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SATURDAY PREMIUM SERVICE PLAYS
Re: SATURDAY PREMIUM SERVICE PLAYS
Miami Florida Hurricanes @ Duke Blue Devils
Pick: 3 units Duke Blue Devils +3 (POD)
North Carolina Tar Heels @ Virginia Cavaliers
Pick: 3 units Over 44.5
Mississippi Rebels @ Alabama Crimson Tide
Pick: 3 units Mississippi Rebels +12
Has anyone seen IC's NFL pick for Sun? Thanks for all the work and info.
Re: SATURDAY PREMIUM SERVICE PLAYS
100 Dime Winner
Miami-Fla (42) at Duke (+3)
DUKE (+3) 100 Dimes
Duke is healthy and coming off a bye week while the stumbling Hurricanes are banged up and struggling to score. The wrong team is favored in this spot as the Blue Devils will win this one outright. Last week in just getting past Central Florida at home, Miami was only able to muster 216 yards of offense. QB Robert Marve completed just 8-of-19 passes for 74 yards and tossed three interceptions last week. He’ll toss multiple picks Saturday afternoon in Durham against a Blue Devil pass defense that ranks 25th best nationally. The redshirt freshman passer has thrown seven total picks in the last three games as the Canes have had to rely on their running game to get the job done. But it hasn’t exactly been dominating as they ran for 128 yards last week against Central Florida. The Canes have played well on defense, but they do have several significant injuries on that side of the football and are facing a Blue Devil offense that can move the football behind QB Thaddeus Lewis. He’s tossed seven TDs and just three INTs in five games. The junior QB gives the Devils the experience they need under center to get over the hump as Duke has been close the past two years against the Canes (a five-point home loss two years ago and a 10-point loss at Miami last season that included a late garbage TD by Miami). The talent level at Miami has dropped considerably and this is still a very young football team. Last year on the road, the Canes allowed point totals of 51, 44, 33, 29 and 28 in their five road games. Duke had 17 starters back from last year’s team and new coach David Cutcliff has installed a winning attitude in Durham. They’ve already whipped Virginia at home and now rested and healthy off the bye week, they’ll do the same to Miami.
Stu's 100 Dime Winner
Mississippi State (+7') at Tennessee (38)
MISSISSIPPI STATE (+7') 100 Dimes
Outside of maybe Clemson or Auburn, Tennessee has to be the most disappointing college football team this year and there’s no way this struggling Vols’ offense will be able to cover this touchdown-plus spread tonight. In their last four games, three of them losses to go along with a four-point home win over Northern Illinois, the Vols have scored 6, 12, 13 and 14 points. Last week against Georgia, they got just 10 first downs and netted a mere one yard rushing. They’re having difficulties running and passing as the new offensive coaches Philip Fulmer brought in during the off-season clearly aren’t getting the job done. Neither is Fulmer for that matter as it won’t take more than one or two bad plays from his team Saturday night for the Neyland Stadium crowd to begin to boo. The natives are restless in Knoxville for certain. On the other hand, the Bulldogs from Starkville are feeling better about themselves these days. They turned in a solid performance at LSU two weeks ago and followed that with a nice home win over previously undefeated Vanderbilt, holding the Dores to only 107 yards and seven first downs. The Bulldog defense will keep them in Saturday night’s game against this stagnant Tennessee offense Opponents are converting less than 30 percent of their third down tries against the Dogs. The Tennessee defense was also gutted for 458 yards by Georgia and the Vols are putting very little pressure on the quarterback this season, ranking 10th in the SEC in sacks. The Vols also haven’t recovered a fumble this year and will have to contend with a revitalized Mississippi State offense under the direction of Tyson Lee. He can beat teams with his legs as well as his arm having completed 63 percent of his throws for two scores and no picks since taking over two games ago. RB Dixon hit the century mark last week against a stout Vandy run stop unit and this Bulldog team has played well as a road dog (8-3-1 ATS) under Sylvester Croom. Look for more of the same Saturday night as the Bulldogs stay inside this price.
Stu's 100 DIME Winner
LSU (44) at South Carolina (+2')
SOUTH CAROLINA (+2') 100 Dimes
51 points! That’s what LSU gave up last week, and while their defense won’t get as toasted Saturday night, the Tigers will taste road defeat for the second straight week as South Carolina wins this one outright. The Cocks are playing much better football of late and seem to have found their answer under center in freshman QB Stephen Garcia, who was 10-of-14 for 169 yards and a score against a very good Kentucky defense last week. That performance helped SC to earn its fourth straight win. Since losing 14-7 to visiting Georgia last month, the Cocks have tallied at least 23 points in their four games since as they’ve gotten their big play-making WR back from injury. That’s Kenny McKinley, but Garcia has other talented players to get the ball to in Moe Brown, James Barnes and talented tight end Jared Cook. South Carolina will have its moments against this LSU defense that must be considered overrated after being burned for 475 yards last week by the Gators. The Tigers yielded more than 200 yards both running and passing and that came after a sub-par performance against visiting Mississippi State. This Tiger defense is ranked just ninth in the SEC in total defense and has produced a mere nine sacks and three interceptions. It will be SC that will have the better defense in this one as the Cocks allow an SEC-low 241 yards per game. The Tigers ran for only 80 yards last week and they won’t get that many Saturday against a South Carolina stop unit that permits just 3.2 yards per carry. That means LSU’s inexperienced QBs will have to get the job done on the road, something we saw they failed at doing last week. The Cocks have a big play secondary led by Captain Munerlyn, who had not one but two returns for scores in last week’s win at Kentucky. They allow fewer than 10 yards per completion. SC has a bye on deck, so they will be pouring everything into this one. Last year, they stood toe-to-toe against the Bayou Bengals in Baton Rouge before being undone by a fake field goal for a TD. Now they’re in Columbia and the stands will be a rockn’. LSU is a on a 3-11 ATS slide versus SEC East teams while the Cocks are 6-1-1 ATS in their last eight versus ranked opponents. SC will keep it rolling and become bowl eligible with this outright win.
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