SATURDAY PREMIUM SERVICE PLAYS

Re: SATURDAY PREMIUM SERVICE PLAYS

Tommy Rider

Triple-Dime Bet

Arizona +3 vs California

I really like Arizona in this spot. Here we have one team that is tough at home in Arizona taking on a team that lost its one true road test in Cal. I know Cal won at Washington State but I don't care what they did against a high school team. In their one real road game against Maryland, Cal was beaten

easily. Arizona has won four out of the last five meetings in Tucson and the home team is 4-1 ATS in the last five between these two teams. Cal is playing musical chairs at quarterback and this isn't the best time to be doing it, as Arizona leads the country in pass defense. As we get into the season, I love playing against road teams with quarterback problems when the home team has the clear edge at that position, as is the case with the Cats Willie Tuitama. I believe he will pass all over the Bears secondary tonight. Arizona is 5-0 ATS at home in its last five game and I think that continues tonight with a big win over Cal. ***3 UNIT PLAY***


LSU -3 vs South Carolina

Double-Dime Bet

Everything set up perfectly for this selection. I had Florida last week as my SEC Game of the Year because I thought it was a terrible matchup for the Tigers. I was hoping LSU would get blown out so I could come back and take them this week and that's exactly what happened. Now we get a much superior LSU team only laying a field goal to South Carolina, who is starting freshman Stephen Garcia at quarterback. As I said last week, I think LSU's defense is overrated but this is the kind of team they will smother. South Carolina comes into this game winners of four straight but they are stepping up in class here. LSU's offensive line - one of the best in the nation - played poorly last week at Florida but I expect them to bounce back this week and really control this game. This game will be won in the trenches and I also like that Jarrett Lee got some experience playing on the road last week at Florida. I think Lee is going to be a solid quarterback and with the running game getting back on track, he will have a solid outing here. The Tigers have absolutely owned this series. LSU is 15-2-1 all-time against South Carolina, with the Gamecocks last win in the series coming 18-17 on the road in 1994. **2 UNIT PLAY**


Kansas +21 vs Oklahoma

Double-Dime Bet

I don't have a huge write-up for this game, I just believe 21 points is way too much to lay here. There is a believe that the Sonners will be "mad" over losing last week but Kansas doesn't give a damn about that. They are still coming to play and I think they can exploit OU's biggest weakness: It's secondary. Todd Reesing is a very efficient quarterback similar to Colt McCoy and I think he will be able to shred a Sooners secondary that was lit up by both Texas and Cincinnati. Plus, the Sooners have one of the worst kick coverage units in the nation, an area that's really going to hurt them in Big 12 play, as we already saw against the Longhorns. OU will win this game but I can't see it being a blowout, so I'll gladly take the three touchdowns. **2 UNIT PLAY**

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Jeff Bonds

Idaho +20.5 vs Louisiana Tech

Triple-Dime Bet

This spread is absolutely mind-boggling to me and represents the fact that Idaho has lost 16 games in a row - Do you know where they won their last Division I game You guessed it - Right where they are playing Saturday night.

Idaho is working extremely hard to improve throughout the year and will face a Louisiana Tech team that simply is worn out from the last two weeks of action. First off - they flew to Boise for a Thursday night ESPN game and were blown out, 38-3, despite moving the ball all night long.

Last week - they traveled across the country and over the Pacific to face off against Hawaii. They picked up a 10-point loss in that game. They more than likely didn't arrive home from that contest until late Sunday night and the players can't exactly be excited with the Idaho Vandals coming to town.

Here's a couple quotes from the team's head coaches this week: We havent turned the corner yet because we didnt win, but we?re ready to. We see the light at the end of the tunnel."

People have no idea how thin we are. Its frightening. Were down to about 74 of our 85 scholarship players available to participate.

The first quote is from an excited head coach at Idaho that's followed by a more than discouraging fact stated by the Louisiana Tech head man.

Not only are players banged up for Louisiana Tech - but they are making a switch at QB this week.....Wow.....A tired team - off two losses - switching QBs - in a major letdown spot and laying three TDs.

No thanks......Idaho looks to build of its momentum gained against Fresno State and has a great chance at shocking the WAC with a straight up victory here......Idaho ranks 69th in the country through the air and now face the No. 118th ranked passing defense......Hmm


Oklahoma St. / Baylor Over 68.5

Double-Dime Bet

The Big 12 Conference has been a shootout this season and things will return to normal for the Oklahoma State Cowboys after playing a defensive battle at Missouri.

In three games in Big 12 conference play this year that has had a double-digit favorite and the total has been between 60-70....the OVER is 3-0 and by an average of nine points.

This is especially significant when throwing these two teams into Saturday's situation. Oklahoma State has gone OVER the total six straight times following a Big 12 victory. Baylor on the other hand has gone OVER the total in 10 of their last 12 games as a double-digit conference dog.

The OVER is 5-1 in the last six meetings and 27-7 in Oklahoma State's last 34 home games.

Let the scoring begin!

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King Maker

Boston College -140 2-Units

Kansas Jayhawks +20 2-Units

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Greg Shaker

Pittsburgh Panthers at Navy Midshipmen Over 51.5

3 UNIT "CFB Total of the Month"

Somehow or the other, Navy has found a defense. Or have they? Last game at Air Force they were outpassed and outrun. They did get the breaks needed to win that game. This team still has problems on D and they have a number of "Hurters" on that side of the ball as they host Pitt Saturday. What they can do is score. That part of their game is getting better and better. They ran all over Wake and the Deacons play a good brand of defense themselves. This team's offense is almost impossible to prepare for. Pitt discovered that last year losing to this team 48-45. This non-conference matchup will not see any kind of intensive defense being played, and both teams will put points on the board. This betting line is based on the perception and the Midshipmen have better D personel this year and on the reputaion that that the Panthers bring to the table. We should have a wide smile when this one is done.

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Stephen Nover

Arkansas-Kentucky Over 44.5

Double-Dime Bet

Kentucky is going to get its share of points here against a 113th-ranked Arkansas defense that is allowing more than 35 points per game.

The key to this handicap to the 'over' is the oddsmaker underrating Arkansas' offense. The Razorbacks had a stretch earlier this season where they scored only three touchdowns in three games. Keep in mind, though, those three contests were against powerhouses Alabama, Texas and Florida.

Senior Casey Dick has picked up new coach Bobby Petrino's offense and is playing his finest ball. He's getting help from running back Michael Smith, who rushed for 176 yards last week versus Auburn.

The Razorbacks picked up 416 yards against a tough Auburn defense. That's impressive. They have talent at the skill positions and their offense is picking up. The total is too low here making this a three-star play for me.

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Matty O'Shea

Triple-Dime Bet

Oklahoma / Kansas Over 60

Two of the top offenses in the Big 12 square off in this one, and I simply can't see anything other than a shootout taking place in Norman. The Sooners will be without one of their top defensive players in LB Ryan Reynolds, who was clearly missed after he left last week's loss to Texas with a torn ligament in his right knee. The Longhorns scored on four straight possessions after Reynolds left the game, and I think Kansas QB Todd Reesing will look to exploit that weakness in the middle of the field. Oklahoma still ranks fourth in scoring despite the loss at 47.2 points per game, and that number can definitely be achieved against the Jayhawks, who saw an average of 69.5 points scored in their two road games at Iowa State and South Florida earlier this season. The OVER is 8-3-1 in Oklahoma's last 12 home games, so look for another high-scoring affair and bet the OVER as my Triple Dime NCAA Total Play O' the Month.


Arizona +3 vs California

Dime Bet

The Cal Golden Bears are back in the Top 25 as the only unbeaten team in Pac-10 play, but it should be a short-lived return. They will be facing the highest-scoring team in the conference in the Arizona Wildcats (40.2 points per game), who are coming off a very disappointing 24-23 road loss at Stanford last Saturday. Arizona has won four of the last five meetings at Tucson, including a 24-20 victory as a 13-point underdog two years ago. Cal is just 3-13 ATS in its last 16 games on grass and 2-7 ATS in its last nine Pac-10 games despite covering last week against Arizona State by half a point in a 24-14 victory. The Wildcats are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games overall, and I expect them to get the straight-up victory here in this spot at home, so bet Arizona as my Single Dime NCAA Underdog Play O' the Week.


South Florida -24 vs Syracuse

Double-Dime Bet

Don't be fooled by Syracuse playing Pitt and West Virginia tough in the team's last two games. The Orange are in big trouble here against a far superior South Florida team that will be enjoying homecoming festivities with a huge victory. The Bulls are coming off their bye week following a tough home loss to the Panthers, and they have won the last three meetings with Syracuse by an average of 25 points. While the Orange were able to stay close on the road against the Mountaineers last week, that was a mirage due to the fact that All-American QB Pat White did not play. Syracuse is just 2-7 ATS in its last nine games on grass and 3-8-1 ATS in its last 12 against teams with a winning record, so back the Bulls in this spot to win by at least four touchdowns as my Double Dime Big East Big Chalk Play O' the Week

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Mikey Sports

3* Washington

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RON RAYMOND

5* CFB UNDERDOG GAME OF THE WEEK
Texas A&M +21

5* CFB O/U GAME OF THE MONTH
Memphis / East Carolina Under 55.5

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Re: SATURDAY PREMIUM SERVICE PLAYS

Brandon Lang

15 Dime Georgia Tech

15 Dime Penn State

15 Dime Virginia

Free pick - Illinois

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Bob Akmens

20* OK State -17
10* Central Michigan +2
10* UCLA + 2.5
10* Louisiana Monroe -18
10* Oregon State -16

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Re: SATURDAY PREMIUM SERVICE PLAYS

Gold Sheet

Super Power 7

San Jose St

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Re: SATURDAY PREMIUM SERVICE PLAYS

IndianCowboy

Miami Florida Hurricanes @ Duke Blue Devils
Pick: 3 units Duke Blue Devils +3 (POD)

North Carolina Tar Heels @ Virginia Cavaliers
Pick: 3 units Over 44.5

Mississippi Rebels @ Alabama Crimson Tide
Pick: 3 units Mississippi Rebels +12

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Ethan Law

3% Arizona +3
3% San Jose State/new Mexico State Under 52
2% Oklahoma State -17
2% Marshall -3
2% Ohio State -3 -$115
2% UNLV +4.5
2% Washington +16
2% East Carolina -8
2% SMU +13.5
Opinion: Washington +$425

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Highprofitsports

5* Stanford
3* Alabama
3* Wisconsin
3* Baylor
3* UConn
3* Houston
2* UL-Monroe

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Re: SATURDAY PREMIUM SERVICE PLAYS

Alex Smart

Wake Forest / Maryland Under 43  2 units

Wake Forest enters into this tilt against Maryland depending on their defense to help them wins games. That is evident by averaging just 22.4 ppg and 331.0 total ypg. QB Riley Skinner is their only viable offensive weapon, but as everyone knows a pivot can not move the chains all by himself when an opposing team, focuses a lot of attention on him ,which Maryland will do. The Deacon defense, is one of the top units in the nation, allowing opponents to 15 ppg and 274.2 total ypg. The Deacs are giving up just 3.6 yards PRA and have snagged 10 interceptions. Needless to say moving the ball down the field against this side, will be extremely hard.
The Maryland Terps are another offense with very little consistency scoring only 22.3 ppg on 355.7 total ypg. There is not much offensive talent when the Terps have the rock, which is not a good thing against the type of hardcore defense they will face. Maryland's defense, has not been great, but it is still the strength of team allowing 21. 7 PPG. Im betting both teams continue their offensive struggles, and the defenses stand tall in what will be a hard fought sleeper.Final notes & Key Trends: Maryland is 7-0 UNDER in home games after a bye week, with a combined average of 34 PPG scored.Play on the UNDER


Virginia +5.0  4 units

The Virginia Cavaliers after a slow start to their season, have started to come together, scoring 66 total points on offense in two consecutive upset wins. The improvement can be partially attributed to the tier coaching of Al Groh , and his insertion of QB Marc Verica under center , behind a tough offensive line and the suddenly explosive running game, behind the legs of tailback Cedric Peerman , who ran for 379 Yds, and 7.2 YPC in his last two games.Meanwhile, North Carolina has really looked good, and have impressed me this season, but now must play without WR/KR Brandon Tate , who is a multi faceted , offensive threat that will effect certain aspects of the Tarheels attack.Butch Davis team are one of the best in the ACC , but in what is pegged as the Souths oldest rivalry , nothing but a hard fought closely contested affair should be expected .The Tarheels have lost 13 straight vs Cavaliers in Charlottesville, dating back to 1981.Projected score: Virginia 27 North Carolina 20 Play on Virginia


LSU -2.5  3 units

The LSU Tigers enter into this tilt against the South Carolina Gamecocks after having heir butts handed to them by their long time rivals the Florida Gators last week by a final score of 51-21. Needless to say Les Miles team will be in a nasty mood and ready to get some revenge against their next opponent. Unfortunately for HC Steve Spurrier its his South Carolina team that is on the firing range.With a national title still within grasp, LSU cannot afford another loss, and will play with desperation.This is what I'm betting will happen...... South Carolina's offensive line has looked weak all season long, which will give a retooled LSU a defense, an opportunity to finally dominate a turn over prone attack. Considering how inconsistent the Gamecocks offense has been behind a two QB system, it will not be surprise to see them struggle in this spot. Last week despite of South Carolina pulling off a lucky win against Kentucky, QB Chris Smeley converted on just 9 of 23 passes. Yes, I know Miles has also utilized a two pivot offense, but his for the most part is producing as is evident by averaging 32.6 ppg and 402.6 total ypg. The Tigers will play a solid D, this week, but they will be jacked up to put a whooping on their opponents.Final notes & Key Trends: LSU is 9-0 SU L/9 off a loss. HC Miles is also 11-0 SU and 10-1 ATS under those same parameters. Defending national champs like LSU have been money in the bank over the years, after suffering their first loss of the season going 19-1 SU and 15-4 ATS.Projected score: LSU 31 - South Carolina 13 3* selection

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Ben Burns

Clemson +3.0 vs Georgia Tech

The betting public is really down on the Tigers right now. That's only natural, considering that the majority of the bettors backed the Tigers last Thursday at Wake Forest and lost. With that loss and the subsequent coaching change, Clemson is regarded as one of the more disappointing teams in the country. That public sentiment has created excellent value this week as the Tigers now find themselves as home underdogs vs. Georgia Tech. Keep in mind that the Tigers closed as ROAD favorites against a Wake Forest team which is arguably better than Georgia Tech in their last game. This is still an extremely talented team and I expect the coaching change combined with the expected change at QB to both provide a much-needed spark this week. Note that QB Willy Korn is both fast and agile and that he threw for more than 10,000 yards with 125 TD's in high school. In fact, the Clemson fans have been asking for Korn since last season. Clemson's only real weakness is an inexperienced offensive line and therefore Korn's elusiveness and ability to make plays with his feet should prove to be a real positive. Should Korn struggle or go down, Harper is still a highly capable "backup" and is likely to play with a chip on his shoulder if given a chance to get in the game. Word out of camp says that the two have both been getting reps with the first team offense and that the competition has seen both of them elevate the level of their play this week.

As for Georgia Tech, they've been a nice story thus far and Paul Johnson has done a fine job since coming over from Navy. That being said, this is still a relatively inexperienced team. Indeed, while Clemson brought back 16 starters from last season, Georgia Tech brought back only nine. Also, let's keep in mind that four of the Yellow Jackets' five victories have come at home. Three of those victories came against the likes of Jacksonville State, Duke and Gardner-Webb. In fact, they beat 1-AA Gardner-Webb by only three points last week and needed a blocked field goal to avoid going to overtime. The Yellow Jackets have gone 1-1 on the road and the lone victory (at Boston College) came by only three points. Their toughest non- conference game was a home game vs. Mississippi State. On the other hand, Clemson had to face a much tougher SEC foe (Alabama!) at a neutral field. Note that while the Jackets will get QB Josh Nesbitt back in the lineup, he's been out with a hamstring injury for a few weeks and still may not be 100%.

Yes, the Tigers are expected to be without C.J. Spiller. He's just one of two excellent backs though and I believe that James Davis (the "thunder" of the thunder and lightning duo) is more than capable of carrying the load. You may have seen on ESPN that Davis was very emotional after learning about Coach Bowden's departure. I expect him to channel that emotion into a massive effort on the field here. While the Tigers have struggled as favorites, this the first time this season that they've found themselves in the underdog role. That's worth noting as Clemson is a perfect 9-0 ATS the last nine times it was getting points and a highly profitable 14-2 ATS their last 16 in that role. While firing Bowden may hurt them in terms of future recruiting, I believe it was the right move for the team. While they're a much better program than when he arrived, he Tigers had under-achieved under Bowden for several years and I feel that the players will be extra motivated to give their best effort for their first game without him. New (interim) coach Dabo Swinney had this to say: "You're looking at a coach that's got nothing to lose. We're going to lay it on the line..." Playing at home and with a couple of extra days of rest (due to having played on Thursday last week) look for the Tigers to do as Swinney says and "lay it on the line" as they avenge last year's loss and move to 10-4 ATS the last 14 in this series. *ESPN GOW

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Rocketman

Miami Florida / Duke
Play:1* Duke +3 1/2

Miami Florida is 1-5 SU and 0-6 ATS last 3 years as a favorite of 3 1/2 to 10 points. Miami Florida is 4-13 ATS last 3 years against conference opponents. Miami Florida is 7-17 ATS when playing on Saturday last 3 years. Duke is 3-1 SU at home this year allowing only 16.2 points per game. Hurricanes are 6-13 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Hurricanes are 9-22-1 ATS in their last 32 games overall. Hurricanes are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game. Hurricanes are 7-19-1 ATS in their last 27 conference games. Hurricanes are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games on grass. Hurricanes are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games following a SU win. Hurricanes are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss. Hurricanes are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games in October. Hurricanes are 1-11 ATS in their last 12 games following a bye week. Blue Devils are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game. Blue Devils are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on grass. Blue Devils are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game. Blue Devils are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall. We'll play Duke for 1 unit today!


Ohio State / Michigan State
Play: 2* Ohio State -3

Ohio State is 10-0 SU and 8-2 ATS last 3 years as a road favorite. Ohio State is 9-1 ATS since 1992 as a road favorite of 3 points or less. Ohio State is allowing only 14.3 points per game overall this year. Ohio State is 5-1 SU and ATS at Michigan State since 1992. Buckeyes are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Buckeyes are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games in October. Buckeyes are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 road games. Buckeyes are 21-8 ATS in their last 29 games on grass. Buckeyes are 23-9 ATS in their last 32 conference games. Buckeyes are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games following a ATS loss. Spartans are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game. Spartans are 7-16 ATS in their last 23 home games. Spartans are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games in October. Spartans are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Favorite is 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings. We'll play Ohio State for 2 units today!


Missouri / Texas
Play: 3* Missouri +6

Missouri is scoring 48.3 points per game overall this year and 52 points per game on the road this season. Tigers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Tigers are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 road games. Tigers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game. Tigers are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game. Tigers are 21-6 ATS in their last 27 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game. Tigers are 15-5 ATS in their last 20 games overall. Tigers are 10-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Tigers are 35-17 ATS in their last 52 games following a ATS loss. Tigers are 41-20-1 ATS in their last 62 games following a SU loss. We'll play Missouri for 3 units tonight!

Army / Buffalo
Play: 4* Buffalo -11 1/2

Army is scoring only 16.3 points per game overall this year. Buffalo is scoring 33.3 points per game at home this season. Black Knights are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game. Black Knights are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games in October. Black Knights are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 vs. MAC. Black Knights are 7-18 ATS in their last 25 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game. Black Knights are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. Bulls are 4-0 ATS vs. a team with a losing record. Bulls are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game. Bulls are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss. Bulls are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall. Bulls are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games on grass. We'll play Buffalo for 4 units today! Thanks and good luck, Rocky


Florida Atlantic / Western Kentucky
Play: 3* Florida Atlantic +1

Owls are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game. Owls are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game. Owls are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS loss. Owls are 8-3 ATS vs. a team with a losing record. Owls are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games in October. Owls are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game. Owls are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games. Owls are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a SU loss. We'll play Florida Atlantic for 3 units tonight!

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Fatjack

RUTGERS GAME TO GO UNDER THE TOTAL OF 43

CLEMSON GAME TO GO OVER THE TOTAL OF 39

TEXAS GAME TO GO UNDER THE TOTAL OF 68 1/2

AKRON -4

NEVADA -21 1/2

PENN STATE -23 1/2

TENESSEE -7 1/2

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Gamblers Ally

5 units South Carolina
5 units Michigan State

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Brian Hansen

False Favorite GOY

Arizona

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