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David Chan NFL prop shop: Week 6 picks

David Chan NFL prop shop: Week 6 picks

NFL prop shop: Week 6 picks
By DAVID CHAN

Coming off a 2-2 week with prop picks, it was a week that would have been much better had the Titans been able to record one measly sack against the Ravens.

Who would have thought that a matchup between two of the league’s best defenses wouldn’t produce a single QB takedown?

Onto Week 6. Here are four prop bets to consider.

Chicago vs. Atlanta

Most rushing yards: Matt Forte vs. Michael Turner

Play on: Turner

Let’s give Turner a shot against a stout Bears defense.

He has simply run wild on the Georgia Dome turf, picking up 326 yards and five touchdowns. The Bears are tough, but I would argue that Turner is the best back they’ve faced this season.

Matt Forte got off to a tremendous start, but has cooled off since. Last week he ran for only 36 yards on 15 carries. He’s not getting that many touches and that doesn’t bode well in this matchup with the Falcons’ workhorse.


Dallas vs. Arizona

Most passing yards: Kurt Warner vs. Tony Romo

Play on: Romo

I’ve been calling for Kurt Warner’s collapse ever since he was named starting quarterback in late August.

I’m still waiting.

I’m willing to take another shot at fading him this week though, because I expect him to be under pressure all afternoon. The Cowboys defense presents a mismatch up front and should make a living in the Cardinals backfield.

Tony Romo isn’t getting much love, but his numbers are every bit as good as Warner’s. And with Anquan Boldin sidelined, he has a better group of receivers to work with.


Detroit vs. Minnesota

Most pass receptions: Roy Williams vs. Bernard Berrian

Play on: Berrian

Bernard Berrian turned in his best performance of the season on Monday night and I expect him to take another step toward becoming the focal point of this Vikings pass game on Sunday.

There’s no reason why he wouldn’t be Gus Frerotte’s go-to-guy. With Sidney Rice sidelined, he’s their best option.

The Lions are quite simply a mess on offense.

Roy Williams is a talented receiver but he’s caught only 15 passes all season. He looks disinterested out there and it’s hard to blame him. Jon Kitna has thrown for fewer than 700 yards and as many interceptions as touchdowns so far.

The Vikings will apply plenty of pressure on Kitna and disrupt this timing-based Lions offense.


Oakland vs. New Orleans

Most sacks

Play on New Orleans

Drew Brees has only been sacked twice in the last three games.

JaMarcus Russell was sacked six times against the Chargers two weeks ago.

You do the math.

I like the different defensive looks the Saints showed against the Vikings on Monday. They gave up plenty of big plays, and points, but also got in Gus Frerotte’s face with regularity.

Two weeks ago they sacked 49ers quarterback J.T. O’Sullivan six times. This is an underrated group, at least up front. I’ll give them a shot against the Raiders.

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Re: David Chan NFL prop shop: Week 6 picks

Anyone been following these plays?

Seems to be a tough racket handicapping props.

Michael Cash
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