THURSDAY PREMIUM SERVICE PLAYS

THURSDAY PREMIUM SERVICE PLAYS

Brandon Lang

20 Dime TCU

With the line on this game being at a near pickem either way, it's a pretty safe assumption the SU winner covers.

That winner will be TCU.

I am flat out more impressed by their body of work this year than Byu's. Simple as that and let's start with the New Mexico game to start the year.

TCU completed dominated the Lobo's on the road to start the year 26-3, a team BYU struggled with into the 4th just last Saturday.

New Mexico down 14-3 had just scored to make it 14-10 but a terrible block in the back call brought the TD back and replays clearly showed it was a completely legal block.

Byu went on to win 21-3 at New Mexico never recovered the momentum the rest of the way.

Byu's other cupcake schedule has consisted of N.Iowa, Washington, Ucla and Wyoming and Utah State. They haven't faced on team with a winning record this year and combined, the teams they have faced are 9-21.

As for TCU, don't be alarmed about the 13-7 win last week at Colorado St. It was a game played in very bad weather so offensively, things were a bit challenged.

As for the TCU defense, they gave up a touchdown on the opening drive and not a single point the rest of the way.

And when I tell you the 35-10 loss at Oklahoma was a lot closer than that score would lead you to believe, take a look at what Tcu did to themselves to lose the game.

After spending the first 2 Oklahoma drives blitzing Sam Bradford which led to a quick 14-0 defecit, the Horned Frogs adjusted their defense and delivered 6 three and outs the rest of the way.

The Sooners never drove the length of the field on TCU again. You had a 55 yard td pass, a 76 yard td pass and one of four Horned Frog turnovers set up the Sooners on a short field for their other score.

This TCU defense will be without question the best defense Byu will probably see this year, on the road, tougher than the one they struggled to score 21 points against last week at home in the Lobos.

Andy Dalton is due back at QB for TCU and although that certainly helps what they want to do offensively, make no mistake about it, TCU will win this game with their defense, the homefield advantage and some big play in their special teams.

Lastly, TCU is the better team and in my opinion, they should be a 4 point favorite and with line value like that, I will call for the Horned Frogs to deliver the 10 point win.

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Greg Shaker

Triple-Dime Bet

TCU PICK vs BYU

We are going to find out just what the BYU Cougars are all about Thursday Nite and they will come into the game with Max Hall back at the helm. This however, is not the best time to be getting back into the action facing a TCU defense that has been very good this year. The fact is, they have the #1 Run Defense in the country and if you can't run the ball on the road, you cannot win. This contest tonight will be the first one away from Provo in over a month. The 2 previous games played on the road by the Cougars were not nearly as pretty as they have been at home. We now know that the Washington Husky miracle was not all that impressive. Yardage totals for this team have not been too impressive as well of late and the competition level has not been that sporty. TCU has been impressive in many respects with the only loss at Oklahoma. In that game, the Sooners ran 36 times. They managed 25 yards. Is that a WOW? Yep. This is going to be a rabid crowd for this Nationally Televised game. The Horned Frogs will be also. Last year's game saw a 5 point BYU Win at Provo. You can bet that BYU knows that this is their very toughest test to date. I certainly know that it is. Don't be fooled by the rankings. TCU is the best choice for this one and one of the best choices this week.

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LPW Sports Forecast

4 Units - New Jersey over Atlanta

4 Units - Washington/Pittsburgh Over Total

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MADDUX SPORTS

3 units TCU -1

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Big AL

Red Sox

Tampa/Boston Under

TCU

NC State

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Eddie Roman

7500 Unit ACC Game of the Year

NC State +11 

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KELSO

5 units Nc State +11 over Florida State

N.C. State (2-4) is getting healthy again and gets back three defensive players, including two starters for this game. This is not to suggest the Wolf Pack can beat Florida State (4-1) but a healthy defense figures to slowdown the one thing FSU does well, and that is to run the football. It is obvious the Seminoles have shown a preference for running the football and that is what I believe they will do here and that alone is going to slowdown the scoring. N.C. State comes into this off a bye and appears ready to fire its best shot. Considering all the circumstances, the number is simply too high.

MLB

5 units Tampa Bay

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BEN BURNS

THURSDAY GAME OF MONTH

I'm taking the points with TCU. As you're probably aware, this is a huge game for both teams. BYU comes in with an undefeated record and the Cougars know that if they can win this game that they'll likely have relatively smooth sailing until they travel to Utah in their season finale. As for TCU, the Horned Frogs are still perfect (3-0) in Conference play and are 6-1 overall, with the lone loss coming at #1 Oklahoma, a venue where almost any team would lose. Note that a closer look at the stats from that game shows that TCU actually had an edge in time of possession and only one fewer first down than the Sooners. A victory here really strengthens the Horned Frogs' case for a bigger bowl game and gives them a legit chance of winning the conference - although it should be noted that they also play at Utah. It's true that BYU has been blowing out most opponents when facing them at Provo. However, the Cougars are 0-2 ATS in their two road games. They won easily but didn't cover vs. a weak Utah State team. They also won by only a single point vs. a mediocre Washington team. Neither of those venues is as tough as what BYU will be dealing with here in Fort Worth. Looking back to last season and we find that the Cougars are 3-5 ATS their last eight road games, including outright losses at UCLA and Toledo. Additionally, the Cougars failed to cover vs. New Mexico last week, winning 21-3, while converting just four of 12 third down conversions. In fact, BYU coach Mendenhall described the game as saying: "It was the most physical and hard-fought game that we have played this season..." Interestingly, New Mexico is the only common opponent which BYU and TCU have faced so far this season. The Horned Frogs played at New Mexico, yet dominated. They won 26-3 and had a 20-9 edge in first downs. On the other hand, despite playing at home, the Cougars actually had fewer first downs than did the Lobos. That was BYU's toughest home game since last season when it was tested by both Utah and TCU. That game vs. TCU finished with a score of 27-22. BYU won but TCU covered. The previous meeting, here in 2006, saw BYU snap TCU's winning streak, which was the longest winning streak in the nation at the time. This year, it's BYU which comes in with the longest winning streak in the nation and it's safe to say that the Horned Frogs are itching to return the favor. Note that BYU returned 12 starters from last year's team, while TCU brought back 15, which was the most in the Mountain West. The Cougars' offense didn't look particularly sharp last week and now they'll face a much tougher defense, while dealing with a hostile crowd. This year's TCU team comes in allowing a mere 11.4 points per game, which ranks in the top 10 in the country. The Horned Frogs also rank #1 in the entire country in terms of total yards per game, first downs allowed AND time of possession. Looking back several seasons and we find TCU at an excellent 6-1 SU/ATS the last seven times it was listed as a home underdog of three points or less. During the same stretch, BYU was just 1-4 SU/ATS as a road favorite of three points or less. Look for TCU to get some payback from the two losses the last two years and spoil BYU's dreams of an undefeated season. *Thursday Night Game of the Month


ESPN TOTAL OF THE WEEK

I'm playing on Florida State and NC State to finish UNDER the total. The Wolfpack have played the Seminoles tough in recent seasons, which has been largely due to the fact that they've played solid defense. Looking at the last four series meetings and we find that they produced combined scores of 37, 44, 35 and 27 points. The last three meetings here in Raleigh have been particularly low-scoring, averaging a mere 31.67 points per game. I'm expecting another relatively low-scoring contest this evening. It's true that the Wolfpack defense hasn't been particularly strong this season and that they have given up a lot of points their last two games. However, they are coming off a bye and that time off allowed several key defensive players time to recover from nagging injuries. You may recall what happened after last year's bye, which also came after NC State had played six games. The Wolfpack entered last year's bye week having lost three straight games, while allowing an average of 33 points per game in the losses. After the bye, the Wolfpack faced an East Carolina squad which had gone 3-0 its previous three games, while scoring 52, 37 and 45 points. Most expected the Pirates to put up big numbers once again. However, the Wolfpack D delivered one of its best games of the season and allowed just 20 points. Including that result, the Wolfpack have seen the UNDER go 7-1 the last eight times they were coming off back to back SU losses and 14-4 their last 18 games (with a total) in that situation. It's also worth noting that the Wolfpack were shutout (at South Carolina) in their only previous Thursday game this season and that they e This year's bye came has allowed the Wolfpack enough time that they should get defensive stars Michael Cash and linebacker Nate Irving back in the lineup. Cash, who coach Tom O'Brien said was the team's best defensive lineman before having knee surgery, is reportedly back at full strength after missing three games. Irving, currently listed as probable, made 34 tackles in three and a half games and remains the Wolfpack's leader with six tackles for loss and three interceptions. The Seminoles, who are also coming off a bye, also allowed a lot of points (39) in their last game. However, a closer look at that game shows that Florida State had only allowed three points in the first half and that the defense wasn't fully responsible for many of the points allowed in the second half. That's because two botched snaps on Florida State punts led to Miami points while the Hurricanes also ran back an interception for a touchdown. Prior to that game, the Seminoles had been allowing a mere 10 points per game. Note that the Noles have seen the UNDER go 9-2 their last 11 games (with a total) in which they were favored in the 10.5 to 14 point range. Florida State is still only allowing a mere 230 total yards per game, which ranks second (behind TCU) in the entire country. Look for both defenses to rise to the occasion as these teams play yet another relatively low-scoring game against each other. *ESPN TOW


LCS GOY

Red Sox

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Matty O'Shea

Single-Dime Bet

BOS (-155) vs TAM

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NSA

20* TCU
10* BYU/TCU Under
10* Fla St
10* FSU/NCSt Over

10* Red Sox

10* Pittsburgh

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Nick "BookieKiller" Parsons

NHL UNDERDOG GAME OF THE MONTH!

Atlanta Trashers

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Trace Adams

1500 - NC ST
500 - DRays

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Bob Akmens

10* Red Sox

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Vegas Sports Experts

10* Take TCU (-1) over BYU (NCAA Power Play)

TCU
• 11-3 ATS when playing in the 2nd half of the season the last 3 years
• 6-0 ATS coming off 2 or more consecutive wins
• 16-4 ATS in home games when the total is between 42.5 and 49 points


Bonus Play

5* Take N.C. State (+11) over Florida State (NCAA Bonus Play)

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Highprofitsports

2* Parlay BYU/Under
2* Florida State

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ATS Lock

4 units TCU -1.5

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Bob Balfe

College Football
NC State +11 over Florida State
Florida State has finally found some offense, but I do not think they are as good as their point per game total would indicate. NC State has been beat up this year, but they proved they could win the big game when they beat then ranked ECU a few weeks back. FSU might have given their rivals Miami all they had last week and this will be more of a letdown game. Bottom line FSU should not be favored by double digits yet. Take NCState

BYU +1.5 over TCU
This is a very interesting game. I will say more people are betting on BYU, but it seems like the big money is heavy on TCU. TCU has a great defense, but lets not forget about BYU's Defense which is pretty good. TCU Is great at stopping the run, but BYU passes the ball and their offense is as good as any in the nation. BYU has the longest winning streak in the nation and when you don't get that feeling of being a loser you don't find ways to lose. This will be a great game. Take BYU.

Major League Baseball
Rays/Redsox Over 9 runs
Kazmir/Matsuzaka

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Alex Smart      

TCU

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Rocketman Sports

VANCOUVER CANUCKS

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