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SUNDAY PREMIUM SERVICE PLAYS
Re: SUNDAY PREMIUM SERVICE PLAYS
Stu's Sunday 100 Dime Winner
New York (41') at Oakland (+3)
OAKLAND (+3) 100 Dimes
Back at home after an ugly performance last week in New Orleans, Oakland will play its best football of the season in pulling out this outright win over an overrated New York team. The Flyboys were last seen on the road giving up 48 points and being blasted in San Diego. Now, here they are on another long West Coast trip and having to lay points. They were sluggish at home last week against an outclassed Cincy team as New York was only able to average 3.3 yards per carry against a Cincy defense that ranked 28th in the league in run defense. Oakland is capable of shutting down New York’s so-so run game and then make the mistake-prone Brett Favre (three turnovers last week) make plays on the road. The Oakland pass rush has improved in recent weeks and has eight sacks in the last three games. Look for an inspired effort from the Silver & Black stop unit Sunday afternoon. This is Tom Cable’s first home game as the interim head coach for Oakland and I expect he’ll want to get ball into the hands of Darren McFadden, who appears to be healthy after a toe injury slowed him for a bit. New York has been decent stopping the run, but they’re not dominant always as San Diego and Arizona (35 points scored) showed us. JaMarcus Russell has played his best football at home this year and the Oakland coaching staff will put him in better position to make plays in this one. New York is the type of inconsistent team that tends to play up and down to its level of competition. That’s evident by their ATS slide of 2-6 versus teams with losing records as well its 2-6 ATS mark after a straight-up win. The home team is on a 4-1-1 ATS run in this series and an Oakland team playing with a chip on its shoulder will win this one outright.
Indianapolis (47) at Green Bay (+1)
Indianapolis (-1) 100 Dimes
Indy got back on track in throttling Baltimore last week and Peyton Manning & Co. will keep it rolling this afternoon with this win and cover at Lambeau Field. Indy is 10-2 ATS in its last dozen non-conference road games while Green Bay is on spread slides of 2-6 in non-conference home tilts and 1-4 versus teams with winning records. Green Bay is just too beat up in this one, especially in the secondary. Safety Aaron Rouse and cornerback Tramon Williams are out with injuries and cornerback Al Harris and safety Atari Bigby also might not go. That spells trouble because Manning (19-of-28 for 271 yards, 3 TDs, 0 INTs last week) and the Indy offense are starting to get it back together. Yes Manning will find success through the air, but whoever is running for Indy should find success against this GB defense is allowing an eye-popping 5.1 yards per carry. Offensively, Green Bay passer Aaron Rodgers has been gutting-it through a shoulder injury the past couple of weeks. But he’s also lost his last two starts at Lambeau and he’s just a hit away from GB becoming even more green experience-wise under center. It doesn’t help that the GB running attack has failed to get things going this year with Ryan Grant struggling. Indy has been slow out of the gates defensively, but they dominated Baltimore last week in all facets of the game. They have surrendered just one TD pass all year and rank sixth against the pass. With Tennessee a full two games up on Indy in the division standings, these are must win games for Indy. The straight-up winner has covered in nine of Indy’s last 10 games and Manning and his mates will be on their game as they have too much fire-power for Rodgers & Co. as Indy wins this one by a touchdown.