

Total (38): Under is 5-0 in the last five meetings.

Denver at New England (-3)

Why Broncos cover: Are 5-1 ATS in their last six meetings and 5-0 ATS in their last five meetings in New England. Patriots are 0-7 ATS in their last seven home games and have allowed 89 points in their last three games. Denver has the AFC’s top rated offense.

Why Patriots cover: Broncos are 1-5 ATS in their last six road games and have the league’s 30th ranked defense. Denver running back Selvin Young could be out again with a groin injury.

Total (48): Over is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings.

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